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$MU: Rebuilding My Position After Taking ProfitsOver the weekend, I noticed that NASDAQ:MU broke above $1,050, allowing me to take partial profits on my 4th swing position.
Now, I’m looking to gradually rebuild the position I took off the table.
🔘 Chart Analysis
On the 4H timeframe, NASDAQ:MU has broken out of a triangle structure with strong volume, followed by the formation of a bullish H4 Order Block at $940–920.
🔘 Key Levels
🔴 Triangle Lower Boundary: $970
🟢 H4 Bullish OB: $940–920
🟢 Golden Pocket: $850–840
🔻 My Defense Level: $800
🔘 Trading Plan
I’ll look to scale into the position around these key levels, then wait for price to break above the $1,050 resistance. 📈
The idea is simple: take profits into strength, then reload on meaningful pullbacks instead of chasing price.
🔘And remember:
A business with stable and growing revenue can solve a lot of problems.
I’m still bullish on the future of DRAM and the broader memory semiconductor sector.
With market volatility picking up recently, I’ve been using rToken for execution.
rToken routes orders through broker channels directly to the real Nasdaq and NYSE order books, enabling 24/7 trading while maintaining access to real U.S. equity liquidity with the efficiency of the crypto market. 
Long
SNOW - Snowflake Inc.Snowflake, Inc. engages in the provision of cloud data warehousing software. The firm offers Data Cloud, an ecosystem where Snowflake customers, partners, data providers, and data consumers can break down data silos and derive value from data. Its platform supports a range of use cases including data warehousing, data lakes, data engineering, data science, data application development, and data sharing. The cloud-native architecture consists of layers across storage, compute, and cloud services. The storage layer ingests structured and semi-structured data to create a unified data record. The compute layer provides dedicated resources to enable users to access common data sets for many use cases without latency. The cloud services layer optimizes each use case's performance requirements with no administration. The company was founded by Marcin Zukowski, Thierry Cruanes, and Benoit Dageville on July 23, 2012 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA. 
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AEO — Bullish Post-Earnings Recovery Setup With UOAI am watching American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) as a speculative bullish recovery trade following its sharp post-earnings decline.
AEO dropped approximately 14% following earnings, bringing the stock down to around $14.53. While the initial market reaction was clearly bearish, I think the selloff has created an interesting risk/reward setup as the stock approaches a technical support level, particularly with unusual call activity in the options market.
Unusual Options Activity
The options activity is one of the main reasons AEO caught my attention.
The UOA data I am following showed approximately 31,553 calls, with the activity centered around the $15 strike.
More importantly, the current November option chain shows approximately 20,200 contracts of open interest on the November 2026 $15 Call.
That contract currently has approximately:
20.2K open interest
0.49 delta
47.8% implied volatility
Bid/ask around $0.96/$1.08
Stock price around $14.53
The combination of significant call activity and substantial existing open interest at a strike only slightly above the current stock price makes the November $15 level particularly interesting to me.
Post-Earnings Gap
The earnings selloff created a substantial gap above the current price. Rather than assuming the gap will automatically fill, I am looking for evidence that buyers are stepping back in. If AEO stabilizes and begins to recover, the large gap created by the earnings decline provides considerable room for an upside move. The first challenge is simply getting back above $15.
My chart identifies $15.07–$15.30 as a confluence resistance zone. A sustained move through that area would be an important bullish confirmation and could open the door toward approximately $15.85, followed by the larger overhead gap.
Support and Risk
AEO is currently sitting directly inside an important technical area.
Confluence Support: $13.89–$14.56
Confluence Resistance: $15.07–$15.30
That makes the current price of around $14.53 interesting, as the stock is near the upper end of support rather than chasing it after a recovery has already occurred. For me, $13.89 is an important invalidation level. If AEO loses that area and cannot recover it, the bullish recovery thesis becomes considerably weaker.
Holiday Shopping Catalyst
I also think the timing makes this worth watching. We're moving toward the holiday shopping season, which could provide an additional catalyst if investors begin anticipating stronger seasonal retail activity. I wouldn't use the holiday season by itself as a reason to buy AEO. The company's execution and consumer spending will ultimately matter, but it provides a potential narrative catalyst for a recovery over the next several months.
That is also one reason the November expiration interests me more than the September calls. It provides additional time for the post-earnings reaction to settle and for the market to reassess the company.
For me, the setup comes down to:
Post-earnings oversold move + support at $13.89–$14.56 + large November $15 call OI + potential gap recovery + approaching holiday season.
I would like to see AEO hold the current support area and reclaim $15.00. A move through $15.07–$15.30 would provide stronger confirmation.
My initial upside levels would then be approximately $15.85, followed by $16.70–$17.00 if the recovery develops. That latter area is especially important because the chart shows the 21/50 EMA region between $16.71 and $16.96.
