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Research 04.06.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY −2.86 −0.38%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ −9.21 −1.24%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
08:30 USA – Initial Jobless Claims
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
MIL:BF -B NYSE:TTC
Other news:
TVC:STI Unveils Patented Extreme-Climate Battery Technology Targeting Low Earth Orbit-Based Artificial Intelligence Data Centers, Lunar Economy, and Space
NYSE:BRK.B bought $10 billion in Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL common stock at a discount of about 6% on Monday, one of the first major deals it has made under Buffett's successor Greg Abel.
-- Cathie Wood's ARK Buys $96M of NASDAQ:GOOGL stock While Trimming NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:BIDU Stakes
NASDAQ:AMZN will invest $10 billion in automating its distribution centers in Europe.
NYSE:CRM : Agentic AI and headless tech drive flexible, AI-powered CRM and Slack-based productivity
NYSE:NOW : Unified data and analytics drive rapid growth and AI readiness through real-time, federated insights
XETR:SAP shifts to AI platform, boosts hiring
-- BlackRock disclosed on June 3, 2026 that it crossed the 3% voting rights threshold in SAP
ASX:TLX and United Imaging Announce Strategic Theranostics Collaboration
NYSE:NVO is taking its Wegovy pill beyond the U.S.
Today NASDAQ:PLTR anounced a multi-year, multi-million dollar strategic partnership with Google Cloud, McCarthy Building Companies Inc., GNP Seguros and Kirkland & Ellis.
📉 Gap Downs
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NYSE:PVH NASDAQ:NTSK NASDAQ:AVGO NASDAQ:FIVE NASDAQ:CRWD NYSE:CIEN NYSE:VEEV NASDAQ:DSGX NASDAQ:OCTV
Other news:
Broadcom's NASDAQ:AVGO revenue miss pressured chip stocks: NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:MU NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:ARM NASDAQ:SMCI NYSE:VSH NASDAQ:NVTS NYSE:UMC NYSE:WOLF NASDAQ:ALAB NYSE:ANET NASDAQ:AAOI NASDAQ:LITE NYSE:COHR NASDAQ:AEHR NASDAQ:SNDK NASDAQ:AMKR NYSE:STM NYSE:GLW NASDAQ:CRDO NASDAQ:GFS NYSE:HPE NYSE:DELL NASDAQ:QCOM NASDAQ:INTC NASDAQ:ASML NYSE:TSM
NASDAQ:POET Sued for Securities Law Violations
Crypto stocks sink as Bitcoin hits a 4-month low NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:COIN NYSE:CRCL NASDAQ:MARA NASDAQ:CLSK NASDAQ:HUT NASDAQ:CORZ NASDAQ:IREN
NYSE:HSBC NYSE:PUK : The South China Morning Post reported that the Shanghai branch of the Bank of East Asia had suspended opening Hong Kong accounts that allowed overseas investments for those on the mainland.
‼️ Additional
BlackRock is once again moving BTC and ETH to exchanges. Clients continue to sell.
Space-sector stocks have fallen 20% from their May 28 peak ahead of the SpaceX IPO. NASDAQ:ASTS NASDAQ:RKLB NASDAQ:LUNR
-- Today starts the SpaceX IPO roadshow.
The Beige Book notes resilience in the US labor market amid accelerating inflation.
🏢 IPO
NASDAQ:QNT – Quantinuum
Company develops quantum computing systems and software for enterprise and government customers. It was formed from Honeywell Quantum Solutions and Cambridge Quantum, combining quantum hardware with software tools. Core thesis is hybrid computing, where CPUs, GPUs and quantum processors work together to solve problems that are too complex for classical systems alone.
Price: $60.00
Shares: 28.0M
Raised: $1.68B
LTM:
Revenue: $30.9M
Net Income: -$192.6M
Comparable public companies: NYSE:QBTS , NYSE:IONQ , NASDAQ:RGTI , NASDAQ:QUBT , NASDAQ:HON
NASDAQ:INIO – INNIO Holding GmBH
Company manufactures reciprocating natural gas engines and power generation systems under the Jenbacher and Waukesha brands. Its engines are used for distributed power generation and can run on natural gas, hydrogen blends and other alternative fuels. Business has two parts: equipment sales and recurring service/maintenance for the installed base under multi-year contracts.
