Markets research 07.05.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY +1.42 +0.19%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ +0.52 +0.07%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
08:30 USA – Jobless Claims
08:30 USA – Nonfarm Productivity
08:30 USA – Unit Labour Costs
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NYSE:AGL NASDAQ:FLNC NASDAQ:AAON NASDAQ:DDOG NASDAQ:DASH NASDAQ:HIMX NASDAQ:SEZL NASDAQ:FTNT NASDAQ:KLIC NASDAQ:MTSI NYSE:HWM NYSE:EXK EURONEXT:ORA NYSE:VST $U NYSE:TPR NYSE:MCD NASDAQ:APP NASDAQ:AXON NASDAQ:KTOS NASDAQ:XMTR NYSE:FOUR NYSE:TREX NASDAQ:LFST AMEX:FAN
Other news:
NYSE:SNOW in symphaty to NASDAQ:DDOG earnings
The $16 billion NYSE:ORCL data center for OpenAI construction began
NYSE:NOW and Accenture have launched a forward deployed engineering programme aimed at enabling enterprises to bring agentic AI out of pilot phases and into broad production environments.
Musk's company, SpaceX, has filed plans to invest $55 billion in building a semiconductor manufacturing facility, dubbed Terafab, which NASDAQ:TSLA and SpaceX will jointly operate.
NASDAQ:PLTR Is Maintained at Buy by Citigroup / Price Target Raised to $225.00/Share From $210.00
-- PLTR Raised to Buy From Hold by Argus Research / Price Target Announced at $190.00/Share
📉 Gap Downs
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:TRDA NASDAQ:FSLY NASDAQ:VITL NYSE:WHR NYSE:SHAK NYSE:PLNT NYSE:ZTS NYSE:TPC NASDAQ:SRPT NYSE:GPGI NYSE:SNAP NASDAQ:ARM NASDAQ:INSM NYSE:FNF NYSE:IONQ NYSE:AMPX NASDAQ:ALGM NASDAQ:AUR NASDAQ:SYM NYSE:TS NYSE:COHR NASDAQ:ACMR NYSE:SHEL NYSE:EPAM
Other news:
NASDAQ:AAOI NASDAQ:LITE in symphaty to NYSE:COHR earnings
NASDAQ:ENGN Announces Updated Interim Results From LEGEND Pivotal Cohort / phase 2
NASDAQ:TRDA Announces Positive Topline Results from Cohort 1 of Participants with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy Treated with ENTR-601-44 in Phase 1/2 ELEVATE-44-201 Study
‼️ Additional
Corporate America is reporting very strong results for Q1 2026. Analysts are raising their earnings forecasts for 2026–2027 — Goldman.
-- The “Magnificent Seven” are once again reporting much stronger results than the rest of the market. Companies in this group are projected to grow earnings by 32% this year, more than twice the 15% average expected for the rest of the S&P 500 — JPMorgan.
The put-call ratio in US equity options has fallen again to a historically low level, meaning bullish sentiment in stocks is now the strongest it has been in the past 15 years.
Trump suspended the “Project Freedom” mission after a key US ally in the Persian Gulf — Saudi Arabia — banned US forces from using its bases and airspace for the operation — NBC News.
The EU is considering restrictions on the use of US cloud platforms in the public sector over national security concerns — CNBC.
🏢 IPO
NYSE:HAWK – HawkEye 360, Inc.
Company operates a satellite-based signal intelligence platform for the U.S. government, intelligence agencies and allied countries. It tracks and analyzes radio frequency signals from space, helping customers monitor military, maritime and other strategic activity. With 30+ satellites in orbit and proprietary signal-processing algorithms, the company sits at the intersection of defense, satellites and AI analytics.
Price: $26.00
Shares: 16.0M
Raised: $416.0M
LTM:
Revenue: $117.7M
Net Income: $2.7M
Comparable public companies: NYSE:PL , NYSE:BKSY , NYSE:SPIR , NASDAQ:RKLB , NYSE:LMT
NASDAQ:SUJA – Suja Life, Inc.
Company sells better-for-you beverages through three brands: Suja Organic, Vive Organic and Slice. Product portfolio includes cold-pressed juices, wellness shots and functional sodas. Core thesis is the consumer shift toward healthier drinks, with distribution in 37,000+ stores and a vertically integrated 270,000 sq. ft. production facility.
Price: $21.00
Shares: 8.9M
Raised: $186.7M total / $182.5M to company
LTM:
Revenue: $326.6M
Net Income: -$23.3M
Comparable public companies: NASDAQ:CELH , NASDAQ:MNST , NYSE:KO , NASDAQ:PEP , NASDAQ:FIZZ
📋 List of tickers involved:
AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ NYSE:AGL NASDAQ:FLNC NASDAQ:AAON NASDAQ:DDOG NASDAQ:DASH NASDAQ:HIMX NASDAQ:SEZL NASDAQ:FTNT NASDAQ:KLIC NASDAQ:MTSI NYSE:HWM NYSE:EXK EURONEXT:ORA NYSE:VST $U NYSE:TPR NYSE:MCD NASDAQ:APP NASDAQ:AXON NASDAQ:KTOS NASDAQ:XMTR NYSE:FOUR NYSE:TREX NASDAQ:LFST AMEX:FAN NYSE:SNOW NYSE:ORCL NYSE:NOW NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:PLTR NASDAQ:TRDA NASDAQ:FSLY NASDAQ:VITL NYSE:WHR NYSE:SHAK NYSE:PLNT NYSE:ZTS NYSE:TPC NASDAQ:SRPT NYSE:GPGI NYSE:SNAP NASDAQ:ARM NASDAQ:INSM NYSE:FNF NYSE:IONQ NYSE:AMPX NASDAQ:ALGM NASDAQ:AUR NASDAQ:SYM NYSE:TS NYSE:COHR NASDAQ:ACMR NYSE:SHEL NYSE:EPAM NASDAQ:AAOI NASDAQ:LITE NASDAQ:ENGN NYSE:HAWK NYSE:PL NYSE:BKSY NYSE:SPIR NASDAQ:RKLB NYSE:LMT NASDAQ:SUJA NASDAQ:CELH NASDAQ:MNST NYSE:KO NASDAQ:PEP NASDAQ:FIZZ
Best regards – hi2morrow team.
