SPY Reclaimed 759.13 And Is Back At 762.57.SPY Reclaimed 759.13 And Is Back At 762.57.
SPY sold to 756.63 on the PPI reaction Thursday and has spent the overnight session climbing back, trading at 762.30 - above the 759.13 range low it lost and right at the 762.57 shelf it broke on Tuesday. That makes this a retest from below of a level it has already lost twice, which is a different thing than a hold. The 4H still reads impulse continuation lower with a Q4 short surface near 38 and its first non-waiting entry state in weeks, while the
ETF market
Potential key reversal bottom detected for ZROZAwait signals for entry such as DMI/ADX and/or RSI (preferably both) swing to the bullish direction following the pullback after the initial major move on 19th August.
Stop loss for the trade involving AMEX:ZROZ (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade below the low of the signal day of 18th August (i.e.: any trade below $56.80).
P.S.: This is a 'proxy' trade for the TLT in which a lot more volume traded through ZROZ compared to TLT on a relative basis.
SPY / SPX Weekly Outlook – Week 36 of 2026 (SEP 07 -11)SPY / SPX WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
SPY Weekly Recap Outlook
Price came very close to the Demand 1 level we were watching, but missed the target I gave for Long Scenario 2 by just 0.7 cents.
However, according to the CC Model, this setup could have been confirmed through ES.
Once the Flip Level broke, price moved higher exactly as expected.
Overall, it was a successful strategy. We captured a 2% move, equivalent to 15 points, from the confirmation zone.
(For reference, I have included last
QQQ / NDX Weekly Outlook – Week 36 of 2026 (SEP 07-11)QQQ WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
QQQ Weekly Recap Outlook
Long Scenario 2 worked exceptionally well on QQQ.
As planned, we took the trade on the retest from the Demand 1 zone.
Price delivered a 2.5% move, equivalent to 17 points, from Demand 1.
(For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.)
UA CAPITAL Trading Desk Weekly Execution Metrics | WEEK 35
Total Trades Closed: 12
Winning Trades: 8
Losing Trades: 4
Overall Win Rate: 67%
Index Options: 2 Trades (2 Wins)
Future
Heading toward big move in oct Not investment advice. I publish my own analysis of Martin Armstrong’s Socrates outputs combined with my own execution rules, for educational purposes. Futures trading carries substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Levels, dates and scores are my reading of computer-generated models and can be wrong. Do your own work or work with a licensed advisor. I hold or may initiate positions in the instruments discussed.
$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Friday, September 11, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels for Friday, September 11, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:30 AM | Core CPI m/m | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: 0.2%
8:30 AM | Core CPI y/y | Forecast: 2.4% | Previous: 2.5%
8:30 AM | CPI m/m | Forecast: 0.4% | Previous: 0.1%
8:30 AM | CPI y/y | Forecast: 3.4% | Previous: 3.4%
10:00 AM | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | Forecast: 51.0 | Previous: 51.7
10:00 AM | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | Previous: 4.0%
⚠️ For informational purposes only. No
SPY Holds Stage 2 as Breadth FadesSPY continues to trade above a rising 150-day SMA, a daily approximation of Weinstein’s 30-week moving average.
Nearly half of the stocks in the market universe are also still advancing, but participation has started to shift.
Stage 2 participation currently stands at 48.6%. That is still a strong reading, but it peaked near 55% in mid-July and has been trending lower.
Stage 3 (Topping) has risen to 21.0%, its highest level since early spring.
Stage 4 (Declining) has turned higher from its s
$SPY — Sep 10 closeClosed 757.83, down 0.60%. But the whole loss came from the gap down at the open. Open to close was 0.20 points — price gapped, then went nowhere all session.
Volume finally showed up. 42.72M vs a 36.4M average, the heaviest of this whole leg and 33% more than yesterday.
And it produced nothing. Narrowest range of the sequence, 58% of a normal day.
Heavy volume with no price movement means someone is taking the other side. Sellers pushed with size today and buyers absorbed it.
760.57 broke.
$QQQ Daily Close — Sep 10NASDAQ:QQQ Daily Close — Sep 10
NASDAQ:QQQ closed 708.69, down 1.06%, below both @ripster47 EMA clouds. Price opened under the 34-50, high of the day was 712.06, and it closed at 708.69 — through the whole cloud. That's a 34-50 Break. The 5-12 Break came first in the same bar.
The volume finally answered the question
For six sessions I've been flagging the same thing on this chart: every up bar came on below-average volume. The Sep 3 curl, the follow-through, the bounces — all of it on lig
$GLD — Sep 10 closeAMEX:GLD — Sep 10 close
400 failed. Another Gap Down Fade — opened under the level, tried to reclaim it at 401.15, then sold off all day to close 396.36, near the lows.
That's an MTF Break (@ripster47 EMA cloud). The close is below 399.33, which was my line, so my long from 400 is done. I'll own that: I said at the time the bounce was unconfirmed — no Stopping Volume, no hammer, holding on an absence of sellers rather than any real buying. That's the version that gives way, and it did.
Volum
SOXX Simple chart says the most-Volume ProfileDisclaimer: This is for educational purpose only, and not an investment advice.
