TSMC's Next Move Could Create Trillions in ValueTSMC delivered another standout quarter, showing that AI demand is still accelerating
Q2 revenue jumped 34% year over year to $40.2 billion, beating expectations by about $900 million, while EPS per ADR climbed 74% to $4.31, topping estimates by $0.37. Profitability remained exceptional, with gross margin at 68%, operating margin at 60%, and net margin at 56%. This also marked the company's fifth consecutive record quarter
Even so, after the stock's nearly 40% rally this year, investors appeared to lock in profits following the results
CEO C.C. Wei said the company remains highly confident in the long term AI growth story. Advanced chips built on 7nm and smaller processes now account for 77% of wafer revenue, with 3nm contributing 30% and 2nm beginning to ramp as production expands later this year. Wei also pointed to agentic AI as a new source of demand, helping boost CPU orders alongside AI accelerators.
At the same time, demand for older manufacturing nodes weakened, suggesting rising memory costs may be weighing on mainstream semiconductor markets
TSMC also doubled down on its expansion plans. The company increased its total US investment commitment to $265 billion, which will fund 12 advanced chipmaking and packaging facilities in Arizona. It also raised its fiscal 2026 capital spending forecast to $60 billion to $64 billion, up from the previous $52 billion to $56 billion range. CFO Wendell Huang added that spending over the next three years will be much higher than the previous three, with most of next year's budget focused on advanced manufacturing technologies
Looking ahead, TSMC lifted its 2026 revenue growth forecast to slightly above 40% in US dollar terms, marking its second guidance increase this year and coming in well above Wall Street expectations. When asked about competition from Samsung and Intel, Wei argued that foundry relationships are built over many years and customers are unlikely to switch suppliers over pricing alone. The biggest challenge now is execution. Massive investments, overseas factory expansion, and the rollout of 2nm production will all put pressure on costs.
If TSMC can keep gross margins near current levels while scaling production, it will reinforce its leadership as the AI investment cycle continues over the next several years.
CHKP | Continued stock growth- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 139.22
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 130.00 (-6.60 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
CHTR | The time to go long has come- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 136.98
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 127.78 (-6.70 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
ADBE - 50 SMA and Resistance Breakout💡 Swing setup idea
50 SMA breakout
🔎 Analysis summary:
The stock is moving above the 50 SMA and breaking through a strong resistance area. We can also see strong and growing buyers volume stepping in, which helps support the move.
👀 Levels to watch:
Entry trigger: Break above $233.80
Target: $275.45
Stop: Under the breakout level
💬 What do you think about this setup? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Good luck!
⚠️ Note: This is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
HDFC Bank: Adam found Eve... Is ₹900 the honeymoon?🏦💍📈
### 🏦 HDFC Bank – Adam & Eve Bottom Pattern
After months of frustrating sideways action, HDFC Bank appears to be completing a classic Adam & Eve bottom, one of the more reliable reversal structures when confirmed with a breakout.
The neckline around ₹806 has already been reclaimed, and price is now consolidating above prior resistance—a constructive sign if buyers continue defending this zone.
Technical roadmap
- ✅ Adam & Eve bottom completed
- ✅ Neckline successfully reclaimed
- ✅ Healthy consolidation after breakout
- 🎯 Initial measured move projects towards ₹899
- 🚀 Extended logarithmic projection targets approximately ₹911
- ❌ Losing ₹806 on a closing basis would weaken the bullish thesis.
📊 Fundamental Snapshot
Fundamentally, sentiment towards HDFC Bank has been improving following management's continued focus on deposit growth, margin stabilisation and integrating the HDFC merger. Investors are also watching for improving loan growth as liquidity conditions ease.
Looking ahead, market participants will focus on:
- Stronger deposit mobilisation
- Net Interest Margin (NIM) stability
- Continued improvement in credit growth
- Asset quality remaining healthy
If execution continues improving over the coming quarters, sentiment could gradually shift back in favour of India's largest private lender.
📚 Educational Corner
The Adam & Eve Bottom combines two different types of lows:
🔹 Adam = a sharp panic reversal (V-shaped bottom)
🔹 Eve = a slower, rounded accumulation phase
When price breaks above the neckline with volume, it often signals that buyers have regained long-term control. As always, confirmation matters more than prediction.
