ETF market
NIFTY50.....Kiss to say good-bye?
Hello Traders,
today I show you the ETF „FLXI“ that has been designed to trade the NIFTY50.
This ETF has broken the lower boundary of the red trendline I have drawn at the chart and pulled back to the underside of it. This probably can be the „kiss to say good-by“ and N50 is ready to collapse in the cominig sessions.
Below the red candle from Monday 24th I have wrote the possible „BoS“ (Break of structure)! This is a first sign that the trend has reversed to the downside in this case.
It pulled
Seasons of Life.Sharing a chapter from my learning about Jim Rohn.
In **Chapter 11**, he talks about the **Seasons of Life**.
Jim Rohn used the cycle of nature as a metaphor for life: **Spring, Summer, Fall, and Winter.**
No matter how much we want to, we cannot eliminate winter. But we can learn how to operate during every season.
🌱 **SPRING — OPPORTUNITIES**
There are periods when everything seems to come together. The market gives us clear setups, scenarios play out, confidence increases, and there is
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0:00 Introduction
0:15 Market Data & Sector Rotations
1:14 Sentiment & Fed Rate Probabilities
2:29 Dark Pool Activity (TLT)
3:19 Earnings Preview & Economic Data
4:10 QQQ & Market Dynamics
6:05 S&P 500 (SPY) Technicals
7:47 Bitcoin Analysis
9:05 Tesla Technicals
10:01 Meta Chart Analysis
11:50 Amazon Outlook
13:09 Microsoft Analysis
15:14 Alphabet (Google) Analysis
15:52
1-2 i-ii mini-me speaks for itself. Easy call on a 1-2 1-2 pattern here with nearly identical fractals to start a long and prosperous third wave of a bull cycle. Pot's bottomed, fundamentals/legislation line up, the only thing suppressing prices are lack of institutional money (soon to come as that is what will fuel the bull cycle) and the residual skepticism of ppl selling the rip. I was one of those... not any more.
Technical signs to look as we ascend. Long inverted wicks that result in higher closes in sub
SPY / SPX Weekly Outlook – Week 34 of 2026 (24-28 AUG)SPY / SPX WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
SPY Weekly Recap Outlook
We didn't take any trades on SPY this week because none of the key levels or scenarios we had mapped out were triggered.
(For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.)
UA CAPITAL Trading Desk Weekly Execution Metrics
Total Trades Taken: 13
Winning Trades: 10
Losing Trades: 3
Win Rate: 77%
Index Options: 0 Trades
Futures Desk: 3 Trades (3 Wins — ES)
Equities / Stocks: 10 Trades (7 Wins / 3 Losses)
Result: Anot
QQQ / NDX Weekly Outlook – Week 34 of 2026 (24-28 AUG)QQQ WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
QQQ Weekly Recap Outlook
We didn't take any trades on QQQ this week because none of the key levels or scenarios we had mapped out were triggered.
(For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.)
UA CAPITAL Trading Desk Weekly Execution Metrics
Total Trades Taken: 13
Winning Trades: 10
Losing Trades: 3
Win Rate: 77%
Index Options: 0 Trades
Futures Desk: 3 Trades (3 Wins — ES)
Equities / Stocks: 10 Trades (7 Wins / 3 Losses)
Result: Another
Opening: QQQ September 25th 687/697 Short Put Vertical... for a 1.75 credit.
Comments: Delta hedge, selling the 25 delta put and erecting the long out from there to pick up around 5 long delta.
This is probably not a good standalone trade, since you generally want to opt for directionally bullish on weakness plus higher IV. Will look to add in an oppositional side when and if my net delta starts to skew positive.
Position Net Delta/Theta: -5.23/11.55.
NLR 1D: Three Months Inside a Zone, and the Way OutThe layer opened a zone in June. Price has just left it. NLR, the uranium and nuclear ETF, spent the summer inside a single Accumulate zone on the daily chart, and the panel now reads NO ACCUMULATION for the first time since it opened. That change of state - not the stamps themselves - is what this post is about.
A stamp is not a call. It is the start of a zone. In early June, with price around the mid-120s and sitting on the reference the layer had been carrying up since winter, Accumulate
SPY Is Back At 771.58 With The Daily Turning Bull.SPY Is Back At 771.58 With The Daily Turning Bull.
