ETF market
Price Action Education Series No. 011 - PennantPennants are continuation patterns that form after a strong, sharp directional move, followed by a brief pause where price tightens into a small converging structure before breaking again in the original direction. The key idea is simple: the market makes a powerful run, pauses just long enough to compress, and then often continues the trend. A pennant is very similar to a flag, but the difference is important — flags use parallel boundaries, while pennants use converging lines.
That distinctio
XLEThis looks promising. My interpretation of the data suggests that a bullish move for XLE is to be expected. Center Point inflows concur. These are the prices, as I see them, all the way up to the $72 range and all the way down to the $56 range. Obviously, in my opinion, red means sell and green means buy. As always, the standard TradingView disclaimer applies to all of my posts as they have for the last 8 years since I first opened a TradingView account.
SOXL LongLong look at the daily stoch up
Look weekly Stoch turning but its not ready be played
good turning up but under red line
So I am playing Daily stoch. Took some
off at the 100 day MA Nice 24% still long
above all ma and the 25 day ready cross up thru thru
the 50 day higher lows
Know guys this feel good rally wont last why please read
Unless the 2‑year drops into the Fed Rate Cut Zone — 4.50 — and the Fed confirms a rate cut and keeps repeating it, this rally will NOT last.
$DRAM is squeezing under a resistance zonePrice is at 61.73 on the 4h chart. The zone sits between 62 and 64. Sellers have stopped it several times since mid-August.
Below, a rising trendline and the EMA 100 hold near 58. The range is getting tighter and volume is fading.
I want a 4h close above 64 to confirm a breakout. My target is 70 to 72. If price closes under 58, I drop the idea.
I will wait for the close, not guess.
Not financial advice.
SPY: Before buying a bounce, check the right statisticYesterday's low is on the chart. Price is approaching it. Does that make it a good place to buy?
I want to separate two questions first: how often price reaches the level, and what happens after it gets there.
This SPY 15-minute snapshot uses my free Level Survival Tracker. Look at PDL, which means prior-day low. In the displayed sample:
• Price tested the level in 17 of 50 eligible sessions: 34%.
• Of those 17 tests, 14 eventually broke the level: about 82%.
• The displayed 95% interval for
SPY: A busy open does not guarantee a trendA fast tape makes it easy to confuse movement with opportunity. Before chasing, I want to know how much of that movement price actually kept.
This SPY 15-minute chart shows the October 2 session: an early push higher, a sharp reversal, then a narrower afternoon rotation. That sequence is visible after the fact. The useful question for the next session is what would justify expecting follow-through before taking a trade.
READ THE OPENING ROW
The Session Block Profile on this chart uses 30-minu
SPY needs to beat 772 on the daily to resume uptrendSPY has been making lower highs and lower lows on the daily and needs to close above the previous high at 772 to resume uptrend in the short term otherwise I expect it to stay below and potentially make lower lows which could leave to drop towards 750 and lower. See the chart text for more context. I will watch next week to see if it makes new highs otherwise try to take a short position at the retest areas.
Why My Strategy Just Sold Everything
Monthly Portfolio Update: GTAA HAA Strategy (October 2026) – Maximum Defensive Posture (100% Cash)
1. Canary-Driven Market Regime (Crash Alert)
Based on our system's dashboard, we utilize the TIP (iShares TIPS Bond ETF) as our primary 'Canary' asset to gauge overall market health. In this current evaluation, the system has triggered a definitive "CRASH ALERT," shifting the portfolio into a Risk-Off regime. This transition is driven by the Canary's 10-month SMA momentum dropping to -2.45%, v
Opening: SMH Nov 20th 530/540/670/680 Iron Condor... for a 3.44 credit.
Comments: Layering in (See Post Below) while there's still >45 DTE ... .
Metrics:
Max Profit: 3.44 ($344)
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: 6.56 ($656)
ROC at Max: 52.4%
ROC at 50% Max: 26.2%
ROC at 10% of the Widest Wing Take Profit: 15.2%
Tech Leads The Charge: $NDX Breaks Out FirstNasdaq 100 is running exactly as anticipated.
In a world full of worry, capital always finds its way back to quality and liquidity. There Is No Alternative (TINA), and once again, mega cap tech proves to be the ultimate haven.
