Research 16.09.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY +2.58 +0.34%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ +4.45 +0.63%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
08:30 USA – Export/Import Prices
08:30 USA – Retail Sales
10:00 USA – Business Inventories
10:00 USA – NAHB Housing Market Index
10:30 USA – EIA Crude Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change
14:00 USA – Fed Interest Rate Decision
14:30 USA – Fed Press Conference
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:TCOM
Other news:
Barclays upgraded NASDAQ:ALVO from Underweight to O
ETF market
DBA | Continued stock growth- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 29.52
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 28.77 (-8.40 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
SPY Is Still On 759.13 With Volatility At The Bottom Of Its RangSPY Is Still On 759.13 With Volatility At The Bottom Of Its Range.
SPY has now spent six sessions arguing with 759.13 and opens at 759.56, having traded to 756.15 and come back again. Hourly volatility is at the 0th percentile of its range with volume in the 12th - the most compressed reading this chart has produced in the stretch - while the 4H still reads impulse continuation lower at a Q4 short with volatility in the 93rd. Those two things describe the same market from different distances: a
$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Wednesday, September 16, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels for Wednesday, September 16, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:30 AM | Core Retail Sales m/m | Forecast: 0.6% | Previous: -0.3%
8:30 AM | Retail Sales m/m | Forecast: 0.8% | Previous: -0.6%
2:00 PM | Federal Funds Rate | Forecast: 4.00% | Previous: 3.75%
2:00 PM | FOMC Economic Projections
2:00 PM | FOMC Statement
2:30 PM | FOMC Press Conference
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #RetailSales #FederalReserve #FOMC #Intere
$SPY — Confirmed 34-50 Break, But Follow-Through Still MissingAMEX:SPY broke the 34-50 @ripster47 EMA cloud and closed below it — a confirmed 34-50 Break, the first one of this leg.
760.57 is gone too. Price tried it at the open, topped out at 760.35, and closed at 757.39. That level flips to resistance now.
Volume came in above average for the fifth straight session. Sellers are actually showing up — a real shift from the first half of the month, when nothing could get above a normal day's volume.
But the range is still tight, and the low at 756.15 di
$QQQ — Yesterday's Shakeout Loses Follow-Through Ahead of FOMCNASDAQ:QQQ closed 704.54, down 0.65%, on 26.14M volume against a 31.21M average — 84% relative volume. Range was 5.89 against an 8.99 ATR, 66% of a normal day. Quiet session ahead of FOMC.
Reading the bar
Yesterday was a shakeout — price gapped below the weekly low into 700, ran the stops sitting under it, and reversed on the heaviest volume of the sequence. That's a real signal, properly confirmed.
Today is a down bar that gave back most of that recovery.
Worth being precise on the labels
$GLD — Inside Day Into FOMC, Key Level Holding as ResistanceAMEX:GLD put in an inside day — the entire session traded inside yesterday's range. Smallest range of the whole move, and the lightest volume too. That's what price looks like when the market is standing aside for a scheduled print rather than resolving anything.
Two things worth internalizing from a session like this:
A quiet bar ahead of a scheduled event isn't a signal. Narrow range on shrinking volume normally reads as sellers drying up. Not here. Volume falls off before FOMC because part
SLV: Is Setting Up To Continue Highr.Eyes on SLV ladies and gentlemen Bullish setup to continue higher is almost completed, we expect it to be completed during next week so have those longs ready .
During next week the probabilities of having the 4hrs and The Daily TFs in sync it will be very high so expect a breakout to the upside.
Buckle up ladies and gentlemen wild rides are coming back for Silver.
Play it right.................Play it safe...................Play it The Numberfive Way.
Boost..................Follow...........
NORW | Continued growth ETF- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 32.72
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 31.59 (-3.40 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
SPY — Bullish Compression or 3 Failures?SPY is pressing into a descending trendline while holding the 760 area, which creates two competing setups.
The bullish case is compression: price keeps holding support while pressure builds underneath the trendline. A clean break and acceptance above the trendline would open the door back toward 766.32, with 772.64 above that.
The bearish case is the one I’m watching more closely: three repeated failures to regain higher prices, followed by another rejection and continuation lower. If 760 gives
SPY Pre-Market Prep — Tuesday, Sept. 15SPY briefly gapped outside the scenarios I mapped last night, but premarket has already pulled price back toward the battlefield.
That matters because today isn’t just about the gap. It’s about whether the market can accept outside the existing structure or gets dragged right back into negotiation.
