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Apple: Keynote Boost & Golden Pocket Bounce — Wave C in MotionApple (AAPL 1D): Keynote Boost & Golden Pocket Bounce — Wave C in Motion 🍏⚡
🧠 Fundamental Overview (Keynote Catalyst):
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) has injected strong product momentum into the market following its September Keynote:
Product Innovation Pipeline: Apple officially entered the foldable market with the debut of the iPhone Duo, folding like a passport and powered by next-gen silicon. Alongside it, the iPhone 18 Pro lineup launched with variable aperture cameras and the 2nm A20 Pro chip.
Wearables & Intelligence: The presentation showcased the Apple Watch Ultra 4, re-architected with a new Health Sensing System delivering multi-day battery endurance and precision biometric tracking. Complementing the lineup are the Apple Watch Series 12 packed with integrated Apple Intelligence and health sensors, alongside AirPods 5 featuring live translation and improved active noise cancellation.
📊 Technical Breakdown (1D Timeframe):
At the time of writing, Apple trades around $333.35 USD , executing an aggressive rebound from the lower boundary of its ascending structure:
1️⃣ Ascending Channel & Dynamic Support:
Price action has been oscillating inside an ascending parallel channel bounded by Trendline A and lower support Trendline B . The latest bounce emerged cleanly off the lower green trendline, in confluence with the 50-day EMA ($314.10 USD) —a dynamic baseline that Apple consistently tests and respects on the daily timeframe.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement & Wave Structure:
Measuring the primary expansion swing from the $272.98 low to the $344.76 peak from late July, the corrective Wave (B) bottomed cleanly inside the golden pocket near the 61.8% Fibonacci level ($300.40) . From that $300.31 pivot, the market has carved out a textbook impulsive ABC structure , confirming that Wave (C) expansion is actively underway.
3️⃣ Corrected Fibonacci Extension Targets:
Target A (0.618 Fib Extension / ATH Ceiling): $344.39 – $344.76 USD (Retest of historical all-time high / Wave A peak).
Target B (1.0 Fib Extension): $371.63 USD (Full measured impulse of Wave C).
4️⃣ Volume Confirmation & Stopping Action:
Looking at the volume profile, the two previous standout spikes (late June and July) served as definitive stopping volume that halted the corrective phases, immediately followed by bullish reversals. A similar accumulation pattern is emerging as price approaches its prior highs on expanding daily participation ($32.13M).
5️⃣ MACD Convergence:
The daily MACD (1.39 / 3.31 / 1.92) is printing a clear bullish convergence , expanding its positive histogram above the zero line and validating sustained buying momentum behind this leg.
🎯 Conclusion & Strategy:
From an execution perspective, entering new longs here is slightly late if your goal was catching the clean risk-to-reward bounce off the 50 EMA and the 61.8% Fib floor ($300–$314).
However, price action still has substantial runway to expand. Apple faces only one primary barrier ahead: the major horizontal resistance at the $344.76 all-time high. We should monitor price action around this ceiling closely for any signs of stopping volume—similar to the distribution spikes seen during previous local tops. A decisive daily close above $345 unlocks the path straight toward the 1.0 Fib extension at Target B ($371.63 USD).
Are you riding Wave C toward Target B ($371), or taking profits at Target A ($344)? Share your thoughts below! 👇
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and intended solely to intellectually enrich our trading community. It does NOT constitute financial or investment advice. Always perform your own research and manage your risk strictly. 
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Broadcom Stock Analysis: How Much Higher Can AVGO Go?Broadcom is still in a long-term uptrend, but the current advance is already at a much later stage.
NASDAQ:AVGO is trading around $365 after reaching almost $500 at the recent high. I still see room for the larger move to continue, although the structure is no longer early. My current Broadcom stock analysis is built around three areas: whether the larger Elliott Wave structure remains incomplete, whether a break above the recent high near $500 can open the path toward $600, and whether a sustained break below $290 would materially weaken the current bullish structure.
The larger Elliott Wave structure still looks incomplete.
A break above the recent high near $500 would keep the path toward $600 open.
A sustained break below $290 would materially weaken the current bullish structure and make me reassess the count.
