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SMH: trend goes neutral after breaking its monthly target downSMH closed Thursday at 558.84. It lost its October and Q4 pivot at 610.68 last week, then went through the monthly target down at 572.91 on Wednesday without stopping. On my side the trend reading turned neutral after Thursday’s close, from bullish a week ago. So the buy-low-in-an-uptrend setup I was watching is off for now. I’d rather wait for the trend to pick a side again, or for a daily close back above 572.91 that shows the selling is done. Over the last 20 sessions semis went from the best
NASDAQ:SMH
by vola2vola
TLT closes above its range top while the trend is still downTLT closed Tuesday at 78.34, above its 2026 yearly target at 77.89 and well above its October and Q4 pivot at 76.94, so the monthly and quarterly bias point up while the yearly bias stays down. It also closed above the top of its short-term range, which usually means the move is stretched for now. On my side the trend is still bearish, so for me this is a strong bounce inside a downtrend until the trend turns. The next level above is the monthly target at 79.41, where I’d take some profit if lon
NASDAQ:TLT
by myfractalrange
XLF: back above its yearly pivot, all three biases point upFinancials (XLF) closed Monday at 55.05, back above the 2026 yearly pivot at 54.81 for the first time since September 25. The October and Q4 pivot at 53.21 is already well behind it, so the monthly, quarterly and yearly bias now all point up. The next level is the monthly and quarterly target at 55.82; the high since October 1 is 55.17, so it has not printed yet. If long, that is where a long-side process takes partial profits rather than adds. The line to hold is 54.81 on a daily close: a close
AMEX:XLFLong
by myfractalrange
SMH back above a key level as semis lead a narrow marketSemiconductors closed Thursday at 617.81, above 610.68 after stalling just under that level for a week. Semis and tech are leading while small caps lag, so this is a narrow move. What I'm watching: - Daily closes above 610.68 keep the move intact. A close back under it would undo the breakout. - Next level above: 651.04, near the late-June highs. If long, that's where I'd think about taking some profit. - Today's US jobs report can move rates and tech together.
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by vola2vola
Research 16.10.2026🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY +1.31 +0.17%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ -0.23 -0.03%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: S&P 500 futures tick higher but the index heads for a losing week; Nasdaq futures flat as chipmakers slip again 08:30 USA – Import/Export Prices (Sep) 08:30 USA – NY Fed Services Activity Index 09:15 USA – Industrial Production (Sep) 09:15 USA – Capacity Utilization (Sep) 14:00 USA – Monthly Budget Statement (Sep) 16:00 USA – Net Long-term TIC Flows (Aug) 18:00 USA – Fed Goolsbee Speech
NASDAQ:QQQ
by hi2morrow_team
SPY Reclaimed 770.09 On The Close After Dipping To 764.43.SPY Reclaimed 770.09 On The Close After Dipping To 764.43. SPY dipped to 764.43 yesterday, briefly under the 765.52 shelf, then reversed and closed at 771.79 - back above the 770.09 floor it lost in the CPI session. It is trading near 773.20 premarket. An hourly bullish announcement printed at 4 am with CQI in Q1, but the hourly traffic light is red; the 4H light is green with the quartile neutral and IMP at 2/5 on elevated volume. The reclaim came on a data day and the hourly light and announc
AMEX:SPY
by virDeStatera
VXUS: Pullback Toward SupportVanguard Total International Stock ETF VXUS is trading at 83.84 on the daily chart, pulling back from the 88.27 resistance after a prolonged advance within a broad ascending channel. Price is testing a key support cluster around 82.66, where the rising trendline and previous consolidation zone converge. The first recovery level is 85.33, while a decisive breakout above 88.27 would confirm renewed bullish momentum and open the way toward 94.67. If support at 82.66 fails, the next downside levels
NASDAQ:VXUSLong
by InvestWorld_777
The Real Issue; Rotation and Not CPILooking at the QQQ versus RSP, it shows that there is an out of tech rotation. Yet people blame the CPI for the sell off. If CPI was the issue, the market development up until October reading should have been much worse and consumer stocks (e.g. KO, JNJ etc.) would be going down too. Charting QQQ vs RSP vs SPY shows that RSP has been on the uptrend, while QQQ, which is driven by heavy weight techs on the way down. Therefore, contrary to the popular belief that CPI is the issue, it is a pure ou
AMEX:RSP
by ferritafreshi
$SOX: Oversold Relief Bounce?Semis have been under heavy pressure, but the tape is flashing some early exhaustion signals worth monitoring. We are not calling a definitive bottom here, but the setup is getting ripe for a fast mean reversion pop if buyers step in to defend this floor. The Big Picture (4HR Chart) The 4HR RSI is pressed deep into extreme oversold territory near the 20 mark. While price broke down to test the SUPPORT shelf, the momentum histogram is printing a clear bullish divergence with higher lows versus
NASDAQ:SOXX
by ROW_Partners
XLV: health care closes back above its monthly & quarterly pivotHealth care (XLV) closed Wednesday at 168.81, above its October and Q4 pivot at 168.15. The monthly and quarterly bias now point up, matching the yearly bias, so all three periods agree. The next monthly target is 172.84; the high since October 1 is 170.38, so it has not printed yet. If long, that is where a long-side process starts taking partial profits rather than adding. The line to hold is 168.15 on a daily close: a close back under it would turn both shorter biases down again. Intraday dip
