SPY Gave Back 770.09 Premarket - The Long Still Rests On 764.76.SPY Gave Back 770.09 Premarket - The Long Still Rests On 764.76.
SPY is at 767.90 in premarket, back under 770.09 after closing Friday at 771.30 above it. The long taken on the 765.52 reclaim stands on its original terms: only a regular-session close below 764.76 ends it, and price is 3.14 above that line. Both timeframes have gone neutral - the hourly structure has turned bearish again while the 4H stays bullish - and a narrow-range 4H bar says nothing about direction. Friday's reclaim was not
ETF market
SPY: $767 Is the Pivot September 28–October 2SPY enters the week holding its broader daily recovery, but the lower timeframes show a pullback after rejection near $772.50. My thesis is cautiously bullish while $766–$767 holds, with stronger confirmation needed above $772.50–$775.
The daily chart supports the larger structure, the hourly chart defines the support test, and the 15-minute chart determines whether buyers are regaining control. The options overlay adds context around several of those same levels.
Catalysts this week
Wednesda
96 tests declared before the data, and none of them passedLast month I built a 1-minute data logger, ran it live for three days, backfilled more than a year of history behind it, and then did the only part that matters: I wrote down what I was going to test before I tested it.
The universe was 15 US equities over 273 trading days and 8 crypto pairs over 362 days, about 4.6 million symbol-minutes in total. Costs were fixed at 2 basis points per side, and a cross-sectional pair pays two round trips, so 8 basis points. Three horizons were declared in adv
SPY Sunday Market Prep: Sept 27Heading into September 28 through October 2, my current lean is something similar to the Yellow scenario. I’m preparing for a messy week with sharp moves in both directions, failed breakouts, and the possibility of a deeper flush before buyers regain control. There are credible paths toward both new highs and another leg lower. With this combination of headlines and economic releases, I want confirmation before committing to either.
The weekend gave us another example of why this market can cha
$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Monday, September 28, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels for Monday, September 28, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
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⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #FOMC #FedSpeakers
If you're taking a long on the gold, better take it leveraged.I would say if there is a way to take a long setup this would be a good one because it's triple leveraged micro gold miners so it will move faster better and if it moves the direction it should move I would say the entry should be slightly lower let it do a shakeout during the day and go up because there is I guess a volume profile there that gets supported that would be a good effective response from that level and so you can put the stop underneath in the middle of the range and then keep it g
Sitting on supports might be good for a longYou can see the same with like gold here. There is like it's sitting on a certain support in the middle of the range and silver showing it even clearer that there is a certain amount of distribution that stopped and it's kind of flattening and even going up a bit. So I would say that's why long could be working out with the silver AMEX:SLV and gold AMEX:GLD . Obviously I would take the stronger of the two or the three lithium as well. NASDAQ:LITE seems to be a strong one.
AMEX:GDXU mig
SOXX — Semiconductor Sector: Breakout and ContinuationSOXX is trading around 572.68 and remains inside a broader ascending channel after the strong rally from the 466.70 area. On the daily chart, price has formed a consolidation above the 534.14 support and is now testing the upper part of the recent range around 570–600.
The structure remains constructive as long as price holds above 534.14, while the 466.70–480 zone remains the major lower support. The recent breakout from the local accumulation structure gives a potential path toward 599.37, wh
WHEN IS THE BEST TIME TO BUY STOCKS? THIS CHART HAS CLUESIn this video, we give an update on the stock market crash that I discussed in my last S&P 500 video and we talk about the mental framework and investing strategy that I am personally building in order to be prepared for it alongside showing you guys my personal guide to buying stocks
Adding more to Chinese Tech ETF -3067From its peak in Sept 2025, it has now fallen more than 35%! I see multiple support at weekly chart. Not sure if the Trump-Xi meeting in US would help push the China stocks up though I think it is of little relevance.
An attractive level to get in and well exposed to the largest tech stocks in China!
Please DYODD
GLD Daily: Double Bottom on Volume, 400 Breakout Needs EMA CloudCONTEXT
GLD printed a double bottom today with an up candle on good volume. Price, however, is still under the Ripster47 EMA clouds and the 395 level. The Iran-US deal is the key catalyst for Gold going into Monday.