When we flipped our stance on the squiggly, the conviction was clear: go bullish where the true relative strength lives, zeroing in on NASDAQ:NDX and $SOX. Tech and semiconductors are stepping up to do the heavy lifting, paving the path while the rest of the market wor
Three higher closes. Is a pullback actually due?“It has gone up three times. The next one has to be down.”
That is a tempting reason to fade a move. Before acting on it, ask how often that exact condition has changed the odds on this chart.
In this QQQ 15-minute snapshot, the three-up row in Streak Statistics contains 293 resolved observations. The next close continued higher 46.8% of the time. The overall up-close baseline is 50.7%, so the difference is minus 3.9 percentage points.
The displayed 95% interval runs from 41.1% to 52.5%, whic
A breakout label has to earn your trustA green label is easy to trust. I want to know whether it actually separated better outcomes from worse ones.
This SPY 15-minute chart gives us an honest test. In the displayed Break Quality ledger:
• Supported: 31 resolved breaks, 45.2% survived.
• Neutral: 194 resolved breaks, 46.4% survived.
• Contradicted: 25 resolved breaks, 52.0% survived.
The supported group did not lead this sample. Its displayed interval is 29.2%–62.2%, versus 33.5%–70.0% for contradicted breaks. Those broad, overlap
Research 02.10.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY +5.30 +0.69%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ +6.81 +0.92%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
Wall St futures rise ahead of the September jobs report as oil falls over 3% and Treasury yields ease
08:30 USA – Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings
10:00 USA – Factory Orders
10:00 USA – Fed Logan Speech
13:00 USA – Baker Hughes Rig Count
📈 Gap Ups
Other news:
NASDAQ:SYNA jumps after NASDAQ:ON and Synaptics amended their merger agreement, converting it t
Is the market ready to rally?
The fear is that debt becomes too expensive to carry—and lenders start questioning who can repay it. Credit markets are where governments and companies borrow.
There are two connected concerns right now:
Government debt: Heavy borrowing, inflation and higher rates are pushing up financing costs. Today’s reporting highlights global bond-market stress, particularly around heavily indebted governments and France’s fiscal troubles.
Corporate and private credit: Weaker companies face expensive re
SPY Is Back Above 765.52 Ahead Of Payrolls.SPY Is Back Above 765.52 Ahead Of Payrolls.
SPY is trading 767.92 premarket, above the 765.52 line after Thursday's session closed at 763.99 having dipped to 758.79 on the ISM report. Premarket is not a close, and the September jobs report lands at 08:30 ET, so the reaction sets the read, not the early print. The hourly dashboard leans short with its last announcement bearish, while the 4H shows no thesis and a narrow-range warning - no agreement and no lean. Neutral.
Resistance: 770.09 - the
QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 39 of 2026 (SEP 28 - OCT 02)PREVIOUS WEEK'S RECAP
UA CAPITAL Weekly Execution Metrics | WEEK 38
Total Trades Closed: 8
Winning Trades: 5
Losing Trades: 3
Overall Win Rate: 63%
Index Options: 3 Trades | 2 Wins / 1 Loss (QQQ - SPY)
Futures: 5 Trades | 3 NQ Wins / 2 ES Losses
Equities / Precious Metals / Forex: 0 Trades
Result: Profitable week.
This Week's Prediction / Scenarios
Risk Index
What is the Risk Index Oscillator?
This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework.
SPY|SPX Weekly Outlook – Week 39 of 2026 (SEP 28 - OCT 02)PREVIOUS WEEK'S RECAP
UA CAPITAL Weekly Execution Metrics | WEEK 38
Total Trades Closed: 8
Winning Trades: 5
Losing Trades: 3
Overall Win Rate: 63%
Index Options: 3 Trades | 2 Wins / 1 Loss (QQQ - SPY)
Futures: 5 Trades | 3 NQ Wins / 2 ES Losses
Equities / Precious Metals / Forex: 0 Trades
Result: Profitable week.
This Week's Prediction / Scenarios
Risk Index
What is the Risk Index Oscillator?
This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framewor