AMEX:XLVLong
by myfractalrange
QQQ hits its monthly target down after losing its October pivotQQQ closed Wednesday at 728.95, under its October and Q4 pivot at 742.58, which turned the monthly and quarterly bias down while the yearly bias still points up. It also closed below the bottom of its short-term range, on the same day as the big tech and semiconductor ETFs. Thursday’s open went straight to the next level below: the monthly target at 718.40 printed in the first minutes, with QQQ trading around 716 at the time of writing. That is where a short-side process takes profits rather tha
NASDAQ:QQQ
by myfractalrange
SPY Is Holding Above 765.52 Below The Lost 770.09 Floor.SPY Is Holding Above 765.52 Below The Lost 770.09 Floor. SPY closed at 769.60 yesterday, 0.49 under the 770.09 floor it lost in the CPI session, and is trading near 767.00 premarket with a 766.68 low - the 765.52 shelf has not been touched. The hourly traffic light is yellow with the quartile in Q1 and IMP at 2/5 in extension, while the 4H light is green with the quartile in Q4 and IMP at 3/5 mixed on elevated volume. The two timeframes disagree, and producer prices and retail sales print at 8:
AMEX:SPY
by virDeStatera
Research 15.10.2026🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY -2.20 -0.29%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ -8.67 -1.19%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: Nasdaq futures fall as the AI rout deepens on debt and rate concerns; Dow futures edge higher 08:30 USA – PPI (Sep) 08:30 USA – Retail Sales (Sep) 08:30 USA – Initial Jobless Claims 08:30 USA – NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 08:30 USA – Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 10:00 USA – Business Inventories 12:00 USA – EIA Crude Oil Inventories 16:30 USA – Fed Hammack Speech 23:30 U
NASDAQ:QQQ
by hi2morrow_team
SPY: Halfway Is a Charting Convention, Not a Fibonacci RatioThe Halfway Line Is Useful Without Being a Fibonacci Ratio The 50% line on a Fibonacci drawing is a common retracement convention. It is not a Fibonacci ratio. Its usefulness comes from defining a consistent halfway reference for a selected swing, not from a mathematical guarantee that price must reverse there. The attached SPY example uses the identified daily upswing from September 16 low 749.60 to October 6 high 781.62. The range is 32.02 points. Half is 16.01; subtracting that from the hig
AMEX:SPYEducation
by Smalldikenergy
1
A Red Candle Can Still Finish Above Yesterday's CloseA Red Candle Can Still Finish Above Yesterday's Close Candle color and day-over-day change use different comparisons. A standard red body means the close is below that candle's open. A positive daily percentage means the close is above the previous close. A gap can allow both descriptions to be true at once. The marked October 6 QQQ candle provides a historical teaching example inside the chart reviewed on October 15. It opened at 760.52 and closed at 759.66, making a red body of 0.86 points.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Smalldikenergy
NUGT - 2X Bullish Reversal Setup: Deep 35% Target$255🟡 NUGT - 2X Bullish Reversal Setup: Deep 35% Dip Eyes $255 Target 🎯 Critical Price Zones 🟢 Staged Accumulation Scale-In: $118.00 / $125.00 / $132.00 🔴 Invalidation / Structural Stop: Below $100.00 (Daily Close) 🏁 Macro Upside Target: $255.00 (100%+ Expansion) Following an explosive impulsive advance from $100 up to $220, Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares (NUGT) has completed an aggressive ~35% corrective markdown directly into the $132.00 demand pocket. This deep pullback establi
AMEX:NUGTLong
by HamedXAU
IWM 1D: back on the first gap April left openThe last Accumulate stamp on this chart is 373 bars old, and that is the point. It fell at the April 2025 low, under the reference line, when AMEX:IWM was trading in the low 170s. Since then the panel has read NO ACCUMULATION for every single session: price left the zone above the reference and never came back to it. The layer has not spoken in a year and a half. That silence is the design, not a gap in coverage - the structure layer marks where a base was built, and it marks it rarely. Th
AMEX:IWM
by StructuraMarkets
Earnings Market And Where We Going There are no rate cuts on the table — in fact, there is no table. Stop listening to the noise. Gang, look at July 29 through August 5. Those SPY and QQQ rallies were real — fresh institutional money creating a tight power trend fueled by new cash coming out of the $60T institutional lake. But everything after August 5 became pure short covering. No new money from the $60T lake controlled by the three powerful institutions — Vanguard, Fidelity, and T. Rowe Price — who, remember, do NOT control
AMEX:SPXLLong
by john12
6
CPI day: the signal printed, the tape said noWednesday's CPI printed hot — core 0.3% month-over-month against 0.2% expected — and the morning tape belonged to the sellers from the start. QQQ gapped down, and at 09:35 the long signal printed at ~738.50. The sequence was complete: 5m W-shape with forming RSI divergence, a deep SMI washout, a 1m golden cross for the trigger. It spiked to 740.50 within fifteen minutes — then spent the rest of the session giving it back, closing near 728. SPY told the same story: a 09:40 print near 775.50, then
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Cool-OffSniper