💬 Question for the community
Will HDFC Bank finally reclaim ₹900... or is this another false dawn?
Drop your target below 👇
Bullish? 🟢
Bearish? 🔴
### #Hashtags
#HDFCBank #NSE #India #IndianStocks #BankNifty #Nifty50 #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPattern #AdamAndEve #Investing #PriceAction #TradingView #StockMarket #Breakout #LongTermInvesting
Disclaimer: I am not a registered Financial Advisor (FA) or Chartered Market Technician (CMT). This post is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
AMS | The time to go long has come- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 50.96
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 48.54 (-4.80 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
PPC | The time to go long has come- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 29.71
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 27.73 (-6.70 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
Tejas Networks –Recovery & Breakout Continuation Setup Near ₹470The price has shown a strong recovery after a prolonged correction and is currently trading around the ₹460–₹470 zone. The recent consolidation near resistance indicates accumulation, suggesting a potential breakout if momentum sustains.
The key demand/support zone lies near ₹383 – ₹463, which can act as a strong base on pullbacks.
Trade Plan
Entry Zone:
₹460 – ₹475 (on consolidation or breakout above ₹475)
Stop Loss:
₹383.00 (below key demand zone / invalidation level)
Primary Targets:
₹594.45 (near-term resistance level)
₹721.95 (major resistance level)
₹851.05 (final target if momentum continues)
Chart Observations
• Price has recovered strongly from lower levels and is now consolidating near ₹470.
• The ₹383 – ₹463 zone is acting as a strong demand area.
• Current price action suggests accumulation before a possible breakout.
• ₹594 is the immediate resistance where price may face selling pressure.
• A breakout above ₹594 can push the price toward ₹721 and higher levels.
• Structure indicates bullish continuation if price sustains above current levels.
Notes
• This is a recovery + breakout continuation setup.
• Buying on dips near support can offer a favorable risk-reward setup.
• Traders may consider partial profit booking near ₹594 and trail positions for higher targets.
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial or investment advice. Markets are volatile and conditions can change quickly. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades.
TSLA: Opportunity or Trap?TSLA Outlook – Bullish Reversal Scenario
Tesla is currently trading within a compelling zone from both a technical and fundamental perspective. Technically, TSLA has entered the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) of a Bullish Butterfly pattern around the 370–381 area, a region that often marks seller exhaustion and the beginning of a trend reversal. If this setup plays out as expected, TSLA could be approaching the end of its multi-month correction and potentially begin a new bullish leg toward $490 (TP1) and $541 (TP2).
Fundamentally, the market is increasingly viewing Tesla as more than just an electric vehicle manufacturer. Investor attention has shifted toward Tesla's long-term growth engines, including Robotaxi, Cybercab, Optimus, and its AI ecosystem. The upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release on July 22, 2026, could serve as a major catalyst. Positive guidance regarding Robotaxi expansion and Optimus production timelines may significantly improve market sentiment.
Interestingly, while concerns over slowing automotive growth and downward EPS revisions have weighed on sentiment in recent months, Tesla appears to be entering a phase where its long-term narrative is being tested. Historically, some of the best investment opportunities emerge when quality companies face peak skepticism. The combination of a strong technical support zone, subdued market expectations, and several potential catalysts makes this reversal scenario particularly worth watching.
That said, no setup carries a 100% probability of success. The bullish thesis begins to weaken if TSLA fails to hold the 370–381 support area and would be considered fully invalidated on a daily close below $329.35. Proper risk management remains essential, and investors should always define their downside before focusing on potential upside.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects a personal opinion based on a combination of technical and fundamental analysis and should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research (DYOR – Do Your Own Research) and make investment decisions according to your own risk tolerance and financial circumstances.
JSW Infrastructure – Bullish Continuation Setup Near ₹275 ZoneThe price has shown a strong recovery after a consolidation phase and is currently trading around the ₹270–₹275 zone. The recent bullish momentum indicates strength, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend if the price sustains above the breakout area.
The key demand/support zone lies near ₹237 – ₹265, which can act as a strong base on pullbacks.