ETF market
Chart Pattern Analysis Of TQQQ
K4 and K5 is a strong bullish engulfing pattern,
It obviously close upon K1 and K2.
So, a potential bear run from K2 had been reversed here.
It verified a valid support line.
I was expecting a bear run started from K2,
But actually, I was wrong.
So, I bought it at K8.
I am expecting a 5-6 months Motive Wave from K6.
Perhaps this is a final bull wave.
Is Gold waking up again?Again, indicators are starting to show bullish signals on gold.
Nothing confirmed yet, but signals are there so I’ll try to front-run the gold comeback.
Note: if I don’t see confirmation will close the trade around $125.
Remember I can’t show my indicators since they are private and TradingView won’t let me publish the trade idea with them on chart.
Cheers
Price Action Trading: Beyond the Pattern🔥 Price Action Trading: Beyond the Pattern 🔥
Many traders focus on individual candlestick patterns as if they contain predictive power on their own.
In isolation, they do not.
A pattern is only meaningful when viewed within the surrounding market structure. Context determines whether a signal is valid.
📌 THE ILLUSION OF PATTERN PRECISION
Candlestick recognition is often seen as the core of price action trading. Pin bars, engulfing candlesticks, and reversal patterns are studied extensively, yet performance are doomed to be inconsistent, especially when applied mechanically.
The issue is not the pattern itself, but the assumption that the price pattern is everything. A pattern without context is meaningless on a chart.
Real consistency comes from understanding:
Where the pattern forms
What market condition is present
Whether the market structure supports continuation or reversal
A setup is only a trigger and not a complete strategy.
🧭 MARKET BIAS IS THE REAL EDGE
The dominant driver of performance is market bias. All traders must admit the existence of market bias. Without a bias, all movements are random and in that case, there is no reason to trade for profit.
It refers to the underlying directional pressure of the market, defined by structure, momentum, and higher time frame flow.
When bias is correct, even simple setups can perform well. When bias is incorrect, even high-quality patterns fail.
Example observation:
A basic two-bar reversal ( here referring to any bearish candlestick followed immediately by a bullish one, entry order assumed to be a buy stop above the bullish candlestick ) during a pullback performs effectively when aligned with a bullish environment, despite lacking additional filters.
The conclusion is consistent:
Performance is driven more by market bias than by pattern quality.
Key principle:
Correct bias increases probability of success across all setups
Incorrect bias degrades even the strongest price patterns
⚙️ SETUPS AS RISK DEFINITIONS, NOT ENTRY TRIGGERS
Setups are often misunderstood as predictive tools.
In professional application, they serve to define risk by structure .
A setup provides:
A clear invalidation point
A structured entry framework
A predefined risk amount
Without a setup, there is no objective reference for stop placement.
Let's continue with the same chart example shown above. For a bullish two-bar reversal, the lowest point of the pattern defines the level of invalidation. If price breaches that level, our original trading thesis is no longer valid.
Change your perspective and see price patterns as risk control mechanisms, not mere entry signals.
This transforms our trading approach from reckless prediction into controlled risk exposure.
📊 BUILDING MARKET BIAS THROUGH STRUCTURE
Bias is not assumed. It is constructed from multiple layers of information.
A sound framework typically includes:
Market structure — swing highs and lows defining direction
Trend analysis — slope and persistence of movement
Support and resistance — zones of prior reaction
Volume behavior — confirmation of participation and rejection
Higher time frame alignment — dominant directional context
Each component reinforces or challenges the others. The key is when multiple tools align, because that is when bias becomes reliable.
🔍 THE LOGIC OF MEASURED MOVES
Another often neglected aspect is that exit strategy is as important as entry logic.
In trending environments where historical S/R levels are lacking, projected targets become necessary.
Measured moves provide a structured method for forecasting continuation. On a basic level, they are typically derived from a prior impulse leg and projected using a 100% extension framework. This excellent tutorial explains this concept in-depth:
Trade dynamics involve a clear trade-off:
Historical levels offer higher probability but limited extension
Measured moves offer extended targets but require holding through volatility
Neither is superior. Each applies under different conditions.
The key requirement is consistency in execution once selected.
🧠 STRATEGIES ARE PERSONAL SYSTEMS
No strategy is universally optimal. Performance depends on alignment between method and trader behavior.
A system that works mechanically may still fail if it conflicts with a trader's psychological tolerance.
Core considerations include:
Decision speed required by the method
Tolerance for drawdowns
Comfort with win-rate variability
Ability to follow rules under pressure
A strategy is only viable if it can be executed consistently during adverse conditions, not just favorable ones. This is because trading edge exists narrowly at the intersection of system and behavior.
