ETF market
Friday flash dump could be a clue for $SPYAMEX:SPY
Heavy selling there at the close but it looks like it was picked up. That flash dump took the prior low from earlier this month but it just missed May's low.
That could be the bottom for the month of June. If it is we will gap up and test the gap up at 744. That would be the lower high to hold this current trend. From there would be the decision point. July typically belongs to the bulls so I am leaning towards this turning into a bull flag that breaks to the high. We will have a good idea on Monday I think. If this breaks down and closes there then we could be headed for 690-700. If it gaps up then it tests the top of the flag which is also the top of the range which sits at the NFP open/high where there is a ton of liquidity. A break above that area and the market starts running again.
Nothing we can do but wait and see. Enjoy the weekend🫡
SPY - General Seer's Weekly ProjectionIf it seems to find support at the odd square of import, which means even just the one time attempted would indicate higher highs and higher lows until around the start of October.
From there, it could be a bit violent after a possible minor ending diagonal, but then violent upwards as well to offset for another V-shaped move-- similar to that of March 31st of this year.
Freaky FridayI could definitely be wrong here but to me, the market is telegraphing a possible large move tomorrow. I go through the reasons why I think it's possible. I'm wrong and something else is happening if we rally overnight. If we get under 724 by open tomorrow, any bounce would likely be sold into quickly.
Research 26.06.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY -5.56 -0.76%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ -10.42 -1.45%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
OpenAI plans to delay its IPO until 2027 — NYT.
08:30 USA – Goods Trade Balance
08:30 USA – Wholesale / Retail Inventories Ex Autos
10:00 USA – Michigan Consumer Sentiment
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:WSE
Other news:
NASDAQ:ACAD announced that the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) has adopted a positive opinion following a re-examination procedure, recommending the granting of a marketing authorization for DAYBU® (trofinetide) for the treatment of neurobehavioral symptoms of Rett syndrome in adults and pediatric patients aged five years and older.
NASDAQ:ILLR to Acquire Significant SpaceX Position as a Strategic Treasury Asset
NASDAQ:RKLB : NASA Hands It 3 Electron Launches
Cathie Wood's ARK Invest bought more NASDAQ:PLTR shares
📉 Gap Downs
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NYSE:FDXF
Other news:
NASDAQ:ON announces $7bn all-stock agreement to buy NASDAQ:SYNA / SYNA shareholders will receive 1.35 shares of ON / with premium of about 19%
NASDAQ:AAPL hikes prices as memory chip costs skyrocket
NYSE:BABA Stock Sink on Explosive Anthropic AI Theft Allegations
‼️ Additional
NASDAQ:SPCX plans to bring Starlink Mobile to the US consumer market — FT.
The Fed will not change rates in 2026.
-- For the first time since 2023, more economists now expect Fed rate hikes than rate cuts — Reuters poll.
🏢 IPO
NYSE:SIND – Sinda Ltd.
Company explores silver, gold and related mineral assets in Guanajuato, Mexico. Main asset is the Sinda Property, a large greenfield silver-gold project located near one of Mexico’s historic silver mining districts. The company has not started production yet and has no revenue, so the story depends on drilling results, feasibility work and future mine development.
Price: $11.25–$13.25
Shares: 17.8M
Raised: ~$217.4M
LTM:
Revenue: $0
Net Income: -$27.7M
Comparable public companies: NYSE:PAAS , NYSE:AG , NYSE:HL , NYSE:CDE , ASX:MAG , LSE:SILV
📋 List of tickers involved:
NASDAQ:WSE NASDAQ:ACAD NASDAQ:ILLR NASDAQ:RKLB NASDAQ:PLTR NYSE:FDXF NASDAQ:ON NASDAQ:SYNA NASDAQ:AAPL NYSE:BABA NASDAQ:SPCX NYSE:SIND NYSE:PAAS NYSE:AG NYSE:HL NYSE:CDE ASX:MAG LSE:SILV
Best regards – hi2morrow team.
SPY's Hourly Just Flipped Back to Bear. Yesterday's Bull Print..SPY's Hourly Just Flipped Back to Bear. Yesterday's Bull Print
Didn't Last 24 Hours.
Two days ago SPY's bear print got replaced by a fresh bull
announcement at CQI 55.09. Yesterday morning that bull print
was 12 bars old with EUPHORIA flagging on the evening update.
Today the Hourly is reading LOW SHORT thesis, Q4 SHORT, RED
light, with a 27-bar bull announcement still in the data but
the thesis layer above it has flipped direction entirely.
DISBELIEF is active on the MIRROR. Entry Signal at FORMING.