SPY returned to the 771.58 ceiling and is trading 771.10, testing it again - but this time the daily timeframe has turned constructive, showing a long thesis with top-quartile conviction and an entry forming. The two-week range ceiling is being pressed with the higher timeframe finally on side, unlike the earlier rejections. The hourly surface is still short-term cool, so it is not confirmed, but this is the strongest test of 771.58 yet. A conf
Research 28.08.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY -0.04 -0.01%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ -1.65 -0.23%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
09:45 USA – Chicago PMI
10:00 USA – Fed Chair Warsh Speech
10:00 USA – Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final
10:00 USA – Non Farm Payrolls Annual Revision Prel
20:00 USA – Jackson Hole Symposium
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NYSE:ESTC NYSE:GAP NASDAQ:AFRM NYSE:BBAR NYSE:HAFN NYSE:FRO $
Other news:
Shares of NASDAQ:SOLS soared early Friday after the comp
SPY Finds Support — Now Jackson Hole Decides Whether It HoldsSPY is finding support after its recent pullback, leaving the broader bullish structure intact for now. The more important question today is whether the macro backdrop gives buyers a reason to defend it.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech is the key catalyst.
The market already expects Warsh to remain firm on inflation and keep further tightening on the table. So simply saying inflation remains too high is unlikely to be enough to break SPY support. What matters is whether he goes fur
UVXY ProShares Ultra Always use 2x–3x leverage. We build positions in stages, both long and short.
Max 4% of your account as margin per position. Split that 4% into 3–6 entries.
Example: $100 account → max $4 margin per position. Split it as $0.5, then $1, then $1.5. So $0.5 × 3x = $1.5 position size.
Don't get greedy.
Only add when your ROI is above -100%. Better: wait a few days between add-ons. Sleep on it — you might end up adding from higher.
Keep half your account in cash as a reserve. Balanced.
In a sho
$SPY & $SPX — Levels and Scenarios for Friday, August 28, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels and Scenarios for Friday, August 28, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
10:00 AM | Payrolls Revision | Previous: -911K
10:00 AM | Consumer Sentiment | Forecast: 51.0 | Previous: 51.0
10:00 AM | Inflation Expectations | Previous: 4.3%
All Day | Jackson Hole
10:00 AM | Fed Speaker: Warsh Speaks
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #Fed #Payrolls #ConsumerSentiment #Inflation #JacksonHole
SPY Finalizing Impulsive Leg Prior to Larger‑Cycle RetracementThe short‑term Elliott Wave outlook for the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) continues to indicate that the cycle from the June 27 low is progressing as a well‑defined impulse. From that low, wave ((i)) advanced to 756.22, followed by a measured pullback in wave ((ii)) that found support at 725.96, as reflected in the one‑hour chart. The ETF then resumed its upward trajectory in wave ((iii)), which developed as an impulse of lesser degree. Within this structure, wave (i) concluded at 746.55, and the subsequent
TBNK projectionI’m long TBNK, targeting a move from $52 to $70. Technically, the stock appears to be repeating the bullish pattern seen after its March pullback, which continued through late April. While many bank stocks remain range-bound, TBNK offers an attractive dividend yield of nearly 3%, providing income while the trade develops. In my view, the combination of bullish momentum, upside potential, and dividend income makes this a compelling setup.
Rolling: SMH August 21st 500/510/695/705 IC... to the September 18th 470/480/600/610 for a .93 credit.
4.34 net credits collected.
Comments: I originally opened the 500/510/695/705 for a 3.41 credit. (See Post Below). With the short call vertical converging on worthless, the put side in test, and only 21 days to go, I rolled out the call side, then the put side such that I received a net credit.
I still have the August 21st 470/480/650/660 on, which I'm going to leave alone for now, since it's not in test, and the short call vertic
PATH TO HIGHER LEVELS STILL INTACTTechnical Read on This Chart
Current price: ~719.94, sitting just below the 724.76 pivot, with price having pulled back from a rejection near 737.62.
Structure
1. Diamond top/consolidation (teal outline, left side of chart)
Price rallied hard off the 656.13 area, then chopped sideways in a widening-then-narrowing range roughly between 695 and 748 — the classic diamond shape. Diamonds that form after an uptrend often resolve as reversal/distribution patterns, and that's what played out here: p























