Page 13 | Ideas and Forecasts on ETFs — TradingView

ETF market

$SOX: Oversold Relief Bounce?Semis have been under heavy pressure, but the tape is flashing some early exhaustion signals worth monitoring. We are not calling a definitive bottom here, but the setup is getting ripe for a fast mean reversion pop if buyers step in to defend this floor. The Big Picture (4HR Chart) The 4HR RSI is pressed deep into extreme oversold territory near the 20 mark. While price broke down to test the SUPPORT shelf, the momentum histogram is printing a clear bullish divergence with higher lows versus

by ROW_Partners

XLV: health care closes back above its monthly & quarterly pivot Health care (XLV) closed Wednesday at 168.81, above its October and Q4 pivot at 168.15. The monthly and quarterly bias now point up, matching the yearly bias, so all three periods agree. The next monthly target is 172.84; the high since October 1 is 170.38, so it has not printed yet. If long, that is where a long-side process starts taking partial profits rather than adding. The line to hold is 168.15 on a daily close: a close back under it would turn both shorter biases down again. Intraday dip

by myfractalrange

QQQ hits its monthly target down after losing its October pivot QQQ closed Wednesday at 728.95, under its October and Q4 pivot at 742.58, which turned the monthly and quarterly bias down while the yearly bias still points up. It also closed below the bottom of its short-term range, on the same day as the big tech and semiconductor ETFs. Thursday’s open went straight to the next level below: the monthly target at 718.40 printed in the first minutes, with QQQ trading around 716 at the time of writing. That is where a short-side process takes profits rather tha

by myfractalrange

SPY Is Holding Above 765.52 Below The Lost 770.09 Floor.SPY Is Holding Above 765.52 Below The Lost 770.09 Floor. SPY closed at 769.60 yesterday, 0.49 under the 770.09 floor it lost in the CPI session, and is trading near 767.00 premarket with a 766.68 low - the 765.52 shelf has not been touched. The hourly traffic light is yellow with the quartile in Q1 and IMP at 2/5 in extension, while the 4H light is green with the quartile in Q4 and IMP at 3/5 mixed on elevated volume. The two timeframes disagree, and producer prices and retail sales print at 8:

by virDeStatera

Research 15.10.2026 🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY -2.20 -0.29%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ -8.67 -1.19%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: Nasdaq futures fall as the AI rout deepens on debt and rate concerns; Dow futures edge higher 08:30 USA – PPI (Sep) 08:30 USA – Retail Sales (Sep) 08:30 USA – Initial Jobless Claims 08:30 USA – NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 08:30 USA – Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 10:00 USA – Business Inventories 12:00 USA – EIA Crude Oil Inventories 16:30 USA – Fed Hammack Speech 23:30 U

by hi2morrow_team

SPY: Halfway Is a Charting Convention, Not a Fibonacci Ratio The Halfway Line Is Useful Without Being a Fibonacci Ratio The 50% line on a Fibonacci drawing is a common retracement convention. It is not a Fibonacci ratio. Its usefulness comes from defining a consistent halfway reference for a selected swing, not from a mathematical guarantee that price must reverse there. The attached SPY example uses the identified daily upswing from September 16 low 749.60 to October 6 high 781.62. The range is 32.02 points. Half is 16.01; subtracting that from the hig

by Smalldikenergy

A Red Candle Can Still Finish Above Yesterday's Close A Red Candle Can Still Finish Above Yesterday's Close Candle color and day-over-day change use different comparisons. A standard red body means the close is below that candle's open. A positive daily percentage means the close is above the previous close. A gap can allow both descriptions to be true at once. The marked October 6 QQQ candle provides a historical teaching example inside the chart reviewed on October 15. It opened at 760.52 and closed at 759.66, making a red body of 0.86 points.

