Tips for Setting Up a Dedicated Short-Selling Strategy (Part 2)As mentioned in the previous article, one method to find short-selling signals is to refer to Market Depth and Order Flow.
First, Market Depth refers to the changes in order price and volume for Bid 1โ5 (buy orders) and Ask 1โ5 (sell orders).
Ask 1 โ Ask 5 (Ask 1 to Ask 5): Represents the five lowest prices in the market where sellers are waiting for orders to be executed, arranged from lowest to highest. Ask 1 is currently the cheapest selling price.
Bid 1 โ Bid 5 (Buy 1 to Buy 5): Represent
ETF market
Optimistic October?October has reasons to be optimistic. Whether that optimism can survive another round of inflation data, elevated Treasury yields, and a demanding earnings season is the question. My highest-weighted scenario remains Yellow: an early recovery that encounters renewed pressure, followed by an opportunity to rebuild before the month ends. A positive October close is possible, but the path there could be uncomfortable.
September reinforced why I map several outcomes. The market can reach an anticip
$SPY & $SPX โ Levels for Thursday, October 1, 2026๐ฎ AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX โ Levels for Thursday, October 1, 2026
๐ Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:30 AM | Unemployment Claims | Forecast: 201K | Previous: 197K
10:00 AM | ISM Manufacturing PMI | Forecast: 54.8 | Previous: 54.6
10:00 AM | Fed Speaker: FOMC Member Waller Speaks
โ ๏ธ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
๐ #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
TLT Long Bollinger Band oversold in both weekly and daily charts
Entry 77.7
no Stop
Target 82, 87
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader. About 25% of my trades had been stopped quickly.
I do not know where is the bottom. Before see a valid turning point, hold on selling PUT.
Below 80, when TLT drops each $0.5, I would make one more long entry with cost under $200. if try 10 times, total risk under $2000.
BuyToOpen 2027-5-21 Call B
Price Action for week of 9/28/26Last week we closed into the gap between 772.31 โ 770.27.
Iโm looking for SPY to break the lower end of that gap early in the week โ ideally by Wednesday.
The goal is a move down toward 766 for one final dip before turning higher. A breakout above 772 mid-to-late week would serve as confirmation.
I expect us to finish the week above 773. A move through 774 at any point before Friday would add strong momentum heading into the next monthly candle.
Moo
$IWF: A Darvas Box Setup?Fund Overview
IWF is an ETF that tracks the Russell 1000 Growth Index. Its ten largest holdings are:
โข NASDAQ:NVDA
โข NASDAQ:AAPL
โข NASDAQ:GOOGL
โข NASDAQ:MSFT
โข NASDAQ:AVGO
โข NASDAQ:META
โข NASDAQ:MU
โข NASDAQ:TSLA
โข NASDAQ:AMD
โข NYSE:LLY
Technical Setup
The ETF has been consolidating since April. Given the strength of its largest holdings, I expect a breakout to the upside soon.
Entry Plan
I have set an alert for a breakout above the consolidation range. If it triggers, I
Q3 closes narrow: semis +11% while 11 of 15 sectors fellOver the last 20 sessions, only 4 of the 15 sector and theme ETFs I track are up: SMH (+11.3%), XLK, MAGS and XLC. Utilities (-6.7%), real estate and materials led the downside.
Cyclicals beat defensives by almost 5 points, so the tape reads risk-on. But it is carried by a handful of names, and small caps (IWM) closed below their line this week.
The catch: SMH, the leader of the month, is still below its Q3 pivot at 634.35 (the line on the chart). Pivots reset tomorrow with Q4. What I watch: w
Research 30.09.2026๐ Markets:
AMEX:SPY +0.26 +0.03%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ -1.16 -0.16%(pre/m)
๐ Economic News:
Stock futures mixed as Treasury yields hold near multidecade highs ahead of PCE inflation data
08:15 USA โ ADP Employment Change
08:30 USA โ Core PCE Price Index
08:30 USA โ PCE Price Index
08:30 USA โ GDP Growth Rate (Q2 Final)
08:30 USA โ Personal Income and Spending
09:45 USA โ Chicago PMI
10:30 USA โ EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
13:30 USA โ Fed Barkin Speech
17:10 USA โ Fed Goolsbee
SPY - 765.52 Is The Level To ReclaimSPY Is Neutral After The Long Closed - 765.52 Is The Level To Reclaim.
SPY is at 764.55 in premarket, just under the 765.52 reclaim level after closing Tuesday at 764.29, which ended the long taken September 23. The read is Neutral with no directional trigger in place. The hourly structure has turned bullish while the 4H stays bearish, and PCE and GDP land at 8:30 before the open. Neutral.
Resistance: 765.52 - the reclaim level
Key resistance: 770.09 - the shelf lost last week
Current price: 7
DRAM: Accumulation Before the Next MoveDRAM is trading around 61.29 after a strong recovery from the 45.57โ52.92 support area. On the daily chart, price spent several weeks building an accumulation range between roughly 53 and 66, and the recent move back above 59.80 keeps the bullish structure active.