Price: $27.00
Shares: 90.0M
Raised: $2.43B
Note: company will not receive IPO proceeds; shares are sold by the selling shareholder.
LTM:
Revenue: $2.81B
Net Income: $97.8M
Comparable public companies: NYSE:CMI , NYSE:CAT , NYSE:GEV , NYSE:GNRC , NYSE:ETN
NASDAQ:LFTO – Liftoff Mobile
Company operates an AI-powered mobile advertising and app monetization platform. It helps app developers acquire users and monetize ad inventory through SDK integrations. The platform is connected to 140,000+ apps and roughly 1.4B daily active users worldwide. Core thesis is mobile app advertising, AI-driven targeting and monetization at scale.
Price: $23.00
Shares: 19.0M
Raised: $437.0M
LTM:
Revenue: $685.7M
Net Income: -$23.2M
Comparable public companies: NASDAQ:APP , NASDAQ:TTD , NASDAQ:MGNI , NASDAQ:PUBM , NASDAQ:APPS
📋 List of tickers involved:
MIL:BF -B NYSE:TTC TVC:STI NYSE:BRK.B NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:BIDU NASDAQ:AMZN NYSE:CRM NYSE:NOW XETR:SAP ASX:TLX NYSE:NVO NASDAQ:PLTR NYSE:PVH NASDAQ:NTSK NASDAQ:AVGO NASDAQ:FIVE NASDAQ:CRWD NYSE:CIEN NYSE:VEEV NASDAQ:DSGX NASDAQ:OCTV NASDAQ:MU NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:ARM NASDAQ:SMCI NYSE:VSH NASDAQ:NVTS NYSE:UMC NYSE:WOLF NASDAQ:ALAB NYSE:ANET NASDAQ:AAOI NASDAQ:LITE NYSE:COHR NASDAQ:AEHR NASDAQ:SNDK NASDAQ:AMKR NYSE:STM NYSE:GLW NASDAQ:CRDO NASDAQ:GFS NYSE:HPE NYSE:DELL NASDAQ:QCOM NASDAQ:INTC NASDAQ:ASML NYSE:TSM NASDAQ:POET NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:COIN NYSE:CRCL NASDAQ:MARA NASDAQ:CLSK NASDAQ:HUT NASDAQ:CORZ NASDAQ:IREN NYSE:HSBC NYSE:PUK NASDAQ:ASTS NASDAQ:RKLB NASDAQ:LUNR NASDAQ:QNT NASDAQ:INIO NASDAQ:LFTO
Best regards – hi2morrow team.
USO Intraday Setup – Weak Momentum Points to a Same‑Day PullbackCurrent Price: 140.86
Direction: SHORT
Confidence level: 85%(Trader consensus remains unified across group metrics.)
Targets
Target 1: 139.90
Target 2: 138.90
Stop Levels
Stop 1: 141.70
Stop 2: 142.80
Wisdom of Professional Traders:
Across the crude oil complex today (USO and CL=F), the combined signal from professional trader commentary and X sentiment is drifting slightly bearish for TODAY’s intraday session. Neither YouTube traders nor X sentiment show strong conviction, which usually tells me momentum is fading after a prior move. When both sources sit near neutral, the edge often comes from mean‑reversion rather than breakout trades.
Several professional traders I follow tend to treat neutral sentiment environments as fade setups during the same trading day. The logic is simple: if momentum traders aren't piling in, rallies often stall near intraday resistance and pull back toward liquidity pockets. On X, the real‑time chatter also lacks aggressive bullish positioning, which typically precedes continuation moves. Instead, the tone suggests traders are waiting for dips rather than chasing higher prices.
