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The Trillion Dollar Tech Meltdown | Why Everyone Is Dumping IBM IBM is dealing with a major shift in enterprise technology spending, highlighted by a roughly 25% one day drop in its stock after the company issued a weaker than expected preliminary second quarter earnings update.
IBM expects Q2 revenue of about $17.2 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $2.93, below Wall Street expectations of $17.86 billion in revenue and $3.02 EPS
The slowdown appears to be tied to a change in how large companies are allocating their technology budgets. Many enterprises are putting more money into AI infrastructure, including expensive chips, cloud computing capacity, and data center upgrades, while delaying spending on traditional software and older IT systems
🤖Companies Are Prioritizing AI Infrastructure
One of IBM’s biggest challenges is that enterprise customers are shifting spending away from traditional software solutions and toward AI-related hardware and cloud investments. CEO Arvind Krishna acknowledged that IBM was slower than some competitors to adjust as companies redirected billions of dollars toward generative AI infrastructure.
This change has impacted areas like Transaction Processing and Data & Automation, where IBM relies on high-margin software sales and enterprise technology deployments. Fewer large-scale mainframe upgrades and slower software licensing growth have created concerns that IBM’s traditional business model may struggle to keep pace with the rapid growth of AI focused competitors
💰IBM Still Has a Strong Financial Position
Despite the recent setback, IBM’s overall financial foundation remains solid. In the previous fiscal year, the company generated $67.5 billion in revenue and maintained a gross margin of 58.2%. It also produced $14.7 billion in free cash flow and returned more than $6.3 billion to shareholders through dividends
These numbers show that IBM still has a profitable core business and a strong balance sheet. The company has enough financial strength to manage a temporary slowdown while continuing to invest in new areas such as artificial intelligence and emerging technologies
⚖️Short Term Problems vs Long Term Potential
The sharp stock decline has created a major debate among investors. Bears argue that IBM’s newer growth areas, including quantum computing investments and deeper AI partnerships, are still too early to replace weakness in its traditional software business
On the other hand, supporters believe the sell off may have pushed IBM’s valuation into more attractive territory. The lower stock price has reduced its price to earnings multiple and increased its dividend yield to around 3.18%, making it more appealing for long-term investors who believe IBM can successfully adapt to the AI era
🔮 The Next Test, IBM’s July 22 Earnings Call
The company’s official earnings call on July 22 will be an important moment for investors. The main focus will be IBM’s progress in AI related revenue, growth in its generative AI business, and whether management can confirm expectations for stronger free cash flow..
If IBM can show that AI consulting, cloud services, and new technology offerings are growing fast enough to offset weakness in legacy areas, the recent decline could turn into a long-term buying opportunity. However, investors will want clear evidence that IBM’s AI strategy is moving from promises into measurable results.
Are you buying the dip for that juicy 3.18% dividend, or shorting the stock before the July 22 call?
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NFLX & NVDA = Hagia Sophia WARNING!🚨 WARNING! NVDA is the next NFLX
I first started warning about NFLX in the summer. You can see the formation setups step by step here. From H&S to the Hagia Sophia (rounding top) with a tower (head test)
The only time you will see such a pattern is at tops!
The H&S never failed. instead it head tested, which ended up being extreme. (Not uncommon in a raging, euphoric, bubbalicious market.)
What is most important about the Hagia Sophia pattern is that it signals that we are in the endgame stages of the move.
It's time to GTFO & STFO!
When exactly you GTFO is not as relevant as actually GTFO! You always need an exit strategy. Otherwise, you will ride it all the way back down, right into losses.
Shorting it on the other hand is differnet animal. This is the time to start picking your battles. Dipping your toe in the water, ready to take losses until it fails.
In this case, there were 3 key areas (CRACKS) to short. Two out of the 3 would have gotten you huge gains IF you understood the pattern.
NVDA looks the same today as NFLX looked back in the summer.
If you are long - GTFO RUN with Profits & STFO!
If you want to short wait for the next key area to CRACK!
Lastly, I bet you are wondering if NFLX is done going down? Answer is NO!
NFLX is now at 4️⃣ Deep Decline (-30%) — Moral Pressure Phase
“Buy when there’s blood in the streets”
“This is how generational wealth is made”
“The smart money is buying”
“Be greedy when others are fearful”
“This is once-in-a-decade”
📌 Translation: We need new buyers to absorb forced selling.
#FAFO
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in raw truth, not hype. 
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RKLB - Trend-Following Opportunity Under Watch!RKLB (Rocket Lab) is a leading space technology company specializing in satellite launches, spacecraft manufacturing, and space systems. As one of the fastest-growing companies in the commercial space industry, it has attracted significant interest from long-term growth investors.
From a technical perspective, the stock remains overall bullish, continuing to respect the red ascending broadening wedge that has guided the long-term trend.
Price is now testing an important technical area where the lower boundary of the broadening wedge aligns with a weekly demand zone, creating an attractive region to monitor for a potential bullish reaction.
⭕As long as this support area continues to hold, we can start looking for trend-following buy setups on lower timeframes, anticipating a continuation of the broader bullish trend.
⭕However, if price breaks below the current demand zone, the focus shifts toward the lower blue support and demand area, where another buying reaction may develop.
The reaction from the current support area may provide a better indication of whether buyers are ready to resume the long-term uptrend, or if the current correction still has room to extend lower.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice.
Rayan Nasser
#RKLB #RocketLab #Stocks #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure #Space 
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Moderna and Dogecoin charts have identical structures Hello, traders and anyone else who just needs money. I was studying the biotech market and happened to notice a similarity in the chart structure of Moderna and Dogecoin.
