BBC | Continued growth ETF- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 53.69
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 51.66 (-3.80 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
ETF market
Why you trade the RSI wrong - SPY as an exampleSo... why do you (general you) lose money trading?
Most of the individuals whom I've taught have only a superficial understanding of what they are actually doing.
It's like watching an university student tell me they can operate on a person because they saw on tiktok and uses a knife all the time.
J. Welles Wilder Jr.
If you don't know that name and have traded the RSI - you are the exact person I am describing.
Okay - for those of you know - What are the five principles that he talked
QQQ: world-class basket, ordinary entry - HOLD 54/100HOLD / WAIT - 54/100. Great asset, ordinary entry.
QQQ closed 31 Aug at $716.76 (+0.05%). The basket is world-class; today's entry is not.
WHY NOT A BUY TODAY
- The Fed is discussing a HIKE, not a cut. After Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech on 28 Aug, September hike odds jumped from 35% to 59.7%. The 30Y Treasury sits at 5.32% (a 19-year high) and the 10Y at 4.74%. QQQ sells long-duration cash flows; multiples do not expand while the discount rate climbs.
- No trend at all. ADX(14) = 11.94,
SPY — Sept. 1 Market PrepYesterday’s late recovery has now been decisively rejected.
SPY is around 763 premarket, which means we’re not merely testing yesterday’s lower structure anymore — we’re trading beneath it.
That changes the battlefield.
The first thing I notice on your chart is the amount of resistance now stacked above price:
~764–765 → first repair zone
~766 → next structural recovery
~767 → current major pivot / projected area
~768–769 → stronger repair
~771 → significant upside hurdle
So Blue isn’t impo
SPY - Back At The Floor With A Data Print On The ClockSPY - Back At The Floor With A Data Print On The Clock
The S&P 500 ETF is opening soft near the low end of the two-week range that has held between roughly 765.71 and 771.58. This morning's dip under that floor is a pre-market print, not a settled read, so it does not count as a break yet. The daily picture still leans constructive, and the level that would actually change the posture is a confirmed close that holds, in either direction. There is also a scheduled risk on the clock: the ISM manu
The strongest six-month trend has no momentum leftMost screens measure one thing and call it a signal. Run two and the interesting answers are where they disagree.
Take a six-month trend reading and a one-month momentum reading across the US sectors this morning.
Semiconductors are up 40.5% over six months. Strongest structure of any sector, by a distance. Over the last month they've done −0.2%. Nothing.
So the best-looking trend on the board belongs to the thing that has stopped moving. Trend alone says buy it. Momentum alone says nothing
JUNIORBEESBased on the daily chart for Nippon India ETF Nifty Next 50 Junior BeES (JUNIORBEES), here is the technical breakdown and short-term levels:
Trend & Structure
Lower Boundary Test: The price is currently resting right on the lower boundary line of the ascending channel around 789.97 – 790.81.
Pullback from Highs: Following a swing high near 823.97 (High label), the ETF has pulled back over recent daily sessions to retest the trendline support.
Volume Profile: Volume levels remain moderate to
SPY Chart In No-Mans LandAMEX:SPY
I am optimistically bearish on the overall currently with everything coming through the tape/news. There really seems to be a qualm over hike/keep put/cut - even though no one is expecting a cut in interest rates.
GDP increased by 1.5% but that is a lower number than the previous quarter print. We also saw PCE come in at a number that might raise some eyebrows in the Federal Reserve.
All to say, it seems that the market is trying ton decide it's next move and I am genuinely leani
$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Tuesday, September 1, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels and Scenarios for Tuesday, September 1, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
10:00 AM | ISM Manufacturing PMI | Forecast: 55.2 | Previous: 55.6
10:00 AM | ISM Manufacturing Prices | Forecast: 70.5 | Previous: 71.1
10:00 AM | JOLTS Job Openings | Forecast: 7.33M | Previous: 7.36M
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #ISMManufacturing #ManufacturingPMI #ISMPrices #JOLTS #JobOpenings
SPY Sept. 1: Negative GEX Below $770
SPY finished Monday at $766.77 and traded around $766.93 after hours. The session moved from $769.77 down to $764.72 before buyers recovered part of the decline.
The larger trend is still bullish, but short-term momentum has weakened. Tuesday’s direction will depend on whether SPY can reclaim $770 or loses Monday’s low.