So for TODAY only, I'm leaning SHORT across the oil complex. The expectation isn't a major breakdown—just a controlled intraday drift lower of roughly 0.7–1.5% as early buyers take profits and price rotates back toward intraday support zones.
Key Insights:
USO is currently trading at $140.86, and what's interesting right now is how the ETF is behaving around short‑term resistance after a recent push higher. When I compare momentum indicators and intraday positioning behavior typical for commodity ETFs, this type of pause often turns into a mild retracement during the same session.
For TODAY only, the setup looks like a fade of strength rather than a continuation move. When the oil complex loses directional conviction, USO frequently retraces toward the nearest liquidity cluster below the market. The absence of strong bullish sentiment suggests buyers may step aside temporarily, leaving the price vulnerable to a modest intraday pullback.
Another factor I’m watching is the ETF structure itself. USO tends to exaggerate small moves in crude futures during quiet sentiment environments. That means even a modest dip in CL futures during TODAY’s session can translate into a slightly sharper move in USO.
Recent Performance:
USO has been holding relatively firm lately, but the most recent price behavior shows momentum flattening out. Instead of trending smoothly higher, the ETF has started printing tighter ranges and hesitation near current levels. For TODAY’s session, that kind of compression often resolves with a small downside rotation before any new trend attempt.
Expert Analysis:
Several professional traders I track on YouTube emphasize fading commodity ETFs when sentiment stalls near resistance. The takeaway from their commentary for TODAY is that traders aren't aggressively adding long exposure at these levels.
On X, the sentiment feed shows balanced positioning with no dominant bullish narrative. When X flows shift from excitement to neutrality, it usually means momentum traders have stepped back for the day, which supports a short‑side intraday bias.
News Impact:
There isn't a strong fresh catalyst driving oil sentiment right now. With no major macro shock or supply headline dominating the narrative TODAY, crude‑linked ETFs like USO often revert toward technical levels instead of trending strongly.
Trading Recommendation:
For TODAY only, the better setup appears to be shorting strength rather than chasing upside. I'm watching for price to roll over slightly from current levels and drift toward lower intraday liquidity pockets.
Short
SPY ETF Showing Early Signs of Momentum ReversalCurrent Price: 754.24
Direction: SHORT
Confidence level: 85%(Trader consensus remains unified across group metrics.)
Targets
Target 1: 750.80
Target 2: 747.50
Stop Levels
Stop 1: 757.80
Stop 2: 761.00
Wisdom of Professional Traders:
Across the S&P 500 complex today (ES futures, SPX, SPY and the major mega-cap leaders), the combined signal from professional traders and X sentiment leans toward intraday downside continuation for TODAY only.
Several professional futures traders discussing ES and SPX levels are pointing to rising wedge structures, broken demand zones, and institutional put flow around SPX 7550, which suggests dealers hedging downside risk during the current session. One trader highlighted aggressive 7550 put activity that aligned with price moving directly into a prior demand zone before reversing—typically a sign of short‑term distribution.
Macro context also adds pressure for TODAY only. Risk assets pulled back after stronger‑than‑expected economic data (ADP + strong ISM Services) increased “higher‑for‑longer” rate expectations. Yields and oil rose simultaneously due to geopolitical headlines, which historically pressures tech‑heavy indices intraday.
On X, sentiment shows a clear pattern: traders discussing support levels breaking (SPY 749 / ES supply control shifts) while others expect only shallow bounces rather than sustained upside during today’s session.
The key dynamic today:
• S&P 500 just ended a 9‑day green streak
• momentum indicators show overbought conditions
• heavy options activity in mega‑caps suggests gamma pressure if support cracks
When you combine this with elevated VIX around 22 and visible hedging flows, the most probable scenario for TODAY only is a controlled pullback across the entire S&P complex.
So the unified trade bias across the group — ES, SPX, SPY and the mega‑cap leaders — is SHORT for TODAY’s intraday session.
Key Insights:
SPY around 754 reflects the same macro dynamics affecting the entire index complex.
