Long
Long
Amazon.com, Inc. ($AMZN) Daily: Technical Bounce Off Dynamic Amazon.com, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) Daily: Technical Bounce Off Dynamic Support Sets Stage for Bullish Expansion Leg
### 🇺🇸 Amazon.com, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) Daily Technical Framework (Ref: AMZN_2026-07-10_08-36-28.png)
We are releasing an essential structural update on Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) on the Daily (1D) time matrix. Following a healthy corrective phase that successfully mitigated lower premium discount arrays, the equity has printed a dominant buy-side reaction off key historical trendlines, validating robust institutional accumulation.
The asset closed its prior session up **+1.40% at 247.04**, with the overnight tape indicating immediate equilibrium holding around **246.89**.
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### 🔍 Technical Architecture & Support Validation:
1. **The Confluence Floor:** Sellers faced aggressive absorption as price action approached the primary ascending macro support line (lower black diagonal trendline). This zone perfectly overlapped with our institutional **200-period EMA (purple line sitting at 234.59)**, establishing a massive confluence floor.
2. **Moving Average Clustered Breakout:** Price action has systematically reclaimed the short-term defensive block, compressing directly into the **72-period SMA ribbon (orange line at 247.83)**. The strength of the recent daily candles confirms that demand is steadily stepping back in.
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### 🚀 The Expansion Leg Targets (Blue Vector)
As modeled by our blue upward tracking arrow, the current technical structure is optimized for a sustained bullish expansion sequence:
* **Immediate Target Zone (~265.00):** Our primary short-to-medium term objective targets the upper descending resistance line (upper black diagonal ceiling). This represents the structural apex where volatility compression will likely trigger a critical localized battle.
* **Macro Ceiling Target (277.33):** If buy-side volume confirms a clean structural close above the black LTB, it opens the technical highway toward the major historical horizontal supply barrier locked at the **277.33** red line.
### 📊 Tactical Playbook Summary:
* **Trend Bias:** Heavily Bullish (Post-Correction Accumulation)
* **Immediate Target:** ~265.00 (Descending Trendline Ceiling)
* **Macro Target:** 277.33 (Horizontal Resistance)
* **Invalidation Anchor:** Confirmed daily close below the 200-EMA and lower black trendline floor.
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📊 **ChartPro Data**
*US Equity Architecture, Volatility Squeeze Models & Systematic Trend Continuations.*
⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This active market study represents a personal trading framework and does not constitute financial or investment advice. 
Long
TSLA: Tesla May Be One Breakout Away From a New RallyTesla has returned to a balanced trading range after several highly volatile sessions. What stands out is the consistent buying interest around the $403–405 area, while the EMA34 and EMA89 are beginning to converge, signalling a period of consolidation before the next directional move. With sellers unable to establish lower lows, momentum is gradually shifting back toward the bulls.
From a fundamental perspective, sentiment toward technology stocks continues to improve as expectations of potential Fed rate cuts in the coming months encourage capital to flow back into growth assets. Tesla is also benefiting from renewed optimism surrounding its AI initiatives and autonomous driving technology, providing additional support for the stock's recovery.
On the H4 chart, price continues to hold above both the EMA34 and EMA89, while repeatedly finding support at the recent demand zone. If TSLA breaks decisively above the $410 resistance, the current consolidation pattern could complete, opening the way for an extension toward $425, the previous swing high. 
Short
TradingView’s 24h session removes a major friction pointOne chart. One symbol. A more complete view of the trading day.
TradingView has added 24h session support for BOATS-supported US stocks, combining regular trading hours, extended hours, and overnight activity into one continuous 24/5 intraday chart.
Previously, analyzing overnight price action meant switching between the main ticker and separate BOATS symbols. Now the full intraday structure is available within the main symbol workflow.
🔍 Why this matters
Earnings, analyst updates, macro releases, and global events can move US stocks long before the opening bell.
With overnight data included directly on the chart, it becomes easier to evaluate:
• how overnight moves develop into pre-market momentum
• whether an opening gap is supported by earlier price action
• where key levels formed outside regular trading hours
• how overnight activity connects with the regular session
📊 What stands out
— Indicators and drawing tools work directly with the 24h intraday series
— Trading sessions remain visually separated
— Overnight prices are available in watchlists
— Alerts can track moves outside regular trading hours
— No need to rebuild the same analysis on a separate symbol
One important detail: the 24h session is designed for intraday analysis. Daily and higher timeframes still follow the main exchange session, preserving the standard longer-term market structure.