📉 COMMON FAILURE POINT: CONTEXT MISALIGNMENT
Many losses attributed to “bad setups” are actually the result of context mismatch.
For example, a valid pattern traded against higher time frame structure often underperforms regardless of its formation quality.
Key diagnostic questions:
Was the trade aligned with dominant bias?
Was the setup located within supportive structure?
Was volatility regime compatible with the approach?
Most failures occur when setup logic is incompatible with the contextual logic.
📈 A REPEATABLE PRICE ACTION FRAMEWORK
A systematic approach reduces ambiguity:
Define market bias first (using your preferred method)
Identify key structural zones (support and resistance)
Wait for setup formation within aligned context
Confirm invalidation level before entry (i.e. the price pattern)
Define target using structure or measured move logic
Execute without deviation from plan
This process ensures that execution follows a planned approach rather than impulse.
📌 FINAL TAKEAWAY
The key lesson is simple. Candlestick patterns do not generate edge in isolation. Edge emerges from context, structure, and disciplined execution.
Core principles:
Bias determines whether setups have validity
Setups define risk, not prediction
Structure is more important than formation quality
Measured moves provide objective exit logic
Consistency requires alignment between strategy and trader behavior
The shift from pattern recognition to contextual analysis is foundational.
Before focusing on the price pattern, evaluate the environment it appears in.
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Nearing Wave 5 Completion from March 2026The Elliott Wave outlook for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) suggests that the cycle from the March 31, 2026 low is close to completion as a five-wave impulse. From that low, wave 1 ended at 658.52, followed by a corrective decline in wave 2 that reached 644.16. The ETF then advanced in wave 3, topping at 712.39, before retracing in wave 4, which concluded at 702.28. This sequence is clearly shown in the one-hour chart.
At present, the ETF is extending higher in wave 5, the final leg of the cycle. The internal subdivision of wave 5 is unfolding as another impulse of lesser degree. From the end of wave 4, wave ((i)) finished at 716.48, while the pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 707.84. The ETF then advanced into wave ((iii)), which remains in progress. A few more highs are expected before waves ((iii)), ((iv)), and ((v)) conclude. This will complete wave 5 and finalize the broader cycle from the March 2026 low.
After this impulse ends, the ETF should enter a larger degree correction against the cycle before resuming its upward trend. In the near term, as long as price action stays above 673.98, the ETF retains scope to extend modestly higher to complete the cycle.
Markets Research 06.05.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY +5.56 +0.77%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ +8.62 +1.26%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
PAKISTANI SOURCE CONFIRMS US, IRAN CLOSING IN ON ONE-PAGE MEMO TO END WAR
08:15 USA – ADP Employment Change
10:30 USA – EIA Crude Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:HUT NYSE:UBER NYSE:DIS NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:ALAB NYSE:COMP NASDAQ:FLEX NASDAQ:VECO NASDAQ:SMCI NYSE:GEO NYSE:OSCR NYSE:HL NYSE:UBER NYSE:PAAS NYSE:HNGE NYSE:NVO NASDAQ:ALAB NASDAQ:FRPT NASDAQ:LIVN NYSE:CVS NYSE:OC NYSE:LEU NYSE:PHG NYSE:ONTO NASDAQ:LITE NYSE:KMT NASDAQ:ADPT NASDAQ:VCYT NASDAQ:MAR
Other news:
NYSE:GLW and NASDAQ:NVDA Announce Long-Term Partnership To Strengthen U.S. Manufacturing for AI Infrastructure
Gold and other precious metals rallied sharply after the signing of a peace agreement between the US and Iran: NYSE:DRD NYSE:HMY NASDAQ:HYMC NYSE:GFI SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:MR NYSE:AG AMEX:GLD AMEX:SLV NYSE:AU
Airlines sector also growing on peace agreement: NASDAQ:RYAAY NASDAQ:UAL NYSE:ALK NASDAQ:AAL
NASDAQ:AMD forecast sparks AI‑driven rally in chipmaker stocks: NYSE:UMC NASDAQ:ARM NASDAQ:QCOM NASDAQ:MU NASDAQ:SNDK NASDAQ:INTC
📉 Gap Downs
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
OSL:EQNR NYSE:PRIM NASDAQ:TMDX NASDAQ:NICE NYSE:KVYO NYSE:PARR NYSE:CPNG NYSE:ANET NYSE:OXY NASDAQ:DAVE NYSE:ALC NASDAQ:UPST NASDAQ:TEM NASDAQ:SOLS BIST:LOGO NASDAQ:EA
Other news:
Oil and gas stocks, along with related names, are falling on reports of a possible peace agreement between Iran and the US: NYSE:CVX NYSE:XOM EURONEXT:TTE NYSE:BP NYSE:SHEL NYSE:VG NYSE:VIST AMEX:USO NYSE:VLO NYSE:EC NYSE:AR NYSE:SSL
NYSE:RSI today announced the pricing of an underwritten secondary public offering of 10,000,000 shares of its Class A common stock, at a price to the public of $26.00 per share.
‼️ Additional
IRGC: Safe passage through Hormuz will be ensured. Threats have been neutralized, and the new Hormuz Protocol has entered into force.
IRGC: With the end of “threats from aggressors” and in light of the new procedures, safe and stable transit through the Strait of Hormuz will become possible.
Hassett: Iran appears to be making major progress.
🏢 IPO
ASX:REA – Rare Earths Americas, Inc.
Company explores rare earth and critical mineral projects in Brazil and the U.S. Its assets target heavy rare earth elements used in permanent magnets, including neodymium-praseodymium, dysprosium and terbium. The business is still at the exploration stage, with no revenue and no production yet.