After an extended rally, momentum indicators are cooling while RSI has begun rolling over.
For TODAY only, traders are watching whether 749–750 support becomes the next liquidity zone.
Recent Performance:
The ETF just experienced its worst mid‑week decline since March, signaling a shift in short‑term momentum.
Expert Analysis:
Many traders on X are discussing support breaks and expecting additional downside if those levels fail.
News Impact:
Macro data and geopolitical headlines are the main catalysts today.
Trading Recommendation:
For TODAY only, the setup favors downside continuation.
Short 
Title: TQQQ | June 4In today's review of TQQQ, I walk through how I use previous day levels, higher-timeframe analysis, and Fibonacci retracements to build a trade plan before the market opens.
The process begins by identifying the Previous Day High (PDH) and Previous Day Low (PDL), which often act as important liquidity levels throughout the trading session.
From there, I move to the higher timeframes to establish context and determine whether price is trending, consolidating, or approaching a significant level of interest. Once the broader picture is established, I use Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential pullback areas where price may offer a higher-probability entry.
A major focus of this review is taking emotion out of the decision-making process by using probabilities rather than predictions. Instead of assuming where price will go, I build a case using confluence and ask what price is most likely to do based on the information available.
Key topics covered:
• Previous Day High (PDH) and Previous Day Low (PDL)
• Higher-timeframe market context
• Fibonacci retracement pullback zones
• Building confluence through multiple factors
• Using probabilities to create objective trade plans
The goal is not to predict the market, but to develop a structured framework for understanding price behavior and making more informed trading decisions.
As always, the focus remains on confirmation over prediction.
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SPY vs RSP: Is the Rally Real?A market rally can look strong on the surface, but the real question is:
Is the whole market rising, or are only a few big stocks carrying the index?
This is where comparing SPY and RSP becomes useful.
SPY tracks the S&P 500 in a market-cap weighted way. That means the biggest companies have a larger effect on the index. If a few mega-cap stocks are performing well, SPY can move higher even if many other stocks are not doing much.
RSP tracks the S&P 500 with equal weight. That means every company has a more balanced impact. Because of this, RSP can give a clearer view of broad market participation.
Why this matters
If SPY is making new highs but RSP is lagging behind, it can be a warning sign.
It does not automatically mean the rally will fail, but it tells us that the rally may not be as broad as it looks. A strong market usually has participation from many stocks, not just a small group of leaders.
Simple way to read it
If SPY is rising and RSP is also rising, the rally has better confirmation.
If SPY is rising but RSP is flat or weak, the rally may be narrow.
If both SPY and RSP are weak, market strength is clearly missing.
How traders can use this
I do not use SPY vs RSP as a direct buy or sell signal.
I use it as a market health check.
Before chasing a rally, I want to know whether the move is supported by broad participation or only by a few large-cap names. This helps avoid buying into a move that looks strong but has weak support underneath.
Simple checklist:
1. Is SPY making higher highs?
2. Is RSP confirming the move?
3. Is RSP lagging or breaking down?
4. Are only mega-cap stocks leading?
5. Is the market showing broad participation?
6. Is the risk/reward still worth it?
The main lesson is simple:
Price can move higher, but breadth tells us how healthy the move is.
A strong rally usually needs more than a few big names. It needs participation.
Do you check market breadth before trading index moves, or do you only watch the main index chart?
Share your view below. This is one of those simple tools that can completely change how traders read the market. 
Education
Elliott Wave View: QQQ Correcting Cycle from May 18The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) established a significant low on March 31, 2026, at $555.55. From this level, the ETF advanced in wave (1), reaching $722.03, before a corrective pullback in wave (2) concluded at $695.25. The subsequent rally unfolded as wave (3), structured as a clear impulsive Elliott Wave sequence. Within this move, wave ((i)) terminated at $706.49, followed by wave ((ii)) at $700.20. Momentum then carried wave ((iii)) to $737.60, before wave ((iv)) corrected to $725.27. The final leg, wave ((v)), extended to $748.65, completing wave 1 of the higher degree cycle.
