GOOGL Trading Plan Going ForwardNothing has materially changed in the structure except the AVWAP has shifted lower into the 340–345 area.
With a likely rate hike this week, I see no reason to trade based on data from the left side of the chart. From this point forward, I’d ditch the previous price action and focus strictly on the right side, especially how price reacts after the rate decision.
There’s no need to predict or gamble here. Let the market reveal itself first.
Right-Side Setup Only
I’ve always been a right-side trader, and uncertainty like this is exactly why. The best way to trade through an uncertain environment is to wait until momentum is confirmed, rather than trying to anticipate where the bottom will be.
Since my last GOOGL post, I’ve said I want to see at least one test of the overhead supply first. That remains unchanged.
My preferred setup:
Overhead supply gets tested at least once → preferably twice → selling pressure gets absorbed → enter only on a valid breakout with confirmed momentum.
I would not take a left-side entry regardless of how low the price dips before that setup develops.
Trading Plan
The plan is simple:
Wait for the rate decision → observe the reaction → let overhead supply get tested → look for confirmation → trade the breakout.
Until then, there is nothing I need to do.
No prediction. No bottom fishing. No left-side trade. Let price action confirm the opportunity first.
MSFT Volume Drying Up as Price TightensNASDAQ:MSFT ran from the 390s into the 510s before entering a consolidation phase. Price is now compressing within a flag while the 20-day MA remains above the 200-day MA, keeping the longer-term trend constructive.
Volume has been drying up during the consolidation, which often signals that a larger move may be approaching as buyers and sellers reach equilibrium. The key level I'm watching is 465 to 485. Holding above that zone would support the bullish structure, while a breakdown could open the door to a deeper pullback.
For now, I'm watching for a decisive break from the Flag pattern to confirm the next directional move.
AMD $800+ Price Target
AMD $800+ Price Target
The stock has gained 209% since March 9 (A), and is now consolidating within the upper 30% of that move (B).
Looking at the chart, we can see a Flag formation developing within an already established uptrend.
If the price breaks out strongly from this consolidation, it could potentially fly all the way toward the $800 level (C).
Of course, this would also require continued strength in the broader stock market indices.
NVDA Is Back at $220 — But Can It Break the Next Wall?The FOMC reaction created a sharp pullback in NVDA, but buyers stepped back in quickly. Now price is back around $220, and this is where I think the next move starts to become interesting.
📊 My setup
On the daily chart, NVDA is trading around $220.42 inside an upward channel.
The first level I’m watching is $222.08. A clean break and hold above that level would give me more confidence that buyers are ready to push the stock higher.
If that happens, my next area of interest is around $243, which lines up with the upper part of the channel.
I’m not interested in buying just because price is moving up. I want confirmation first.
⚠️ What would change my view?
The level I’m watching on the downside is $215.62. If NVDA loses that area and starts trading below the lower part of the channel, I’d step back and reassess the setup instead of forcing a trade.
The FOMC decision also reminds me why these levels matter. The Fed raised rates by 25bps to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, and the following session saw a broad tech-led rebound.
💡 Why I’d trade this on Bitget
For an event-driven setup like NVDA, I want flexibility. Bitget gives me access to NVDAUSDT stock perps 24/7, so I’m not limited to the traditional U.S. stock market hours. Bitget also supports both long and short positions, which gives me a way to trade either direction when the setup changes.
Another thing I like is having Stocks, CFDs and Crypto on the same platform instead of moving between different exchanges when the market changes. Bitget’s stock perps are USDT-margined, so I can manage the position from the same trading environment I already use for crypto.
Liquidity matters too, especially around major U.S. market events. The campaign’s comparison highlights Bitget’s U.S. stock perp liquidity against Binance, OKX, Bybit and Hyperliquid. For me, that matters because a good setup is only useful if I can execute it properly.
🎯 My plan
Above $222.08 → watch for continuation toward $243.
Below $215.62 → bullish setup needs to be reassessed.
For now, I’m waiting for price to show me which level it wants to break rather than predicting the move.