Price: $19.00
Shares: 3.3M
Raised: $63.3M
LTM:
Revenue: $0
Net Income: -$9.93M
Comparable public companies: NYSE:MP , AMEX:UUUU , NASDAQ:NB , OTC:TMRC , NYSE:LAC
📋 List of tickers involved:
AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:HUT NYSE:UBER NYSE:DIS NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:ALAB NYSE:COMP NASDAQ:FLEX NASDAQ:VECO NASDAQ:SMCI NYSE:GEO NYSE:OSCR NYSE:HL NYSE:PAAS NYSE:HNGE NYSE:NVO NASDAQ:FRPT NASDAQ:LIVN NYSE:CVS NYSE:OC NYSE:LEU NYSE:PHG NYSE:ONTO NASDAQ:LITE NYSE:KMT NASDAQ:ADPT NASDAQ:VCYT NASDAQ:MAR NYSE:GLW NASDAQ:NVDA NYSE:DRD NYSE:HMY NASDAQ:HYMC NYSE:GFI SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:MR NYSE:AG AMEX:GLD AMEX:SLV NYSE:AU NASDAQ:RYAAY NASDAQ:UAL NYSE:ALK NASDAQ:AAL NYSE:UMC NASDAQ:ARM NASDAQ:QCOM NASDAQ:MU NASDAQ:SNDK NASDAQ:INTC OSL:EQNR NYSE:PRIM NASDAQ:TMDX NASDAQ:NICE NYSE:KVYO NYSE:PARR NYSE:CPNG NYSE:ANET NYSE:OXY NASDAQ:DAVE NYSE:ALC NASDAQ:UPST NASDAQ:TEM NASDAQ:SOLS BIST:LOGO NASDAQ:EA NYSE:CVX NYSE:XOM EURONEXT:TTE NYSE:BP NYSE:SHEL NYSE:VG NYSE:VIST AMEX:USO NYSE:VLO NYSE:EC NYSE:AR NYSE:SSL NYSE:RSI ASX:REA
Best regards – hi2morrow team.
$EPOL lepszaPoland is the runaway leader. The National Bank of Poland purchased 31t in Q1 2026 alone, lifting reserves to 582t, and remains focused on reaching its 700t target. Combined with November 2025 buying (12t) and additional months, Poland sits well ahead of peers.
Rank
Central Bank
Approx. Net Tonnes Added
1National Bank of Poland~55–60t
2Central Bank of Uzbekistan~50–55t
3National Bank of Kazakhstan~20–25t
4People's Bank of China~10–12t
Poland: Economic Snapshot & Catalysts The Setup Poland is the standout growth story in the EU — a $1T+ economy that's compounded uninterrupted for 30+ years (one shallow COVID dip aside) and is now in a *gold*ilocks-ish regime: solid growth, inflation back near target, and an easing cycle in motion. GDP surpassed $1 trillion in 2025, and growth picked up from 3% in 2024 to ~3.6% in 2025.
1. EU Recovery & Resilience Facility (RRF) absorption — the biggest near-term catalyst. 2026 is the final year of the RRF grant program, and Poland has been a laggard absorber. The positive contribution from investment is forecast to increase significantly reflecting higher absorption of EU funds, especially in the final year of the RRF. Translation: a back-loaded surge of EU money hits the Polish economy this year
2. Defense spending supercycle. Poland is now NATO's heaviest spender as a % of GDP. This drives both fiscal expansion and a domestic defense-industrial buildout (Huta Stalowa Wola, PGZ, Lubawa, etc., for equity-relevant names).
3. NBP easing cycle. Rates already at a 4-year low. By the end of 2026 the main policy rate might be reduced to 3.25% or even below, while the NBP governor seems to be leaning more towards 3.50%. Cheaper credit = supportive for consumer-facing names, banks (via volume), and the WIG broadly
4. Disinflation tailwind. The NBP March projection sees a 50% probability that annual price growth will be in the 1.6–2.9% range in 2026 — i.e., real wages stay positive, supporting consumption
5. Gold reserves & monetary credibility. The NBP has been the world's most aggressive sovereign gold buyer (now ~582t, targeting 700t). It's a credibility signal and balance-sheet-strengthening move that supports the złoty.
What to Watch Next:
NBP meetings (next decisions roughly monthly) — pace of cuts to 3.50% / 3.25%
RRF disbursement run-rate through 2026 — make-or-break for the investment thesis
Polish Q1 26 GDP print — testing whether the Iran/energy shock dented momentum
Defense procurement announcements — equity-relevant for PGZ-linked names
EUR/PLN — strong złoty has been a disinflation ally; reversal would change the rate trajectory
Price Action Education Series: Ascending Triangle PatternThe ascending triangle is one of the clearest bullish continuation patterns in price action — but only when you understand what it is actually showing.
At first glance, it looks simple:
• Price keeps hitting the same resistance level
• Buyers keep stepping in at higher prices
• The range tightens
• Then price breaks out
But the real lesson is this: an ascending triangle is a picture of growing pressure beneath a ceiling. 🧠
Sellers are defending one horizontal area again and again, but buyers are becoming more aggressive. Instead of pulling all the way back each time, price forms higher lows. That tells you demand is stepping up sooner on every dip.
In other words:
➡️ sellers are holding the line
➡️ buyers are willing to pay more and more
➡️ pressure builds until resistance either breaks… or the setup fails
That is why this pattern matters.