At present, QQQ is pulling back in wave 2, correcting the cycle from the May 19, 2026 low. This phase has already produced wave ((w)), which ended at $741.01, and a counter‑trend rally in wave ((x)), which peaked at $745.76. Market expectations now center on wave ((y)) finding support between $733.60 and $738.20. Once this support zone is confirmed, wave 2 should conclude, paving the way for the next upward cycle. Near term, the pivot at $695.18 remains critical. As long as this level holds, dips are expected to attract buyers. The correction may unfold in 3, 7, or 11 swings, but the broader structure favors continuation higher once the corrective rhythm stabilizes. 
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Tracking Real Estate Capital Flows Through Price & TimeSince learning Gann theories ive been experimenting in every market. For this analysis i decided to use the Vanguard Real Estate ETF, as a proxy for institutional real estate sentiment. My thinking is simple: before increased investor activity, acquisitions, refinancing, development, and lending opportunities show up in the real world, the market often begins pricing those expectations in first.
Using the most recent major swing high and swing low, I built bullish and bearish Square of 9 frameworks, then identified areas where those levels converged. Instead of focusing on individual prices, I grouped them into confluence zones and combined them with Gann time cycles to create a roadmap of areas where sentiment may be shifting.
What I find interesting is that this gives me a structured way to monitor the health of the real estate market. If VNQ begins accepting above major confluence zones and continues making higher highs through important time cycles, it could suggest improving confidence in commercial real estate. If it struggles at those areas or begins losing key zones, it may signal continued caution from investors and lenders.
#RealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #VNQ #Gann #SquareOf9 #MarketCycles #Investing #Finance #Trading #RealEstateInvesting Short
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**SOXL: The Dangerous Game After 1291% Returns — Extreme DivergeAMEX:SOXL
**📊 Thesis: Neutral to Bearish (Short-Term)**
SOXL surged +5.59% despite NVDA dropping -3.24%, with the previous session also posting a significant gain. This **extreme divergence between the sector's largest heavyweight and its 3x leveraged proxy**, combined with a broad risk-off rotation (SPLV +0.69% vs. SPHB -0.48%), signals a high-risk capital migration *within* the semiconductor sector rather than healthy broad-based strength.
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**🚨 The Anomaly: NVDA vs. SOXL Rare Divergence**
- **NVDA**: -3.24% (largest SOX constituent, typically 10-12% weight)
- **SOXL**: +5.59% (3x Daily Bull SOX)
- **SOXL YTD**: +450% | **1-Year Return**: +1291%
**Interpretation**: The SOX index needed to rally approximately +2% to overcome NVDA's drag and push SOXL to +5.59%. This implies non-NVDA components (AVGO, AMD, MRVL, etc.) had to explode higher. This is not healthy sector-wide momentum — it is **violent late-stage rotation** where laggards are squeezed higher to compensate for the leader's collapse.
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**🎯 The Catalyst: "De-NVDAization" Ahead of Broadcom (AVGO) Earnings**
- **AVGO reports Q2 FY2026 after market close today (June 3)**. Consensus expects AI semiconductor revenue of **$10.7B** (vs. $8.4B in Q1, +106% YoY).
- **Google's rumored $80B AI infrastructure raise** points directly to ASIC demand — Broadcom's core growth engine.
- Capital is rotating out of expensive NVDA into "backup" chip plays, artificially inflating the SOX index while masking underlying concentration risk.
**The Trap**: If AVGO misses or guides down, the SOX index could unwind rapidly. With 3x leverage, SOXL would absorb a disproportionate shock.
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**⚠️ Macro Headwinds: Risk-Off Rotation Meets Geopolitical Fire**
- **SPLV (Low Volatility) +0.69%** vs. **SPHB (High Beta) -0.48%** → Smart money is de-risking.
- **VIX +2.09% to 16.10** → Uncertainty is creeping in, though not yet panic.
