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XLE Major Holdings Test 200 MA Simultaneously – High ConfluencesFour of the largest holdings in AMEX:XLE — NYSE:OXY , NYSE:XOM , NYSE:COP , and NYSE:CVX are all approaching or testing their 200-day Moving Average at the same time. This is a rare sector-wide confluence at a major long-term support level. Key Observations: • All four names are showing similar price action near the 200 MA. • Volume has been relatively average on the pullback (no major capitulation yet). • Energy sector has been strong YTD, making this a high-conviction support zone to watch. Recommended Trades: Bullish Setup (Bounce Play): • Entry: On a strong daily close back above the 200 MA with increasing volume. • Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low or the 200 MA (whichever is tighter). • Targets: • First target: Previous highs / 50-day MA • Second target: Measured move from the recent decline • Best for: NYSE:XOM and NYSE:CVX (strongest balance sheets) Aggressive Setup: • Scale in on dips toward the 200 MA in NYSE:COP and NYSE:OXY (they’ve pulled back the hardest). • Use options (slightly OTM calls, 30–45 DTE) for better risk/reward if the bounce materializes. Bearish Setup (Breakdown Play): • If any of these names (especially NYSE:COP or NYSE:OXY ) close decisively below the 200 MA with volume, it could signal deeper sector weakness. • In that case, consider shorting or buying puts on a retest of the 200 MA. This is a high-conviction moment for the energy sector. The simultaneous test of long-term support across multiple major holdings is worth watching closely. #XLE #EnergyStocks #200MA #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup
AMEX:XLELong
by Gutta_CEO_
IGV — How I'm Timing the Software Sector Bottom, Long PATH & NOWSoftware's lagged the rest of the tech move — and that's exactly where I like to fish. Here's how I'm using IGV to time the sector's next bottom. What IGV is: the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF — a basket of the major US software names (Microsoft, Oracle, Salesforce, Adobe, ServiceNow and many more). I treat it as one clean read on the whole software group: when IGV bottoms, the individual names tend to bottom with it. NOW is one of its top holdings and PATH trades right alongside this group — so this chart is basically the tide under both names I've already posted. Why now: I'm bullish PATH and NOW (linked below) and I reckon software is the laggard of this cycle — it hasn't run with the rest of tech yet. IGV is how I time the next short-term bottom for the sector. What I'm waiting for: look at the volume into the last two local bottoms (arrows) — heavy clusters as price carved the low. I want something similar before I call it. It doesn't have to be as big as those, but ideally heavier than the average volume since the June 1 top (the yellow downtrend on the volume pane). That pickup is the tell that buyers are stepping back in. Levels: the two white lines (83.32 and 80.11) are my main points of interest — a bounce off either would be extra confluence. But anywhere between here and the Major Low is fine by me. What matters is that the Major Low holds. That's the line in the sand. The read: as long as the Major Low holds, the software sector is offering great risk/reward right here. I'm positioned in PATH and NOW and watching for that volume signal to confirm the bottom's in. Not advice — just my read and the why. Positioned in the names mentioned. CBOE:IGV NYSE:NOW NYSE:PATH
CBOE:IGVLong
by Fibonaussie
Friday flash dump could be a clue for $SPYAMEX:SPY Heavy selling there at the close but it looks like it was picked up. That flash dump took the prior low from earlier this month but it just missed May's low. That could be the bottom for the month of June. If it is we will gap up and test the gap up at 744. That would be the lower high to hold this current trend. From there would be the decision point. July typically belongs to the bulls so I am leaning towards this turning into a bull flag that breaks to the high. We will have a good idea on Monday I think. If this breaks down and closes there then we could be headed for 690-700. If it gaps up then it tests the top of the flag which is also the top of the range which sits at the NFP open/high where there is a ton of liquidity. A break above that area and the market starts running again. Nothing we can do but wait and see. Enjoy the weekend🫡
AMEX:SPY
by Train4388
