ETF market
ARKX | Continued stock growth- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 31.03
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 29.50 (-4.90 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
SPY Lost 776.81 - The Breakout Failed.SPY Lost 776.81 - The Breakout Failed.
SPY has decisively lost 776.81, trading 769.79 - well below both the breakout level and the 771.58 shelf beneath it. Monday's read was that a decisive close below 776.81 opened the downside, and that is what happened: the month-long breakout could not hold and has reversed. The chop on the line resolved down. Price is already extended below its levels, though, so this is a confirmed failure to respect, not a fresh entry to chase. Neutral.
Resistance: 771.
Research 18.08.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY -3.23 -0.42%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ -8.15 -1.12%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
08:15 USA – ADP Employment Change
08:30 USA – Building Permits / Housing Starts
09:15 USA – Industrial Production
10:00 USA – Pending Home Sales
16:30 USA – API Crude Oil Stock Change
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:PONY NYSE:HD
Other news:
NASDAQ:AMLX Announces Positive Topline Results from Phase 3 LUCIDITY Clinical Trial of Avexitide in Post-Bariat
QQQ: Post-ATH Consolidation – Two Paths to $850Fresh ATHs are rarely the end of a move—they are often the beginning of the next one. QQQ has printed a new all-time high at $769 and has now entered a constructive correction phase. This is not a structural breakdown; it looks like a healthy consolidation designed to build energy for the next leg higher.
We are not betting on direction.
We are waiting for price to confirm its next intent.
There are two distinct tactical windows I am watching for a high-probability long entry.
📌 The Two En
SPY has gaps to fill downsideAMEX:SPY remains in a strong uptrend on the daily timeframe, trading inside a rising channel. The overall trend is still bullish as long as price continues making higher highs and higher lows.
That said, after the recent breakout, I see several daily gaps below the current price that could act as potential retracement targets. The first area to watch is around $760–765, followed by $750–755, and finally $742–746. These zones also line up with previous resistance that may now act as support. T
SPY Outlook Incomplete Bullish Cycle Supports AdvanceThe short‑term Elliott Wave outlook in the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) indicates that the cycle from the June 27 low continues to unfold as an impulse structure. From that low, wave ((i)) concluded at 756.22, followed by a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)) that ended at 725.96. The ETF then advanced in wave ((iii)), which developed as another impulse, as reflected in the 45‑minute chart. Within this sequence, wave (i) terminated at 746.55, while the subsequent dip in wave (ii) found support at 737.68. Th
$SPY & $SPX — Levels and Scenarios for Tuesday, August 18, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels and Scenarios for Tuesday, August 18, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:15 AM | ADP Weekly Employment Change | Previous: 8.3K
8:30 AM | Housing Starts | Forecast: 1.34M | Previous: 1.43M
9:15 AM | Industrial Production m/m | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.1%
10:00 AM | Pending Home Sales m/m | Forecast: 0.1% | Previous: -5.4%
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #ADP #HousingStarts #IndustrialProduction #PendingHomeSales
Mvll“And I looked, and behold, MVLL had risen again from the depths and approached the place appointed for the gathering.”
For it is written: “Let him that thinketh he standeth take heed lest he fall.” — 1 Corinthians 10:12
Many shall see the recovery and call it the beginning of a greater ascent. And as the price rises, their confidence shall rise with it.
Yet above lies the place where patience shall meet opportunity.
There the shorts shall be gathered.
The market may climb further before the appo
SPY Framework - August 17, 2026SPY Framework — August 17
Grading the last issue. On Aug 10, 771.66-774.25 was flagged as the pivot zone — a hold above pointing toward 779. Price held, extended through it, and pushed as far as the 780 area before rotating back. SPY now sits back inside that structure, testing it from above rather than below.
Where we are. That retest resolves to a tightened zone: 772.19-774.69. The same area that capped price as resistance through early August is now being tested as support — the classic rol
May retest the previous highPicking up the momentum lets see,NBIL is a high-risk, tactical instrument intended strictly for active day traders or short-term momentum traders who hold strong conviction on short-term upward moves in Nebius Group (NBIS). It is not suitable for buy-and-hold or long-term retail investors.
QAT | Continued growth ETF- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 17.78
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 17.57 (-1.20 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
SPY / S&P 500 — Breakout or Breakdown at the Decision ZoneBased strictly on your 15-minute SPY chart, price is around 776.35, consolidating between a clearly defined Supply Zone near 776.90–777.10 and Demand Zone around 774.95–775.45.
🟢 Bullish Trading Plan
Trigger: A decisive 15-minute close above 777.10.
