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LONG - Post-Earnings Breakout + Record Leasing&Raised Guidance📍 ENTRY: $148.00 🛑 **STOP LOSS:** $135.00 (Risk: $13.00) 🎯 **TAKE PROFIT:** $175.00 (Reward: $27.00) 📊 R:R RATIO: ~1:2.08 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (The Setup): PLD is trading at ~$143** after reporting earnings today (July 16). My entry at **$148 is positioned above the current price, anticipating a breakout toward the 52-week high of $150.18 and beyond. The stock has been consolidating in a well-defined range between support at $131** and resistance at **$150 over recent weeks . The **stop loss at $135** is placed safely **below the key support zone** ($131–$135) and gives the trade room to breathe while protecting against a false breakout. Target at $175**: This sits well above the current average analyst price target of **$153.43 and approaches the highest targets from top analysts like BTIG at $170 . 52-week range: $103.41 – $150.18 — a clean break above $150 would open the door to new highs. 📊 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (The Catalyst – Just Released!): Prologis reported Q2 2026 earnings this morning (July 16) and the numbers were exceptional: ✅ EPS of $1.13** crushed the $0.75 consensus estimate by +$0.38** . ✅ **Revenue of $2.43B beat the $2.16B estimate by **+12.5%** . ✅ **Core FFO of $1.63/share (+11.6% YoY), well above the ~$1.53 consensus . ✅ **Net earnings nearly doubled** to $1.06B vs $570M in Q2 2025 . ✅ Record leasing: Signed over 67 million square feet — the highest in company history . ✅ Occupancy rose to 95.5% from 95.3% in Q1 . ✅ Net effective rent growth rebounded to 36.9% (vs 31.9% in Q1) — signaling renewed pricing power . Guidance Raised for the Second Time This Year: FY2026 EPS guidance lifted to $4.40–$4.55 (from $3.80–$4.05) . Core FFO guidance raised to $6.22–$6.30 (from $6.07–$6.23) . Key Growth Driver – Data Center Expansion: Data center power pipeline expanded to 5.8 GW . Nearly $802M of Q2 development starts tied to data centers . CEO Daniel Letter stated customer demand is broadening across logistics, digital infrastructure and energy . Analyst Reaction (Today): Firm Rating Price Target BMO Capital Buy $158 (reaffirmed) Barclays Overweight **$156** (raised from $139) Wells Fargo Buy $167 BTIG Buy $170 Consensus (24 analysts) Buy $153.43 🎯 TRADE STRATEGY: Entry at $148:** Entering after the post-earnings momentum, anticipating a clean break above the **52-week high of $150.18. **SL at $135:** Placed safely below the key support zone ($131–$135) and the 200-day moving average. If price loses this level, the bullish breakout thesis is invalidated. **TP at $175:** Approaching the highest analyst targets ($170 from BTIG) — capturing the full upside of the strong fundamental setup. ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT: Earnings volatility: PLD is up ~3.7% today . A "sell-the-news" reaction could still occur if the market chooses to take profits. Valuation concerns: GuruFocus GF Value™ for PLD is $132.16, suggesting the stock is ~8.5% overvalued at current levels . Operating costs: G&A expenses surged 21.3% YoY, raising some margin questions . Interest rate environment: As a REIT, PLD is sensitive to rising rates, though its debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio of 4.7x and weighted average interest rate of 3.3% provide a cushion . 💬 What are your thoughts? Is anyone else watching this post-earnings breakout, or do you expect a pullback before the next leg up toward $175? ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial or investment advice. This post reflects my personal opinion and analysis based on publicly available information. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, including the potential loss of your entire capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. I am not responsible for any losses incurred. #PLD #Prologis #Earnings #REIT #Breakout #DataCenter #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #Stocks
NYSE:PLDLong
by shortermtrader
LONG MA - Breakout Above 200 SMA + Strong Buy Fundamentals📍 ENTRY: $547.00 🛑 **STOP LOSS:** $515.00 (Risk: $32.00) 🎯 **TAKE PROFIT:** $615.50 (Reward: $68.50) 📊 R:R RATIO: ~1:2.14 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (The Setup): MA has been consolidating in a well-defined range between support at $465 and resistance at $514 over recent weeks. The stock recently broke above the critical 200-day SMA (approximately $528–$537), a key psychological barrier that signals a potential long-term trend reversal. My entry at $547** is positioned just above the **$535–$541 resistance zone — the heavy call wall where options traders have been accumulating bullish bets. This suggests the path of least resistance is up. The stop loss at $515 is placed safely below the 200-day SMA and key support levels, protecting against a false breakout while giving the trade room to breathe. Target at $615.50**: This sits just above the **52-week high of $601.77 and approaches the average analyst price target of ~$644, capturing the full upside of a sustained breakout. Volume confirmation: Recent trading shows the stock holding above the 200-day SMA with building momentum. A confirmed breakout above $541 with volume would validate the move. 