Daily Timeframe
SPY reached a recent high of $779.37 before pulling back into the mid-$760s. The current decline has not broken the larger uptrend, but buyers have not yet pr
Opening: GLD Sept 18th 2 x 363/368-425/435 Iron Condor... for a 2.63 credit.
Comments: Non-closely correlated asset to the broad market. With only 39 DTE left in the Sept monthly, probably my last trade in that expiry before I start looking at October when its DTE dwindles down to <56 DTE.
Unlike SPY, GLD's skew is to the call side, with similarly delta'd puts being closer to at-the-money than calls, so I'm going double the contracts on the put side at half the delta of the calls and half the width of the call side wing. This makes for a mor
SPY Weekly Bearish Divergence at Highs — Protect CapitalAMEX:SPY weekly is printing bearish divergence into all-time-high territory.
Price keeps making higher highs while RSI is making lower highs. Momentum is not confirming the last push. Volume on the latest weekly legs is also lighter than the prior advance.
This is not a “short the open” signal. Divergence on the weekly is a risk-off warning. The uptrend is intact until structure breaks.
Key levels: Near-term watch: failure to hold the rising trend / latest weekly lows
- Support 1: 689.93
PSIL | Continued growth ETF- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 24.24
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 23.05 (-4.90 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
SPY: The After-Window Opened on an Oil Shock...On 21 August I published the CME September curve at 34.6% hike against 65.4% hold and flagged Warsh Friday as the reaction function reveal.
He gave it.
About twenty points of hike moved in the hour he spoke, and the curve kept going. Monday's pull reads September 66.1% hike against 33.9% hold, October 74.4% hike, December 89.0% hike, and ease 0.0% at all three. September was 57.0% on Friday and 41.4% a week ago, though it also read 67.0% on 31 July, so the front end has round-tripped a month
ECH | Continued growth ETF- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 40.00
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 38.71 (-3.20 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
SPY Macro: Midterm Election Volatility & El Niño Sector RotationThe broader market is currently pricing in historical Q3 midterm election volatility. The Anchored VWAP and Volume Profile (VRVP) on SPY indicate structural institutional positioning for a turbulent quarter. Beneath this index-level consolidation, an inefficiently priced margin divergence driven by the upcoming El Niño presents a definitive sector rotation opportunity.
This macro strategy extracts alpha by overweighting equities benefiting from input deflation and commodity inflation, while str
Market Physics Beyond Moving Averages: The Kinematic FrameworkMarket Physics Beyond Moving Averages: The Kinematic & Hilbert Space Framework
For decades, traditional technical analysis has relied on static chart patterns or lagging moving averages. While these tools attempt to define where an asset has been, they fail to measure the live physical forces driving price action.
The Market Kinematics System changes this paradigm by treating price movements as a physical object in motion within an abstract Hilbert Probability Space. By unifying Newtonian kin
SPY Is Back In The Range After The Failed Breakout.SPY Is Back In The Range After The Failed Breakout.
Friday's failed breakout put SPY back inside its two-week range, trading 767.56 between the 765.71 floor and the 771.58 ceiling. The daily still leans bullish, but the range persists after a fourth rejection at 771.58. Nothing resolved - price is mid-range, waiting. The same two levels bracket it. Neutral.
Resistance: 771.58 - the range ceiling
Key resistance: 773.82 - shelf above
Current price: 767.56
Support: 765.71 - the range floor
Key su
Lets get ready for next week! 8/30/26In this video We go over our support and resistance levels on the SPX and the Q's getting ready for next week. Are we going to do a full retrace of the wedge break out on the SPX? Can we hold the break out of the parallel on the Q's? lets wait and see. I personally think so long as the spx holds the wedge pattern were still in the clear despite us having bad news but for sure its hurting probabilities. lets wait for confirmation and a break down of the wedge pattern to know for sure if were goin
Is a pullback or correction about to hit?Hello Traders,
Well according to cycles and other things we are entering the period of weakness. I also see another period of weakness around feb of 2027. I show some targets here... If we do a smaller pullback/dip here then the bigger pullback would be in Feb but it could also come now into October.
We just had a solar then lunar eclipse. This has activated the Puetz crash window which means a pullback would start by tomorrow... Then we Have Venus Retrograde in October which is associate with