✅ What defines a true ascending triangle?
1. A clear uptrend or bullish context leading into the pattern
2. A relatively flat resistance line across the top
3. Rising lows underneath price
4. Tightening price action as the pattern develops
5. Ideally, lighter volume during the formation and stronger volume on the breakout
The pattern should look like price is getting squeezed into the resistance level — not just randomly drifting higher.
🚨 What traders often get wrong:
A lot of people label any rising chart as an ascending triangle. That is incorrect.
If the top is not relatively flat, it is not a proper ascending triangle.
If there are no clear higher lows pressing into resistance, it is not a proper ascending triangle.
If there is no compression, there is no pressure.
Pattern accuracy matters.
📍What is the psychology behind it?
Every time price pulls back, buyers step in earlier.
That means dip buyers are gaining confidence.
At the same time, sellers sitting at resistance are being forced to absorb repeated tests.
Eventually one of two things happens:
1. The resistance finally gives way and trapped shorts / breakout buyers help push price higher
2. Buyers fail to break the ceiling, momentum fades, and the setup loses validity
That is why confirmation matters.
✅ Strong confirmation signs:
• Multiple touches of resistance
• Clean sequence of higher lows
• Tightening structure near the apex
• Breakout candle closes firmly above resistance
• Volume expands on the break
• Retest holds the breakout zone as support
⚠️ Warning signs of weakness:
• Break above resistance that immediately fails
• Breakout with no momentum follow-through
• Volume stays weak on the break
• Price falls back inside the triangle
• Rising support gets lost
A failed breakout can quickly turn into a trap.
🎯 How many traders project targets:
A common measured move is the height of the triangle added to the breakout point.
Example:
If the triangle is $2 tall from support to resistance, traders may project roughly $2 above the breakout area as a potential target.
That does NOT guarantee price will reach it — but it gives structure for planning.
🛠 Practical trading mindset:
Don’t chase every candle near resistance.
Let the pattern prove itself.
Ask:
• Is resistance actually flat?
• Are buyers clearly stepping in higher?
• Is price compressing?
• Did breakout volume expand?
• Did the breakout hold?
The best setups are not just about shape.
They are about pressure, positioning, and confirmation.
The ascending triangle is bullish because it shows buyers gaining ground before the breakout ever happens. Learn to read that pressure correctly, and you stop seeing random candles… and start seeing the story behind the move. 🔥
Nasdaq has entered a caution zoneThere are not many signs of exhaustion to this rally from indicators point of view, the divergences are weak, Demark is flashing only on a daily time frame and Vix is also not indicating a top, however purely from Elliot wave point of view, we are reaching a caution zone.
I expect a minor pullback 3% kinds or perhaps just a sideways movement in May to the market before we rally further to complete wave 5 of this move for June and July.
For investors already in the market, just hold and wait for next 3 months and not prematurely close your winning positions just because they "ran a lot". For investors on sidelines end of May or early June will provide entry chances. Shorting is a no-go for this rally.
$SOXL $SOXX BOTTOMED (ASCENDING TRIANGLE)An ascending triangle is a bullish breakout pattern that occurs when the price breaks through the upper horizontal trendline with increasing volume. The upper trendline is horizontal, showing nearly identical highs that create a resistance level. Meanwhile, the lower trendline slopes upward, indicating higher lows as buyers gradually increase their bids. Eventually, buyers become impatient and push the price above the resistance level, triggering further buying and resuming the uptrend. The upper trendline, which previously acted as resistance, then becomes a support level.
Semiconductors NASDAQ:SOXX are crucial to the United States for several reasons:
Technological Backbone: Semiconductors power essential technologies like smartphones, computers, cars, and medical devices. They are integral to almost everything with an on/off switch. The semiconductor industry aka NASDAQ:SOXX significantly contributes to the U.S. economy. It supports millions of jobs and drives innovation in various sectors, including artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and clean energy.
Semiconductors are vital for national security. They are used in military systems, aircraft, weapons, and the electric grid, making them critical for defense and infrastructure. Maintaining a strong semiconductor industry helps the U.S. stay competitive globally so BUY AMEX:SOXL , $SOXX. The CHIPS and Science Act, for example, aims to revitalize the U.S. semiconductor industry, create jobs, and support American innovation. Strengthening the domestic semiconductor supply chain reduces dependency on foreign sources, enhancing the resilience and security of supply chains.
BUY NOW AND HOLD
May 2, 2026 NIKL. Continued stock growth.- Exchange: Bitget TradFi
- Instrument: NIKLon
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 17.65
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 17.02 (-3.60 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high — bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
A list of over 250 Bitget TradFi (stock tokens)
BIT Weekly — Make or BreakNASDAQ:IBIT — Weekly
One level matters right now: $47.
That's the flip zone. Resistance needs to become support before this moves anywhere meaningful.
If it holds:
→ Rally into year-end
→ Flush in 2027 (shakeout, not the end)
→ New ATH by 2028
Invalidation: lose $35.82 on the weekly and the thesis is dead.
Not financial advice. Just watching the map.
Trading Education Series Post No. 002 - Breakouts Real vs. FakeBreakouts are one of the most common trading concepts…
…and one of the most misunderstood.
Most traders believe:
👉 “If price breaks a level, it will continue.”
But in reality:
👉 A breakout is not confirmation — it is a test.