Not financial advice
NFLX: Completion of Massive Head-Shoulder, Target Zones!Hello Community,
welcome to my new analysis of NFLX on the weekly timeframe perspective. In this stock, I have detected crucial signs of completion of the massive bearish head-and-shoulders formation. Now I have identified all the factors that will be highly necessary to consider next.
When looking at my chart, we can see how NFLX formed the breakdown below the neckline of this gigantic head-and-shoulders formation. Now, it is confirming this breakdown, with the bearish continuation formation ready to form the next bearish wave towards the downside.
With the breakdown, NFLX has already activated the bearish target zones. With the current bearish momentum, it is highly likely that these targets will be reached in the upcoming times. Once the final targets have been reached, I am going to update on the bearish momentum and consider whether NFLX continues the bearish trend or not.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP
A New Trendline Break in AREA New Trendline Break in ARE
Since spring, every rally in NYSE:ARE stopped in the blue trendline. Now, price closed above it.
I care about days like this for one reason. A break day is not a normal day. In my tests, buying a stock on the day it breaks a falling trendline like this one gives about 3 times the return of buying the S&P 500 on any random day. Same 20 days, same rules.
That is why I built the indicator you see on this chart. It finds these lines by itself and marks the break. No drawing, no opinion.
The business
Alexandria owns and rents lab buildings to biotech and pharma companies. More money in life science research means more labs rented from Alexandria.
The analysts
Analysts do not see ARE as a long term buy right now. The stock trades close to what they call its fair value. So this is not a Buy and forget idea. It's a short term trade on strength, nothing more.
The chart
The fall from above $110 ended with a V shaped bottom near $40 in May. Since then, price has made higher lows and today it broke the last falling line. Right above sits the strongest resistance on the chart: the previous high, marked in red.
That is the level I watch next. Above it there is very little volume on the profile. When there are few sellers, price tends to move fast. The next resistance zone sits about 20% higher.
9/9/26 - $grab - grabbin' some here9/9/26 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:GRAB
grabbin' some here
- southeast asia's on-demand utility knife and scale dominant
- no robotaxi touches unit economics like it does in the US ... in grab's mkts
- grab is trading like uber/bkng in the "ai will eat aggregators" world. maybe in the US that's less of a smoothbrain thesis
- have to believe they'll execute. true of most things. but history does show their ability to get back up, crush. guidance good, trajectory solid
- uber selling their stake would raise my hairs.
- in order of "mobility" i'm trying to pressure test uber vs. bkng vs. grab. i like uber but think it requires the market to digest some data pts (robotaxi) first. bkng strong, valuation good, it's a buy here, but ... in terms of overall dominance, moat, unit economics and expanding margins... nevermind some orthogonal exposure outside the US... NASDAQ:GRAB looks good.
- started it here at 1.5% spot. $3 is a call option for life. will be doing more work, but dare i say the valuation is becoming pretty obvious here.
V
How to Use Quaterly Volatility in to potential trendChart Summury
Q1 Volatility = Previous Quarter Volatility
For APOLLOHOSP:
Q1 Volatility = 22.65%
This represents the volatility environment established during the previous quarter.
Q2 Volatility = 6.38%
Comparison:
Q1 = 22.65%
Q2 = 6.38% (Quarterly Volatility Compression (QVC))
A large reduction in volatility indicates that price is contracting into a narrower range.The compression itself is direction-neutral.It does not mean price must break upward or downward.
Compression → Potential Expansion → Direction confirmed by breakout/breakdown
For APOLLOHOSP:
6.38% current Q2 volatility vs. 5.25% consecutive average Monthly volatility
The difference is relatively small, supporting the interpretation that Q2 has remained compressed.
QVP = 8754.50 This is the primary directional decision level. Price action around this level determines the immediate bias.