IMP at 2/5 with SwLo Swept YES, ATR at 98th percentile. Price
dropped to 728.50 intraday and is at 729.25 now, well below
yesterday's 736 zone. The Daily is reading LOW LONG with a
FORMING signal and DISBELIEF active - opposite directions
between timeframes again, the same pattern that defined SPY
for a week.
Resistance: 732.45-733.34 - nearest overhead
Key resistance: 736.50-736.87 - the level lost yesterday
Current price: 729.25
Support: 728.21-729.40 - the level price is sitting on
Key support: 724.23-724.56 - next structural shelf
Below that: 720.41-721.17 - the broader floor
Two paths from here:
The Daily LONG wins: the 218-bar bull print at CQI 69.87 still
anchoring the Daily reasserts, price reclaims 732.45, the
Hourly bear flip turns out to be a single-session reaction.
The Hourly SHORT wins: the EXT MODE on the SYNTH Gate that
has been active for over a week finally gets confirmation,
price loses 728 and opens 724 then 720. The Daily's bull
print joins the broken-anchor list with BTC's 59,073 and
NVDA's 199.89.
Both timeframes have anti-signals flagged on the same morning:
DISBELIEF on the Hourly MIRROR, DISBELIEF on the Daily MIRROR.
That's the system flagging that whatever direction either
timeframe is showing on the surface, the conviction engine
isn't backing it. When both timeframes simultaneously flag
DISBELIEF, the read is that price is moving but nobody
confident is behind it yet.
---
Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS
Study, not financial advice.
MOO | June, 2026 | The time to go long has come- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 79.08
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 76.66 (-3.10 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high - bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle.
If the weekly candle closes below this level, the trade is invalidated.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
SPY - Major Pullback LikelyThe SPY has recently gone on an absolute tear taking off 20%+ in just over 2 months time, a pullback of this range is not out of the question.
The micro-count shows a clear impulse down on wave A and a STEEP pullback for that wave B, suggesting that wave C will be much bloodier.
It is possible we only see a minor pullback (roughly 2% down from here) but I feel is much more likely we see a larger pullback - 6-7% from where were at now. Depending on how that forms, will shape the overall picture a bit more clearly.
Wave-Count Confidence: Strong
I think the breakout has already been started.Massive scale inverse head and shoulders. the retest of this chart shows a general breakout and retest with a lower retest. can still play out to the upside massively. general target 105-115$ range. Looking for the largest exp date contracts possible with 90$ strike.
Nasdaq - The stock market remains bullish!💰Nasdaq ( NASDAQ:QQQ ) is just heading much higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
Basically since April of 2026, all indices entered into a parabolic bullrun. And while the Nasdaq is currently retesting a major resistance trendline, markets are not slowing down at all. Looking at the higher timeframe, the Nasdaq could easily break this resistance soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$600 and $800
Keep your #LONGTERMVISION🙏
— Phil (@TheTraderPhil)
IBIT - The Low Is In?IBIT has fallen to a fresh low 52 week low of $32.84 with BTC approaching $58,000 following inflation data coming in hotter than expected. Even though things may look grim from an economic perspective, the charts may be telling a different story.
There are multiple reasons why IBIT could be forming a low in the $31-$32 range right now. Let's break them down.
Bitcoin's Golden Zone
The lows IBIT is visiting are very much in line with where I am expecting a local low for Bitcoin, if not the bear market bottom itself. The related BTC post can be viewed here:
The Black Trendline
Looking back at the structure dating to 2024, the black trendline that suppressed price from March 2024 to October 2024 before the major breakout is now being tested as a new level of support. This is a textbook example of old resistance flipping into new demand, and it carries significant weight given how long that trendline was respected as selling pressure.
This trendline test also aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci level of IBIT's macro trend, adding another layer of confluence to the case for a low forming in this region.
The VPVR is also showing signs that this volume shelf should act as a floor:
Price is currently trading below the bottom of the accumulation zone, but the volume shelf ends around $32.50, which suggests the majority of candle bodies should close back above that level and head back into the accumulation zone.
Volume and Inflows
I have also been closely monitoring whether IBIT can generate the volume and inflows needed to confirm and support the lows being tested:
I am beginning to see early signs of this coming to fruition, but significantly more volume is needed before this level can be confidently confirmed as a local low.
The NAV Range
Looking at IBIT's NAV, it is now approaching the 32 range (green line) where historically some of the most significant price swings coincided with Bitcoin's major moves. The last time the NAV reached a similarly critical level was around 47 (red line), which also aligned with major directional swings. These NAV levels have repeatedly acted as inflection points and could continue to do so given all the other factors I have outlined.