⸻
🧠 What is a Breakout (Foundational Understanding)
A breakout occurs when price moves beyond a defined level of:
• Resistance (upside)
• Support (downside)
These levels exist because traders have:
• Entered positions there
• Placed stops around them
• Defined risk at those prices
👉 This creates clusters of liquidity
⸻
⚖️ The Auction Perspective
Markets move between:
• Balance (range / consolidation)
• Imbalance (trend / expansion)
A breakout is the moment price attempts to move from:
👉 balance → imbalance
⸻
🟢 Real Breakout (Continuation)
A real breakout occurs when price successfully transitions into imbalance.
Key characteristics:
• 📈 Strong expansion through the level
• 📊 Sustained participation (volume / order flow)
• ⏱️ Minimal hesitation after the break
• 🔁 Retest holds as support/resistance
• ⚡ Continuation with momentum
⸻
🔍 What’s actually happening?
• Stop orders above/below the level are triggered
• New traders enter in the breakout direction
• Institutions use that liquidity to build positions
• Order flow becomes one-sided
👉 This creates directional movement
⸻
🔴 Fake Breakout (Failure)
A fake breakout occurs when price fails to transition into imbalance.
Key characteristics:
• ⚠️ Weak or short-lived expansion
• 📉 Immediate rejection back into range
• 🔄 Breaks level, then quickly returns
• 📊 Volume spikes without follow-through
• ❌ No sustained directional move
⸻
🔍 What’s actually happening?
• Breakout traders enter late
• Liquidity is absorbed
• Opposing participants take control
• Price reverses
👉 This creates a trap
⸻
🎯 Why Fake Breakouts Are So Common
Because breakout levels attract:
• Stop losses
• Momentum traders
• Emotional entries
👉 This creates a large pool of liquidity
Professional traders:
👉 Use that liquidity, not chase it
⸻
🔄 The Retest (Critical Concept from the Blueprint)
The retest is where the truth is revealed.
⸻
✅ Real Breakout Retest
• Price returns to the level
• Holds as support/resistance
• Buyers or sellers step in again
• Continuation follows
👉 This confirms strength
⸻
❌ Fake Breakout Retest
• Price cannot hold the level
• Breaks back inside the range
• Opposite side gains control
👉 This confirms failure
⸻
🧠 The Psychological Trap
Breakouts create urgency:
• Fear of missing out (FOMO)
• Emotional entries
• Chasing price
👉 Most traders enter at the worst possible time
⸻
🧩 Professional Framework
Before trading a breakout, ask:
📍 Did price expand with conviction?
📍 Is there sustained participation?
📍 Does the retest hold?
📍 Is the market leaving balance?
If not:
👉 It’s likely a fake breakout
⸻
🚨 Common Mistakes
❌ Entering on the initial break
❌ Ignoring confirmation
❌ Chasing extended moves
❌ Not recognizing failure
⸻
🔑 The Truth Most Traders Miss
The breakout itself is not the edge.
👉 The confirmation after the breakout is the edge
⸻
🎯 Bottom Line
📍 Breakout = test
📍 Retest = confirmation
📍 Failure = opportunity
⸻
📈 The best traders don’t react to the break…
They wait for the market to prove itself.
Markets Research 05.05.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY +3.27 +0.46%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ +4.49 +0.67%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
08:30 USA – Balance of Trade
10:00 USA – ISM Services PMI
10:00 USA – JOLTs Job Openings
10:00 USA – New Home Sales
16:30 USA – API Crude Oil Stock Change
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:STRL NASDAQ:CYTK NYSE:PINS NYSE:DOCN NASDAQ:FLY NYSE:BUD NASDAQ:GFS NYSE:PFE NASDAQ:CIFR NASDAQ:PYPL NYSE:WAT NYSE:ROK NYSE:ABEV NASDAQ:GRAB NYSE:TDG NASDAQ:ENLT
Other news:
NASDAQ:VRDN Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Highlights Recent Progress
NASDAQ:DGXX Signs AI Colocation Agreement with Leading AI Compute Company for 40 MW Data Center in Columbiana, Alabama
NASDAQ:CLRB Announces Oversubscribed Financing Up to $140 Million / Reports Positive 12-Month Follow-Up Data from Phase 2b CLOVER WaM Study Demonstrating Durable Responses and Efficacy of Iopofosine I 131 in r/r Waldenstrom Macroglobulinemia
NASDAQ:AAPL In Discussion With NASDAQ:INTC Foundry For Manufacturing Custom Chips
NASDAQ:EWTX Reports Inducement Grants As Permitted By The Nasdaq Listing Rules
NASDAQ:ABVX today announcesthe execution of a purchase agreement for the royalty certificates issued by the Company in September 2022, to be partially paid in shares, and consequently, the pricing of a $45 million offering of 403,347 ordinary shares, each representing one Ordinary Share, €0.01 nominal value per share, of the Company, to the benefit of the Royalty Certificates’ holders at an offering price of $111.57 per ADS.
NASDAQ:MU shares extended their rally on Monday after strong earnings from peer NASDAQ:SNDK lifted expectations for memory-chip pricing, while Wall Street also raised its view on the broader storage market. NASDAQ:WDC NASDAQ:STX
Crypto stocks rally amid Clarity Act momentum NYSE:CRCL NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MSTR
ZAWYA: NASDAQ:ERIC tops Frost Radar 5G network infrastructure market ranking for sixth year running
NASDAQ:ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program
NYSE:ORCL said it secured a classified artificial intelligence contract with the United States Department of Defense to deploy secure AI tools across restricted government networks. The agreement may strengthen Oracle's position as a key infrastructure provider in national security and enterprise AI.
