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"High or low in the first hour": true, and random gives the same A statistic that circulates in index-trading videos: on 7 days out of 10, the high or low of the New York session is set in the first hour (9:30 to 10:30). And: if price ends that hour in the upper part of its range, on 6 days out of 10 the day's low is already in. I checked it on 13 indices with minute data. On the S&P 500 (885 days, September 2021 to June 2025): - High or low in the first hour: 70.5% - "The low is already in" if the hour ends high: 60.4% The statistics are true. Then I asked

QQQ/Nasdaq Wave 3 breaks Rising Wedge! AI Bubble Popping?Seems we broke below the rising wedge with possible Wave 3 after multiple months of bearish divergence on the MACD. At the time of this post we got within about 1% of a limit down (-7%) and got a small bounce. AI bubble seems to be popping here. If this is an impulsive move down, we may see more downside. If we complete a 5 wave move down, that may be an A. Possibly followed by an ABC up, and then another impulsive move down for C. Not Financial Advice!

SPY as of Republicans lost both cameras Trump lost the House and the Senate; the market reacted bullishly, but it had already hit a very strong resistance level. It needs to pull back in order to break through it. My Elliott Wave projection points to a short position, targeting the top and bottom of wave 4, followed by a rebound. This projection implies a bearish 2027. Not everything is lost yet—in fact, it’s more like the beginning. The point of this scenario is to be prepared to protect yourself.

by Esteban_Alvarez-Ponte

We are not going down just yet..Downtrend on lower time frames, under the anchored VWAP for this dramatic upside rally. Now we haven't retested the previous high, which is very close to last year's close. We just had midterms, which served as a catalyst to shake things around and collect profits. LLM IPOs are being delayed for a reason. We have gold rising and BTC setting up for a higher leg, ironically inverted from the tech stocks. The theory is as follows: retest of this zone of interest (higher high, last year close area),

by danielgarcesfin

Research 05.11.2026 🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY +0.19 +0.02%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ -5.99 -0.87%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: Nasdaq futures lag as chipmakers extend losses after NASDAQ:QCOM 's outlook and a 5% KOSPI slide; Dow futures add to the post-midterm rally 08:30 USA – Initial Jobless Claims 08:30 USA – Nonfarm Productivity, Unit Labor Costs (Q3 prel) 08:50 USA – Fed Hammack Speech 09:10 USA – Fed Barkin Speech 10:30 USA – EIA Natural Gas Storage 19:00 USA – Fed Logan Speech Earnings before the open:

by hi2morrow_team

LABU: Bullish Momentum in Biotechnology The biotechnology sector is showing a significant recovery, with the S&P Biotechnology Select Industry Index gaining approximately 27% year to date and around 40% over the past 12 months. Key drivers include drug innovation, clinical trial results, FDA activity, M&A transactions and the growing use of AI in biomedical research. These developments are attracting renewed investor interest, although individual biotech companies remain highly sensitive to clinical outcomes and regulatory decisions.

by InvestWorld_777

QQQ: 70% Put Premium on a Bounce Off the 200-Day SMA QQQ bounced off its 200-day SMA today, but 70% of the session's options premium went to puts, most of it in same-day contracts. OPTIONS FLOW (Nov 4, at the close) - $1.1B premium: $313.2M calls, $737.6M puts (30% calls / 70% puts), put/call volume 1.13 - 498 contracts traded above their open interest - Nov 4 $695 puts: 248,482 contracts (OI 1,571), $62.6M - Nov 4 $696 puts: 148,459 (OI 1,281), $48.2M - Nov 4 $694 puts: 261,751 (OI 478), $43.2M - Dec 31 $415 calls: 1,393 (OI 0), $39.0M TECHNICA

by GTA-TERMINAL

NLR – Bullish Deep Crab | Potential Major Reversal Opportunity NLR is approaching an interesting reversal area on the daily chart, where a large Bullish Deep Crab harmonic pattern is nearing completion following a substantial decline. What makes this setup particularly interesting is the potential harmonic reversal zone combined with several technical indicators suggesting that selling pressure may be approaching exhaustion. Trade Setup My Entry: $88.00 TP1: $118.00 TP2: $135.00 TP3: $152.00 TP4: $180 Why I Entered the Trade I personally entered NL

by FreedomBuilder

Market Observation In the past two articles when dips were experienced, the technical analysis showed that the market was experiencing a rotation and they should have been seen as buying opportunities. Those comments turned out to be the right call. Looking at the post election result a number of observations can be made: The market is experiencing a level of certainty as the people have shown what they think of the current status of affairs A risk off from semis is still in play No fundamental issue (ac

by ferritafreshi

QQQ rip to 720 or bull trap under 703?QQQ ripped from the 670 flush back to 694 in a day. Now the question is whether 703 caps it. 📊 The read The hourly model path, drawn from yesterday's close near 680, leans long: a steady grind toward about 720 by early Nov 5, staying between roughly +0.7% and +6% along the way. Price is riding the lower side of that path right now. 🧭 Why it matters The band around the path is wide, about 3.7% per step, so its lower edge sits back in the mid 660s. That's the honest message: the lean is up, but th

by quantsignals_alpha

USO - deep into a 5th. Exit longs USO has tripled since feb 25 Wave counts indicate we are deep into a 5ht on the daily time frame Longs should consider trimming exposure and trail stops on existing positions

by yossarian121

(Continuation): SMH Dec 18th 550/565/565/580 Iron Fly Comments: A continuation of a broken iron condor ... . (See Post Below). I've collected 11.19 in credits, but now need price to move back into the body of the setup in order to profit, scratch it out, or at least have less of a loser.

