Page 13 | Ideas and Forecasts on ETFs — TradingView

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A stop is an instruction, not a price: a year of SPY gaps How a backtest fills a stop decides what its drawdown means. TradingView's own emulator does the honest thing: when a bar opens through your stop, it fills at the open. A spreadsheet that books the stop price on every loss does not. Here is what that difference looked like over the last year on the most liquid index ETF there is. AMEX:SPY, daily bars, 2025-10-10 to 2026-10-09. 251 bars, so 250 overnight gaps. Split-adjusted, regular session only, recomputed from the feed rather than quoted: —

by harrell.jordon

Research 14.10.2026 🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY -2.26 -0.29%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ -4.28 -0.58%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: Wall St futures turn lower after hotter-than-expected September CPI; chip stocks stay under pressure after ASML results 08:30 USA – CPI (Sep) 13:30 USA – Fed Barkin Speech 14:00 USA – Fed Beige Book 14:00 USA – Monthly Budget Statement 22:55 USA – Fed Bowman Speech 📈 Gap Ups Reaction to earnings/guidance: NYSE:BLK , NYSE:MS Other news: NASDAQ:LQDA soars after a global settle

by hi2morrow_team

SPY Is Trading Above 779.37 Premarket, CPI Decides The Close.SPY Is Trading Above 779.37 Premarket, CPI Decides The Close. SPY is trading near 779.70 premarket, just above the 779.37 August high it has traded through on three sessions in the past week without a close above. A new hourly bullish announcement printed at 779.32 in the 4 am ET hour, and the hourly structure is impulse continuation to the upside, with the traffic light yellow and a high-sweep anti-signal active. On the 4H the structure is in transition with a bearish tilt and the light is gre

by virDeStatera

SPY going side ways SPY has a big resistance of $780. It touches it and going down again, then touches again and can´t brake this wall. I am wondering if the momentum is going out of steam?

$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX — Levels for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET) 8:30 AM | Core CPI m/m | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: 0.3% 8:30 AM | Core CPI y/y | Forecast: 2.5% | Previous: 2.4% 8:30 AM | CPI m/m | Forecast: 0.6% | Previous: 0.4% 8:30 AM | CPI y/y | Forecast: 3.6% | Previous: 3.4% ⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #CPI #Inflation

Same SPY chart. Why do the VWAP lines disagree?VWAP depends on where its calculation begins . Change the starting point and you change the history included in the average. It adds each bar’s source price multiplied by volume, then divides by total volume since the anchor. Here the source is HLC3: the average of each bar’s high, low and close. Session VWAP starts again each trading session. It answers a question about that session’s volume-weighted price history. Week VWAP starts again at the beginning of the trading week. Later sessions

SPY: busy closing volume is not a direction signal SPY’s closing half-hour looks busy. That is not enough to choose a side. The native Session Block Profile table on this 15-minute SPY chart uses 30-minute New York session blocks. It shows 60 completed sessions and seven excluded sessions. Read the 15:30–16:00 row: • Volume: 2.78x • Range: 0.91x • Efficiency: 0.44 These are historical medians. Range and volume are normalized against each session’s typical block before aggregation. The volume reading is not a claim that the current bar traded

by QuantitativeQ

Spy at a Crossroads : Breakout Energy or Another Bull Trap 💹 SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust | 15-Minute Outlook SPY is showing a sharp rebound from the demand zone, with buyers pushing price towards overhead supply. The next move depends on whether bulls can turn this recovery into a sustained breakout—or sellers step in again. 🔑 THE LEVELS THAT MATTER 📍 Current Price: $778.06 ⚪ POC / Key Pivot: $777.71 🔴 Supply Zone: Around $778.00–$778.20 🔵 Demand Zone: Around $777.15–$777.40 🟢 BULLISH PLAY | Buyers Take Control A decisive 15-minute close above the supply

by globuscapitas

Research 13.10.2026 🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY -0.61 -0.08%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ -5.38 -0.72%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: Wall St futures mixed as a chip selloff weighs on the Nasdaq while big banks kick off Q3 earnings season 08:15 USA – ADP Weekly Employment Change 10:00 USA – Existing Home Sales 13:00 USA – Fed Barkin Speech 14:00 USA – Monthly Budget Statement 16:00 USA – Fed Collins Speech 📈 Gap Ups Reaction to earnings/guidance: NYSE:GS , NYSE:UNH Other news: NASDAQ:FRMI jumps after signi

by hi2morrow_team

SPY Is Holding Under 779.37 Ahead Of CPI.SPY Is Holding Under 779.37 Ahead Of CPI. SPY is trading near 777.45 premarket, under the 779.37 August high it has traded through and closed under in three sessions this past week - Tuesday, Friday and Monday. Monday's range was 777.05 to 779.40. On the hourly the structure is impulse continuation to the upside and the traffic light is yellow, while the last hourly announcement was bearish. On the 4H the structure is turning to a bearish tilt in the current bar, the light is green and the last

by virDeStatera

SPY: a level is not an entry SPY has a previous-day high at 779.42 and a weekly open at 778.78. Those lines tell us where price sits. They do not tell us that a setup exists. This is the completed October 12 regular-session example on a 15-minute chart. Daily Sweep Pro reports “No trade: no daily control.” Its entry, stop and target fields are empty. The useful habit: read the reason before turning a chart level into a trade. Here, daily structure does not supply the directional control this tool requires. Being below the