The first major resistance is 66.14, followed by 70.93. A confirmed breakout above 70.93 would open the way toward 78.85โ82.07, with the larger Fibonacci targets at 99.43, 118.10 and 129.23. On the downside, 59.80 is the first level t
SPY: End of Major Wave 3Many on TV believe we are still in the final stages of a wave 5 advance, but I believe we have already hit it. Upon further review of the fib levels beginning at the low of Oct 2023 (start of Wave 3), it appears to me that the 5 waves of Major Wave 3 have been completed and Major wave 4 is already underway. If I am correct, major Wave 4 will retrace the SPY back to the March 2026 low to a specific target of 638 in a ABC wave retracement with the first target being 692. Expecting volatility to pi
$SPY & $SPX โ Levels for Wednesday, September 30, 2026๐ฎ AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX โ Levels for Wednesday, September 30, 2026
๐ Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:15 AM | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | Forecast: 73K | Previous: 38K
8:30 AM | Core PCE Price Index m/m | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.2%
8:30 AM | Final GDP q/q | Forecast: 1.5% | Previous: 1.5%
8:30 AM | Final GDP Price Index q/q | Forecast: 6.4% | Previous: 6.4%
โ ๏ธ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
๐ #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
ADX is rising. But which way is the trend?What if an indicator says a trend is strengthening, but not which way it points?
Welcome back to @Investrade Chart Basics: one chart, one concept, one thing to try.
The Directional Movement Index, or DMI, puts three lines in one pane. +DI and -DI compare upward and downward directional movement. ADX measures the strength of the trend, regardless of whether the trend is up or down.
That distinction matters. A rising ADX line is not automatically a bullish reading. To understand the full pictur
SPY 15m โ Long setup at 765.50-766.00 demandSetup
-----
SPY broke local resistance off the 764.50 low and left a fresh bullish order
block at 765.50โ766.00, which also lines up with the OTE pullback of the leg
up. Plan is a pullback entry with confirmation โ not a mid-range chase.
Levels
------
Entry: 765.50 โ 766.00 (mid ~765.75)
SL: 764.20 (~1.55 pts risk)
TP1: 768.50 (~1.8R โ take partials)
TP2: 771.00 (~3.4R)
Trigger
-------
Price must rotate into 765.50โ766.00 and print a 1m/3m bullish ChoC
TLT LongBollinger Band oversold in both weekly and daily charts
Entry 78
no Stop
Target 84, 87
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader. About 25% of my trades had been stopped quickly.
BuyToOpen 2027-3-19 Call Butterfly C80/87/91, 1.34 (C80 Delta= 0.48)
no Stop in this Option plan, max risk is 1.34
Research 29.09.2026๐ Markets:
AMEX:SPY +1.20 +0.16%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ +2.77 +0.38%(pre/m)
๐ Economic News:
Stock futures rise as Treasury yields and oil prices ease
09:00 USA โ S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index
10:00 USA โ CB Consumer Confidence
10:00 USA โ JOLTs Job Openings
13:00 USA โ Fed Goolsbee Speech
13:30 USA โ Fed Musalem Speech
14:00 USA โ Fed Williams Speech
๐ Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NYSE:KMX , AMEX:UEC , NYSE:AIR , NASDAQ:IOVA
Other news:
NASDAQ:SMMT
SPY Is Holding Above 764.76 On Day Five Of The Long.SPY Is Holding Above 764.76 On Day Five Of The Long.
SPY is at 767.00 in premarket after closing Monday at 765.50, 0.74 above the 764.76 line that ends the long. The 4H structure has turned bearish, while both timeframes show a long thesis built on conviction running against that structure - a recovery attempt, not strength. JOLTS lands at 10:00; the regular-session close is still the only test. The long stands on its original terms and is not added to. Long.
Resistance: 770.09 - the shelf los
Growth vs. Value: Can Growth Break Through This Time?The VUG/VTV ratio is back near the descending trendline on this daily chart, and this is where things get interesting.
The previous two marked peaks were followed by declines in the ratio. After its recent rebound, growth is once again challenging that line. Iโm watching whether this move can develop into a sustained shift in relative strength.
For anyone unfamiliar with this chart, VUG/VTV compares Vanguardโs growth ETF with its value ETF. A rising ratio means growth is outperforming value; a
SLV - (c) leg remains active...Not gonna catch the falling knife while downward momentum in (c) leg remains active. Best to wait for liquidity sweeps toward the Daily Gaps.
(a) = (c) equality could stretch this out to at least till the 8th of October. This setup is only valid if price remains above $51.12 on a Daily Close basis.
Plenty of room to the upside. Let's re-visit this soon.
$SPY & $SPX โ Levels for Tuesday, September 29, 2026๐ฎ AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX โ Levels for Tuesday, September 29, 2026
๐ Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
10:00 AM | CB Consumer Confidence | Forecast: 89.2 | Previous: 89.4
10:00 AM | JOLTS Job Openings | Forecast: 7.23M | Previous: 7.27M
โ ๏ธ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
๐ #ConsumerConfidence #JOLTS