This is a good example of a feature that adds useful information while removing friction from the workflow.
Well executed, TradingView team. Looking forward to seeing how 24h market coverage develops from here. 
Education
Short
Long
Meta (META) — A New Hope from a Fundamental ShiftMeta (META) — A New Hope from a Fundamental Shift
Fundamental Analysis
1. Meta is shifting from a major AI chip buyer to developing its own AI chips and infrastructure, aiming to reduce costs and generate revenue through its chip, infrastructure, and API/model ecosystem.
2. META remains a high-quality Big Tech stock, supported by strong ad growth, high margins, and a massive user base. However, the key question is whether its heavy AI capex can generate returns quickly enough.
3. Meta’s ad business remains strong, with ad impressions up 19% YoY and average price per ad up 12% YoY. This shows AI recommendations and ad targeting are improving ad efficiency, while its 3.56 billion Family daily active users continue to support growth.
4. A key opportunity is Meta’s Iris AI chip, expected to enter production in September 2026, as part of its plan to reach 14 gigawatts of computing capacity by 2027. Partnering with Broadcom and TSMC could reduce reliance on Nvidia and AMD and lower AI infrastructure costs.
5. Meta also plans to sell excess AI computing capacity through a cloud business. If successful, AI capex could shift from a heavy cost into a new revenue stream, similar to Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet.
Technical Analysis
6. After rebounding from the lower bound of the descending channel, META formed a higher low within the channel, suggesting the possibility of an uptrend shift. However, this still needs confirmation through an upside breakout above the channel.
7. The bullish EMAs confirm that the price remains in an uptrend. Although the recent pullback indicates a consolidation phase, the price has continued to hold above EMA200, suggesting that the long-term trend remains bullish.
8. If META breaks above the channel, it would signal a bullish trend continuation. However, if the price fails to break above the channel, it may retest the ascending channel support again.
9. In summary, after a long consolidation phase, the price is starting to show early signs of a reversal and is now at a critical point that could determine whether the recovery can be sustained.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
Is It Time to Buy Private Credit Again?Over the past decade, private credit has become one of the most important segments of alternative finance. It refers to loans granted directly to companies by specialized investment funds, outside the traditional banking system. After a period of rapid expansion driven by low interest rates and strong demand for leverage, the key question today is whether this market is approaching a cyclical bottom after experiencing a sharp decline in the stock market over recent months.
The risks currently facing the sector are real but remain contained. Default rates have increased compared with the 2020–2021 period, although they remain well below systemic levels. The real concern is not so much the number of visible defaults as the emergence of more subtle warning signs: the growing use of "PIK" (Payment-in-Kind) loans, where interest is added to the outstanding debt rather than being paid in cash, the increase in discreet debt restructurings, and mounting pressure on the most highly leveraged companies financed during the 2021–2023 boom.
In this environment, not all market participants face the same level of exposure. The sector is dominated by a handful of major publicly traded platforms that combine asset management with direct corporate lending. Two distinct profiles stand out.
The table below presents the leading US companies in the private equity and private credit industries, together with the share of each activity within their business models. These five companies are the true barometer of the health of the private credit market. Technical analysis of their stocks can therefore provide highly valuable signals to answer the question addressed in this analysis.
On one side are diversified mega-platforms such as Apollo Global Management, Blackstone and KKR, which operate across private equity, private credit, real estate and infrastructure. Their diversification cushions market shocks but also makes them sensitive to the broader cycle of alternative assets.
On the other side are private credit specialists such as Ares Management and Blue Owl Capital, whose business models rely primarily on direct lending. These firms are more directly exposed to any deterioration in loan quality, but they also provide a clearer picture of the credit cycle.
The key point is that private credit remains a relatively young market that is now entering a more mature phase of its cycle. After years of exceptionally favorable conditions, the industry is undergoing a gradual normalization. Leading indicators, particularly the share of PIK loans and the rise in restructurings, suggest not a systemic crisis but rather a period of localized stress.
If macroeconomic conditions stabilize and interest rates begin to move lower again, private credit could gradually return to a healthier environment. However, if economic growth slows, existing pockets of weakness could intensify before any lasting stabilization occurs.