The Weekly Bullish Divergence
Finally, IBIT has the potential to develop a bullish divergence on the weekly timeframe. Price has been printing continued lower lows while at the same time the RSI has been printing higher lows. This shows that despite the ongoing decline in price, underlying selling momentum is weakening. Each successive low is being made with less and less downside force, which is one of the most reliable early signs that a trend reversal is approaching. If this divergence fully confirms with a weekly candle close that holds current levels and begins to recover, it would be one of the strongest signals yet that the smart money accumulation process is underway.
I have also outlined this potential bullish divergence development across TOTAL, BTC, and ETH.
QQQ / NDX - Mid Week Update (24-26 JUN)QQQ/NDX - Mid Week Update
Risk Index Update
Current Market State: Short Term Bearish | Long Term Bullish
The Risk Index currently signals that the market may have transitioned into a short to medium term risk off environment. However, the longer term outlook remains firmly bullish.
This proprietary oscillator, developed internally at UA CAPITAL, combines multiple macro parameters into a single sentiment framework. The same complex risk analysis process I manually used for years is now automated through this system, allowing us to read market sentiment objectively and without emotion in real time.
Because the longer term structure remains bullish, we can continue looking for long opportunities from predefined Key Levels. At the same time, the short term bearish shift suggests that supply zones may offer tactical short opportunities if price confirms weakness.
Scenarios / Prediction
Short Scenario
Trigger: A test of the 721 level followed by a daily close below can be used to establish short exposure.
Targets: 712 → 705 → 700 → 687
Invalidation: Daily close above 728
Long Scenarios
Long Scenario 1
Trigger: A test of the 700 level followed by a daily close back above can be used to establish long exposure.
Targets: 705 → 712 → 721 → 728
Invalidation: Daily close below 693.5
Long Scenario 2
Trigger: A test of the 687 level followed by a daily close back above can be used to establish long exposure.
Targets: 693.5 → 700 → 705 → 712 → 721
Invalidation: Daily close below 680
Notice: My previous SPY and QQQ content since 2025 is no longer visible following a TradingView content review. This included my regular weekly outlooks and mid week market updates.
I have been consistently publishing market research and will continue sharing new analysis and updates going forward.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
SPY/SPX - Mid Week Update (24-26 JUN)SPY/SPX - Mid Week Update
Risk Index Update
Current Market State: Short Term Bearish | Long Term Bullish
The Risk Index currently signals that the market may have transitioned into a short to medium term risk off environment. However, the longer term outlook remains firmly bullish.
This proprietary oscillator, developed internally at UA CAPITAL, combines multiple macro parameters into a single sentiment framework. The same complex risk analysis process I manually used for years is now automated through this system, allowing us to read market sentiment objectively and without emotion in real time.
Because the longer term structure remains bullish, we can continue looking for long opportunities from predefined Key Levels. At the same time, the short term bearish shift suggests that supply zones may offer tactical short opportunities if price confirms weakness.
Scenarios / Prediction
Short Scenario
Trigger: A test of the 736 level followed by a daily close below can be used to establish short exposure.
Targets: 732 → 730 → 725
Invalidation: Daily close above 742
Long Scenario
Trigger: A test of the 725 level followed by a daily close back above can be used to establish long exposure.
Targets: 730 → 732 → 736 → 742
Invalidation: Daily close below 717
Premium Tip
Price can briefly trade below these bounce zones and create a deviation before reclaiming the level and closing back above it.
Because of that, aggressive entries can be taken after an hourly candle closes back above the level, but position size should remain small due to the additional risk.
The primary confirmation remains the daily close.
Position Management Rules
1. Take profits in stages because market direction can change very quickly in this environment.
2. After the first profit target is reached, move the stop loss on all remaining contracts to breakeven and turn the trade into a risk free position.
3. Always wait for a reaction from the level. We do not predict price. We react to price.
Notice: My previous SPY and QQQ content since 2025 is no longer visible following a TradingView content review. This included my regular weekly outlooks and mid week market updates.
I have been consistently publishing market research and will continue sharing new analysis and updates going forward.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
Research 25.06.2026🌏 Markets:
AMEX:SPY +4.72 +0.64%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ +14.59 +2.05%(pre/m)
🆕 Economic News:
08:30 USA – PCE Price Index
08:30 USA – Durable Goods Orders
08:30 USA – GDP Growth Rate/GDP Price Index
08:30 USA – Initial Jobless Claims
08:30 USA – Personal Income/Spending
📈 Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:MU NYSE:BB NYSE:SNX NYSE:MKC NYSE:CMC
Other news:
NASDAQ:SNDK NASDAQ:WDC NASDAQ:STX rose in sympathy to MU
NYSE:MRK Is Buying NASDAQ:TECH for $11.3 Billion or 73$ per share in cash
NASDAQ:QCOM forecasts $15 billion data center chip sales by 2029. Also announced a new partnership with Meta Platforms to produce central processing units for the social-media giant.