📉 Gap Downs
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:PLTR NASDAQ:SHOP NASDAQ:DUOL NASDAQ:WGS NYSE:BRBR NYSE:FN NYSE:WLK NASDAQ:ICHR NASDAQ:FISV NYSE:FMS NYSE:ETN NASDAQ:ON NASDAQ:BNTX NYSE:HSBC NYSE:INGR NASDAQ:POWL MIL:RACE NASDAQ:VRTX NASDAQ:ADTN NYSE:INSP
Other news:
NYSE:KNX Announces Proposed Private Placement of $1.0 Billion of Convertible Senior Notes
Falls after the NYSE:HSBC report: NYSE:HLN NYSE:CUK NYSE:NGG
NASDAQ:BNTX going to fire 1800 employee
‼️ Additional
USTR Greer said Trump is monitoring companies that are filing lawsuits against the administration seeking compensation for tariffs that a court ruled illegal.
-- Trump had previously indirectly threatened anyone who files for compensation.
Amid the Middle East conflict and the blockade of Hormuz, the US has sharply increased oil exports, exporting more than 250 million barrels over the past two months, becoming the world’s largest exporter and overtaking Saudi Arabia — BBG.
Trump said it will take 2–3 weeks to resolve the conflict with Iran.
-- BBG: The ceasefire between the US and Iran is still holding.
Most earnings reports are already behind us, while corporate buybacks in US stocks continue to gain momentum — Deutsche data.
-- Historically bullish, as buybacks have been one of the main drivers of S&P 500 growth since 2011.
#TON +30% in 24 hours after Durov said it was time to make TON “great again.”
Goldman confirmed its S&P 500 target of 7,600 by the end of 2026.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index is approaching an all-time high.
-- Korean tech indexes are entering a second leg of their long rally amid the AI chip and memory chip hype.
📋 List of tickers involved:
AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:STRL NASDAQ:CYTK NYSE:PINS NYSE:DOCN NASDAQ:FLY NYSE:BUD NASDAQ:GFS NYSE:PFE NASDAQ:CIFR NASDAQ:PYPL NYSE:WAT NYSE:ROK NYSE:ABEV NASDAQ:GRAB NYSE:TDG NASDAQ:ENLT NASDAQ:VRDN NASDAQ:DGXX NASDAQ:CLRB NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:INTC NASDAQ:EWTX NASDAQ:ABVX NASDAQ:MU NASDAQ:SNDK NASDAQ:WDC NASDAQ:STX NYSE:CRCL NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:ERIC NASDAQ:ASML NYSE:ORCL NASDAQ:PLTR NASDAQ:SHOP NASDAQ:DUOL NASDAQ:WGS NYSE:BRBR NYSE:FN NYSE:WLK NASDAQ:ICHR NASDAQ:FISV NYSE:FMS NYSE:ETN NASDAQ:ON NASDAQ:BNTX NYSE:HSBC NYSE:INGR NASDAQ:POWL MIL:RACE NASDAQ:VRTX NASDAQ:ADTN NYSE:INSP NYSE:KNX NYSE:HLN NYSE:CUK NYSE:NGG
Best regards – hi2morrow team.
Genomic RevolutionPreliminary Info
ARKG focuses on companies where the convergence of Artificial Intelligence and Biotechnology is strongest. The integration of advanced computational models is drastically accelerating drug discovery and reducing the costs of genomic research.
The fund provides direct exposure to revolutionary technologies such as gene editing (CRISPR) and next-generation DNA sequencing. These sectors are moving from the experimental phase to regulatory approvals for treating previously incurable diseases.
The stock selection targets companies with the strongest intellectual property in multi-omics and early diagnostics, capturing the shift from standardized medical protocols to precision therapies tailored to a patient's specific genetic profile.
++++++++
Deep Dive: Top 5 Holdings in ARKG
CRISPR Therapeutics AG (CRSP) – 8.80%
A leader in genome editing using CRISPR/Cas9 technology. The company focuses on developing transformative gene-based medicines for serious conditions like sickle cell disease and beta-thalassemia.
Twist Bioscience Corp (TWST) – 8.85%
Specializing in synthetic DNA, Twist has developed a proprietary silicon-based DNA synthesis platform. This technology allows for fast, cost-effective genetic coding, serving industries from personalized medicine to DNA data storage.
Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM) – 7.85%
A recent top addition to the fund, Tempus uses AI to analyze massive clinical and molecular datasets. Their goal is to empower physicians to personalize cancer care through algorithm-driven genomic testing, making precision medicine scalable.
Beam Therapeutics Inc. (BEAM) – 6.50%
While CRISPR "cuts" DNA, Beam utilizes base editing—a more precise form of gene editing that converts a single "letter" of the genetic code into another without breaking the double helix. This is the next frontier for curing point-mutation genetic diseases.
Exact Sciences Corp. (EXAS) – 5.82%
A global leader in molecular diagnostics for early cancer detection. Their flagship product, Cologuard, is a non-invasive DNA-based screening test for colorectal cancer.
++++++++
Technical Analysis
After more than 3 years, the price is returning toward the 34.50$ resistance (indicated in blue) for the expected bullish breakout.
The price also closed the month of April above the monthly SMA50 (red line) which served as the starting point of the previous breakout
In the event of a close above 34.50$ followed by a confirmatory retest, the first target is positioned around the 43,50$ area
Many of the underlying stocks in the ETF are already staging breakouts.
The sector is primed to leverage AI agents in the R&D of new molecules.
