TLT Long Bollinger Band oversold in both weekly and daily charts
Entry 77.7
no Stop
Target 82, 87
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader. About 25% of my trades had been stopped quickly.
I do not know where is the bottom. Before see a valid turning point, hold on selling PUT.
Below 80, when TLT drops each $0.5, I would make one more long entry with cost under $200. if try 10 times, total risk under $2000.
BuyToOpen 2027-5-21 Call B
ETF market
Price Action for week of 9/28/26Last week we closed into the gap between 772.31 – 770.27.
I’m looking for SPY to break the lower end of that gap early in the week — ideally by Wednesday.
The goal is a move down toward 766 for one final dip before turning higher. A breakout above 772 mid-to-late week would serve as confirmation.
I expect us to finish the week above 773. A move through 774 at any point before Friday would add strong momentum heading into the next monthly candle.
Moo
$IWF: A Darvas Box Setup?Fund Overview
IWF is an ETF that tracks the Russell 1000 Growth Index. Its ten largest holdings are:
• NASDAQ:NVDA
• NASDAQ:AAPL
• NASDAQ:GOOGL
• NASDAQ:MSFT
• NASDAQ:AVGO
• NASDAQ:META
• NASDAQ:MU
• NASDAQ:TSLA
• NASDAQ:AMD
• NYSE:LLY
Technical Setup
The ETF has been consolidating since April. Given the strength of its largest holdings, I expect a breakout to the upside soon.
Entry Plan
I have set an alert for a breakout above the consolidation range. If it triggers, I
Q3 closes narrow: semis +11% while 11 of 15 sectors fellOver the last 20 sessions, only 4 of the 15 sector and theme ETFs I track are up: SMH (+11.3%), XLK, MAGS and XLC. Utilities (-6.7%), real estate and materials led the downside.
Cyclicals beat defensives by almost 5 points, so the tape reads risk-on. But it is carried by a handful of names, and small caps (IWM) closed below their line this week.
The catch: SMH, the leader of the month, is still below its Q3 pivot at 634.35 (the line on the chart). Pivots reset tomorrow with Q4. What I watch: w
Research 30.09.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY +0.26 +0.03%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ -1.16 -0.16%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
Stock futures mixed as Treasury yields hold near multidecade highs ahead of PCE inflation data
08:15 USA – ADP Employment Change
08:30 USA – Core PCE Price Index
08:30 USA – PCE Price Index
08:30 USA – GDP Growth Rate (Q2 Final)
08:30 USA – Personal Income and Spending
09:45 USA – Chicago PMI
10:30 USA – EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
13:30 USA – Fed Barkin Speech
17:10 USA – Fed Goolsbee
SPY - 765.52 Is The Level To ReclaimSPY Is Neutral After The Long Closed - 765.52 Is The Level To Reclaim.
SPY is at 764.55 in premarket, just under the 765.52 reclaim level after closing Tuesday at 764.29, which ended the long taken September 23. The read is Neutral with no directional trigger in place. The hourly structure has turned bullish while the 4H stays bearish, and PCE and GDP land at 8:30 before the open. Neutral.
Resistance: 765.52 - the reclaim level
Key resistance: 770.09 - the shelf lost last week
Current price: 7
DRAM: Accumulation Before the Next MoveDRAM is trading around 61.29 after a strong recovery from the 45.57–52.92 support area. On the daily chart, price spent several weeks building an accumulation range between roughly 53 and 66, and the recent move back above 59.80 keeps the bullish structure active.
The first major resistance is 66.14, followed by 70.93. A confirmed breakout above 70.93 would open the way toward 78.85–82.07, with the larger Fibonacci targets at 99.43, 118.10 and 129.23. On the downside, 59.80 is the first level t
SPY: End of Major Wave 3Many on TV believe we are still in the final stages of a wave 5 advance, but I believe we have already hit it. Upon further review of the fib levels beginning at the low of Oct 2023 (start of Wave 3), it appears to me that the 5 waves of Major Wave 3 have been completed and Major wave 4 is already underway. If I am correct, major Wave 4 will retrace the SPY back to the March 2026 low to a specific target of 638 in a ABC wave retracement with the first target being 692. Expecting volatility to pi
$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Wednesday, September 30, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels for Wednesday, September 30, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:15 AM | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | Forecast: 73K | Previous: 38K
8:30 AM | Core PCE Price Index m/m | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.2%
8:30 AM | Final GDP q/q | Forecast: 1.5% | Previous: 1.5%
8:30 AM | Final GDP Price Index q/q | Forecast: 6.4% | Previous: 6.4%
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
ADX is rising. But which way is the trend?What if an indicator says a trend is strengthening, but not which way it points?
Welcome back to @Investrade Chart Basics: one chart, one concept, one thing to try.
The Directional Movement Index, or DMI, puts three lines in one pane. +DI and -DI compare upward and downward directional movement. ADX measures the strength of the trend, regardless of whether the trend is up or down.
That distinction matters. A rising ADX line is not automatically a bullish reading. To understand the full pictur
SPY 15m — Long setup at 765.50-766.00 demandSetup
-----
SPY broke local resistance off the 764.50 low and left a fresh bullish order
block at 765.50–766.00, which also lines up with the OTE pullback of the leg
up. Plan is a pullback entry with confirmation — not a mid-range chase.