by Smalldikenergy

NUGT - 2X Bullish Reversal Setup: Deep 35% Target$255 🟡 NUGT - 2X Bullish Reversal Setup: Deep 35% Dip Eyes $255 Target 🎯 Critical Price Zones 🟢 Staged Accumulation Scale-In: $118.00 / $125.00 / $132.00 🔴 Invalidation / Structural Stop: Below $100.00 (Daily Close) 🏁 Macro Upside Target: $255.00 (100%+ Expansion) Following an explosive impulsive advance from $100 up to $220, Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares (NUGT) has completed an aggressive ~35% corrective markdown directly into the $132.00 demand pocket. This deep pullback establi

IWM 271.63 oversold major support's + Jim Cramer bearish bias AMEX:IWM why short the market with IWM down daily 45degrees and now at critical support's?? unlike 2008 and 2022 after a good 10-15 days drop it recovered and pumped higher, why wouldn't that be different now when it's back at previous support level's and everyone fearful as well as Jim Cramer saying on X 8 hours ago , there are no stopping bear's... damn that'S your bullish sign.

IWM 1D: back on the first gap April left open The last Accumulate stamp on this chart is 373 bars old, and that is the point. It fell at the April 2025 low, under the reference line, when AMEX:IWM was trading in the low 170s. Since then the panel has read NO ACCUMULATION for every single session: price left the zone above the reference and never came back to it. The layer has not spoken in a year and a half. That silence is the design, not a gap in coverage - the structure layer marks where a base was built, and it marks it rarely. Th

by StructuraMarkets

Earnings Market And Where We Going There are no rate cuts on the table — in fact, there is no table. Stop listening to the noise. Gang, look at July 29 through August 5. Those SPY and QQQ rallies were real — fresh institutional money creating a tight power trend fueled by new cash coming out of the $60T institutional lake. But everything after August 5 became pure short covering. No new money from the $60T lake controlled by the three powerful institutions — Vanguard, Fidelity, and T. Rowe Price — who, remember, do NOT control

07:01

CPI day: the signal printed, the tape said no Wednesday's CPI printed hot — core 0.3% month-over-month against 0.2% expected — and the morning tape belonged to the sellers from the start. QQQ gapped down, and at 09:35 the long signal printed at ~738.50. The sequence was complete: 5m W-shape with forming RSI divergence, a deep SMI washout, a 1m golden cross for the trigger. It spiked to 740.50 within fifteen minutes — then spent the rest of the session giving it back, closing near 728. SPY told the same story: a 09:40 print near 775.50, then

by Cool-OffSniper

$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Thursday, October 15, 2026 🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX — Levels for Thursday, October 15, 2026 📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET) 8:30 AM | Core PPI m/m | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.2% 8:30 AM | Core Retail Sales m/m | Forecast: 0.6% | Previous: 1.4% 8:30 AM | PPI m/m | Forecast: 0.6% | Previous: 0.4% 8:30 AM | Retail Sales m/m | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 1.2% 8:30 AM | Philly Fed Manufacturing Index | Forecast: 28.2 | Previous: 37.8 8:30 AM | Unemployment Claims | Forecast: 199K | Previous: 197K 11:30 PM | Fed Speake

SQQQ: Bulish Setup Is In Place.TIME to go long on SQQQ ladies and gentlemen, you know the drill. Daily targets are on the table . Play it right.....................Play it safe..................Play it The Numberfive Way. Boost......................Follow....................Share..................Comment.

