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SPY Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SPY is approaching the horizontal demand area after a corrective pullback, where mitigation and renewed buying pressure may drive a bullish rebound toward the marked target level.Time Frame 7H.
Buy!
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TLT LongTrend line break + retest
Entry 82.6
no Stop
Target 84
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader. About 25% of my trades had been stopped quickly.
SellToOpen 2026-09-18 P84, 1.91 (Delta=-0.64, 25 days)
Aggressive trade, sell in the money(ITM) put.
Allow assignment to accumulate Conservative long term investment.
if P84 could be assigned, same as limit buy at 82.1.
No stop, keep accumulating TLT via selling puts.
Canadian Gold Miners UndervaluedThe Invesco S&P/TSX Global Gold Index ETF (CGMU) offers investors diversified exposure to many of Canada's leading gold mining companies, providing a way to benefit from rising gold prices without relying on the success of a single miner. As one of the world's largest gold-producing regions, Canada is home to high-quality operators with long-life assets, strong balance sheets, and increasing free cash flow.
Despite gold trading near record highs, Canadian gold miners remain relatively undervalu
Research 24.08.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY -1.15 -0.15%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ -3.55 -0.50%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
08:30 USA – Chicago Fed National Activity Index
14:00 USA – Treasury Secretary Bessent Speech
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:PDD
Other news:
NASDAQ:STLD after U.S.-Canada trade talks collapsed, removing expectations that the existing 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum could be reduced. NYSE:NUE on the same catalyst.
NYSE:CLF announced $1B m
SPY Is Pinned On 765.71 - Signals Split.SPY Is Pinned On 765.71 - Signals Split.
SPY spent the weekend chopping around 765.71 and is trading 764.84, just under it, after repeatedly dipping toward 762 and recovering. Friday's read had it defending this pivot, and it is still here - undecided. The timeframes disagree: the higher timeframe leans long while the hourly reads short, the signature of a market with no conviction either way. Range-bound between 762 and 771.58 until one side wins. Neutral.
Resistance: 771.58 - the range top
K
Weekly Bias — 24 AugustThe week ahead leaves me neutral-to-cautious for Monday/Tuesday, but much more concerned about volatility from Wednesday onward, so I wouldn’t start the week with a blanket risk-off thesis
The charts show an incomplete correction sitting directly above important support, while the macro setup creates unusually strong 2-way event risk
The key contradiction is still intact — yields are flashing risk-off, while equities, volatility & breadth haven’t confirmed a disorderly de-risking
The 10Y is
SPY Aug 24–28: $765 Is Where the Market Shows Its Hand
I probably care more about the SPY chart this week than any individual stock.
Not because SPY will necessarily make the biggest move.
Because it tells me what kind of environment everything else is trading in.
NVDA can have a beautiful setup.
AMD can be sitting perfectly on support.
TSLA can break resistance.
But if SPY starts losing important structure, those trades suddenly have a lot less help behind them.
Right now SPY is sitting around **$767**, after pulling back from the recent hi
SPY Weekly Market Report — Preparation > PredictionWe have a very tradable week developing, but that does not mean I know which direction the market is going.
That distinction matters.
The 15-minute chart appears to have broken the short-term downtrend that developed off the recent highs. That gives the bulls something to work with, but it is only the beginning of the repair process.
SPY finished around 765.70, and the important structure above us is stacked pretty clearly:
769 → 771 → 772 → 773 → 776
Below us, 766 is the immediate battlefi
I found a pattern in 0DTE credit spreads. Then I killed it.Two weeks ago my research engine turned up something that looked real: across 20 configurations of 0DTE credit spreads on 12 markets, only 7 held positive expectancy in all three time splits — and 6 of those 7 were CALL spreads, not puts.
That cuts against how retail trades 0DTE, which is overwhelmingly put-selling. It was tempting.
But I had looked at all 20 configurations before I named the pattern. That is textbook multiple comparisons, and noticing it afterwards does not fix it. So I wrote
Bullish GLD calls for January 2027August seasonailty is bullish for gold and it turned out true again this year.
On Friday Aug 21, over 22,000 GLD $450 calls were bought for January 15, 2027 expiration.
Roughly a $40 million bet for 5% upside.
The next FIB levels are 50%, $429 and retrace $444 is the 618 fib retrace.
Watch out for these dates: August 29, jackson hole central bankers meetings, Sept 4 Unemployment and NFP data. Sept 16 FOMC meeting
Good luck traders!
AMERICA WILL BE GREAT AGAIN… JUST NOT IN THE WAY YOU THINK.If Bessent and Warsh were really clever, they'd convince Trump and everyone else that Treasuries are the thing to short and Bitcoin is “the future.” 😂
Meanwhile, they quietly let the stablecoin system strengthen the dollar while the crypto media does the marketing for them and the moonboys pile into Bitcoin longs.