The larger post-earnings gap could eventually become a target, but I wouldn't assume a complete gap fill until AEO proves it can reclaim those intermediate resistance levels.
This is a speculative trade idea being shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell AEO or any option contract. Post-earnings trades can remain volatile, and anyone considering a position should evaluate the risks based on their own objectives, account size, and risk tolerance. 
Long
ADBE: Earnings Sell-Off Confirms Rejection at the 200-Day EMAAdobe’s summer rebound stalled at $294.09 after briefly moving above the declining 200-day EMA. The stock subsequently reversed, lost its 50-day EMA, and closed at $248.83 on heavy volume.
Despite strong quarterly figures and higher full-year guidance, ADBE is trading near $241 in the pre-market. This negative reaction suggests that expectations were already high and creates a potential gap below the previous session’s low at $247.19.
The first support zone is located between $235 and $240. A daily close below this area could open the way toward $223, followed by $211.
On the upside, the $247–250 area should now act as the first resistance. The 50-day EMA near $257.60 is the main short-term pivot, while the declining 200-day EMA around $272–274 remains the key resistance.
The technical structure remains bearish below $257.60. A more convincing bullish reversal would require a sustained recovery above $272–274, potentially opening the way toward $286 and the recent high at $294.09.
Key levels
- Support: $240–235, $223, $211
- Resistance: $247–250, $257.60, $272–274
- Bullish targets after confirmation: $286 and $294.09
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Pre-market prices may change significantly before the market opens.
Laurent - Private Investor
✅ DL INVEST | Community Leader
Short
CPI Today. Calls or Puts?AAPL closed Thursday at $326.57 and is sitting almost dead center in my PD-15 box (Previous Day 15, the high and low of the prior day's final 15-minute candle) this morning. Oracle's AI cloud beat is lifting QQQ, SPY, and NVDA, but AAPL isn't participating, it's actually red on the day. August CPI drops at 8:30am ET, so I'm letting the data print and the market react before I trust either direction.
Key levels:
- PD-15 High / PDH (liquidity): $326.74 (Thursday's close-of-day high and full-session high overlap here)
- PD-15 Low (entry/retest): $325.17
- Prior Close (TP anchor): $326.57
- PDL: $316.51
- Call TPs: $329.44 / $331.22 / $334.09
- Put TPs: $323.70 / $321.92 / $319.05
- Daily ATR: $7.52
Bullish: break and close above $326.74 with volume (R.Vol at least 1.0x), retest the level or the 8 EMA, confirm with a bullish 2-min close. Check that QQQ/SPY are cooperating.
Bearish: close below $325.17 with volume, retest, confirm with a bearish 2-min close. Lines up with AAPL's relative weakness against today's rally.
If AAPL stays boxed after CPI, NVDA and QQQ are showing cleaner directional participation this morning.
Educational only, not financial advice. Options trading carries substantial risk. Do your own research and manage your own risk.
Study the levels. Wait for agreement. Trade with discipline. Short
ARBE — Speculative Bullish Setup Following Automotive WinI am watching Arbe Robotics (ARBE) as a speculative bullish trade, driven by a combination of unusual options activity, positive company news, and an interesting technical setup.
The biggest catalyst is the September 8 announcement that Hirain Technologies and Arbe were selected by one of the world's largest automotive groups for a Level 3 automated-driving passenger vehicle program in China across multiple brands. Hirain's imaging radar will be powered by Arbe's ultra-high-resolution radar chipset, with series-production deliveries currently scheduled to begin in Q4 2027. Arbe also filed the announcement with the SEC on Form 6-K, making this more significant to me than a simple partnership announcement.
Unusual Options Activity is what initially caught my attention was the call activity. The UOA data I am tracking showed approximately 11,728 calls at the $1 strike, with ARBE trading around $0.76. Looking at the current option chain, the November 2026 $1 Call stands out because it has approximately 11,900 open contracts. That similarity is particularly interesting to me because it suggests much of the original activity may still be represented in open interest.
The November $1 call currently has approximately:
11.9K open interest
0.496 delta
148% implied volatility
Bid/ask around $0.10/$0.15
This is extremely high IV, so I would not chase the option simply because of the UOA. The stock itself may actually be the cleaner speculative vehicle at this price.
Technical Setup
ARBE is currently around $0.76, sitting just above an important support/confluence area.
My chart identifies:
Confluence Support: $0.70–$0.75
Confluence Resistance: $0.84–$0.86
The projected price paths also point toward approximately $0.82–$0.83 as the first upside area if support holds. That gives me a fairly straightforward thesis: I want to see ARBE continue to hold the $0.70–$0.75 range and then reclaim $0.80. A break through approximately $0.84–$0.86 would be much more interesting, as it would clear the current resistance/confluence zone. Above that area, I would begin watching the $0.90 level, followed by the psychologically important $1.00 level.