Here I have on a weekly SOX (Semiconductor sector),volume profile with only developing volume area (DVA) plotted and nothing else, with value area set at default of 70%
Just like VWAP, DVA can provide valuable insight
Just like VWAP, sometimes better, thought not exactly like Vwap.
1.prices can come to revisit the developing lines.
2. These lines can act as support resistance
3.Breakout from the area,will fast p
TQQQ: Descending Channel, Bearish Persists As of today September 6, 2026, ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) is trading around $72.37, recovering slightly following recent market shifts driven by mixed U.S economic data, jobs reports affecting Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, and fluctuating Treasury yields.
Technical view:
TQQQ is positioned on a bearish pathway, trending partially on lower lows and highs for a few months now, in respect to the structure. The etf continues to range down, as sellers holds more momentum on the market. P
TLT Long Near weekly support
Entry 81.06
no Stop
Target 84, 87
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader. About 25% of my trades had been stopped quickly.
TLT BFF (buy for Free)
SellToOpen 2026-12-18 P80, 1.66 (Delta=-0.36)
BuyToOpen 2026-12-18 C82, 1.61 (Delta= 0.5)
Total credit 0.05
Allow assignment to accumulate Conservative long term investment.
if P80 could be assigned, same as limit buy at 80.
No stop, keep accumulating TLT via s
SPY Short Trade IdeaIt appears the macroeconomic winds are changing from my perspective.
Continuing with educational content regarding the RSI and trading in general - the last SPY long idea was a bust. This provided me with some valuable information - it is time to test out the short thesis. Since I know my win rate, win %, per trade expectancy, and average risk to reward for my edge - I know that a failed trade is to be EXPECTED. I don't have a 100% win rate...yet.
The RSI is a momentum indicator.
if the RSI
Relative Value Arbitrage: The DBA/UNG Spread as a Midterm GridloThe DBA/UNG ratio presents an institutional-grade macro arbitrage opportunity, driven by the structural intersection of Q3 midterm political gridlock and impending El Niño weather anomalies. Executing a relative value pair trade via long Agriculture (DBA) and short Natural Gas (UNG) isolates the position from broad market beta and capitalizes on physical supply-demand divergences.
The core thesis rests on the dual-shock mechanism of El Niño:
The DBA Leg (Output Inflation): El Niño systematical
Research 10.09.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY -1.21 -0.16%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ -4.81 -0.67%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
08:30 USA – Core PPI
10:00 USA – Existing Home Sales
12:00 USA – EIA Crude Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:AVAV
Other news:
NASDAQ:XNDU and NASDAQ:AMD launch Backline to streamline CPU, GPU, FPGA integration for quantum technology
JPMorgan upgraded NASDAQ:META to Overweight from Neutral in a note Thursday, saying the company
SPY Is Sitting On 762.57 After Losing 765.52.SPY Is Sitting On 762.57 After Losing 765.52.
SPY broke the two-week range yesterday on a decisive close below 765.52 and has spent the overnight session sitting on 762.57, the shelf directly beneath it, with 759.13 as the range low underneath. The two timeframes disagree: the 4H reads impulse continuation lower with a neutral Q2 surface, while the 1H has flipped back to a Q1 long print with a live CQI near 70 - a bounce-back surface against a broken structure, not agreement. Hourly volatility
Memory ETF - looking good for 60% returnsThe memory ETF- DRAM is satisyfing all fib ratios rules to suggest it might be onto its wave 5 journey and complete its stellar run at 85$ which is almost 60% higher from current levels.
For people planning their shorts, considering the momentum of this ETF, it's important to keep this level as a line in the sand and validate by mixing indicators to suggest that 85$ indeed becomes the near future top.
Till Aug end, its a good time to remain a bull in names like Micron, SNDK, SKHY
Semicon Index has one more 15-18% upmove pendingPreviously I posted a zone from where I expected semicon index to make a double correction. Prices did retrace from the zone but I have marked that chart closed as the strucutre of upmove still has a leg pending. I expect the index to reach 620-630 levels and then head for another round of correction towards 440 levels (more on that levels later).
Many of the semicon names, memory names will reach within -5 to -10% of their ATHs and from timing perspective, it should happen sometime in middle S
$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Thursday, September 10, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels for Thursday, September 10, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:30 AM | Core PPI m/m | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.2%
8:30 AM | PPI m/m | Forecast: 0.4% | Previous: 0.0%
8:30 AM | Unemployment Claims | Forecast: 205K | Previous: 206K
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #PPI #Inflation #JoblessClaims
SPY: PPI & CPI Roadmap — Numbers to Watch, What I Expect, and HoSPY has spent the last couple sessions looking exactly like what it probably is: a market waiting on inflation data.
To me, this chart is less about trying to predict every tick and more about mapping out the most likely reaction zones depending on how PPI and CPI come in.
Big picture
The market is now heading into two major inflation reports:
PPI first
CPI second
That matters because PPI can shape the tone first, but CPI is usually the report that carries more weight for equities.
Also im