Trade Plan
Entry Zone:
₹268 – ₹275 (on consolidation or minor pullback near breakout zone)
Stop Loss:
₹237.10 (below key demand zone / invalidation level)
Primary Targets:
₹302.60 (near-term resistance level)
₹339.75 (major resistance level)
₹376.45 (final target if momentum continues)
Chart Observations
• Price has formed a higher low structure, indicating bullish recovery.
• The ₹237 – ₹265 zone is acting as a strong demand area.
• Current price action near ₹275 suggests breakout continuation strength.
• ₹302 is the immediate resistance where price may face selling pressure.
• A breakout above ₹302 can push the price toward ₹339 and higher levels.
• Structure supports bullish continuation after accumulation.
Notes
• This is a bullish continuation setup — buying on dips is favorable.
• The stop loss at ₹237.10 helps manage downside risk effectively.
• Traders may consider partial profit booking near ₹302 and trail positions for higher targets.
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial or investment advice. Markets are volatile and conditions can change quickly. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades.
Info Edge – Consolidation Breakout Setup Near ₹1,000 ZoneThe price has been consolidating after a recovery from lower levels and is currently trading around the ₹980–₹1,010 zone. The stock is attempting to sustain near a key breakout area, and a successful move above resistance could trigger a fresh bullish leg.
The key demand/support zone lies near ₹926 – ₹960, which can act as a strong base on pullbacks.
Trade Plan
Entry Zone:
₹980 – ₹1,010 (on consolidation or breakout above ₹1,007)
Stop Loss:
₹926.00 (below key demand zone / invalidation level)
Primary Targets:
₹1,166.00 (near-term resistance level)
₹1,326.55 (major resistance level)
₹1,488.50 – ₹1,493.15 (extended target if momentum continues)
Chart Observations
• Price has formed a base after a correction and is attempting to resume its uptrend.
• The ₹926 – ₹960 zone is acting as a strong demand area and support base.
• Current price action near ₹1,000 suggests accumulation before a potential breakout.
• ₹1,166 is the immediate resistance where price may face initial selling pressure.
• A breakout above ₹1,166 can push the price toward ₹1,326 and higher levels.
• The risk-reward setup remains favorable as long as price holds above ₹926.
Notes
• This is a consolidation-to-breakout setup — confirmation above ₹1,007 is important.
• The stop loss at ₹926 helps manage downside risk effectively.
• Traders may consider partial profit booking near ₹1,166 and trail positions for higher targets.
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial or investment advice. Markets are volatile and conditions can change quickly. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades.
Titan Company – Strong Bullish Reversal & Breakout SetupThe price has shown a strong bullish reversal from the ₹4,060 support zone and is currently trading around the ₹4,280–₹4,300 zone. The recent breakout candle indicates renewed buying interest, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend if the price sustains above the breakout level.
The key demand/support zone lies near ₹4,063 – ₹4,160, which can act as a strong base on pullbacks.
Trade Plan
Entry Zone:
₹4,250 – ₹4,300 (on consolidation or minor pullback near current levels)
Stop Loss:
₹4,063.60 (below key demand zone / invalidation level)
Primary Targets:
₹4,576.05 (near-term resistance level)
₹4,861.20 (major resistance level)
₹5,149.55 (extended target)
₹5,153.20 (final target if momentum continues)
Chart Observations
• Price has formed a strong bullish reversal from the ₹4,060 support zone.
• The ₹4,063 – ₹4,160 zone is acting as a strong demand area and recent base.
• Current price action near ₹4,283 confirms breakout strength.
• ₹4,576 is the immediate resistance where price may face initial selling pressure.
• A breakout above ₹4,576 can push the price toward ₹4,861 and higher levels.
• The risk-reward setup is attractive with limited downside and substantial upside potential.
Notes
• This is a bullish reversal + continuation setup.
• The stop loss at ₹4,063.60 helps manage downside risk effectively.
• Traders may consider partial profit booking near ₹4,576 and trail positions for higher targets.
• Sustaining above ₹4,283 will strengthen the bullish outlook further.
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial or investment advice. Markets are volatile and conditions can change quickly. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades.
