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SPY needs to beat 772 on the daily to resume uptrend SPY has been making lower highs and lower lows on the daily and needs to close above the previous high at 772 to resume uptrend in the short term otherwise I expect it to stay below and potentially make lower lows which could leave to drop towards 750 and lower. See the chart text for more context. I will watch next week to see if it makes new highs otherwise try to take a short position at the retest areas.

by StocksMadness

SPY Wave 2 PT $637.73 Date 25 March 2027 Elliott wave Wave 2 - Starting from 13 Aug 2026 to 25 March 2027 PT $637.73 Elliott wave 3 Starting on 25 March PPT $1129.86

by Quantxofficial

Why My Strategy Just Sold Everything Monthly Portfolio Update: GTAA HAA Strategy (October 2026) – Maximum Defensive Posture (100% Cash) 1. Canary-Driven Market Regime (Crash Alert) Based on our system's dashboard, we utilize the TIP (iShares TIPS Bond ETF) as our primary 'Canary' asset to gauge overall market health. In this current evaluation, the system has triggered a definitive "CRASH ALERT," shifting the portfolio into a Risk-Off regime. This transition is driven by the Canary's 10-month SMA momentum dropping to -2.45%, v

Opening: SMH Nov 20th 530/540/670/680 Iron Condor ... for a 3.44 credit. Comments: Layering in (See Post Below) while there's still >45 DTE ... . Metrics: Max Profit: 3.44 ($344) Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: 6.56 ($656) ROC at Max: 52.4% ROC at 50% Max: 26.2% ROC at 10% of the Widest Wing Take Profit: 15.2%

by NaughtyPines

Tech Leads The Charge: $NDX Breaks Out First Nasdaq 100 is running exactly as anticipated. In a world full of worry, capital always finds its way back to quality and liquidity. There Is No Alternative (TINA), and once again, mega cap tech proves to be the ultimate haven. When we flipped our stance on the squiggly, the conviction was clear: go bullish where the true relative strength lives, zeroing in on NASDAQ:NDX and $SOX. Tech and semiconductors are stepping up to do the heavy lifting, paving the path while the rest of the market wor

by ROW_Partners

Three higher closes. Is a pullback actually due?“It has gone up three times. The next one has to be down.” That is a tempting reason to fade a move. Before acting on it, ask how often that exact condition has changed the odds on this chart. In this QQQ 15-minute snapshot, the three-up row in Streak Statistics contains 293 resolved observations. The next close continued higher 46.8% of the time. The overall up-close baseline is 50.7%, so the difference is minus 3.9 percentage points. The displayed 95% interval runs from 41.1% to 52.5%, whic

by QuantitativeQ

A breakout label has to earn your trust A green label is easy to trust. I want to know whether it actually separated better outcomes from worse ones. This SPY 15-minute chart gives us an honest test. In the displayed Break Quality ledger: • Supported: 31 resolved breaks, 45.2% survived. • Neutral: 194 resolved breaks, 46.4% survived. • Contradicted: 25 resolved breaks, 52.0% survived. The supported group did not lead this sample. Its displayed interval is 29.2%–62.2%, versus 33.5%–70.0% for contradicted breaks. Those broad, overlap

by QuantitativeQ

Research 02.10.2026 🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY +5.30 +0.69%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ +6.81 +0.92%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: Wall St futures rise ahead of the September jobs report as oil falls over 3% and Treasury yields ease 08:30 USA – Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings 10:00 USA – Factory Orders 10:00 USA – Fed Logan Speech 13:00 USA – Baker Hughes Rig Count 📈 Gap Ups Other news: NASDAQ:SYNA jumps after NASDAQ:ON and Synaptics amended their merger agreement, converting it t

by hi2morrow_team

Is the market ready to rally? The fear is that debt becomes too expensive to carry—and lenders start questioning who can repay it. Credit markets are where governments and companies borrow. There are two connected concerns right now: Government debt: Heavy borrowing, inflation and higher rates are pushing up financing costs. Today’s reporting highlights global bond-market stress, particularly around heavily indebted governments and France’s fiscal troubles. Corporate and private credit: Weaker companies face expensive re

SPY Is Back Above 765.52 Ahead Of Payrolls.SPY Is Back Above 765.52 Ahead Of Payrolls. SPY is trading 767.92 premarket, above the 765.52 line after Thursday's session closed at 763.99 having dipped to 758.79 on the ISM report. Premarket is not a close, and the September jobs report lands at 08:30 ET, so the reaction sets the read, not the early print. The hourly dashboard leans short with its last announcement bearish, while the 4H shows no thesis and a narrow-range warning - no agreement and no lean. Neutral. Resistance: 770.09 - the

by virDeStatera

QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 39 of 2026 (SEP 28 - OCT 02)PREVIOUS WEEK'S RECAP UA CAPITAL Weekly Execution Metrics | WEEK 38 Total Trades Closed: 8 Winning Trades: 5 Losing Trades: 3 Overall Win Rate: 63% Index Options: 3 Trades | 2 Wins / 1 Loss (QQQ - SPY) Futures: 5 Trades | 3 NQ Wins / 2 ES Losses Equities / Precious Metals / Forex: 0 Trades Result: Profitable week. This Week's Prediction / Scenarios Risk Index What is the Risk Index Oscillator? This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework.