From a technical analysis perspective, the long-term monthly charts of the companies listed above show that their share prices have now returned to major support levels. However, the market will likely require several weeks or even months of stabilization before the long-term uptrend can resume, allowing investors to gain confidence that the Federal Reserve will not embark on another tightening cycle for the federal funds rate.
The chart below displays the monthly Japanese candlesticks for ARES.
The chart below displays the monthly Japanese candlesticks for Blue Owl Capital.
The chart below displays the monthly Japanese candlesticks for Blackstone.
Education
RVTY Rebounds from Pullback as Uptrend Remains IntactRevvity, Inc. (RVTY) is attracting renewed buying interest following its recent pullback. The stock remains in a healthy uptrend, continuing to make higher highs and higher lows while trading above the well-aligned 20- and 50-day moving averages.
Revvity, Inc. is a $12.50 billion market cap life sciences company that provides health science solutions, technologies, expertise, and services spanning the entire healthcare workflow—from discovery and drug development to diagnosis and patient care. The company specializes in translational multi-omics technologies, biomarker identification, imaging, screening, diagnostics, and informatics. It operates through two business segments: Life Sciences, which focuses on accelerating drug discovery and development, and Diagnostics, which provides instruments, reagents, assay platforms, and software for reproductive health, immunodiagnostics, applied genomics, and emerging market diagnostics.
RVTY is a narrow economic moat company that has grown both revenue and EPS in two of the last three quarters. The company reported an operating margin of 12% and a net margin of 6%. It generated a 3% return on equity (ROE) and a 2% return on invested capital (ROIC). Its balance sheet remains healthy, with a current ratio of 1.7x and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5x.
While profitability and returns on capital remain modest, the stock's constructive technical setup, combined with improving financial performance, suggests that the recent pullback may offer an attractive entry opportunity for trend-following investors. 
Long
BKNG: Buyers Defend Key SupportBooking Holdings remains one of the world's leading online travel companies and continues to attract long-term investors. After the recent pullback, the stock has reached a major demand zone where an ascending trendline meets a key Fibonacci level. The company continues to deliver solid revenue and earnings growth, maintains an active share buyback program, and expands the use of artificial intelligence across its platforms. Potential Federal Reserve rate cuts could provide additional support for the travel sector, while slower economic growth and stronger competition remain the main risks. On the weekly chart, BKNG continues to hold the 167–170 support zone, keeping the long-term bullish structure intact. EMA100 and EMA200 continue to trend higher, suggesting the current decline is a normal correction within a broader uptrend. If buyers defend support, the next upside targets are 191, 219, and 228, while the long-term objective remains near 283. A break below 167 would increase the probability of a deeper correction toward 161. This publication reflects my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. 
Long
CSCO Resumes Uptrend as Buyers Step In After PullbackCisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) is attracting renewed buying interest following its retracement to the 20- and 50-day moving averages after the recent gap-up move. The stock remains in a healthy uptrend, continuing to make higher highs and higher lows while trading above the well-aligned moving averages.
Cisco Systems, Inc. is a $466.31 billion market cap technology company that designs, manufactures, and sells Internet Protocol (IP)-based networking products and services for the communications and information technology industry. The company operates across the Americas, EMEA, and APJC regions and offers a broad portfolio of networking and cybersecurity solutions, including switches, routers, wireless networking products, network management software, optical networking equipment, access points, next-generation firewalls, advanced malware protection, VPN security clients, and email and web security solutions.
CSCO is a wide economic moat company that has delivered consistent revenue and EPS growth over the last three quarters. The company maintains strong profitability, with an operating margin of 25% and a net margin of 21%. It generates a 26% return on equity (ROE) and an 18% return on invested capital (ROIC). Its balance sheet remains solid, supported by a current ratio of 1.0x and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.7x. Together, these fundamentals reinforce Cisco's durable competitive advantages and support the stock's favorable long-term outlook. 
Long
Long
TGT Rebounds from Support Despite Mixed FundamentalsTarget Corporation (TGT) is attracting buying interest after retracing to its key moving averages. The stock remains in a technical uptrend, continuing to make higher highs and higher lows while trading above the well-aligned 20- and 50-day moving averages.