If you appreciate my insights, please leave a like
High Yield Bonds Holding $80 Support – Short-Term Long SetupCurrent Price: 80.06 (Analysis was generated on Monday Morning)
Direction: LONG
Confidence level: 44%(Very limited trader and social sentiment data available; direction mainly derived from macro credit stability, yield advantage vs Treasuries, and price holding $80 support.)
Targets
Target 1: 81.20
Target 2: 82.00
Stop Levels
Stop 1: 79.10
Stop 2: 78.40
Key Insights:
Here's what's driving this setup right now. High‑yield corporate bond ETFs like HYG are sitting around $80 while offering yields above 6%, which is still meaningfully higher than the ~4.4% 10‑year Treasury. That spread continues to attract income-focused investors who want yield without going fully into equities.
Another thing that stands out: volatility spiked earlier this year with the VIX briefly approaching the low‑30s, yet the high‑yield bond market absorbed it surprisingly well. Prices held the $79–$80 region while continuing to pay monthly distributions. That resilience suggests institutional buyers are still stepping in on dips.
The macro backdrop also helps. The Fed has already cut rates from the 2025 peak, and the current policy range around 3.75% reduces pressure on corporate refinancing costs. As long as recession fears stay contained and credit spreads don’t widen sharply, high‑yield bonds typically grind higher.
Recent Performance:
Over the past year HYG has quietly climbed about 7%, which is impressive for a bond ETF in a volatile rate environment. Even during the March volatility spike, the fund stabilized quickly and returned to the $80 zone. Over the past month it's up roughly 2%, showing steady accumulation rather than sharp speculative moves.
Price action recently looks like consolidation just above a key psychological level. The $79–$80 area has acted as a strong support shelf where buyers repeatedly step in.
Expert Analysis:
Several professional traders tracking credit markets highlight the same factor: credit spreads remain relatively tight compared with historical recession periods. That signals investors still view corporate balance sheets as manageable despite higher borrowing costs.
Many traders also point out the duration profile of HYG. Compared with longer-duration bond funds, its relatively shorter duration reduces sensitivity to interest‑rate swings. That makes it attractive when traders expect rates to stay range‑bound rather than collapse quickly.
From a technical perspective, the chart shows a sideways accumulation zone around $80. In short-term trading, these compression ranges often resolve with a modest upside drift as income buyers accumulate shares.
News Impact:
Recent coverage around high‑yield bond ETFs emphasizes their strong income stream and reliability of monthly distributions. Articles highlighting 6%+ yields compared with Treasuries are reinforcing demand among income investors. The only notable risk mentioned in the news cycle is potential default pressure if credit conditions deteriorate in 2026—but so far spreads remain stable.
If economic data continues to avoid recession signals, this supportive narrative should remain intact.
Trading Recommendation:
Putting it all together, I'm leaning LONG for a short‑term trade this week. The $80 zone has acted as stable support, and the yield advantage keeps attracting buyers during dips. This isn’t a momentum explosion type trade—it’s more of a slow grind higher typical for credit ETFs.
My approach would be entering near current levels around $80.06 with a short‑term target near $81.20 and an extension to $82.00 if buying pressure continues. Risk should stay tight below $79.10, with a hard fail level near $78.40 in case credit spreads suddenly widen.
Because the trader consensus data is thin this week, position sizing should remain smaller than usual. Think of this as a tactical income‑driven bounce rather than a major trend trade.
USO Setting Up for a Short-Term Bounce as Crude Holds Key SupporCurrent Price: 142.8 (Analysis was generated on Monday Morning)
Direction: LONG
Confidence level: 85%(Trader consensus remains unified across group metrics.)
Targets
Target 1: 146.50
Target 2: 149.80
Stop Levels
Stop 1: 139.90
Stop 2: 137.80
Key Insights:
USO is essentially a reflection of WTI crude futures performance, and the ETF is currently sitting in a consolidation zone after a sharp directional move earlier in the quarter. What's interesting is that the ETF has stopped selling off even as broader commodity volatility picked up. That usually signals sellers are losing momentum.
Technically, the $140–$141 area has started acting like a short‑term demand zone. Each dip into that region has been absorbed fairly quickly. When an asset stops making lower lows after a pullback, traders often start probing the upside again.
Another thing I'm watching is volatility compression. Range contraction in commodities often leads to quick expansion moves. If crude pushes even slightly higher, USO could see momentum traders step in and push toward the mid‑140s quickly.
Recent Performance:
Over the past several sessions, USO has traded sideways around the $142–$143 area, showing smaller intraday ranges compared to earlier in the month. That type of consolidation after a volatile phase often acts as a staging area for the next move rather than a sign of weakness.
Expert Analysis:
Several professional traders on YouTube highlighted the same technical structure: USO holding its rising short-term trend support while crude stabilizes above $100. Their commentary isn't aggressively bullish yet, but the consensus is that downside momentum has faded.
On X, sentiment volume has cooled dramatically. That might sound unexciting, but it's actually constructive. When social chatter drops while price stabilizes, it often means speculative positioning has reset—leaving room for a fresh directional push.
News Impact:
Energy markets are still reacting to ongoing supply signals from major producers and refinery demand data coming out of North America and Asia in early 2026. None of the latest headlines suggest a meaningful supply surge, which keeps the underlying crude floor intact for now.
Trading Recommendation:
I'm watching for continuation above the consolidation zone. If crude futures push higher, USO should follow quickly. The setup favors a measured move toward the upper resistance band this week while keeping risk tight below support.






