📊 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (The Catalyst): Mastercard is a world-class asset-light business with a wide economic moat, operating in over 200 countries and processing ~$11 trillion in annual volume. Q1 2026 results were stellar: ✅ **EPS of $4.60** beat consensus of $4.41 by +4.3% ✅ Revenue of $8.4B, up +15.8% YoY ✅ Cross-border volume grew +13% on a local-currency basis ✅ Value-added services surged +22%, highlighting diversification beyond core transactions Upcoming catalyst: MA will release Q2 2026 earnings on July 30 (expected EPS ~$4.77). With analysts projecting **EPS of ~$19.58 for FY2026 (+15.1% YoY)** and $22.65 for FY2027 (+15.7%), the fundamental growth story remains intact. Analyst consensus: 41 analysts rate MA as "Strong Buy" with an average 12-month price target of ~$644 Recent upgrades: Baird raised PT to $680** (Outperform); **Bernstein** maintains **$710 (Buy); Bank of America at $700 (Buy) The average target implies ~20% upside from current levels Key strengths: ✅ Zero credit risk — MA does not lend, it just processes payments ✅ Asset-light model with operating margins of ~58% and net margins of ~46% ✅ Aggressive capital return: $4.0B in buybacks during Q1 + an additional $1.7B through April ✅ Quarterly dividend of $0.87 payable August 7 🎯 TRADE STRATEGY: **Entry at $547:** Entering after a confirmed breakout above the 200-day SMA and the heavy $535 call wall, with momentum building toward the 52-week high. SL at $515: Placed safely below the 200-day SMA and key support. If price loses this level, the bullish breakout thesis is invalidated. TP at $615.50: Approaching the 52-week high and analyst target zone, capturing the full upside of the technical and fundamental setup. ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT: Earnings risk: Q2 results on July 30 could trigger volatility. A miss on EPS or revenue could send the stock back below the 200-day SMA. Regulatory overhang: Ongoing DOJ scrutiny and the Credit Card Competition Act remain headwinds. Valuation: MA trades at a premium (P/E ~30x), which leaves less margin for error. Technical caution: The long-term trend has been down since January 2026. This trade is a bet on a trend reversal — confirmation is key. 💬 What are your thoughts? Is anyone else watching this breakout above the 200-day SMA, or do you expect a pullback before the next leg up toward $600? ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is NOT financial or investment advice. This post reflects my personal opinion and analysis based on publicly available information. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, including the potential loss of your entire capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. I am not responsible for any losses incurred. #MA #Mastercard #Earnings #Breakout #200SMA #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #Stocks #Payments
NYSE:MALong
by shortermtrader
Trading analysis 2026-07-16The AI trade is de-rating at the valuation layer (~$2.1T of semiconductor market cap lost since June 22) while every physical constraint behind it tightened in the same week. This portfolio doesn't bet on who wins AI — it owns the bottlenecks everyone must pay: power, fuel, freight, industrial gases, critical minerals, and memory. Three simultaneous supply shocks anchor the positioning: the collapsed Hormuz ceasefire (war premium across oil, LNG, tankers), China converting niche-input dominance into policy weapons (helium export ban July 10, tungsten/WF6 cutoff, rare-earth curbs the IEA says endanger $6.5T of Western output), and US power scarcity turning structural (third consecutive PJM capacity auction at the price cap, $2,000+/MWh heat-wave peaks).
NYSE:VSTLong
by pierre_radas
SpaceX — Is the downtrend finally ending? 🏆SpaceX remains in a clear bearish structure, respecting the descending dynamic resistance while printing lower highs and lower lows. Although selling pressure has slowed near the recent lows, buyers still have plenty of work to do before any meaningful trend reversal can be confirmed. 🔥Previously: 📈 Bullish scenario If buyers manage to reclaim the dynamic resistance and break above the highlighted supply zone, momentum could begin shifting in favor of the bulls. A confirmed breakout would expose the higher resistance zones and potentially mark the start of a stronger recovery. 📉 Bearish scenario If price continues respecting the descending trendline and loses the current support, the bearish trend is likely to continue with another leg lower before buyers have a chance to regain control. At the moment, patience remains the best approach. The overall trend is still bearish, and confirmation above resistance is needed before considering a sustained bullish move.