Think about the positioning: long Bitcoin, short Treasuries, exactly what the current narrative encourages.
But what if everyone has it backwards? 🤔
US Treasuries are offering yie
GAMMA SQUEEZE: Why Gold Prices Will Hit $7,500 in 2027⬛ GAMMA SQUEEZE: Why Gold Prices Will Hit $7,500 in 2027
2026 update, data as of August 22, 2026
◾ Bottom line
Last year's version of this note made one call. A 1% rotation out of U.S. Treasuries could carry gold to $5,000 an ounce, and in a squeeze, past it.
That call got tested in the real world. It passed.
Gold printed an intraday record of $5,589.38 on January 28, 2026 (settlement peak $5,602.23 the next day), the exact self-feeding, options-fed blow-off the framework described. Then it
KWEB: Chinese internet on the verge of a reversalAMEX:KWEB
KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF tracks the largest Chinese internet companies trading on the Hong Kong Exchange, NASDAQ, and NYSE. Top holdings: Tencent 9.99%, Alibaba 8.08%, Meituan 8.05%, PDD Holdings 7.99%, NetEase 6.20%. Total 34 positions with AUM around $5.3–6.5 billion.
Technicals
On the daily chart, KWEB has formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern, where the deep retracement to the right shoulder‘s base coincided with the most important technical event: a dai
SPY Aug 24–28: Below Equilibrium — 764 Is the First Major TestSPY enters the week of August 24–28 at 766, below the model’s weekly equilibrium at 770–772.
That creates a very different setup from a market beginning the week near its center of gravity. Friday’s close at 765.65 leaves SPY just above the Lower Predictive Rail near 764.
The opening question for the week is therefore relatively simple:
Can SPY reclaim the 770–772 equilibrium, or does weakness extend through 764?
A recovery toward 770–772 would bring price back toward the center of the weekl
Stock Market Forecast | BTC TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META MSFTStock Market Forecast
0:00 - Sector Data, Sentiment & Dark Pool Analysis
4:17 - S&P 500 (SPY)
4:48 - QQQ & Tech Sector Outlook
5:05 - Mag 7 Index Basket
6:06 - Bitcoin (BTC)
7:54 - Tesla (TSLA)
8:54 - Meta (META)
10:16 - Amazon (AMZN)
11:37 - Microsoft (MSFT)
14:02 - Alphabet (GOOGL)
14:56 - Apple (AAPL)
16:13 - Nvidia (NVDA
QQQ | Wk 34 2026 | 1hr ChartThe hourly resistance level was created at 10:30 when price action fell below $732.20.
Price action is nearing the daily distribution trend and hourly resistance level at $740.16 which could be a target later this week.
A FrontSide support level sits at $718.47, a candle created Aug 11 at 11:30 which is part of the hourly accumulation trend. The $718.47 level is the last hourly support level in the range.
A weekly support level is at $724.36 and if strength favors the higher timeframe, then t
EWH Cloud Breakout w/ LS ConfirmationOn 8/21, EWH closed above the weekly cloud for the third consecutive day, with the breakout reinforced by the lagging span (Chikou) also clearing the cloud. Price gapped up through potential resistance at the 0.618 Fib level (23.14), retracing the decline from the 5/7 swing high (24.58) down to the 6/30 low (20.82).
This signal has fired 6 times in the past 3 years (this is a small sample, not statistically robust for this symbol), profitable in 4 of 6 occurrences assuming a simple trade close
QQQ / NDX Weekly Outlook – Week 33 of 2026 (17-21 AUG)QQQ WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
QQQ Weekly Recap Outlook
Price first rejected from the Flip Zone at Wednesday's open, activating the Short Scenario.
We took the short setup and captured a 3.6-point, 0.5% move to the downside. We took three partial profits according to the plan, with the remaining position stopped at entry.
Then, on Thursday, price broke out above the Flip Zone and activated Long Scenario 3 after retesting the Flip Level.
The retest entry delivered a 2.5-point, 0.34% move to th
SPY / SPX Weekly Outlook – Week 33 of 2026 (17-21 AUG)SPY / SPX WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
SPY Weekly Recap Outlook
We didn't take any trades on SPY this week because none of the key levels or scenarios we had mapped out were triggered.
(For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.)
Weekly Execution Metrics
Total Trades Activated: 5 (excluding open running equities)
Winning Trades: 5
Losing Trades: 0
Win Rate: 100% (on closed or partially closed sequences)
Index Options: 1 Trade (1 Win — QQQ)
Futures Desk: 4 Trades (3 W























