$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Tuesday, September 22, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels for Tuesday, September 22, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:15 AM | ADP Weekly Employment Change | Previous: 16.3K
10:00 AM | Richmond Manufacturing Index | Forecast: 2 | Previous: 4
4:30 PM | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin
10:05 AM | Fed Speaker: FOMC Member Williams Speaks
10:20 AM | Fed Speaker: FOMC Member Jefferson Speaks
1:00 PM | Fed Speaker: FOMC Member Barkin Speaks
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #ADP #Empl
ETF market
SPY Framework — September 21Last time. The Sep 7 issue set two tests: a hold above 771-772 to give the bulls the edge, and a push above ~775 as stronger confirmation. Below, 769.08 was the near level, with 762.63 - last week's low - flagged as the more consequential one; a break there was expected to tilt the read bearish.
That's exactly what happened first - 762.63 broke, and the bearish tilt showed up as flagged. Then, post-Fed, the market reversed hard. On the way back up, an interim update flagged 765.47 as the fresh
$GLD — Test Candle at 400 Says Sellers Are Gone, Breakout Not YeChoppy day for AMEX:GLD and gold, but it looks like it's getting ready for the 400 breakout.
Today printed a Test candle right near the major key level.
Here's what a Test is, because it's one of the most useful bars in VSA. After a market has been under pressure, professional money wants to know one thing before pushing higher: is there any selling left? Price dips into the area where sellers used to show up — and watches.
If supply is still there, volume jumps and price gets hit. If it's
$QQQ — Three-Week Range Breaks on Real Volume, All-Time HighThe range broke.
NASDAQ:QQQ closed 741.47, up 2.77% — a 20-point day. Gap and go: price opened 727.89, clean over the 724.20 level that capped it for three weeks, and never came back. Today's low of 727.81 stayed above both the breakout level and Friday's close. The gap held all session.
Why this one is real
On Friday the volume looked big, but it was quarterly options expiration — mechanical flow, not conviction. Monday's volume was always going to be the honest read.
Here it is: 46.63M a
$SPY — Gap-and-Go Confirms Friday's Hammer, Reclaims Both CloudsA strong bullish day on $SPY.
Market opened with a big gap up and kept moving. Opened at 766.25, closed at 773.50, right near the high of the day. A wide-range candle with volume 23% above average behind it.
This is what the last three weeks were missing. Twice this month AMEX:SPY gapped up and then closed red on the session — the gap did the work and the buyers disappeared. Today was different. The gap came, and then the session added another 7 points on top of it. Buyers stayed all day.
I
Buy Discounted Small CapsRate Hike Fears, Bond Yields, and Oil Price Spikes (all somewhat related) have pushed the small caps way below their 100 day moving averages.
Last time this happened was liberation day in April of 2025 which was reasonably worse headline risk than the Iran war today IMO.
Buy at these discounted levels and ride the wave back to all-time highs.
Tips for Setting Up a Dedicated Short-Selling Strategy (Part 1)Whenever the stock market has been rising for a period, there are always people who are bearish at high levels, even emphasizing that they have entered the market with long puts in anticipation of a major drop. I can assure you that this is mostly untrue, or their "bet" is simply too small. Long puts lose time value, and the market may not actually crash even as they expire, making the cost of constantly rolling over the position very high.
If you're trading futures, selling futures at high lev
BNO | Continued stock growth- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 56.67
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 52.61 (-7.20 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
CPXR — Copper's 5-Year Base Breakout & First PullbackThe Setup:
AMEX:CPXR is a 2x leveraged ETF and the cleanest geared exposure to copper — now leading a record metals frenzy. Copper broke out of a massive 5-year base (2021–2026) , a 54-month coil sitting inside a larger 10-year base , pointing to a multi-year run. On the daily/weekly it's a clean Cup and Handle breakout, executing its first 4-month pullback — testing the breakout level and bouncing off it, with the 50-Day MA as confluence support.
Tip: Trade copper via AMEX:CPXR (
QQQ I see it go higher, december rate hike and drop marketNASDAQ:QQQ I see it go to 800-900$ if break triangle pattern weekly. I see it make new high's for sure. 800$ smart target, will have to see future if has more room upside up to 900's.
December 9 there's a FOMC interest rate decision, I see them raise rates again and make the stock market top and dump atleast a -10%, but probably -20-25%+ from December 2026-April 2027.
TVC:US10Y US10Y at 5%, Major resistance and also a double top at 5%. I see it drop back to 4.25% before any more move high
SPY Is Through 762.57 And 765.52 - But Not On A Close.SPY Is Through 762.57 And 765.52 - But Not On A Close.
SPY is trading 766.67 in premarket after three straight sessions failing to reclaim 762.57 on a closing basis, with Friday's regular session ending at 761.64. Both that level and 765.52 above it are cleared as of this morning, but premarket is not a close and neither level has been confirmed yet - today's regular session close is the event that decides it. The 4H structure still reads bear while the hourly reads bull, and the 4H conviction
Research 21.09.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY +5.17 +0.68%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ +6.80 +0.94%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
Stock futures were rising to start the week as oil prices fell and the market digested positive progress between the U.S. and China ahead of President Donald Trump and Xi Jinping's meeting later this week.