SPY|SPX Weekly Outlook – Week 39 of 2026 (SEP 28 - OCT 02)PREVIOUS WEEK'S RECAP UA CAPITAL Weekly Execution Metrics | WEEK 38 Total Trades Closed: 8 Winning Trades: 5 Losing Trades: 3 Overall Win Rate: 63% Index Options: 3 Trades | 2 Wins / 1 Loss (QQQ - SPY) Futures: 5 Trades | 3 NQ Wins / 2 ES Losses Equities / Precious Metals / Forex: 0 Trades Result: Profitable week. This Week's Prediction / Scenarios Risk Index What is the Risk Index Oscillator? This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framewor

SPY PRICE ACTION OCTOBER 2nd 2026 This is the price action for SPY. If you have any questions ,feel free to leave a message. I have explained in depth price action here with how the future anticipated trends would be. NOTE :DO NOT TRADE BLINDLY

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by THECHAARTIST

Positive daily divergence on SOXX This is a strong bullish signal. It can be invalidated if the next day will close a little lower. But if it won't, SOXX is going to rally - it probably needs to complete an abc pattern.

by Supergalactic

MSTX Breakout in progress (2x Leverage ETF)NASDAQ:MSTX looks ready to challenge the recent downtrend. After a healthy pullback from the $23 highs, price has pushed back above the falling wedge and reclaimed the 21 EMA. Volatility compression dominated the consolidation phase, but the squeeze appears to be releasing as buyers step back in. A breakout above $21 could set up a move toward the prior highs near $23, while $18 remains the key support level. The bigger trend still favors the bulls as long as higher lows continue to hold. 📈 Di

by DominantForceTrading

Why Fixed OB/OS Levels Fail (and What Adaptive Levels Fix) Pull up the RSI on any chart that's been trending for a year or more and count how many times it crossed above 70, and then count how many of those crosses came at a top you'd have wanted to sell. On the chart above I get 10 crosses… two of them were followed by pullbacks of -15% and -13%, and both of those were followed by new highs. The other eight produced nothing bigger than a routine dip, and the one decline that actually mattered (-25% off the June top) arrived without a fresh cross above

by ChartWinners

Bullish $SPY Idea 1. $762–765 support 2. $769.67 Fibonacci resistance 3. $775.14 September high 4. $777.54 target 5. $782.09 extension. Several potentially important catalysts are coming this month. The September employment report is scheduled for October 2, CPI for October 14, and PPI for October 15. The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for October 27–28. There is also some evidence of improving near-term sentiment: Thursday's S&P 500 rebound came as Treasury yields retreated, while recent Fed commentary reduce

08:21

$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Friday, October 2, 2026 🔮 AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX — Levels for Friday, October 2, 2026 📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET) 8:30 AM | Average Hourly Earnings m/m | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.3% 8:30 AM | Non-Farm Employment Change | Forecast: 89K | Previous: 162K 8:30 AM | Unemployment Rate | Forecast: 4.1% | Previous: 4.1% ⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #Stocks #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #NonFarmPayrolls #Employment

Check volatility before reusing yesterday's trade plan A familiar chart pattern can appear in very different market conditions. Before reusing the same stop distance and position size, check whether recent movement has changed. On this SPY 15-minute snapshot, Realized Volatility Term Structure shows: • 10 bars: 12.8% annualized realized volatility. • 30 bars: 20.0%. • 240 bars: 18.0%. • Short/long ratio: 0.71. The shortest window is about 29% below the longest, but the 30-bar reading is still above it. The newest bars have been calmer relative to

by QuantitativeQ

Before you trust a volume spike, check the clock An opening bar and a lunchtime bar should not need the same volume to get your attention. Compare each bar with previous bars from the same time of day. The SPY 15-minute snapshot gives a concrete example. The panel's confirmed 15:45 slot shows 654.9K shares against a 740.8K slot median: 0.88x relative volume and the 43.3rd percentile, using 60 complete sessions on the displayed feed. A large-looking absolute number can still be ordinary for that clock slot. Time-of-Day Volume Normalizer suppl

by QuantitativeQ

XLE LONG Long position currently active on the Daily timeframe. The trade is based on bullish market structure and continuation of upward momentum. Position is already in the market and being managed according to the planned levels. 📊 Timeframe: 1D 🟢 Bias: Bullish 🎯 TP & 🛑 SL: Set #XLE #Energy #Trading #TradingView #LongTrade #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis

Soxl dragonfly at support Soxl showing a dragonfly at resistance which is typically a reversal indicator. Caution recommended in these patterns.

by IncogNito721

ZCSH Still Bullish: Triangle Target $4,500 ZEC Looking at the ZCASH ETF there's a substantial amount of supply coming in. To me this looks like deleveraging in the futures and profit taking in play, not distribution. Another observation is the ascending triangle. It's a bullish pattern and it hasn't played out yet, so rather than entering distribution ZCASH still remains bullish. To measure the ascending triangle target, take the measure line at the back of the triangle and apply it to the top of the triangle. On the log chart this comes o

XAR | 26' Q2 - May | Day Chart State Street SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF Dividend yield (indicated) 0.32% -------------------------- Multiple Time-Frame Analysis; Color Code | Strength favors the higher timeframe. Yearly timeframe = black Monthly timeframe = pink weekly = grey daily = red 4hr = orange 1hr = yellow 15min = blue 5min = green if they are shown. (Level visibility on intervals is set to timeframe the level was found on and below to keep chart view organized.) ** T.A explained ** A Range = two or more cons

by StudyGuideTA