HDFC Bank – Bullish Continuation Setup Near ₹805 ZoneThe price has shown a steady recovery from recent lows and is currently trading around the ₹800–₹805 zone. After reclaiming key support levels, the stock is consolidating just below resistance, indicating accumulation and the potential for a bullish continuation if buying momentum persists.
The key demand/support zone lies near ₹772 – ₹790, which can act as a strong base on pullbacks.
Trade Plan
Entry Zone:
₹795 – ₹805 (on consolidation or a sustained breakout above ₹805)
Stop Loss:
₹772.65 (below key demand zone / invalidation level)
Primary Targets:
₹831.70 (near-term resistance level)
₹879.35 (major resistance level)
₹925.70 – ₹926.85 (extended target if momentum continues)
Chart Observations
• Price has recovered from the recent correction and is forming higher highs and higher lows.
• The ₹772 – ₹790 zone is acting as a strong demand area and recent support.
• Current price action around ₹800–₹805 indicates consolidation before a potential breakout.
• ₹831.70 is the immediate resistance where price may witness initial profit booking.
• A breakout above ₹831.70 can open the path toward ₹879.35 and eventually ₹925.70–₹926.85.
• The overall trend remains bullish as long as price holds above the support zone.
Notes
• This is a bullish continuation setup with a favorable risk-reward profile.
• The stop loss at ₹772.65 helps manage downside risk effectively.
• Traders may consider partial profit booking near ₹831.70 and trail the remaining position toward higher targets.
• A sustained close above ₹805 would further strengthen the bullish outlook.
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial or investment advice. Markets are volatile and conditions can change quickly. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades.
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services – Bullish ContinuationThe price has shown a strong recovery after a recent correction and is currently trading around the ₹330–₹332 zone. The stock has broken above its short-term consolidation range and is now holding above the breakout level, indicating bullish momentum. Sustaining above this zone could lead to a continuation of the uptrend.
The key demand/support zone lies near ₹303 – ₹331, which can act as a strong base on pullbacks.
Trade Plan
Entry Zone:
₹330 – ₹335 (on consolidation or a sustained move above ₹335)
Stop Loss:
₹303.15 (below key demand zone / invalidation level)
Primary Targets:
₹357.45 (near-term resistance level)
₹387.25 (major resistance level)
₹416.30 – ₹416.70 (extended target if momentum continues)
Chart Observations
• Price has given a strong breakout from a short-term consolidation, indicating renewed buying interest.
• The ₹303 – ₹331 zone is acting as a strong demand area and recent support.
• Current price action around ₹331 suggests bullish continuation after the breakout.
• ₹357.45 is the immediate resistance where price may face initial profit booking.
• A breakout above ₹357.45 can push the price toward ₹387.25 and eventually ₹416.30–₹416.70.
• The overall trend has turned positive with higher highs and higher lows forming on the daily chart.
Notes
• This is a bullish continuation setup with a favorable risk-reward profile.
• The stop loss at ₹303.15 helps manage downside risk effectively.
• Traders may consider partial profit booking near ₹357.45 and trail the remaining position toward higher targets.
• A sustained close above ₹335 with improving volume would further strengthen the bullish outlook.
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial or investment advice. Markets are volatile and conditions can change quickly. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades.
Jubilant Ingrevia – Bullish Continuation SetupThe price has shown a strong recovery after a recent correction and is currently trading around the ₹675–₹680 zone. The stock has broken above a short-term consolidation range and is holding near the breakout level, indicating improving bullish momentum. Sustaining above this zone could lead to a continuation of the uptrend.
The key demand/support zone lies near ₹614 – ₹670, which can act as a strong base on pullbacks.
Trade Plan
Entry Zone:
₹670 – ₹685 (on consolidation or a sustained breakout above ₹680)
Stop Loss:
₹613.95 (below key demand zone / invalidation level)
Primary Targets:
₹757.00 (near-term resistance level)
₹837.70 (major resistance level)
₹921.85 – ₹923.10 (extended target if momentum continues)
Chart Observations
• Price has recovered strongly from recent lows and is now holding above the breakout zone.
• The ₹614 – ₹670 zone is acting as a strong demand area and recent support.