- **WTI Crude $92** (Israel-Iran escalation) → RBC Capital Markets has warned the S&P 500 could face a **20% correction** if the conflict disrupts supply chains.
**The Contradiction**: While the broader market is defensive, semiconductor leverage is in speculative euphoria. This divergence is historically unsustainable.
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**📉 Structural Risk: Volatility Decay + Liquidity Reversal**
1. **Volatility Decay**: SOXL resets daily at 3x. The current environment — NVDA down, others up, violent intraday chop — is the exact scenario that erodes leveraged ETF value through compounding math, even if the SOX index ends flat.
2. **Base Effect Fragility**: After a 1291% annual run, a mere -5% drop in SOX translates to roughly -15% for SOXL. A -10% SOX correction becomes a -30% SOXL implosion.
3. **Liquidity Reversal**: Retail FOMO and algorithmic momentum have piled in. Leveraged ETFs suffer from procyclical liquidity — abundant on the way up, evaporating instantly on the way down, often causing NAV premiums to collapse into discounts.
---
**🎯 Key Levels to Watch**
- **Upside Resistance**: SOX index prior highs. SOXL is hypersensitive to any slowdown in the underlying's momentum.
- **Downside Support**: If AVGO earnings trigger a SOX pullback, expect a potential double-digit single-day decline in SOXL.
- **Critical Metrics**:
- Can NVDA stabilize, or does its selling spread?
- Does the SPLV/SPHB ratio continue expanding? If yes, the risk-off backdrop will eventually crush speculative leverage.
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**💡 Conclusion**
SOXL's consecutive surges are driven by **intra-sector capital migration** — not an acceleration in underlying semiconductor fundamentals. Against a backdrop of broad market defense, geopolitical oil shocks, and extreme leverage positioning, SOXL sits at the intersection of **high speculation, high volatility, and high fragility**.
**This is not a chasing opportunity. It is a warning window for volatility reversion.**
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The United States: A House of Cards on the Brink of Collapse💥 NASDAQ:TLT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD IG:BITCOIN TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER SP:SPX TVC:DXY
The writing is on the wall. Under Trump’s leadership, the U.S. Treasury has been bled dry, the government is in shambles, and the country has lost its edge on the global stage. While the U.S. clings to fake valuations, propping up an overvalued dystopian bubble in crypto, AI, and tech, the rest of the world is catching up. And when this bubble bursts, the fallout will be catastrophic.
🌍 The Perfect Storm: A Nation in Crisis
The U.S. is drowning in its own excesses:
Soaring prices: Groceries, oil, housing, healthcare, education, everything is unaffordable for the average American.
Geopolitical isolation: The U.S. is at war with Iran, alienating allies, and threatening the world just to prop up Trump’s fragile ego.
Economic ruin: The overvalued markets (Wall Street, crypto, AI, tech) are a house of cards waiting to collapse.
When it all comes crashing down, the U.S. will be left in economic ruins, ... post-war, post-bubble, and post-trust.
💡 The Only Way Out: A Government for the People
The solution? A competent, caring government that prioritizes the people over billionaires. Leaders like Mamdani, Sanders, AOC and others understand that the only way forward is to:
Tear down Wall Street’s stranglehold on the economy.
Redirect wealth back to the Treasury, where it belongs.
Pay off the debt and restore stability to the country.
But here’s the twist: The billionaires will likely end up owning most of the debt. At a 4.9% guaranteed yield for the next 30 years, they’ll literally own the United States.
🎯 The Trade: Load Up on NASDAQ:TLT
If you want a piece of that action, if you want the U.S. to pay you a monthly share of what it owes, then NASDAQ:TLT is the play. When inflation comes back down and the Treasury can finally start a rate cutting cycle, these Bonds at such high Yields will become invaluable. SO Here's what I’m doing right now:
Support the Treasury to stabilize the country.
Profit from the inevitable collapse of the old system.
Help bring America back to greatness, ... on your own terms.
The system is broken. The bubble is bursting. The time to act is now.
Stay ahead. The revolution is coming.
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