DRAM: Breakout And Retest Roundhill Memory ETF (CBOE: DRAM) closed its latest trading session at $57.19. The fund remains in a technical bear market, down nearly 30% from its 52 week high of $81.34. The primary catalysts driving current market behavior include massive institutional outflows and shifting AI dynamics. Technical view: DRAM is on a bullish motion. The ETF recently broke below its trend support line at $59.70, after a few months of scaling partially on highs and lows pattern, in respect to the framework. Pri

by Blaisefxacademy

SMH at weekly ema20 566$ major support see it go up ...NASDAQ:SMH weekly 20ema is a place (green line) where since May2025 always bounced off it. So I see it bounce today since it's also down like 6 days in a row ish! Be careful of the higher low's! trading inside a bear flag also the white trend lines.. Monthly chart veryyy overbought I see it drop 40% but not now, I see it happening more on November-January. That is only if stays over support white line, if drops under and go under it'S 200ema day I would turn bearish and a pump not likely at all

Long term bonds generational entry Very expensive market. High rates. Growing market concerns of AI profitability. Coming huge IPOs. Potential labor market weakness. The time is not to rotate into long term bonds until the market becomes clearer and cheap again

QQQ GEX - Hot CPI, Negative GEX, 730 Put Wall in Focus QQQ backed off a test of 740 after a hotter-than-expected CPI print, and the 10-year yield is pushing higher with it. PPI is due tomorrow. Near 737, on the October 23 cumulative profile (9 DTE), price is inside the put cluster and still above the largest put wall. 730 is the level in focus. 🔶 Regime Context 🔶 HVL is at 746. Below it, QQQ is in a negative GEX regime, where price tends to be less stable than above the pivot. The put cluster starts at 742 and runs down through 740 and 734 towar

Opening (Delta Hedge): XBI November 27th -160C/170C ... for a 1.32 credit. Comments: Adding in some short delta to reduce directionality of my XBI position ... .

by NaughtyPines

Opening: SMH November 27th 525/535/640/650 Iron Condor ... for a 3.52 credit. Comments: Late post. Put this on Monday ... . Metrics: Max Profit: 3.52 ($352) Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: 6.48 ($648) ROC at Max: 54.3% ROC at 50% Max: 27.2% ROC at 10% of the Width of the Widest Wing Take Profit: 15.4%

by NaughtyPines

10/16/26 - $ETHB/$SBET 10/16/26 :: VROCKSTAR :: $ETHB/ NASDAQ:SBET Rotataing back into SBET - on a day where people realize they've done zero work - the discount requires moving funds back from ETHB to SBET which as you can see, we timed the bottom and preserved nearly 18% of our purchasing power in eth - it's just a game of playing discounts against each other. - SBET is the only eth exposure i have, rn V

A stop is an instruction, not a price: a year of SPY gaps How a backtest fills a stop decides what its drawdown means. TradingView's own emulator does the honest thing: when a bar opens through your stop, it fills at the open. A spreadsheet that books the stop price on every loss does not. Here is what that difference looked like over the last year on the most liquid index ETF there is. AMEX:SPY, daily bars, 2025-10-10 to 2026-10-09. 251 bars, so 250 overnight gaps. Split-adjusted, regular session only, recomputed from the feed rather than quoted: —

by harrell.jordon

Research 14.10.2026 🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY -2.26 -0.29%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ -4.28 -0.58%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: Wall St futures turn lower after hotter-than-expected September CPI; chip stocks stay under pressure after ASML results 08:30 USA – CPI (Sep) 13:30 USA – Fed Barkin Speech 14:00 USA – Fed Beige Book 14:00 USA – Monthly Budget Statement 22:55 USA – Fed Bowman Speech 📈 Gap Ups Reaction to earnings/guidance: NYSE:BLK , NYSE:MS Other news: NASDAQ:LQDA soars after a global settle

by hi2morrow_team

SPY Is Trading Above 779.37 Premarket, CPI Decides The Close.SPY Is Trading Above 779.37 Premarket, CPI Decides The Close. SPY is trading near 779.70 premarket, just above the 779.37 August high it has traded through on three sessions in the past week without a close above. A new hourly bullish announcement printed at 779.32 in the 4 am ET hour, and the hourly structure is impulse continuation to the upside, with the traffic light yellow and a high-sweep anti-signal active. On the 4H the structure is in transition with a bearish tilt and the light is gre

by virDeStatera