Research 26.06.2026🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY -5.56 -0.76%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ -10.42 -1.45%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: OpenAI plans to delay its IPO until 2027 — NYT. 08:30 USA – Goods Trade Balance 08:30 USA – Wholesale / Retail Inventories Ex Autos 10:00 USA – Michigan Consumer Sentiment 📈 Gap Ups Reaction to earnings/guidance: NASDAQ:WSE Other news: NASDAQ:ACAD announced that the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) has adopted a positive opinion following a re-examination procedure, recommending the granting of a marketing authorization for DAYBU® (trofinetide) for the treatment of neurobehavioral symptoms of Rett syndrome in adults and pediatric patients aged five years and older. NASDAQ:ILLR to Acquire Significant SpaceX Position as a Strategic Treasury Asset NASDAQ:RKLB : NASA Hands It 3 Electron Launches Cathie Wood's ARK Invest bought more NASDAQ:PLTR shares 📉 Gap Downs Reaction to earnings/guidance: NYSE:FDXF Other news: NASDAQ:ON announces $7bn all-stock agreement to buy NASDAQ:SYNA / SYNA shareholders will receive 1.35 shares of ON / with premium of about 19% NASDAQ:AAPL hikes prices as memory chip costs skyrocket NYSE:BABA Stock Sink on Explosive Anthropic AI Theft Allegations ‼️ Additional NASDAQ:SPCX plans to bring Starlink Mobile to the US consumer market — FT. The Fed will not change rates in 2026. -- For the first time since 2023, more economists now expect Fed rate hikes than rate cuts — Reuters poll. 🏢 IPO NYSE:SIND – Sinda Ltd. Company explores silver, gold and related mineral assets in Guanajuato, Mexico. Main asset is the Sinda Property, a large greenfield silver-gold project located near one of Mexico’s historic silver mining districts. The company has not started production yet and has no revenue, so the story depends on drilling results, feasibility work and future mine development. Price: $11.25–$13.25 Shares: 17.8M Raised: ~$217.4M LTM: Revenue: $0 Net Income: -$27.7M Comparable public companies: NYSE:PAAS , NYSE:AG , NYSE:HL , NYSE:CDE , ASX:MAG , LSE:SILV 📋 List of tickers involved: NASDAQ:WSE NASDAQ:ACAD NASDAQ:ILLR NASDAQ:RKLB NASDAQ:PLTR NYSE:FDXF NASDAQ:ON NASDAQ:SYNA NASDAQ:AAPL NYSE:BABA NASDAQ:SPCX NYSE:SIND NYSE:PAAS NYSE:AG NYSE:HL NYSE:CDE ASX:MAG LSE:SILV Best regards – hi2morrow team.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by hi2morrow_team
SPY's Hourly Just Flipped Back to Bear. Yesterday's Bull Print..SPY's Hourly Just Flipped Back to Bear. Yesterday's Bull Print Didn't Last 24 Hours. Two days ago SPY's bear print got replaced by a fresh bull announcement at CQI 55.09. Yesterday morning that bull print was 12 bars old with EUPHORIA flagging on the evening update. Today the Hourly is reading LOW SHORT thesis, Q4 SHORT, RED light, with a 27-bar bull announcement still in the data but the thesis layer above it has flipped direction entirely. DISBELIEF is active on the MIRROR. Entry Signal at FORMING. IMP at 2/5 with SwLo Swept YES, ATR at 98th percentile. Price dropped to 728.50 intraday and is at 729.25 now, well below yesterday's 736 zone. The Daily is reading LOW LONG with a FORMING signal and DISBELIEF active - opposite directions between timeframes again, the same pattern that defined SPY for a week. Resistance: 732.45-733.34 - nearest overhead Key resistance: 736.50-736.87 - the level lost yesterday Current price: 729.25 Support: 728.21-729.40 - the level price is sitting on Key support: 724.23-724.56 - next structural shelf Below that: 720.41-721.17 - the broader floor Two paths from here: The Daily LONG wins: the 218-bar bull print at CQI 69.87 still anchoring the Daily reasserts, price reclaims 732.45, the Hourly bear flip turns out to be a single-session reaction. The Hourly SHORT wins: the EXT MODE on the SYNTH Gate that has been active for over a week finally gets confirmation, price loses 728 and opens 724 then 720. The Daily's bull print joins the broken-anchor list with BTC's 59,073 and NVDA's 199.89. Both timeframes have anti-signals flagged on the same morning: DISBELIEF on the Hourly MIRROR, DISBELIEF on the Daily MIRROR. That's the system flagging that whatever direction either timeframe is showing on the surface, the conviction engine isn't backing it. When both timeframes simultaneously flag DISBELIEF, the read is that price is moving but nobody confident is behind it yet. --- Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS Study, not financial advice.