Above QVP: Potential path: 8754.50 → 9030
Below QVP: Potential path: 8754.50 → 8587
6. Quarterly Channel
Quarterly Compression Channel (QCC)
Q2 High = 9030
Q2 Low = 8587
Therefore:
8587 ───── 8754.50 ───── 9030
Support ─── Pivot ─── Resistance
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Simplified Formula
The entire methodology can be summarized as:
Previous Quarter Volatility
↓
Current Quarter Volatility Comparison
↓
Identify Compression
↓
Calculate Quarterly Pivot
↓
Define Current Quarter High/Low
↓
Wait for Daily-Close Confirmation
↓
Breakout / Breakdown
↓
Apply Expansion Target Ladder
↓
Compare With Previous-Quarter Expansion Range
Disclaimer: aliceblueonline.com
IDFCFIRSTB Shows A SwingMonthly Supertrend Flip & Breakout: After consolidated price action around the ~58.50–65.31 zone, the stock established a strong bottom and flipped the Monthly Supertrend (annotated on the chart at 65.31). The price has since rallied toward resistance near 87.00.
Momentum Oscillator: The Williams %R (26) sits at -6.93, deep in strong bullish territory above -20. The chart explicitly highlights standard potential for both Monthly and Weekly momentum alignment.
Key Levels Annotated:
Current Price: 86.38
Buy Level: Above 87.00
Stop Loss Level: 85.64 (Tight risk boundary below recent weekly consolidated low)
Target 1: 91.88
Target 2: 95.98 (Midpoint between T1 and T3)
Target 3: 100.08
Trigger Confirmation: Entry requires a decisive move above 87.00 to confirm continuation toward 100.00+.
Risk Management: The stop-loss at 85.64 offers tight risk protection (less than 1.5 points risk) relative to the upside targets.
Disclaimer: aliceblueonline.com
Could Alphabet Start Moving Again?Alphabet has drifted for months, but some traders may think it’s ready to start moving again.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the long pullback since mid-May, which has seen the Internet giant bounce twice at its rising 200-day simple moving average (SMA). That may confirm a longer-term uptrend is in place.
Second, GOOGL is pushing above its 50-day SMA. That could suggest the intermediate-term trend is getting bullish again.
Third, MACD is rising and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed above the 21-day EMA. That may indicate its short-term trend is also turning positive.
Next, Bollinger Band Width has narrowed as prices converge. Could that narrowing price action give way to expansion?
Finally, GOOGL is an active underlier in the options market. (Its average daily volume of 367,500 contracts ranks 11th in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. Learn more here about TradingView’s Broker of the Year!
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Chart Structure & Price Action JINDALSTELTrend Flip & Re-Test: Following a multi-month decline from the top (~1,300–1,400 zone) down toward the low near 980–1,020, the price bounced back to reclaim the Supertrend indicator (green shaded support area at 1,049.0). The price action shows a breakout above initial resistance followed by a downward pull to re-test the trend line before attempting a higher-high move.
Momentum Oscillator: The lower pane shows Williams %R (26) breaking above its lower downtrend line with an annotated "Early-stage bullish momentum" signal sitting near -60.18, suggesting that oversold conditions have cleared and bullish momentum is recovering.
Key Levels Annotated:
Current Price: ~1,126.0
Buy Level: Above 1,153.2 – 1,164.5
Stop Loss: 1,118.0 (Conservative) / 1,084.1 / 1,049.0 (Weekly low / Supertrend level)
Target 1: 1,164.5 / 1,196.4
Target 2: 1,196.4
Target 3: 1,244.1
Confirmation Needed: Entry is contingent on price sustaining above the 1,153.2–1,164.5 region to confirm that the trend re-test holds.
Risk Management: A breach below 1,084.1 invalids the bullish swing bias, sending price back into the Supertrend support zone at 1,049.0.
Disclaimer: aliceblueonline.com
Chart Structure & Price Action JINDALSTELTrend Flip & Re-Test: Following a multi-month decline from the top (~1,300–1,400 zone) down toward the low near 980–1,020, the price bounced back to reclaim the Supertrend indicator (green shaded support area at 1,049.0). The price action shows a breakout above initial resistance followed by a downward pull to re-test the trend line before attempting a higher-high move.
Momentum Oscillator: The lower pane shows Williams %R (26) breaking above its lower downtrend line with an annotated "Early-stage bullish momentum" signal sitting near -60.18, suggesting that oversold conditions have cleared and bullish momentum is recovering.
