Al Rajhi Bank: Strong Q2 ResultsAl Rajhi Bank reported another strong quarter, and in my opinion the market reaction was more influenced by higher provisions than by the overall quality of the results.
Here are the key numbers:
* Net profit increased 14% YoY to SAR 13.8B.
* Operating income grew 13.9%.
* ROE remained very strong at 23.3%.
* Net financing margin improved to 3.50%.
At first glance, the increase in provisions looked negative. However, when looking deeper into the report, credit quality remains excellent:
* NPL ratio: 0.74%
* Coverage ratio: 153%
* Cost of risk: 0.39%
To me, these numbers indicate that the bank remains financially strong and that the higher provisions reflect a more conservative approach rather than a deterioration in asset quality.
The balance sheet also continues to be one of Al Rajhi’s biggest strengths, supported by strong capital, healthy liquidity, and a high CASA ratio.
Valuation
After updating the financials following Q2 results, I estimate the intrinsic value around SAR 76 per share under a base-case scenario.
If the bank continues to maintain ROE above 22% while preserving its asset quality, a valuation in the SAR 80–88 range becomes reasonable over the longer term.
Technical View
The stock is currently trading near an important long-term demand zone.
As long as this area holds, I continue to see the long-term trend as positive, with SAR 76 remaining my initial upside target. 
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Ma'aden (1211) Descending Channel Meets Long-Term SupportSaudi Arabian Mining Company has been trading in a descending channel after peaking near SAR 80, reflecting a prolonged corrective phase where sellers have remained in control.
Despite the persistent downtrend, price has now reached a long term support zone.
The stock is testing the lower boundary of the descending channel, while simultaneously sitting near a major horizontal support around SAR 56, a level that has previously attracted buyers.
This convergence of support levels creates an area worth monitoring for a potential shift in momentum.
From a volume perspective, selling pressure appears to be going down as compared to the earlier stages of the decline. If buyers begin to absorb supply near current levels, the probability of a relief rally increases.
The first sign of strength would be a breakout above the descending channel.
Can Trade the channel by entering at 57 zone first resistance would be around 59 and next resistance top of the channel at around 60
I will be playing safe and following closely to enter if the price breaks above 60 - 62 zone.
If the price breaks down from 56 zone, it would invalidate the Channel and the next support area will be near 51
Disclaimer:
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in stocks involves risk, including the possible loss of capital. Any decisions to buy, sell, or hold securities are the sole responsibility of the reader. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and, if necessary, consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. RAMB | Falling Channel Approaching Decision ZoneAfter a prolonged pullback from its recent highs, RAMB is trading within a well-defined falling channel,
Price is now approaching a key support area where buyers could begin to regain control.
A potential entry around the $109 zone becomes attractive if price confirms channel breakout with bullish price action and improving volume.
If buyers step in and the stock breaks out of the wedge, the first objective is $120, followed by $135, where there's previous resistance.
Sustained momentum could then drive price toward $150, while a continuation of the broader uptrend opens the possibility of an extended move toward $170.
Always remember to manage risk, a stop loss at $90 keeps the trade protected if the bullish setup fails and price breaks below the key support structure.
Possible Trade Setup After Channel Break Confirmation
Entry: $109
TP1: $120
TP2: $135
TP3: $150
TP4: $170
Stop Loss: $90
Disclaimer:
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in stocks involves risk, including the possible loss of capital. Any decisions to buy, sell, or hold securities are the sole responsibility of the reader. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and, if necessary, consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 
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UBL (D)"Good evening, everyone, and welcome.
Today, we will discuss one of the most practical and profitable ways to participate in the market: swing trading with a holding period of 10 to 15 days. In financial markets, traders often find themselves caught between two extremes. On one hand, there is intraday trading, which requires constant screen monitoring, involves high stress, and demands split-second decision-making.
On the other hand, there is long-term investing, where one must wait months or even years to realize profits.
Swing trading—with a two-week timeframe—offers an excellent middle ground. It allows you to capitalize on stock momentum without the anxiety of overnight risks or the need to stay glued to your screen all day. To succeed within this 5-to-12-day window, you need to master three key elements: setup, execution, and exit.