Clearly, different factors influence their prices, and yet, regardless of industry the pattern can and usually does repeat itself. The initial diagonal is visible on the Moderna, on Doge we also see the Diagonal. And how far has Moderna's price has outperformed? So far I view the current pullback as a potential (though not yet confirmed) end to the bear market for it.
It's a company registered in 2010. It went public at the end of 2018, and around December 30, 2019, COVID-19 was announced. Around January 7, 2020, the Chinese authorities identified the new coronavirus and published its formula. Moderna was the company that was developing mRNA. This technology allows for the rapid creation of vaccines for a new pathogen. And immediately afterward, literally within a week of publishing the virus formula, they announced they had a vaccine, because their technology allows for this to be done quickly. And if you look at the chart, their price began to rise hyperbolic. It was precisely this factor that served as the main price driver. As the pandemic began to subside, a steady downward trend took hold
At this point, the price has already touched the levels seen at the start of the first wave, which
1) could mean that the bearish trend for that wave is over, potentially
2) could be an indicator that we are not dealing with a primary-degree impulse pattern
The second, in turn, could provide a target for the bulls. Confirmation that the bearish trend for Moderna is over will be the price’s failure to fall below 35.
Additional indicators: Two green monthly candles on Volume could be evidence, but it hasn't exceeded the previous values. Thus the current half-year rally could be yet another reaction.
And if we look at the entire trading history as a whole, the top was near $490 per share, the bottom near 13. If we're dealing with an impulse structure, the price could reach 790; if it's a different pattern, then at least the previous ATH. A fantastic target, a fantastic profit target.
As you can see, DOGE still has a long way to go, structurally. Just to remind, my targets for DOGE are 0.0324 and 0.0085, because that level could mark the end of subwave 4 in the primary extended 3 wave.
Good luck & Have a fat profit! 
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AT&T setting up for a reboundInvestment Thesis : Long / Technical Breakout & Fundamental Turnaround
AT&T (T) has spent the last few months enduring sector-wide headwinds, technical distribution, and a wave of panic-selling. But looking at the macro weekly chart, we are approaching a major inflection point. The combination of structural chart support, massive free cash flow (FCF), and aggressive share buybacks suggests that a macro bounce into the low-to-mid $30s is not just possible—it's mathematically backed by the fundamentals.
📊 The Catalyst Breakdown
1. Massive $18B+ Free Cash Flow Engine
The market continues to treat AT&T like it's a legacy debt disaster, but management has fundamentally shifted the capital allocation strategy. AT&T has reiterated a minimum full-year 2026 Free Cash Flow guidance of $18 Billion+.
For perspective, with a market cap sitting around $150B, T is trading at a staggering, deeply discounted Free Cash Flow Yield of roughly 12%.
2. The Move from Debt Reduction to Active Repurchases
Through 2025, AT&T focused heavily on paying down its legacy wireless and fiber investments. Moving into 2026, they have authorized $8 Billion in share repurchases for this year alone, with a multi-year plan to return over $45 Billion to shareholders through 2028. This massive corporate buying power acts as a persistent mechanical bid under the stock price.
3. Valuation Compression and the 5% Dividend Buffer
With 2026 Adjusted EPS guided at $2.25 to $2.35, the stock is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of under 10x. Meanwhile, the highly sustainable $1.11 annual dividend provides a strong 5.1% yield that acts as an institutional safety net while we wait for the macro rotation.
🎯 The Technical Trade Setup
Accumulation Zone : $20.00 – $21.80 (Scale-in area near macro support)
Primary Target (Breakout Confirmation) : $25.50 (Clearing the 200 DMA)
Macro Target: $30.00 – $33.00 (Fair value re-rating as deleveraging goals are met)
Conclusion:
When a blue-chip utility company stabilizes its capital structure, guides for $18B+ in pure cash generation, and launches an $8B buyback program, a sub-10x P/E multiple becomes unsustainable. The bears have had their run, but the risk-to-reward for a long position or a long-dated LEAP option stock replacement strategy here is heavily skewed to the upside.
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It's a time for ALLOT - POSSIBLE PROFIT 20%Allot Ltd. is currently showing signs of improving bullish momentum after establishing a strong base near the recent lows. The stock has successfully recovered from the demand zone, indicating that buyers have regained control and are defending lower price levels. This recovery suggests that the previous downtrend may have exhausted itself, creating favorable conditions for a continued upward move.
The recent series of higher lows and higher highs reflects a developing short-term uptrend. Price action remains constructive, while the rising moving average supports the view that buying pressure is gradually increasing. As long as the stock continues to hold above the nearby support around $8.00, the bullish structure remains intact.
The current consolidation below the resistance area can be interpreted as a healthy pause following the recent advance. Such consolidations often precede another leg higher, especially when they occur after a strong recovery from key demand zones. A sustained move above the immediate resistance could attract additional buying interest and accelerate bullish momentum.
From a technical perspective, the next significant upside objective is located around $9.60, representing approximately a 19% upside from the current price. This level coincides with a previous supply area and serves as a realistic short-term target if bullish momentum continues to strengthen.
Overall, the technical outlook remains positive. Continued buying pressure, improving market structure, and the successful defense of key support levels favor a continuation of the current recovery, with $9.60 emerging as the primary near-term price target. While short-term volatility should be expected, the overall chart structure continues to support a bullish outlook.
Potential target : 9.60 USD
Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. The views expressed are based solely on technical analysis of the price chart and reflect a potential market scenario rather than a prediction or guarantee of future performance. Financial markets are inherently volatile, and actual price movements may differ significantly from the analysis presented. Investors should conduct their own research, consider their individual financial circumstances and risk tolerance, and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance and technical patterns do not guarantee future results. 
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