Target Corp. is a $60.08 billion market cap retailer that operates general merchandise stores across the United States. The company offers a broad range of products, including food and beverages, apparel, household essentials, electronics, and toys. Its portfolio includes well-known private-label brands such as Good & Gather, Cat & Jack, Threshold, up&up, All in Motion, Hearth & Hand with Magnolia, Favorite Day, and dozens of others that help differentiate its merchandise offering.
TGT is a no-moat company that has recorded revenue growth only in the most recent quarter, while EPS has not grown over the last three quarters. Profitability remains modest, with an operating margin of 4% and a net margin of 3%. The company generates a 22% return on equity (ROE) and a 10% return on invested capital (ROIC). Its balance sheet is supported by a current ratio of 1.0x and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.2x.
Although the company's recent fundamental performance has been underwhelming, the technical setup is becoming increasingly constructive. The successful pullback to support and renewed buying interest may present an attractive opportunity for technically focused traders, provided the stock maintains its current uptrend. 
Long
Starbucks turnaround takes hold as AI cost cuts add new upsideSBUX | 4H Technical Analysis — Jul 10, 2026
Bloomberg reported that Starbucks is developing proprietary AI tools to replace third-party software, including Microsoft's inventory management and IBM's maintenance programs, with CTO Ananth Baradwaj citing a clear opportunity to reduce the company's ~$400M annual software spend. Starbucks posted its first YoY growth in both revenue and earnings in two years in Q2 FY2026, with global same-store sales up 6% and North America comps rising more than 7%. Customer visit frequency hit a 3-year high, driven by the 'Green Apron Service' model rollout focused on staffing, service speed, and customer experience, with mobile order pickup also introduced to improve throughput and satisfaction scores.
SBUX has been in a broad recovery since the March lows near 85, advancing steadily through 90, 100, and 109 before a sharp May flush took the price down to the 93 area. The recovery from that low has been swift and sustained, reclaiming 100 and 103 in sequence. Price is currently trading around 106.50, with EMA21 (103.56) and EMA78 (101.82) in a fresh bullish cross and both EMAs trending higher.
The 93.70 zone held as a key support pivot during the June consolidation, providing the base for the current advance. Price has now pushed back toward the 109 level, which marked the prior cycle high and represents the next meaningful resistance. RSI at 62.43 is elevated but below overbought territory, providing room for a continued push without immediate exhaustion risk.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance: 109 / 102 / 117.50 (2025 Mar High)
Support: 103 (EMA21) / 101.82 (EMA78) / 100 / 93.70
Bear case: Rejection at 109 and a rollover below EMA21 at 103 would suggest the recovery is stalling at the prior high. A close below EMA78 and 100 would shift the structure back to neutral, with 93.70 as the next meaningful support.
Bull case: A clean break and hold above 109 on volume would confirm a new leg higher, with the operational turnaround, AI cost-reduction narrative, and bullish EMA cross all providing structural support. Follow-through targets 102 and the broader 117.50 reference level.
Bias is bullish — the EMA cross is fresh, RSI has room to run, and the 93.70 base held cleanly during the June consolidation. A breakout above 109 would mark a full structural recovery from the May flush.
Bearish Structure in Microsoft (MSFT) Suggests Downside RiskMicrosoft (MSFT) continues to exhibit an incomplete bearish sequence from the July 31, 2025 high, suggesting further downside risk with potential targets as low as $267. The short‑term cycle from the June 2, 2026 high is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure, reinforcing the corrective nature of the current price action. From the June 2 pivot, wave ((A)) concluded at $349.2. The subsequent rally in wave ((B)) remains in progress, internally subdividing as another zigzag pattern. Within this advance, wave 1 ended at $382.5, followed by a pullback in wave 2 that terminated at $359.9.
Wave 3 then pushed higher to $392.68, while wave 4 corrected to $381.22. The final leg, wave 5, extended to $395.57, thereby completing wave (A) at a higher degree. The ensuing pullback in wave (B) is proposed complete at $373.35. However, the stock must break above the prior wave (A) peak to eliminate the risk of a double correction. This condition highlights the importance of confirmation before assuming the corrective phase has ended.
Near term, as long as price action remains above $349.2, expectations favor an extension higher in wave (C). This move would complete wave ((B)) before the broader bearish sequence resumes. The overall structure continues to align with a downward bias, and traders should remain cautious of renewed weakness once the corrective rally concludes.