• Current price action around ₹680 suggests bullish continuation after consolidation.
• ₹757.00 is the immediate resistance where price may face initial profit booking.
• A breakout above ₹757.00 can push the price toward ₹837.70 and eventually ₹921.85–₹923.10.
• The overall structure has shifted from corrective to bullish with higher highs and higher lows.
Notes
• This is a bullish continuation setup with a favorable risk-reward profile.
• The stop loss at ₹613.95 helps manage downside risk effectively.
• Traders may consider partial profit booking near ₹757.00 and trail the remaining position toward higher targets.
• A sustained close above ₹680 with improving volume would further strengthen the bullish outlook.
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial or investment advice. Markets are volatile and conditions can change quickly. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades.
Exide Industries – Strong BreakoutThe price has shown a strong bullish breakout after a period of consolidation and is currently holding around the ₹420–₹425 zone. The breakout is supported by strong momentum, indicating buyers are in control. As long as the stock sustains above the breakout zone, the probability of further upside remains favorable.
The key demand/support zone lies near ₹403.45 – ₹425.25, which can act as a strong base on pullbacks.
Trade Plan
Entry Zone:
₹418 – ₹425 (on consolidation or a minor pullback near the breakout zone)
Stop Loss:
₹403.45 (below key demand zone / invalidation level)
Primary Targets:
₹453.35 (near-term resistance level)
₹484.80 (major resistance level)
₹517.15 – ₹518.00 (extended target if momentum continues)
Chart Observations
• Price has given a decisive bullish breakout after consolidating for several sessions.
• The ₹403.45 – ₹425.25 zone is acting as a strong demand area and breakout support.
• Current price action around ₹421–₹425 suggests healthy consolidation after the breakout.
• ₹453.35 is the immediate resistance where price may witness initial profit booking.
• A breakout above ₹453.35 can push the stock toward ₹484.80 and eventually ₹517–₹518.
• The formation of higher highs and higher lows confirms strengthening bullish momentum.
• Sustained trading above ₹420 with healthy volume would further validate the bullish trend.
Notes
• This is a breakout continuation setup with a favorable risk-reward profile.
• The stop loss at ₹403.45 helps manage downside risk effectively.
• Traders may consider partial profit booking near ₹453.35 and trail the remaining position toward higher targets.
• Fresh buying is preferable on consolidation near the breakout zone or on a decisive close above recent highs.
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial or investment advice. Markets are volatile and conditions can change quickly. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades
Dabur India – Pullback Opportunity Before the Next Bullish MoveThe price has witnessed a sharp rejection after testing the ₹450–₹453 resistance zone and is currently trading around ₹436–₹437. Despite the recent pullback, the broader structure remains constructive as long as the stock holds above the key demand zone. A sustained move back above ₹452.80 could revive bullish momentum.
The key demand/support zone lies near ₹420.60 – ₹452.80, which could act as a strong base on pullbacks.
Trade Plan
Entry Zone:
₹435 – ₹445 (on consolidation or a bullish reversal near current levels)
Stop Loss:
₹420.60 (below key demand zone / invalidation level)
Primary Targets:
₹481.60 (near-term resistance level)
₹516.60 (major resistance level)
₹549.50 – ₹550.00 (extended target if momentum continues)
Chart Observations
• Price recently attempted a breakout but faced profit booking near the ₹450–₹453 resistance zone.
• The ₹420.60 – ₹452.80 zone is acting as a strong demand area and recent support.
• Current price action around ₹436 suggests a healthy pullback rather than a trend reversal.
• ₹481.60 is the immediate resistance where price may encounter initial selling pressure.
• A breakout above ₹481.60 can push the stock toward ₹516.60 and eventually ₹549.50–₹550.00.
• The broader trend remains positive, but buyers need to reclaim ₹452.80 to confirm bullish continuation.
Notes
• This is a pullback continuation setup within an emerging uptrend.
• The stop loss at ₹420.60 helps manage downside risk effectively.
• Traders may consider partial profit booking near ₹481.60 and trail the remaining position toward higher targets.
• A strong bullish candle with increased volume above ₹452.80 would significantly strengthen the bullish outlook.