NASDAQ:WEN : traders on Reddit's WallStreetBets forum rallied behind the struggling burger chain, reviving the meme-stock playbook that powered GameStop in 2021.
NYSE:GLW today declared a quarterly dividend of $0.28 per share. The dividend will be payable on September 29, 2026, to shareholders of record on August 31, 2026.
NASDAQ:PENG Becomes an NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA AI Factory Specialized Partner
NYSE:IBM company says it's produced the first sub-nanometer microchip
NASDAQ:KUST today announced it has entered into a binding agreement for the divestiture of its legacy video solutions division to Cycurion, Inc. NASDAQ:CYCU
AMEX:WYY announced that it has been selected as the single awardee of the Department of Homeland Security's (DHS) Cellular Wireless Managed Services (CWMS) 3.0 contract, a 10-year Indefinite Delivery, Indefinite Quantity (IDIQ) contract consisting of a one-year base period and nine one-year option periods with a contract ceiling value of approximately $3.1 billion.
📉 Gap Downs
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:TCOM NYSE:FUL NYSE:DRI NYSE:JEF
Other news:
NASDAQ:ABVX fell 26% yesterday after investors continued to price in safety concerns around obefazimod’s Phase 3 ABTECT data.
Anthropic has accused NYSE:BABA of “illicitly” accessing its frontier model Claude to harvest its capabilities.
NYSE:FMS : U.S. health regulator CMS proposed a smaller-than-expected increase to dialysis reimbursement rates
NASDAQ:CDNL nnounces Pricing of Upsized Public Offering of 4,000,000 shares (approximately $292 million)
‼️ Additional
The EU has finally approved the trade agreement with the US — BBG.
Gold has given up all of its 2026 gains.
A $10 billion BTC options expiration this Friday risks worsening the market selloff — BBG.
🏢 IPO
NYSE:DPC – Doncasters Group / DPC Holdings Limited
Company manufactures complex precision cast components and nickel- / cobalt-based superalloys for aerospace and industrial gas turbine markets. Its parts are used in aircraft engines, gas turbines, defense, space and other high-performance systems where reliability is critical. Core thesis is exposure to aerospace production recovery, engine aftermarket demand and IGT demand from power generation.
Price: $33.00
Shares: 27.9M
Raised: $919.4M
LTM:
Revenue: $886.0M
Net Income: -$167.0M
Comparable public companies: NYSE:HWM , NYSE:ATI , NYSE:CRS , NYSE:TDG , NYSE:HEI , NYSE:GE
NASDAQ:DSC – DSC Holdings Ltd.
Company provides AI-powered software and transaction services for China’s used car industry. Its platform helps used car dealers move workflows online, manage operations and coordinate transactions. The company claims over 90% market share in operating systems for used car dealers in China, making it a niche software infrastructure play for the auto resale market.
Price: $17.00
Shares: 3.0M ADS
Raised: $51.0M
LTM:
Revenue: $96.8M
Net Income: -$13.5M
Comparable public companies: NASDAQ:UXIN , NYSE:ATHM , NASDAQ:CARG , NYSE:CVNA , NYSE:KMX
📋 List of tickers involved:
NASDAQ:MU NYSE:BB NYSE:SNX NYSE:MKC NYSE:CMC NASDAQ:SNDK NASDAQ:WDC NASDAQ:STX NYSE:MRK NASDAQ:TECH NASDAQ:QCOM NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:WEN NYSE:GLW NASDAQ:PENG NASDAQ:NVDA NYSE:IBM NASDAQ:KUST NASDAQ:CYCU AMEX:WYY NASDAQ:TCOM NYSE:FUL NYSE:DRI NYSE:JEF NASDAQ:ABVX NYSE:BABA NYSE:FMS NASDAQ:CDNL NYSE:DPC NASDAQ:DSC NYSE:HWM NYSE:ATI NYSE:CRS NYSE:TDG NYSE:HEI NYSE:GE NASDAQ:UXIN NYSE:ATHM NASDAQ:CARG NYSE:CVNA NYSE:KMX
Best regards – hi2morrow team.






















