Page 3 | Ideas and Forecasts on ETFs — TradingView

ETF market

IWM: A Conditional Year-End Rotation IWM is approaching a key test. Friday’s low came close to my $275.87 support area, and price finished above it at $279.33. I’ll watch the next couple of weeks to see whether buyers keep defending that zone, form a higher low, and build value above it. I also want to see IWM strengthen against SPY and participation improve across small caps; a bounce in IWM by itself would not be enough to confirm a broader rotation. If those conditions develop, the next major test on my chart is $300.22. Accept

by Painfully_Average

Energy vs Tech If you want to know where the next greatest opportunity could be, look at this chart.

Notable November: Election Rebound or the Bears Take Control?October ended with sellers in control, leaving SPY near the bottom of the broader range we’ve been watching since August. November now presents an important test: can buyers defend that range and build a recovery, or will the late-October selling develop into a more meaningful breakdown? SPY closed the regular session at $755.72 and continued trading around $757 after hours, which is reflected on my 4 hour chart. The broader boundaries remain approximately $750–$752 below and $783–$784 above. D

by heavydiligence

QQQ daily: 701 broke — lagging SPY still QQQ vs the Oct 6 peak and the 701 support we flagged. From the Oct 6 close (759.66) QQQ was already down hard into late October. Oct 23 low was 701.16. On Oct 30 QQQ closed 690.49 after a low of 683.45 (TradingView daily bars). That is a daily close under 701. If/then: - No longs while daily closes stay under 701. - 683.45 is the fresh reference low. A close under that continues the selling. - First repair sign would be a daily close back over 701, then 725. Context: SPY also broke its 759 fl

by BOOM360Trader

SPY daily: 759 floor broke — watching 750 SPY daily range update. Oct levels that held twice: Oct 1 low 758.79 and Oct 23 low 758.68. Oct 6 high 781.62 was the ceiling. Those levels are stale now. On Oct 30 SPY closed 755.72 after a low of 750.36 (TradingView daily bars). That is a daily close under the 759 floor we were watching. If/then: - A daily close back over 759 would repair the break. Until then, treat prior range support as resistance. - 750.36 is the fresh reference low. A close under that keeps pressure on. - Stand aside o

by BOOM360Trader

QQQ POSSIBLE SUBWAVE RALLY IN NEXT COUPLE DAYS W/IN DOWNWAVE 3 Still bearish for me. VIX was up over 10% in a single day, so I am looking for a potential subwave pop here soon, followed by more downside. On the daily, QQQ has a potential bullish hammer candle. On the weekly, QQQ has a potential bullish inverted hammer. Both of these would need to be confirmed before I can say for sure. There is a gap overhead. This gap does coincide with the golden pocket when you take a fibonacci retracement off the last leg down (assuming this wave down ends aroun

SMH: Two Years of Price, Earnings and Sales Growth Has the semiconductor rally been matched by growth in the underlying businesses? This chart compares cumulative SMH share-price growth with estimated trailing 12-month earnings and sales per fund unit, all rebased to 100 on 30 September 2024. Through 29 October 2026: • Yellow: SMH price +128.8% • Purple: estimated earnings per fund unit +215.9% • Teal: estimated sales per fund unit +66.8% The earnings and sales figures are reconstructed from the underlying companies and dated fund holdings, ad

Weekly Market Review 📉 SOXX: -8.24% on Friday First weekly close below its 200-day SMA since June 2025. Semiconductor weakness is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. 📉 QQQ: -3.50% on Friday Still holding above its 200-day SMA, but Friday's selloff was significant. Another week of underperformance versus the S&P 500. 🇰🇷 KOSPI: -3.48% on Friday Third consecutive week of underperformance versus the S&P 500 and third consecutive weekly close below its 200-day SMA. 🥇 GOLD: -3.61% on Friday Negative price action

by QuantSlopeLabs

SPY: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why: Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the SPY pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️

by UnitedSignals

SPY Breaks Support: Breadth Signals Caution SPY has broken below 759-763. But the key message in the lower panel is not simply that breadth has recovered. It is the historical return backdrop associated with its current level. THE CURRENT READING Breadth is in the 55-60% band. Under the current settings, this band shows an annualized forward-return estimate of approximately 5.0%, with up to 733 historical observations per horizon. The neighboring 60-65% band shows 9.4% under the same settings. This illustrates why a rising breadth curv

How confirmed A-B-C Fib extensions work: Active vs Invalidated This is a walk-through of how one auto Fibonacci extension tool decides what to draw, using SPY on the 1-hour chart as the worked example. It shows the Auto Fib Extension - Confirmed A-B-C study at default settings, with the daily layer switched off so only two layers are visible: the chart's own 1-hour layer and the 4-hour layer. Step 1: find an A-B-C from confirmed pivots A, B and C are swing points the study only accepts once they are confirmed: a pivot needs 5 bars after it on its own timef

by AuctionFoundry

SOXX is in a downtrend The major trendline is broken, but the price is testing 200 day SMA right now and there is a positive divergence on RSI indicator. I think the downtrend will continue after a bounce. I don't want to buy it - I think it's safer to sell the rip instead. The first target os 0.5 fib. The downtrend will probably continue all the way to 0.618 fib to close the gap.

by Supergalactic

HBGD ends the week weak HBGD ends this week under the support of the price, and goes back to the price of Apr. 26. It´s starting to enter the channel it made on Apr. 26, it looks as gravity calling it lower.