KEY LEVELS
- 395: first level to reclaim
- 400: breakout level
- Ripster47 EMA clouds: price still below them
- 34/50 EMA: curl needed to confirm the bullish case
WHAT THE CHART SHOWS
The double bottom plus an up candle with good volume shows demand stepping in at the lows. That's
SPY Intraday: 774 Breakout Watch as Banks Weigh on the IndexCONTEXT
Friday's plan was simple: long over PDH, and the market did exactly that. The 5/12 curl gave the add. SPY is still under pressure, though, because banks are heavy due to high yields.
KEY LEVELS
- PDH: the long trigger that played out today
- 774: the level to break
- ATH: next target above 774
WHAT THE CHART SHOWS
Price held above PDH and the 5/12 curl confirmed continuation for the add. The trend day worked for longs, but the index is carrying weight from the banks, with high yields p
QQQ 10m: ATH / 750 Breakout or Rejection After Weekly CloseCONTEXT
Friday, 25 Sept 26. The session played out as outlined: long over PDC & PDH. Intraday, the market showed a curl in the first 30 minutes, moved down, then moved back up.
The bigger signal is the weekly close: a big weekly candle closed below the ATH level.
KEY LEVELS
- 750 / ATH: main level
- 34/50 EMA on the 10-minute chart: trigger for the bearish case
WHAT THE CHART SHOWS
The weekly candle closing below the ATH level means buyers did not accept price above the high on a closing basi
Opening: EWZ November 20th 29/38/37/44 Iron Condor... for a 4.03 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV. Layering in with a skinny iron condor, collecting > 1/2 the width of the wings.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 4.03 ($403)
Max Loss: 2.97 ($297)
ROC at Max: 135.7%
ROC at 25% Max: 33.9%
Looking to get 1.00 ($100) in profit out of this if I can, which is just about 25% of max.
TLT LongBollinger Band oversold
Entry 79.0
No Stop
Target 84
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader. About 25% of my trades had been stopped quickly.
BuyToOpen 2026-12-18 Call Spread C79/84, 1.66 (C79 Delta= 0.58)
No Stop in this Option plan, max risk is 1.66
Time for "The House"? TLT has now completed multiple phases of what can happen at a 4.23 low.
It traded through the 4.23 crash ladder from the "M" topping swing.
Stalled and faked around 4.23 for a while.
Now it has broken under, in ABCD like legs and now we are right into the end of potential bullish butterfly.
This area as a pending long has been interesting to me for a long time. Today I got the local entry signal to pull the trigger.
Bought OTM calls on TLT.
RSI Says “Overbought.” Does That Mean the Rally Is Over?RSI says “overbought.” Does that mean the rally is over?
The word sounds like a warning to sell. On a chart, it needs more context.
Investrade Chart Basics: today, we’re unpacking a commonly misunderstood indicator label.
What RSI measures
The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, measures momentum by comparing recent gains and losses. It runs from 0 to 100.
Readings above 70 are traditionally called “overbought.” Readings below 30 are traditionally called “oversold.”
Those labels describe mo
What's the Rollover in Insurance Stocks About ?Remember the financial crisis of 2008 in the US
It was the nearest thing to a melt down.
So flash forward to the roaring go-go US stock market in 2026.
What's the rollover in Insurance stocks about ?
Look at the price chart of IAK, the I- Shares Insurance ETF .
What's going on here ?
While the US stock market continues to trade at or near record highs,
something really sinister is brewing in insurance industry stocks.
Note that big money is selling these stocks right now.
Do you know wh
WYCKOFF SPRING — HOW DOES IT FORM?
📉 **WYCKOFF SPRING — HOW DOES IT FORM?**
The **Spring** is one of the key events in the Wyckoff Method.
It typically appears during the **Accumulation phase**, near the lower boundary of a **Trading Range**, after the market has already experienced a significant decline.
### 🔹 HOW DOES IT FORM?
Price approaches an established support area and then **breaks below the previous low**.
This breakdown can trigger:
• Stop-loss orders
• Short entries
• Panic selling
• Liquidity below the range