AMEX:SPY
by virDeStatera
SPY - Major Pullback LikelyThe SPY has recently gone on an absolute tear taking off 20%+ in just over 2 months time, a pullback of this range is not out of the question. The micro-count shows a clear impulse down on wave A and a STEEP pullback for that wave B, suggesting that wave C will be much bloodier. It is possible we only see a minor pullback (roughly 2% down from here) but I feel is much more likely we see a larger pullback - 6-7% from where were at now. Depending on how that forms, will shape the overall picture a bit more clearly. Wave-Count Confidence: Strong
AMEX:SPYShort
by ThePennyMan
Nasdaq - The stock market remains bullish!💰Nasdaq ( NASDAQ:QQQ ) is just heading much higher: 🔎Analysis summary: Basically since April of 2026, all indices entered into a parabolic bullrun. And while the Nasdaq is currently retesting a major resistance trendline, markets are not slowing down at all. Looking at the higher timeframe, the Nasdaq could easily break this resistance soon. 📝Levels to watch: $600 and $800 Keep your #LONGTERMVISION🙏 — Phil (@TheTraderPhil)
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by TheTraderPhil
8
IBIT - The Low Is In?IBIT has fallen to a fresh low 52 week low of $32.84 with BTC approaching $58,000 following inflation data coming in hotter than expected. Even though things may look grim from an economic perspective, the charts may be telling a different story. There are multiple reasons why IBIT could be forming a low in the $31-$32 range right now. Let's break them down. Bitcoin's Golden Zone The lows IBIT is visiting are very much in line with where I am expecting a local low for Bitcoin, if not the bear market bottom itself. The related BTC post can be viewed here: The Black Trendline Looking back at the structure dating to 2024, the black trendline that suppressed price from March 2024 to October 2024 before the major breakout is now being tested as a new level of support. This is a textbook example of old resistance flipping into new demand, and it carries significant weight given how long that trendline was respected as selling pressure. This trendline test also aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci level of IBIT's macro trend, adding another layer of confluence to the case for a low forming in this region. The VPVR is also showing signs that this volume shelf should act as a floor: Price is currently trading below the bottom of the accumulation zone, but the volume shelf ends around $32.50, which suggests the majority of candle bodies should close back above that level and head back into the accumulation zone. Volume and Inflows I have also been closely monitoring whether IBIT can generate the volume and inflows needed to confirm and support the lows being tested: I am beginning to see early signs of this coming to fruition, but significantly more volume is needed before this level can be confidently confirmed as a local low. The NAV Range Looking at IBIT's NAV, it is now approaching the 32 range (green line) where historically some of the most significant price swings coincided with Bitcoin's major moves. The last time the NAV reached a similarly critical level was around 47 (red line), which also aligned with major directional swings. These NAV levels have repeatedly acted as inflection points and could continue to do so given all the other factors I have outlined. The Weekly Bullish Divergence Finally, IBIT has the potential to develop a bullish divergence on the weekly timeframe. Price has been printing continued lower lows while at the same time the RSI has been printing higher lows. This shows that despite the ongoing decline in price, underlying selling momentum is weakening. Each successive low is being made with less and less downside force, which is one of the most reliable early signs that a trend reversal is approaching. If this divergence fully confirms with a weekly candle close that holds current levels and begins to recover, it would be one of the strongest signals yet that the smart money accumulation process is underway. I have also outlined this potential bullish divergence development across TOTAL, BTC, and ETH.
NASDAQ:IBIT
by VIAQUANT