by NaughtyPines

XEG Long Entry Valid 1h trend entry. Price above rising 1h 200 MA 20 MA above 50 MA Pullback to the 20/50 MA area CCI recrossed red → green Entry taken on candle close Strategy signal confirmed. Position entered. SL Management Initial SL: below most recent 1h swing low. Once trend is mature: trail using the Daily 50 MA. If a black daily candle appears: pause SL movement. If price closes below the Daily 50: exit. Now let the trade work.

by tradersteve22

SPY Channel Current: Price recently tagged the lower trendline around 750 and is now bouncing. That bounce is coming after a flush with a volume spike in early Nov.

Research 04.11.2026 🌏 Markets: AMEX:SPY +6.73 +0.89%(pre/m) NASDAQ:QQQ +1.48 +0.22%(pre/m) 🆕 Economic News: Wall St futures rise as Democrats win both chambers of Congress: banks, healthcare, miners and renewables rally while AI, data-center and chip names fall 08:15 USA – ADP Employment Change 08:30 USA – Balance of Trade 08:30 USA – Treasury Refunding Announcement 10:00 USA – ISM Services PMI 10:30 USA – EIA Crude Oil Inventories Earnings after the close: NASDAQ:QCOM , NASDAQ:ARM , NASDAQ:

by hi2morrow_team

Ain't over yet Whet happened last night (The United States of America committed sui code) is not going to result in a bull market.

SPY: My sell-off plan, written before the drop. Every level SPY closed Tuesday at 754.35, about 3.2% below its Oct 6 closing high (779.09). Not a crash. But this is exactly when I want my plan written down, before a bad Friday makes the decision for me. Here is every level I'm watching on SPY, with my two free tools, and what each one does. Where things stand (Tuesday close) - Trend Safety Switch: the trend flipped down on Oct 30 at 755.72, so it cut to 30%. It goes back to 100% on a close above about 779. - Risk-Off Ladder, 1 of 3 warnings on: 1. VI

by TheSimplePortfolio

Long on SPY Trend following optimistic scenario. Based on Elliot waves and Fibo retracements.

SPYI vs. QQQI: Income, Exposure & Risk Income-oriented ETFs can pursue similar distribution objectives while maintaining meaningfully different market exposures and risk characteristics. Two examples are the NEOS S&P 500 High Income ETF (SPYI) and the NEOS Nasdaq-100 High Income ETF (QQQI). Both seek to generate monthly cash distributions through equity investments combined with options-based strategies. However, similar income objectives do not mean the funds will experience identical investment outcomes. Our comparison chart il

BIT Weekly — Make or Break NASDAQ:IBIT — Weekly One level matters right now: $47. That's the flip zone. Resistance needs to become support before this moves anywhere meaningful. If it holds: → Rally into year-end → Flush in 2027 (shakeout, not the end) → New ATH by 2028 Invalidation: lose $35.82 on the weekly and the thesis is dead. Not financial advice. Just watching the map.

Energy vs Tech Energy should begin to outperform tech as we approach more wars, etc. Energy is the best thing to be in during crisis. Also, interest rates are not helping the tech sector.

QQQ: Warning 1 of 3 is on. What I do next (backtest since 2000)Warning 1 of 3 just turned on for QQQ. VIX closed Monday at 21.15, in its top 20% of the past year. QQQ closed at 681.09 (-1.4%), only 0.2% above its 200-day average (about 679.8). My free Risk-Off Ladder now reads 1 of 3 and is still 100% in. A QQQ close under about 680.1 turns warning 2 on, and at 2 of 3 the ladder steps aside at that close. As I write this on Tuesday, QQQ is trading above that level, but the rules act on the close. Warning 3 (15% below the 1-year high) is far off, at about 64

by TheSimplePortfolio

SPY short trade It looks like we've made it back to an important part of the expanding wedge. At this point, a short entry with a tight stop is a possible trade. Target around 740

Chop day, one pay: META TREND at the morning low A chop day, start to finish. QQQ pinned 684–688 all morning ahead of the midterms tonight and the jobs report Friday — and on a day like this the system's job is not to make money everywhere, it is to take the one clean print and keep everything else small. Today that print was META. META — the one clean pay The morning dip flushed to 605.9, and the TREND printed ~09:47 at ~608 — at the low, not after the move. From there it staircased all morning: higher lows, no chase, through 619 by 11:00. +

by Cool-OffSniper