by QuantitativeQ

SPY: big closing volume compared with what?SPY’s final 15-minute bar on October 12 looks large beside the preceding bars. The clock changes the comparison. On this TradingView feed, the completed 15:45 bar shows 580.4K volume versus a 728.4K median for the same clock slot across 60 earlier complete sessions. Relative volume is 0.80x. Practical check: compare 15:45 with earlier 15:45 bars before calling the close unusual. A large bar beside quiet midday bars does not settle that question. The Time-of-Day Volume Normalizer shown here ma

by QuantitativeQ

$SPY & $SPX — Levels for Tuesday, October 13, 2026 🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX — Levels for Tuesday, October 13, 2026 📊 Key U.S. Economic Data (ET) 6:00 AM | NFIB Small Business Index | Forecast: 98.1 | Previous: 98.7 8:15 AM | ADP Weekly Employment Change | Previous: 23.8K 10:00 AM | Existing Home Sales | Forecast: 3.95M | Previous: 3.98M 3:45 AM | Fed Speaker: Waller 1:00 PM | Fed Speaker: Barkin 4:00 PM | Fed Speaker: Collins ⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #StockMarket #EconomicData

TLT at 78$ to me bullish NASDAQ:TLT yes sold off a lot, to me oversold monthly, inside a falling wedge (green trend lines) I would target 107$ the 200ema monthly. Then can selloff more or atleast possibly restest the 50ema monthly the yelllow line at 95$

Elliott Wave Analysis: SPY Bullish Cycle Yet to Complete The short‑term Elliott Wave view in the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) indicates that the instrument remains in an incomplete bullish sequence. This favors additional upside in the near term. The pullback to 749.90 marked the end of wave ((iv)), and the ETF has since advanced into wave ((v)). The rise from that level is forming a five‑wave diagonal. At present, only three swings higher have developed. From the September 17 low, wave i concluded at 775.14. A corrective decline in wave ii then ended at 758.79

by Elliottwave-Forecast

COPX - A Copper Supply Squeeze Could Fuel the Next Rally I’m bullish on COPX as near-term supply risks reinforce copper’s long-term demand story! Three catalysts stand out: China’s smelter shutdowns: Planned October–November maintenance could reduce refined copper supply by roughly 80,000 tonnes, according to Reuters. Escondida strike risk: Supervisors’ mediation was scheduled for October 6–13. Failed negotiations could trigger a strike, although the production impact remains uncertain. A longer-term supply gap: The IEA’s 2026 outlook projects a p

Daily tmf opened with weakness if volume persists short term wea Qqq is in a bad position right now on the daily timeframe Daily macd and signal line are touching crossing over showing loss of momentum from buyers RSI line and rsi moving average crossing over as flag placed in image Increasing volume will be key for this month Based on the provided daily chart for the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), here is a detailed breakdown of the price action and momentum indicators. 📊 Daily Candlesticks & Price Action • Current Trend: The price is in a strong uptrend thr

Touch vs. Close: A Higher Hit Rate Isn’t Always a Better Exit Touch vs. Close: A Higher Hit Rate Isn’t Always a Better Exit I trade SPY intraday and take half my position off at a first target of +0.5R. For a long time I sold that half on a 5-minute close above the target. It always felt slow. I’d watch price tag my level, pull back, and close below it, and I’d miss the exit. So I tested the obvious fix: sell the moment price touches the target instead of waiting for the close. Same entries, same stops, same everything else. Only the first exit changed.

MSCI Brazil: THE "BRAZILIAN TRAIN" ON COURSE TO DOUBLE IN PRICE The MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ, "total return" format) is once again encountering its historical flat resistance. But this time, the Brazilian market is facing an uptrend, high real rates, and slowly but surely increasing de-dollarization, diversification and de-americanization. Technical picture of The "Brazilian Train" The quarterly chart of AMEX:EWZ clearly shows the wide sideways trend from 2008 to 2026, where the $40-$42 zone served as flat resistance, from which the price had previously

by PandorraResearch

An upward movement Hello,my analysis regarding the ETF gold GDX In my opinion, based on the supports and resistances, the trend line, and the line of trend, this analysis can be conceivable.

by hamidsheibani

I Need 3 Reasons to Initiate a Trade I know more ex-traders that used fibo's and nothing else. If it can be combined with fundamentals, and good chart techniques, it can be a valuable addition to your "trading arsenal".

by chrisbrecher

Possible pullback for a few days if it's an ABC, we may pullback to test the channel on both futures and SPY. VIX may test 20 again.

06:07

ARKK: Rally Pauses, But the Bigger Trend Remains Intact ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) has delivered an impressive performance since late March and early April 2026, rallying more than 50% from its lows. The move initially stalled around the $83.8 resistance area , a level that successfully capped upside momentum during the first attempt. However, buyers eventually regained control, and by late August, ARKK managed to break above that barrier. What was previously resistance quickly turned into support, allowing price to extend higher toward the majo

Opening: USO November 27th 2 x 125/130/170/180 Iron Condor ... for a 2.86 credit. Comments: High IV. Selling the -25 delta call and 2 x the 13-ish delta put, but doubling up on the put side at half the width of the call side spread to accommodate skew. Metrics: Max Profit: 2.86 ($286) Max Loss: 7.14 ($714) ROC at Max: 40.1% ROC at 50% Max: 20.1% ROC at 10% of the Width of the Widest Wing: 14.0%

by NaughtyPines