Key Levels Annotated:
Current Price: ~1,126.0
Buy Level: Above 1,153.2 – 1,164.5
Stop Loss: 1,118.0 (Conservative) / 1,084.1 / 1,049.0 (Weekly low / Supertrend level)
Target 1: 1,164.5 / 1,196.4
Target 2: 1,196.4
Target 3: 1,244.1
Confirmation Needed: Entry is contingent on price sustaining above the 1,153.2–1,164.5 region to confirm that the trend re-test holds.
Risk Management: A breach below 1,084.1 invalids the bullish swing bias, sending price back into the Supertrend support zone at 1,049.0.
Disclaimer: aliceblueonline.com
AUGO — Cup & HandleThe Setup:
Aura Minerals ( NASDAQ:AUGO ) is a gold & copper miner — leveraged to the two strongest metals right now. The chart is shaping a cup and handle , a classic continuation base that triggers on the handle breakout.
Reasoning:
Cup & Handle (Continuation base)
Handle Breakout = Trigger
Gold + Copper Tailwind (Exposure to both leaders)
CGAU — All-Time Highs, 20-Day MA RetestThe Setup:
Centerra Gold ( NYSE:CGAU ) is a gold miner benefiting from gold at records. It's at all-time highs and now testing the 20-Day MA after breaking out — a healthy, buyable retest of a fresh breakout.
Reasoning:
All-Time Highs (No overhead supply)
20-Day MA Retest After Breakout (Healthy pullback entry)
Gold Tailwind (Gold at record highs)
MU — 10-Week Base, 50MA Pullback, VCPThe Setup:
Micron ( NASDAQ:MU ) is a leading memory-chip maker (DRAM/NAND) and a core AI-memory beneficiary — one of the strongest names on the board. It has a 10-week base good for a swing, with the daily showing a pullback to the 50-Day MA and coiling VCP action — a great time to add. Earnings are accelerating sharply.
Reasoning:
10-Week Base (Swing-length structure)
50-Day MA Pullback (Add zone)
Coiling VCP (Volatility contraction before a move)
Accelerating Earnings (+176%, +762%, +1,380%)
AI-Memory Leadership (Core sector strength)
SNDK — 10-Week Base, 50MA Pullback, VCPThe Setup:
Sandisk ( NASDAQ:SNDK ) is a flash-memory / storage maker (spun out of Western Digital) and one of the strongest names on the market right now. It has a 10-week base — good for a swing — and the daily is showing a pullback to the 50-Day MA with coiling VCP action, a great spot to add. Earnings are accelerating hard.
Reasoning:
10-Week Base (Swing-length structure)
50-Day MA Pullback (Add zone)
Coiling VCP (Volatility contraction before a move)
Accelerating Earnings (+661%, +283%, +29,915%)
Relative Strength (One of the market's strongest names)
JSW Infra: Fundamentals Meet a Breakout SetupJSW Infrastructure continues to build a strong long-term growth profile through expansion of its port, cargo-handling and logistics operations. The company has also been strengthening its balance sheet to support its expansion plans, while institutional participation has increased significantly.
Fundamental Analysis
JSW Infrastructure operates in an asset-intensive industry with high entry barriers, and its financial profile reflects the benefits of scale. The company currently maintains an operating profit margin of around 48% and a net profit margin of approximately 27%. ROE stands around 14%, while ROCE is approximately 12.7%, indicating that the business continues to generate reasonable returns on the capital employed.
The long-term growth record is notable. The company's five-year net profit growth is above 400%, while operating cash flow has also increased substantially over the same period. Revenue growth remains healthy, supported by increasing cargo volumes and capacity expansion.
The latest operating numbers remain constructive. Q1 FY27 cargo volume increased to approximately 31 MT from 29.4 MT YoY, while revenue from operations increased to around ₹1,208 crore from ₹1,086 crore in the corresponding period. Operating EBITDA increased to approximately ₹601 crore, although the EBITDA margin moderated to around 49.8%.
The recent earnings picture is therefore mixed: operational growth remains intact, but PAT growth has temporarily lagged revenue and operating-profit growth.