1. Setup: Capitalizing on momentum. In a two-week timeframe, we don't look for cheap or beaten-down stocks hoping for a recovery; instead, we seek established trends. Your best allies here are technical indicators like the 20-day moving average and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Look for fundamentally strong stocks that are either breaking out of a consolidation pattern or pulling back slightly to a strong support level. We buy when buyers are clearly in control.
2. Execution: Risk is the only thing you can control. The secret to surviving in swing trading is simple: never enter a trade without knowing exactly where you will exit if you are wrong. Before you click 'Buy,' your stop-loss plan must be in place. For a 5-to-12-day trade, a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2 or 1:3..." ...is ideal. If you are taking a downside risk of ₹5 per share, your upside target should be at least ₹10 to ₹15. If the market moves against you, accept the small loss and move on.
3. Exit: Discipline over greed. A 5-to-12-day trade is a time-bound commitment. Institutional money moves in waves, and these waves typically last for 2 to 3 weeks before cooling off. Once your target is met, take your profit. Don't give in to greed... 50% return on a swing trade. If the stock hits your target by the 7th day, lock in the profit. If it remains range-bound and shows no movement by the 12th day, exit the trade to free up your capital.
Conclusion: Swing trading isn't about guessing the exact bottom or top. The goal is to profit from the part of the wave that offers the most gain. This requires discipline, emotional control, and strict adherence to rules. Manage your risk, respect your stop-loss, and let the trend do the work.
Your financial seatbelt: A stop-loss is a pre-determined exit strategy that acts like an insurance policy. It protects your trading capital from massive losses when the market moves against you.
Decide before you enter: Never enter a trade without setting a stop-loss; this ensures you remain in control of the risk, rather than letting your emotions control your money.
A simple rule: A stop-loss isn't a sign of failure—it is the discipline that ensures you survive today so you can trade again tomorrow. Thank you, and happy trading!
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Sedco Capital Reit Fund : From Deep Discount to Potential 14–16TADAWUL:4344
📈 From Deep Discount to Potential 14–16 Target? The Weekly Chart Tells an Interesting Story 🔥
The weekly chart suggests that price may have completed a major accumulation and recovery phase after rebounding from a deep discounted Fibonacci retracement zone of the previous bullish swing from 4.14 to 11.00.
🔍 The Price Structure
After the initial bullish move, price retraced within a descending parallel channel, eventually forming a significant swing low near 5.91 in November 2025.
Since that low, price has demonstrated strong weekly bullish momentum and steadily recovered, despite the severe geopolitical conflict affecting the region during the first half of 2026.
This resilience is an important technical observation.
⚠️ Key Resistance: 8.10–8.25
Price is now approaching a significant resistance zone around 8.10–8.25, which aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
At this stage, the market may need to cool off before continuing higher.
This could happen through:
🔹 Sideways consolidation
🔹 A controlled technical correction
🔹 A retest of previous breakout levels
🎯 Two Critical Correction Zones
If price experiences a pullback, two areas stand out:
📍 7.13 — Parallel Channel Breakout Retest
A retest of the previous descending channel breakout could provide an important support test.
📍 6.80 — 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement Zone
This area represents the deeper Fibonacci retracement level of the latest bullish swing and could act as a potential demand zone.
🚀 Breakout Strategy
For new positions, chasing price at the current market price may carry a relatively higher risk due to the nearby resistance zone.
A confirmed breakout above 8.25, preferably followed by a successful retest and support confirmation, could provide a more favorable risk-reward entry for momentum traders.
📊 Potential Upside Targets
If the bullish structure remains intact:
🎯 Initial upside target: Around 12.00
This is where the projected AB=CD harmonic pattern could reach completion.
🔭 Extended target zone: 14.00–16.00
A Reverse Fibonacci Extension projection suggests the possibility of a larger measured move toward this region.
🧠 My View
The broader weekly market structure remains bullish, but price is now entering a major technical decision zone.
The key question is:
Will price break above 8.25 and accelerate higher, or will the market first consolidate and retest lower support levels before the next major move?
For me, 8.25 remains the key trigger level, while 7.13 and 6.80 are the important correction and accumulation zones to monitor.
Do you think this is a breakout setup—or does price need one more correction before the next leg higher? 👀
Share your view below. ⬇️
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