ETF market
HOW-TO: Fast Reversal Engine Confirmation and protectionThis historical 15-minute SPY chart demonstrates how confirmation and protection can be used together instead of treating every reversal label as an automatic entry.
1. Read the setup, not just the label.
The PM LONG ACTIVE label identified early bullish pressure. A DT SHORT label appeared during the subsequent pullback, but a reversal label by itself did not confirm that the larger move had turned bearish.
All L&M Trading Solutions™ engines require the candle to close before a label can fire,
SPY Sept. 14–18: 760 Support vs. 767 Resistance Sets Up the Week
SPY enters the new week around 764 after bouncing strongly from the 756 area but failing to extend through the recent 766–767 resistance zone. The Daily chart still shows a broader bullish structure, but momentum has cooled after the rejection near 779. The 1H chart is now consolidating just underneath resistance, while the GEX map places SPY directly between the 760 HVL and a cluster of call levels around 765–770.
For me, 760 to 767 is the main decision range for S
Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe
🍀Overview
Hi all, I recently completed a Pine Script strategy designed for trading on the daily timeframe.
I’m not a discretionary technical analyst, so I rely on predefined setups. I turn the rules into a strategy to make the process systematic and repeatable.
The strategy includes several parameters, which are now finalized. The rules will remain unchanged unless an adjustment is genuinely necessary.
Because the strategy was completed recently, it has already opened positions in sev
Sept 14-21 SPY Weekly: 768 vs 759 — Which Side Breaks First?SPY enters the new week with the model equilibrium centered around 762-763. The first major boundaries are relatively close to equilibrium, creating a compact decision structure for the week.
The key numbers are 768 above and 759 below. These are the first major levels that could determine whether SPY expands toward the outer weekly targets or remains trapped around the 763 equilibrium.
Upside Levels
The first upside test is around 767.
Just above it sits the first major outer level at 768, c
SPY Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for SPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 764.17.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 775.61.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
L
tock Market Forecast | BTC TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META MSFTtock Market Forecast | BTC TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META MSFT
0:00 Introduction & Overview
0:10 Rate Hike Expectations & Market Sentiment Data
1:52 Sector Performance & Fear & Greed Index
2:30 Dark Pool Activity & Fed Rate Decision Outlook
3:23 S&P 500 (SPY) Technical Analysis CME_MINI:ES1!
4:42 Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) & Semiconductors Outlook CME_MINI:NQ1! NASDAQ:NDX
5:40 Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysis & Rate Sensitivity CRYPTOCAP:BTC
6:43 Tesla (TSLA) Technical Analysis & Resistance Levels
8:1
September 7-11 SPY Weekly Forecast : Watchout for 776 & 764SPY enters a shortened trading week with US markets closed on Monday for Labor Day. With only four trading sessions, the weekly forecast has less time to develop than a normal five-day week.
The model equilibrium is tightly centered around 769.84-769.95. The main predictive boundaries are 776.22 above and 763.45 below.
Upside Levels
The first major upside test is the Upper Predictive Rail at 776.22.
The first outer level is almost identical at 776.45, making 776.22-776.45 the main upside dec
SPY Losing Momentum - Approaching a Larger CorrectionSPY has spent the past several months trending higher within a well-defined ascending channel dating back to the April 2025 low. Price recently tested the upper boundary of that channel near 775 and has since reversed, printing consecutive lower closes down to the current 764 level. This kind of rejection at established trendline resistance is a classic signal that the advance may be losing steam in the near term.
More notably, the move to new highs was not confirmed by momentum. RSI(14) formed
$SPY Weekly Close — Sep 11AMEX:SPY Weekly Close — Sep 11
Closed 764.29, −0.77%. Third red week off the 779.37 high.
But the low tagged 756.64 and bounced on the weekly 5-12 cloud (@ripster47 EMA cloud), closing back above it. The level that had to hold, held.
Weekly volume 208.54M vs a 236.96M average — 88% RVol. Below average. Three down weeks with no volume behind them isn't distribution, it's a pullback without conviction.
757 is the key level to hold. Below that we may see some down move → 739.63, then 731.96.
$SPY Daily Close — Sep 11AMEX:SPY Daily Close — Sep 11
Closed 764.29, +0.85%. But the gap did all the work — gapped up 6.89 points and then closed −0.43 on the session. Big gap up and choppy.
Volume 45.5M vs a 36.88M average, 123% RVol. Heaviest of this leg. Range was 45% of ATR, the narrowest bar of the whole sequence.
Second day running: max volume, no result. Yesterday sellers pushed with size and buyers absorbed it. Today buyers gapped it up and couldn't extend it.
Effort without result, both directions. Nobody
$QQQ Weekly Close — Week ending Sep 11The week opened 720.91, pushed less than a point higher to 721.89, sold off fourteen points to 706.86, and closed 714.88 in the upper half of the range. Down 0.57% on the week.