Levels
------
Entry: 765.50 – 766.00 (mid ~765.75)
SL: 764.20 (~1.55 pts risk)
TP1: 768.50 (~1.8R — take partials)
TP2: 771.00 (~3.4R)
Trigger
-------
Price must rotate into 765.50–766.00 and print a 1m/3m bullish ChoC
TLT LongBollinger Band oversold in both weekly and daily charts
Entry 78
no Stop
Target 84, 87
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader. About 25% of my trades had been stopped quickly.
BuyToOpen 2027-3-19 Call Butterfly C80/87/91, 1.34 (C80 Delta= 0.48)
no Stop in this Option plan, max risk is 1.34
Research 29.09.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY +1.20 +0.16%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ +2.77 +0.38%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
Stock futures rise as Treasury yields and oil prices ease
09:00 USA – S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index
10:00 USA – CB Consumer Confidence
10:00 USA – JOLTs Job Openings
13:00 USA – Fed Goolsbee Speech
13:30 USA – Fed Musalem Speech
14:00 USA – Fed Williams Speech
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NYSE:KMX , AMEX:UEC , NYSE:AIR , NASDAQ:IOVA
Other news:
NASDAQ:SMMT
SPY Is Holding Above 764.76 On Day Five Of The Long.SPY Is Holding Above 764.76 On Day Five Of The Long.
SPY is at 767.00 in premarket after closing Monday at 765.50, 0.74 above the 764.76 line that ends the long. The 4H structure has turned bearish, while both timeframes show a long thesis built on conviction running against that structure - a recovery attempt, not strength. JOLTS lands at 10:00; the regular-session close is still the only test. The long stands on its original terms and is not added to. Long.
Resistance: 770.09 - the shelf los
Growth vs. Value: Can Growth Break Through This Time?The VUG/VTV ratio is back near the descending trendline on this daily chart, and this is where things get interesting.
The previous two marked peaks were followed by declines in the ratio. After its recent rebound, growth is once again challenging that line. I’m watching whether this move can develop into a sustained shift in relative strength.
For anyone unfamiliar with this chart, VUG/VTV compares Vanguard’s growth ETF with its value ETF. A rising ratio means growth is outperforming value; a
SLV - (c) leg remains active...Not gonna catch the falling knife while downward momentum in (c) leg remains active. Best to wait for liquidity sweeps toward the Daily Gaps.
(a) = (c) equality could stretch this out to at least till the 8th of October. This setup is only valid if price remains above $51.12 on a Daily Close basis.
Plenty of room to the upside. Let's re-visit this soon.
$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Tuesday, September 29, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels for Tuesday, September 29, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
10:00 AM | CB Consumer Confidence | Forecast: 89.2 | Previous: 89.4
10:00 AM | JOLTS Job Openings | Forecast: 7.23M | Previous: 7.27M
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #ConsumerConfidence #JOLTS
Qqq updateThis won't be as in depth as my usual .
I'm gonna go over a few tech Sectors ,chips and software
Im still thinking 750 this week will come.
But I don't think it can go much further .
If you follow me then you know qqq is up at its 17 trend.
Short term resistance was hit last week on some major sectors and I think they resistance mark the top.
Heres what I see
AMEX:XLK
Biggest sector
Trendline support is debatable but resistance isn't.
NASDAQ:SMH chips
Same resistance , also
TLT LongBollinger Band oversold
Entry 78.4
no Stop
Target 84
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader. About 25% of my trades had been stopped quickly.
BuyToOpen 2026-12-18 Call Spread C79/85, 1.5 (C79 Delta= 0.52)
no Stop in this Option plan, max risk is 1.5
AI Says #4: Today's Drop in Gold $GC! / $GLD📌 About the "AI Says" series of articles
═════════════════════════
The core research in this series is developed using AI. While it's tempting to use AI to predict price action or pick trades, some of the best use cases for AI is to support chart research & analysis, idea & strategy testing, pattern recognition, and organizing market information. AI truly shines in these scenarios.
The goal of this article series is to demonstrate these practical AI use cases. Trade decisions and execution sh
GLD: Bearish TrendsSPDR Gold Shares (GLD) closed its last trading session at $401.17 USD, up 0.71% over the day, amid discussions regarding the debasement trade and macro commodity trends. GLD remains the top vehicle of high volume, short term active traders due to its massive liquidity and near zero bid ask spreads.
Technical Outlook:
GLD is situated on a descending channel motion, trending on lower highs and lower lows for couple of weeks now, in regards to the chart framework. Price is presently at the resista
TBT | Expect Interests Rates To Surge | LONGProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times the inverse (-2x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the fund's investment objective. The index includes publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities with minimum term to maturity greater than or equal to t
QQQ Toward $850
QQQ Toward $850
The reasons:
1. The chart shows the price trending upward, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. Looking back, every pullback has ultimately led to a new all-time high.
2. The April rally (A) ended with a strong 35% momentum move, after which the price began consolidating within the upper 50% of that move (B). Looking more closely at this consolidation, we can see that a shakeout occurred, potentially triggering stop-losses (Shakeout Bar #3). Following this, th