If price breaks and holds above the supply zone, the next upside levels on your chart are:
🎯 778.56
🎯 779.67
🎯 780.86
Best confirmation: Breakout → retest of 777.00–777.10 → bullish rejection → continuation.
🔴 Bearish Trading Plan
Trigger: Fai
SPY Reclaimed 776.81 But Is Chopping At The Line.SPY Reclaimed 776.81 But Is Chopping At The Line.
SPY dipped below 776.81 on Friday, reclaimed it over the weekend, and is trading 777.33 - back above the breakout level but chopping right on it rather than extending. The month-long ceiling turned support is holding, but the breakout has not gone anywhere: price is oscillating around the level with the hourly conviction bearish beneath a bullish higher timeframe. A held level, not a running breakout. After the whipsaw at this line, the read sta
Research 17.08.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY +1.04 0.13%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ +3.76 0.51%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
08:30 USA – NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
10:00 USA – Housing Market Index
10:00 USA – Net Long-term TIC Flows
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:HTHT
Other news:
NASDAQ:SNDK NASDAQ:MU NASDAQ:SKHY Rise Overnight: Analyst Target Hikes, KOSPI Rebound Power Surge
NYSE:BABA plans to sell its game development unit Lingxi Games to private equity firm Trus
2- How I choose the stocks to followVery broad topic, I hope I manage to put the topics in order
--What to look for?--
When looking for something (not just in trading but in any field), the starting point is to clearly define what you need because this avoids wasting time in the search or ending up with the wrong thing
You need to have a clear idea of what kind of stock you want to look for based on your way of trading or investing, a few examples to explain better:
-If I want a stock to buy and "leave there", you should aim for
$SPY & $SPX — Levels and Scenarios for Monday, August 17, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels and Scenarios for Monday, August 17, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:30 AM | Empire State Manufacturing Index | Forecast: 10.6 | Previous: 15.6
10:00 AM | NAHB Housing Market Index | Forecast: 33 | Previous: 34
4:00 PM | TIC Long-Term Purchases | Forecast: 151.4B | Previous: 232.7B
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #EmpireStateManufacturing #NAHB
SPY — Sunday Market Prep | August 17–21 The market enters the new week sitting in an interesting position.
The S&P 500 closed Friday at 7,785.76, down just 0.17% after setting a record close the day before at 7,798.99. The index still finished the week higher by roughly 0.4%. In other words, we are near record territory, but Friday showed that buyers are not operating without resistance.
Sunday futures have done very little to change that picture. S&P 500 futures were essentially flat/slightly higher after opening, which gives me no
SPY Aug 17–21: Back at Equilibrium, With Expansion Levels on BotSPY enters the week of August 17–21 with price sitting almost directly on top of the model’s weekly equilibrium.
That is a very different setup from last week.
Last week, SPY began near the upper edge of the forecast distribution, leaving a large gap between price and the model’s center of gravity. This week, that gap has largely disappeared. The new weekly equilibrium sits at 778.01–778.85, placing the market near the center of the expected weekly distribution.
That makes the opening part of
XLV Breaks Into All-Time Highs — Watching Health Care for SetupsAMEX:XLV has pushed into all-time highs after clearing a major resistance area and holding above the breakout zone.
For us, the ETF itself is not necessarily the trade — it is the clue.
When a sector begins showing this kind of relative strength, we start looking underneath it for individual stocks developing strong structures.
A few Health Care names have already caught our attention.
Nothing to chase yet. We still need price confirmation at the individual-stock level.
If those setups act
Stock Market Forecast | BTC TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META MSFT Stock Market Forecast | BTC TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META MSFT
0:00 - Sector Data, Sentiment & Dark Pool Analysis
4:17 - S&P 500 (SPY)
4:48 - QQQ & Tech Sector Outlook
5:05 - Mag 7 Index Basket
6:06 - Bitcoin (BTC)
7:54 - Tesla (TSLA)
8:54 - Meta (META)
10:16 - Amazon (AMZN)
11:37 - Microsoft (MSFT)
14:02 - Alphabet (GOOGL)
14:56 - Apple (AAPL)
16:13 - Nvidia (NVDA)
XAR BREAKS TO A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH — Is Aerospace & Defense Start
AMEX:XAR just closed at $296.73, after reaching $297.79, pushing through its previous all-time-high area.
But the ATH is only part of the story.
TECHNICAL PICTURE
On the weekly chart, XAR appears to have completed a large inverse Head & Shoulders formation.
The structure is interesting:
Left shoulder formed during the first part of 2026.
The deeper correction created the head.
Buyers stepped back in around the rising long-term trend.
The right shoulder held substantially above the majo