That's a test candle. Price probed lower, supply didn't appear, buyers took it back into the close.
One honest qualifier. A test carries the most weight when it follows a heavy-volume down week, because you're testing whether that supply is still sitting there. This test follows five weeks of volume drying up — 144.53M
$QQQ Daily Close — Sep 11NASDAQ:QQQ Daily Close — Sep 11
Gap up after CPI, then chop. NASDAQ:QQQ closed 714.88, up 0.87%, back above both @ripster47 EMA clouds. The market held the 5-12 curl. No clear direction yet.
The detail on the bar
The whole gain was the gap. Opened 715.68, closed 714.88 — below its own open. Once the session started, price did nothing: a 4-point range, 44% of a normal day, the narrowest of this entire sequence. Volume 26.58M against a 30.89M average, 86% relative volume.
An up bar, narrow
Spiral event nearing 9/09 to 9/11 from Feb 19 th2025 top F14The chart posted is my work based on golden ratio Spirals from the Spiral Calendar . On sept 10 th . We have a cluster of spiral from 9/3 to 9/10 Each turn is from a past major high and low to calculate spirals Also on sept 10th we will have a NEW MOON . I am looking for an Event on 9/10 week. So I have now moved back to 100 % cash . It is my view that since we are at the 25th anniversary of 9/11 that the time window from 9/10 to11/3/2026 The world and world markets will be in a Neg
SPY Elliott Wave: Wave 3 Target Near 745, Larger Head & ShoulderThis is a developing Elliott Wave interpretation and will be adjusted as price action unfolds. Educational purposes only, not financial advice.
This chart shows my current Elliott Wave count for SPY on the 1-hour timeframe, alongside a potentially developing larger Head & Shoulders topping structure.
Larger Elliott Wave Structure
The June high is labeled Wave III, followed by a broad Wave IV correction. I am counting that correction as an A-B-C-D-E structure, completing near the early-August
$GLD Weekly OutlookAMEX:GLD — Weekly
Down 1.97% to 398.77. But look at how it fell: volume at 123% of average, range at only 57% of normal, closing off the low.
Heavy volume that produces almost no movement is absorption. A lot of stock changed hands and price barely moved — someone is taking the selling.
This is the second Test sitting right on the weekly 34/50 cloud (@ripster47 EMA cloud). So far it's holding.
The line is 395.51 — weekly 34/50 and the Stopping Volume low together.
Weekly close above 400.35
$GLD — Sep 11 closeAMEX:GLD — Sep 11 close
This one is worth paying attention to. Two red candles in a row — one on a down day, one on an up day — both with increasing volume. Buyers are trying their best to lift this market and something is going on underneath.
Today shows it clearly. Gapped up to 403.65 on the print, then got sold all day to close 398.77, right near the low and back under 400. Volume rose again. Effort with no result — that's supply meeting every rally.
Fundamentally, CPI m/m came in hot, an
A reason for hope - long SPY @ 758.04It's been a rough week for the markets. If today continues red, it will be the first 4 day losing streak for SPY since March and before that it was late December 2025. If it feels unusually bleak, it's not your imagination.
But amidst rising bond yields, oil prices surging, a war that isn't over in the week it was promised to be and now spreading throughout the Middle East, inflation looming and the rising threat of AI exterminating our species, I have some statistically good news. The odds
Opening: SMH October 16th 510/520/620/630 Iron Condor... for a 4.20 credit.
Comments: High ETF IV at >35. Probably could've gone a smidge wider to give me more room to be wrong and still collect 1/3rd the width of the wings in credit ... .
Metrics:
Max Profit: 4.20 ($420)
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: 5.80 ($580)
ROC at Max: 72.1%
ROC at 50% Max: 36.2%
ROC at 10% of the Width of the Widest Wing: 17.2%
Will generally look to money, take, run at 10% of the width of the wing (i.e., 1.00/$100).
SPY Reclaimed 759.13 And Is Back At 762.57.SPY Reclaimed 759.13 And Is Back At 762.57.
SPY sold to 756.63 on the PPI reaction Thursday and has spent the overnight session climbing back, trading at 762.30 - above the 759.13 range low it lost and right at the 762.57 shelf it broke on Tuesday. That makes this a retest from below of a level it has already lost twice, which is a different thing than a hold. The 4H still reads impulse continuation lower with a Q4 short surface near 38 and its first non-waiting entry state in weeks, while the
Potential key reversal bottom detected for ZROZAwait signals for entry such as DMI/ADX and/or RSI (preferably both) swing to the bullish direction following the pullback after the initial major move on 19th August.
Stop loss for the trade involving AMEX:ZROZ (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade below the low of the signal day of 18th August (i.e.: any trade below $56.80).
P.S.: This is a 'proxy' trade for the TLT in which a lot more volume traded through ZROZ compared to TLT on a relative basis.