$SPY looks to recover in the short term If SPY holds $750–$744 and buyers return, I would watch for: 1. Reclaiming $761.33. 2. Breaking $766.94. 3. Testing $772.43. 4. Eventually retesting $781.62. Election uncertainty could create short-term volatility, but historical patterns favor a recovery after the election. These historical averages are not guarantees, particularly given current technology-sector valuation concerns. I believe SPY has a reasonable chance to retest $781.62 in November, but Friday's unusually heavy selling means

09:23

QQQ at 721.25 stuck under 727.95, does 701.16 hold?This is the ETF chart most traders watch, so the levels here are QQQ prices, not the index. QQQ closed Tuesday at 721.25, a two-day bounce from the 701.16 low on 23 Oct. It is under its 20-day (733.18) and 50-day (725.26) averages, and it is still well under the 762.86 high from 6 Oct, about 5.5% lower. The bounce has not yet cleared the 727.95 high from 21 Oct, which is the lower high that matters. It is over its 200-day average at 678.23 and its 20-week average at 718.64, so the bigger picture

SPY at 769.66 pinned between 758.68 and 774.44, who breaks?This is the ETF chart most traders watch, so the levels here are SPY prices, not the index. SPY closed Tuesday at 769.66, up from a 758.68 low on 23 Oct. It is sitting right on its 20-day average (770.41) and just over its 50-day (767.53), and well over its 200-day at 727.76. The high to beat is 774.44 from 21 Oct, and above that the 781.62 high from 6 Oct, the 52-week high. The weekly chart is still up with price over its 20-week average at 759.90, but the daily has stalled for three weeks. If

SOXX: First Test of the 200 EMA Since Last May SOXX has been showing a clear upward trend while holding above the 20 EMA. However, once price broke below the 20 EMA, the character of the trend changed noticeably, and we are now seeing a clear shift toward a downtrend. For the first time since last May, SOXX has come back to test the 200 EMA. The last time SOXX traded below the 200 EMA, it took roughly three months to reclaim it. That period was certainly weak, but the structure was nowhere near as aggressive as what we have seen over the p

"Sell in May & Go Away". A Seasonal Pattern That's Still In Play Hooray, Hooray.. Were you prepared or not but October has almost gone, as well as 6-month time span known as a market seasoanlity - the pattern "Sell in May and Go Away" The historical pattern known as the "Sell in May and Go Away" seasonal divergence was popularized by the Stock Trader's Almanac, which stated that investing in stocks represented by the Dow Jones Industrial Average from November to April and switching to fixed income for the remaining six months "has delivered reliable returns

by PandorraResearch

SPY Closed Under Its October Low At 755.72.Last read: SPY closed under 758.68 at 755.72, so the downside path fired; 756.15 traded before the close and 749.60 did not (low 750.36), and the gap down from 769.36 - almost four hourly ATRs - was never retested. SPY Closed Under Its October Low At 755.72. SPY closed at 755.72, under the October 23 low of 758.68, after opening 7.98 below Thursday's close. The low was 750.36, 0.76 above the September 16 low of 749.60, and the last hour bounced from there. SOM reads Choppy Bear on the hourly a

by virDeStatera

QQQ: Why is the channel rising while price falls?QQQ’s latest candle is below the lower edge of an upward-sloping regression channel. That can look contradictory. It isn’t: the channel summarizes a selected stretch of history, while the latest candle shows what price is doing now. This 4-hour chart fits September 1 through October 22. The recent pullback gives us a useful way to read the drawing without treating its upward slope as a forecast. What does the channel measure? The amber center line is a linear regression fitted to the selec

The Midterms Could Be the Next Market Catalyst The market is facing two pressures at once: investors are questioning whether massive AI spending will produce returns fast enough, and the midterm election could change expectations about Washington’s direction. Recent Big Tech earnings reactions have renewed scrutiny of AI capital spending and its payoff. At the same time, President Trump’s approval is deeply underwater in recent polling averages. As of October 30, prediction markets put the chance of Democrats taking both chambers near 69%, c

by Painfully_Average

AI Euphoria meets the inflation wall: Spy 4 hour megaphone Calling all bears... My fundamental bias is cautious: oil-driven inflation is squeezing households, while the Fed holds rates and investors question whether enormous AI spending will generate returns fast enough. Recent earnings reactions and apparent rotation toward bonds, healthcare, consumer and energy stocks suggest a shift away from crowded growth leadership, with midterm uncertainty adding another risk. Technically, SPY’s four-hour chart shows a clear broadening megaphone after the declin

by Painfully_Average

QQQ 685 HAPPY BLOODY HALLOWEEN! At the 200ema day NASDAQ:QQQ well I was wrong at 714$ saw it go way higher before a drop, oh well, at the same time, it rejected the 20ema and 50ema wednesday so that explains it I guess... IT's right now at the 200ema day... doubt dump more, it dropped down 45 degrees since all time high's, yes still under ema9, ema20, and ema50 but like a -4% and still think it's gonna go down the next day's I reallyy doubt...It's under the red line resistance so if it ever want's to go up fill some gap's to the upside fine

VFV Long Entry The strategy says enter. Bullish MA structure remains intact. Price pulled back to the 20 MA. CCI has triggered. Price remains above the established box. Stop is defined at 186.75. Emotion says wait because this pullback may have another leg lower. The strategy doesn't predict the next leg. It defines the entry. So we're in. SL remains at the predefined level.

by tradersteve22