The macro backdrop is still ugly:
10Y Treasury yield > 5%, its highest level since 2007
Brent crude around $107
WTI around $103
Markets now pricing roughly a 92–94% chance of a 25 bp Fed hike
FOMC
Research 15.09.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY -1.32 -0.17%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ -0.74 -0.10%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
08:15 USA – ADP Employment Change
08:30 USA – NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
14:15 USA – CLARITY Act Senate vote
16:30 USA – API Crude Oil Stock Change
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NYSE:FPS
Other news:
NASDAQ:VEEA and NovaGen announce potential merger to launch an Edge AI-Powered Global Health Platform
NASDAQ:WAY shares rose following reports that th
SPY Swept 756.22 And Closed Back On 759.13.SPY Swept 756.22 And Closed Back On 759.13.
SPY traded down to 756.22 on Monday, through Thursday's low, and closed at 759.59 - back on the 759.13 range low it has been arguing with for four sessions. That is a sweep of the lows followed by a recovery into the level, not a breakdown, and price is unchanged this morning at 759.61. The 4H reads impulse continuation lower with volatility in the 95th percentile of its range, the hourly is flagging a swept low alongside a trend-resumption state, and
DRAM | Continued growth ETF- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 58.06
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 53.13 (-8.50 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
get readyNot financial advice. I trade my own account and publish my process, wins and losses both. The Socrates platform is Martin Armstrong's work at armstrongeconomics.com - the analysis here is my reading of it, and my reading can be wrong. Levels are for AGQ at face value. 2x ETFs decay - trading vehicles only.
$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Tuesday, September 15, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels for Tuesday, September 15, 2026
📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:15 AM | ADP Weekly Employment Change | Previous: 12.0K
8:30 AM | Empire State Manufacturing Index | Forecast: 14.8 | Previous: 20.6
4:30 PM | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin
⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 #ADPEmployment #EmpireStateManufacturing #APIWeekly
xxrp reversal please note there isnt much structure here so im limited to ta so just looking at wave count we are cleanly in are 5th wave down. how much farther down? a potential 30% more downside. when you compare price to volume you do have a potential break out of this falling wedge i expect more downside before a breakout reversal if price manages to retrace a confluence of support would be around 9.00
UCO - Major Structure Developing During the oil mania over the last couple of weeks, I have posted a few ideas across oil related tickers. This time it is UCO's turn in the spotlight, as the structure currently presenting itself is significant enough to pay close attention to.
UCO is the ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil ETF, a 2x leveraged fund designed to deliver twice the daily performance of crude oil futures. Because of that leverage, UCO amplifies both the gains and losses of oil's daily moves, making it a popular vehi
URA - Head & Shoulders Breakdown Still in Play The Global X Uranium ETF still looks poised to complete its Head and Shoulders breakdown pattern. Let's discuss how this formed and what it means.
The H&S Pattern
This Head and Shoulders pattern has been forming since mid 2025. Price formed the left shoulder in October 2025, the head at the top in January 2026, and the right shoulder at the end of April 2026.
URA then broke the neckline of the pattern (the upward sloping black trendline that had held price up since mid 2025) breaking it to t
$GLD Daily Close — Sep 14AMEX:GLD Daily Close — Sep 14
AMEX:GLD looks much weaker than AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ right now. 395 broke, and I've flipped to a short bias against 400.
The level went on a close — 392.84, after gapping down to 391.89 and failing the reclaim attempt at 395.90. 395.51 was support for a week. It's resistance now, and the retest already happened inside today's session.
I'm going to be straight about one thing though, because it cuts against my own bias. Volume on this break was 7.28M aga
$QQQ Daily Close — Sep 14NASDAQ:QQQ Daily Close — Sep 14
Gap down reversal. NASDAQ:QQQ opened at 703.33, ran down to 702.74, then recovered all day to close 709.26. Still red on the session at −0.79%, but the shape of the bar is the story.
The 700 psych level held. That shelf has now been defended three times since June.
Why this bar is different from everything else in this range
For two weeks I've been saying the same thing on this chart: no stopping volume anywhere. Every bounce came on below-average volume. E
$SPY Daily Close — Sep 14AMEX:SPY Daily Close — Sep 14
Big gap down at the open. Two scenarios were in play — gap down and fade, or gap down reversal. We got the reversal.
Opened 759.00, dropped to 757.93, closed 760.88. Nearly 3 points off the low.
That low matters. 756.70 has now held three separate times — Sep 10, the weekly low, and today. Sellers keep going there and keep finding nothing.
Volume 41.38M vs 37.37M avg = 111% RVol. And for the first time in three sessions the range actually expanded — 90% of ATR