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial or investment advice. Markets are volatile and conditions can change quickly. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades.
Westlife Foodworld – Bullish Breakout SetupThe price has shown a strong recovery from lower levels and is currently consolidating around the ₹502–₹509 zone after a bullish breakout. The stock is holding above its recent support, indicating accumulation by buyers. If the price sustains above the breakout area, it could pave the way for the next leg of the uptrend.
The key demand/support zone lies near ₹470 – ₹503, which can act as a strong base on pullbacks.
Trade Plan
Entry Zone:
₹500 – ₹510 (on consolidation or a sustained close above ₹510)
Stop Loss:
₹469.95 (below key demand zone / invalidation level)
Primary Targets:
₹581.00 (near-term resistance level)
₹662.54 (major resistance level)
₹741.25 (extended target if momentum continues)
Chart Observations
• Price has broken out from a consolidation range and is currently holding above the breakout level.
• The ₹470 – ₹503 zone is acting as a strong demand area and recent support.
• Current price action around ₹503–₹509 suggests healthy consolidation before the next move.
• ₹581.00 is the immediate resistance where price may witness initial profit booking.
• A breakout above ₹581.00 can push the stock toward ₹662.54 and eventually ₹741.25.
• The higher highs and higher lows indicate improving bullish momentum.
• Sustained buying interest near the breakout zone suggests institutional accumulation.
Notes
• This is a breakout continuation setup with an attractive risk-to-reward ratio.
• The stop loss at ₹469.95 helps manage downside risk effectively.
• Traders may consider partial profit booking near ₹581.00 and trail the remaining position toward higher targets.
• A decisive close above ₹510 with strong volume would further strengthen the bullish outlook.
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial or investment advice. Markets are volatile and conditions can change quickly. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades.
CE | The time to go long has come- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 48.94
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 45.22 (-7.60 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
Netflix is down 24% year-to-date. I see it differently.After the Q2 earnings release, NASDAQ:NFLX accelerated its decline. The stock is now down 24% since the start of 2026 and 42% over the past twelve months. Many are writing the company off. I think that‘s a mistake.
Let’s look at the numbers. Q2 revenue grew 13.4% year-over-year to $12.6 billion. Earnings per share rose 11% to $0.80. This is not a failure. The market punished the stock for its Q3 guidance of $12.9 billion, which implies 11.7% growth and came in below analyst expectations. One disappointing forecast, and the stock loses nearly a quarter of its value.
Now, why I see an opportunity here.
First, sports. Netflix explicitly acknowledged in its shareholder letter that the Winter Olympics and the FIFA World Cup hurt the business in the first half of the year because the company does not hold the rights to these events. Most investors see this as a risk. I see untapped potential. Netflix has already streamed NFL games and boxing matches. According to available reports, the company is preparing to bid for the broadcast rights to the 2030 and 2034 World Cups. When that happens, it will be a completely different business in terms of engagement and subscriptions.
Second, valuation. After the drop, Netflix is trading at forward P/E levels not seen in the last two years. The average forward P/E for the technology sector is 21.6. Netflix is now cheaper than that level. Every time the company has found itself in a similar situation, it has reversed and gone on to make new highs.
The market is selling Netflix over one weak forecast. History suggests that this is exactly the moment to look in the opposite direction from the crowd.
$GRAB — long-term buy, right in my zoneThis is a pattern I've seen play out over and over: a big washout, a long base, then price grinding back down into the area worth accumulating for the long haul. GRAB's there now — pulled straight back into my buy zone in the mid-3s.
And this time the business backs the chart up: GRAB just posted its first full-year profit after years of losses, sitting on a big net-cash pile. So it's a profitable, cash-rich company trading down at a level I actually want to own — not a hope-and-pray story.
I'm not trying to pick the exact bottom. Happy to buy here and add through the zone, thinking in years, not weeks.
There are much higher targets than this over time — this is a long-term hold. But the two levels I've marked overhead (roughly +85% and +160% from here) are where I'll be looking to take some profits along the way — judged by the price action when we get there, not fixed exits.
Long-term buy. Accumulating.






