NASDAQ:SPCX
by TheZimpact
TESLA (4Hr.) CHARTFriends, this is the 4-hour chart for Tesla. Observe carefully: Chart Analysis Summary This chart illustrates the 'Smart Money Concepts' (SMC) approach to market structure. It identifies key liquidity and supply/demand zones and projects the potential path of price action. Current Situation: The price has just "tapped" into a "Hidden Fair Value Gap" (Hidden FVG). The "TAP" note indicates that the price has recently touched this zone; traders often view this as a critical point for a potential bounce or reversal. The next resistance level on the chart is at 407. Projected Path: The red line indicates a potential downward correction towards the 368.13 level in the near term. The "IF NOT BREAK" note implies that the trade idea hinges on the price remaining above the lower "OB" (Order Block) level near 368.13. If the price does not break below this, it is expected to act as a support floor. Bullish Target: Following a successful test of the 368.13 support level, the chart projects a significant upward rally targeting the higher "ERL" (External Range Liquidity) level; the timeframe for this potential move extends to the end of the month. Key Technical Terms OB (Order Block): These are zones where institutional investors have previously placed large-scale buy or sell orders; they often function as support or resistance zones. Hidden FVG (Fair Value Gap): An imbalance in price action characterized by a lack of efficient trading; it often serves as a target for the price to revisit before continuing its original trend. ERL (External Range Liquidity): These are typically levels where stop-loss orders accumulate (such as previous highs or lows). The market often moves towards these levels to "sweep" liquidity. Important Note: This analysis is based on technical patterns and projections. Financial markets are unpredictable and influenced by news events, volatility, and institutional shifts, which can invalidate technical forecasts. Always conduct your own due diligence and consider your risk management strategy before acting on any technical setup.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by askbiswanath2025
META: Strong Earnings Forecast, Weak Relative Strength | Why I’mMETA continues to post an impressive long-term earnings outlook, with analysts forecasting approximately +40% earnings growth in 2026. Under normal circumstances, this would support a bullish thesis. However, price action tells a different story. Following the February 2025 tech selloff, META rebounded strongly and respected the EMA, signaling renewed momentum. But after the Q3 2025 earnings report, where net income was negatively impacted by a significant tax charge, the stock began losing relative strength. Since then, price has remained around or below the EMA, reflecting weaker momentum and continued underperformance versus the broader market. Although this TradingView chart only displays the EMA, my full ApexTrendEngine indicator combines trend and relative strength analysis. At the moment, the indicator remains ORANGE, which means: 🟠 No clear edge 🟠 Relative strength is weak 🟠 Patience is preferred over prediction Strong earnings forecasts alone are not enough. I prefer to wait until price confirms the fundamental story before considering a new long position. What I’m watching next: * A sustained move back above the EMA. * Improving relative strength versus the market. * ApexTrendEngine turning back to GREEN. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:META
by ApexTrendEngine
GLW weekly - reversal incomingGLW will be at 50% fib retracement from April 25 low on the weekly to Jun 26 ATH. Couple that with oversold at this level only happening 1 time since today back in early 2025. GLW earnings will be positive next week and prior to will be the catalyst to the reversal towards $230 to $262. GLW is the pick and shovel play for AI and Corning is the top fiber optic play which every Data Center will need to remove their copper bottlenecks: AI clusters are incredibly dense; a single AI data center requires up to 36 times more fiber than conventional cloud infrastructure. There are only two other fiber manufacturers that come close to Corning's fiber purity and thin size, however, GLW is unmatched over those two competitors by way of more market capture, strategic tech partnerships, and it's unmatched scalability. Given this Corning is the top dog as it is the leader in the AI infrastructure financial landscape.
NYSE:GLWLong
by Darkyoda-CJP
2
$NIO (Weekly Timeframe) – Technical OutlookNIO appears to be approaching a major inflection point. Price is compressing into the apex of a long-term triangle while holding above a key ascending trendline, suggesting that selling pressure is fading. A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance could trigger a strong bullish move. The first target would be the $9.20–$12.10 supply zone (highlighted in the chart). If buyers reclaim and hold that area, the next leg could extend toward $15–17, where the next major resistance sits. Key levels: Support: ~$4.80–5.00 Breakout trigger: Above the descending trendline and $6.30–6.50 resistance Target 1: $9.20–12.10 Target 2: $15–17 As always, confirmation is more important than anticipation. A breakout accompanied by strong volume would significantly increase the probability of this bullish scenario playing out. This is a technical analysis based on price structure and should not be considered financial advice. #NIO #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #EV
NYSE:NIOLong
by thebluemeh
It's a time for ONDAS - potential profit 50 %ONDS is currently trading around $6.65, following a significant correction from local highs near $14–15. The market structure shows several bullish waves interrupted by numerous changes of character (CHoCH) and breaks of structure (BOS), indicating a highly volatile market moving within a wide trading range. Price is currently sitting at the lower boundary of the blue demand zone, labeled "Weak Low" (roughly $5.50–$6.90) — an area that has triggered upward reversals multiple times in the past. The green target zone points to a potential upside move toward approximately $10 (+50.5% from current price), which aligns with a prior equilibrium level (EQL) and the June consolidation zone. The bullish scenario assumes the demand zone holds and price breaks above local resistance around $8.50–$9.00, with $10 as an initial profit-taking target, followed by the red supply zone around $13.50–$14.50 ("Strong High") as a further potential target. The setup would be invalidated by a 4H close below the lower boundary of the blue demand zone (around $5.50). Potential TP: 10 USD Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a financial recommendation. Ondas Inc. shows high volatility typical of smaller technology stocks, which carries elevated risk of capital loss. Always conduct your own research and make decisions at your own responsibility.
NASDAQ:ONDSLong
by darksignal
Blackberry - on a lower degree wave count BlackBerry is no longer a smartphone company. Today, it focuses primarily on cybersecurity and mission-critical software. Through its QNX operating system, BlackBerry provides embedded software used in millions of vehicles and industrial systems, while its cybersecurity division delivers security solutions for enterprises and government organizations. Daniela Radice | Market Dynamics & Research Macro | Cycles | Elliott Wave | Structural Analysis
NYSE:BB
by Tesi_Daniela_Radice