The long-term structure is still incomplete
On the monthly chart, Broadcom has been moving inside a large rising structure for several years. The advance accelerated significantly during the latest part of the trend, bringing price close to $500 before the current pullback. From an Elliott Wave perspective, I still read the larger advance as incomplete, but the wave relationships also suggest that the current part of the move is already in its final stage. A trend can remain bullish while the amount of remaining upside becomes progressively smaller relative to the advance that has already taken place.
The potential completion area I am using for this part of the structure is roughly $350 to $600, which means Broadcom is already trading inside it. I do not consider the move complete at the current price. The important point is that AVGO has reached a part of the long-term structure where continuation conditions matter more and where I would start paying much closer attention to evidence that the expected correction has begun.
The fundamental picture still supports the larger trend
Broadcom's fundamental picture remains strong enough to support the larger trend. The fundamental dashboard I am using shows revenue growth of roughly 18%, EPS growth of about 30%, and free cash flow growth of approximately 20%. At the same time, valuation is already fairly high, with forward P/E around 21 and forward P/S around 10.9.
There are also risks that become more important at this stage of the advance. Broadcom's five largest end customers accounted for about 45% of revenue during the first two fiscal quarters of 2026, while a large part of current growth is tied to AI infrastructure spending. If large AI deployments slow, Broadcom's growth rate can slow as well. For me, this combination fits the chart reasonably well: the business remains strong, while valuation, customer concentration and the maturity of the technical structure make the current position less straightforward than it was earlier in the trend.
The first important upside test is near $500
The daily chart makes the practical Broadcom technical analysis simpler. AVGO first needs to recover the recent high near $500. If price breaks above that area and can hold above it, I would expect the current advance to continue toward the $600 area. I would place more weight on price establishing itself above the old high than on a brief move through the level followed by an immediate reversal.
That gives me a clear decision map. Below $500, the previous high remains the immediate obstacle. A break above $500 followed by acceptance would shift the focus toward $600. On the downside, $290 is the more important structural boundary because a sustained move below it would change the interpretation rather than simply mark another support test.
Below $500: the previous high remains the immediate obstacle.
Above $500 and holding: the $600 area becomes the next important upside zone.
Below $290 and holding: the current upside continuation scenario becomes substantially weaker.
If Broadcom breaks below $290 and remains below it, my base case would be that the correction I am expecting has already started. At that point I would reassess the current Elliott Wave structure rather than continue treating the existing upside path as the primary scenario.
What I expect after the current advance
Even if Broadcom reaches the upper part of the current completion area, I do not expect the larger move to continue vertically. Once this part of the advance is complete, I expect a correction. The first move down could be sharp, while the broader correction can later become more complicated, move sideways and take considerably more time.
The red path on this chart is schematic. I am not treating every swing or turning point as an exact forecast. The important part is the broader sequence: the current advance completes, the first corrective leg can be sharp, and the larger correction can later develop sideways with strong countertrend recoveries. After that correction is complete, the larger structure would still support another major move higher.
The current advance completes.
The first corrective leg can be sharp.
The broader correction can later become sideways.
After the correction is complete, the larger structure would still support another major advance.
That last point is important for the long-term AVGO outlook because my Elliott Wave interpretation does not end the entire Broadcom bull structure with the current move. I expect a meaningful correction after this stage, but the larger count can still allow another major advance once that correction has completed.
The levels that would change my view
For now, my Broadcom technical analysis remains constructive while the larger structure stays intact. The two main levels are straightforward: a break above $500 followed by a hold above it would keep continuation toward the $600 area as my preferred path, while a sustained break below $290 would materially weaken the current upside scenario and make it more likely that the expected correction has already started.
Above $500 and holding: continuation toward the $600 area becomes my preferred path.
Below $290 and holding: the current upside scenario weakens materially and I would reassess the structure.
Broadcom has already completed a very large part of this long-term advance. I still do not consider the current move finished, but I also would not read the chart as an early-stage trend anymore. That is why the next move around $500 matters more to me than simply extrapolating the previous rally. If $500 breaks and price holds above it, I would continue to follow the move toward $600. If $290 breaks and price remains below it, I will reassess the current Elliott Wave structure and update the Broadcom analysis. 
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