Tech stocks, and artificial-intelligence names, in particular, were set for a good day after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met with China's vice premier He Lifeng and said the pair had ag
Bull Flag Breakout Underway — Small Caps Ready for the Next Leg?After a strong impulsive advance, IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) spent several weeks consolidating inside a textbook bull flag, allowing momentum to reset without breaking the broader uptrend.
Price is now attempting to break out of that consolidation.
🔍 What stands out?
🚩 Bull Flag Breakout
🟢 Took Support from the Fib Golden Pocket
The recent consolidation developed as a controlled pullback following a strong rally.
Bull flags are among the most reliable continuation patterns, often leading to anot
Technology Stocks Could Climb to New HighsSince 06/03/26 the technology sector ETF – (XLK) has underperformed the S&P 500 (SPX). This is unusual because SPX from April 2025 to August 2026 climbed 60%. XLK from April 2025 to June 2026 climbed 129%!
The situation changed on 09/16/26 on that day the U.S. FOMC – raised short-term interest rates. This was the single most bearish event for U.S. stock in 2026; it could have triggered a decline affecting almost all U.S. stocks. Yet XLK failed to go below its bottom on 09/14/26.
SPX has sin
SPY: The Fed Hiked, Is the Market Done Reacting?Last week gave us one of the better examples of why I build scenarios instead of predictions.
The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points Wednesday, taking the federal-funds target to 3.75%–4.00%. The vote was unanimous. More importantly, the updated projections put the median appropriate year-end 2026 rate at 4.1%, versus a current midpoint of 3.875%. In plain English, the Fed did not tell the market, “we hiked and we’re finished.” The projections leave another increase very much in th
Revisiting the Squiggly: Was that the Pullback?Coming back to the yellow squiggly path on the chart (not shown). While the market did not hit the deeper low we were watching for, there are tangible signs that this minor correction might actually be it for now. Instead of falling off a cliff, the tape is coiling and building a base.
NASDAQ:SOXX Carving Out a Floor
Look at the semiconductor space. It may not be textbook pretty, but an inverse head and shoulders pattern is clearly taking shape. The left shoulder dipped, followed by a deeper
SPY After the Fed $770 Breakout or $755 Breakdown? | Sept. 21–25
**Catalyst**
The market is still digesting last week’s rate hike and the 10-year yield near 5%. Fed speakers will also be active throughout the week.
Wednesday brings manufacturing and services PMI. Thursday has jobless claims, new-home sales and the Trump–Xi meeting. Friday brings durable-goods orders and consumer sentiment. Rates and trade headlines could create sharp moves in both directions.
**Daily chart**
SPY is still in a larger uptrend, but the short-term chart has been making lower
MSTUAlways use 2x–3x leverage. We build positions in stages, both long and short.
Max 4% of your account as margin per position. Split that 4% into 3–6 entries.
Example: $100 account → max $4 margin per position. Split it as $0.5, then $1, then $1.5. So $0.5 × 3x = $1.5 position size.
Don't get greedy.
Only add when your ROI is above -100%. Better: wait a few days between add-ons. Sleep on it — you might end up adding from higher.
Keep half your account in cash as a reserve. Balanced.
In a sho
SNDK 2x SNXXAlways use 2x–3x leverage. We build positions in stages, both long and short.
Max 4% of your account as margin per position. Split that 4% into 3–6 entries.
Example: $100 account → max $4 margin per position. Split it as $0.5, then $1, then $1.5. So $0.5 × 3x = $1.5 position size.
Don't get greedy.
Only add when your ROI is above -100%. Better: wait a few days between add-ons. Sleep on it — you might end up adding from higher.
Keep half your account in cash as a reserve. Balanced.
In a short mar
QQQ/SPY: Nasdaq 100 Attempts to Regain Market LeadershipThe QQQ/SPY ratio is rebounding to 0.9472 after correcting from its recent peak near 0.99. On the weekly chart, the broader structure remains constructive: the ratio recovered from the 0.92 area and has recently formed progressively higher lows.
The 0.950–0.960 zone is now the key technical test. A weekly close above 0.960 would confirm renewed Nasdaq 100 outperformance versus the S&P 500, with 0.975 followed by 0.990–1.000 as the next upside objectives.
Key levels:
• Resistance: 0.950–0.96
Correlation Check — 103 Markets on a Korean Kinship RulerFour principles first.
1. The market is always right.
2. Every price is already set.
3. Every view is a quantum view — stay flexible, keep every state open.
4. Every evolution comes from repetition.
Only two hard words are used here. Same-direction rate is the share of days two markets closed the same way — both up, or both down. 50% is a coin flip. Correlation is the familiar number between −1 and 1, and in this piece it only ever appears in brackets after the same-direction rate.
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