Balance Sheet
JSW Infrastructure's leverage remains manageable. Total debt-to-equity is around 0.59x, while long-term debt-to-equity is approximately 0.55x. Interest coverage is around 7.7x, providing a reasonable cushion against interest costs.
The company's FY26 net debt-to-equity was approximately 0.27x, while net debt to operating EBITDA was around 1.19x. These levels indicate that the company has taken on additional debt for expansion, but leverage remains within a manageable range.
The company also raised approximately ₹6,555 crore through a QIP in June 2026, providing additional capital for future expansion.
Institutional Holding
One of the most notable developments in the fundamental story is the sharp increase in institutional ownership.
Institutional holding increased from approximately 9.4% in March 2026 to 20.4% in June 2026.
Within this:
FII holding: 6.9% → 11.2%
Mutual Fund holding: 2.1% → 8.7%
DII holding: approximately 2.5% → 9.2%
This represents a substantial increase in institutional participation.
Promoter holding declined from approximately 83.6% to 73.9% during the same period. However, this change needs to be viewed alongside the June 2026 QIP and the resulting increase in the company's equity base rather than being interpreted simply as promoter selling.
Valuation
The major fundamental consideration is valuation.
JSW Infrastructure trades at approximately 51x trailing earnings, around 6.7x book value, with EV/EBITDA in the high-teens. These ratios indicate that the market is assigning a significant premium to the company's future growth prospects.
Therefore, the fundamental equation is clear:
Strong business growth + improving institutional participation + manageable leverage
versus
Premium valuation + recent moderation in PAT growth.
For the valuation to remain supported over the longer term, continued revenue growth, improving earnings, disciplined capital allocation and healthy returns on incremental capital will be important
Technical Analysis
The long-term daily chart presents an interesting Cup & Handle formation.
The stock recovered from the ₹220–₹250 region and gradually moved back toward the ₹350–₹360 area, forming the cup. The subsequent consolidation around the ₹310–₹360 region represents the handle portion of the pattern.
The stock closed around ₹348.25 on September 18, 2026, after trading as high as approximately ₹356.25, with volume of around 25.41 million shares.
The price is therefore approaching an important long-term resistance zone.
Key Technical Levels
The chart identifies ₹350–₹367 as the major yearly resistance region.
Resistance
₹367 — Major breakout level
A sustained daily close above ₹367 would represent a breakout from the major resistance zone and would provide technical confirmation of the Cup & Handle structure.
The next chart-based resistance levels are:
₹396 → ₹420 → ₹465
These represent the successive upside levels marked on the chart.
Support / Reversal Zone
The ₹310–₹330 region is the key reversal and support zone.
This area becomes important because it represents the lower boundary of the recent handle/consolidation structure.
A sustained breakdown below this zone would weaken the present Cup & Handle setup and indicate that the breakout structure requires reassessment.
Cup & Handle Structure
The technical structure can therefore be visualised as:
₹310–₹330 → Reversal / Support Zone
₹350–₹367 → Major Resistance / Breakout Zone
₹367 → Breakout Confirmation
₹396 → First Major Resistance
₹420 → Next Resistance
₹465 → Higher Resistance
The most important technical confirmation would come from a sustained close above ₹367 accompanied by strong volume and improving momentum indicators.
Conclusion
JSW Infrastructure presents an interesting techno-fundamental setup. Fundamentally, the company has strong operating margins, substantial long-term earnings growth, manageable leverage and a significant increase in institutional participation. The QIP has also strengthened the capital base for future expansion.
At the same time, the valuation remains demanding, while recent PAT growth has moderated. Therefore, future earnings growth will be important in validating the current valuation.
Technically, the stock has developed a large Cup & Handle structure and is approaching the crucial ₹350–₹367 yearly resistance zone. Momentum indicators such as RSI, MACD and ADX should be monitored alongside volume for confirmation.
The key technical trigger remains ₹367. A sustained breakout above this level would place ₹396, ₹420 and ₹465 as the next chart-based resistance levels, while ₹310–₹330 remains the major structural support/reversal zone.
Disclaimer: aliceblueonline.com






