Why I'm Interested
This isn't a trade based on the chart alone. The combination is what makes ARBE interesting to me:
UOA + large November $1 call OI + fresh Level 3 automotive win + defined technical support.
The Level 3 announcement is especially important because it moves Arbe's technology toward an actual series-production automotive program rather than simply another technology demonstration. However, production isn't scheduled until Q4 2027, so I wouldn't treat the announcement as immediate revenue.
At roughly $0.76, ARBE is also a micro-priced speculative stock. That means volatility, dilution risk, execution risk, and sharp percentage swings need to be expected.
My bullish thesis remains intact above roughly $0.70. A sustained move below that support area would cause me to reconsider the setup. On the upside, I am watching $0.84–$0.86 first, followed by $0.90 and potentially $1.00 if momentum and volume expand.
This is a speculative trade idea and is being shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell ARBE or any option contract. Anyone considering a trade should evaluate the risk based on their own account size, objectives, and tolerance for volatility. 
Long
NVDA Held 217.73 And Is Working Back Toward 220.21.NVDA Held 217.73 And Is Working Back Toward 220.21.
NVDA fell 2.37% Thursday through two named levels and stopped at 217.73, the shelf named as its structural floor, holding it into the close and recovering to 219.82 overnight. The trend line at 220.21 is the first thing overhead and 222.43 - the level it lost - sits above that. The hourly conviction surface has swung from one extreme to the other in a single session, printing a Q1 long at the top of its scale into Thursday's close and a Q4 short near 25 this morning, which is a surface that is reacting to price rather than leading it. Volume sits in the bottom fifth of its range on the hourly and the NR7 compression flag is active again. Neutral.
Resistance: 220.21 - the trend line just overhead
Key resistance: 222.43 - the level it lost Thursday
Current price: 219.82
Support: 217.73 - the shelf that held
Key support: 214.58 - the gap-fill level
Structural floor: 213.43 - deeper support
Two paths from here:
It reclaims 220.21 and the repair continues. Getting back above the trend line puts 222.43 in reach, and reclaiming that would make Thursday's drop an overshoot rather than a step down. The shelf at 217.73 is what makes the attempt possible.
It fails at 220.21 and retests the shelf. Rejection here sends it back to 217.73, and a close below that opens the 214.58 gap with 213.43 under it. The shelf has held once; a second test is a weaker test.
Two clean levels, two sessions apart, and price is sitting between them with compression building again. 220.21 to repair it, 217.73 to lose it.
Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS
Study, not financial advice. SHEL: Huge Broadening-Wedge, Points to Targets!Hello Community,
welcome to my new analysis of SHEL on the monthly timeframe perspective. In the current market phase, I have detected some important developments that are already pointing to higher targets. Therefore, I have identified all the important factors we need to consider now.
When looking at my chart, we can see how SHEL is forming this huge broadening wedge formation. Within the formation, SHEL completed the wave count and accelerated to the upside with the bullish upthrusts. Now, it offers a strong setup for further bullish expansions.
SHEL also has this ascending trend channel, in which it has strong support. I am expected the price to gradually bounce towards the upside within this channel. The whole broadening wedge target zone has been activated after the breakout above the upper boundary was confirmed. Once the targets are reached, further assumptions will be made.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP
MSTR: Elliott Wave roadmap and the 144.92 recovery testMSTR is testing whether its rebound from the June low can develop into a more durable recovery. The first checkpoint is a daily close above 144.92 USD followed by holding that level. Until then, the latest advance can still be corrective. This is a neutral daily-chart roadmap, not a confirmed bullish impulse call.
The chart uses NASDAQ MSTR, the displayed Cboe One feed, and USD. The latest completed session reviewed is September 10, 2026, with a close of 128.56. This analysis is dated September 11; premarket quotations are separate.
The larger Elliott context
The study begins at 9.00 on March 19, 2020. The working Cycle I count reaches 131.50 on February 9, 2021, with Primary subdivisions shown. A provisional complex W–X–Y correction then reaches 13.26 on December 30, 2022, labeled Cycle II.
From that low, the advance to 543.00 on November 21, 2024 is treated as candidate Primary 1 within a developing Cycle III. Its Intermediate 1–5 anchors include 47.51, 30.71, 200.00 and 101.00 before the final high. The decline to 81.81 on June 26, 2026 is candidate Primary 2. The question mark matters: the June bottom remains unconfirmed.
There is a structural reason for this hierarchy. The 2026 low lies below the 2021 high. A simple conventional Cycle I–II–III–IV interpretation would therefore introduce first/fourth-wave overlap. The proposed hierarchy avoids that particular conflict, but it still needs valid internal subdivisions and confirmation from subsequent price action.
What remains unresolved
The chart connects the major historical sections and carries the latest movement forward. The decline from 543 is provisionally labeled A–B–C, with A at 231.51, B at 457.22 and candidate C at 81.81. Selected Minor detail is included within this correction.
The rebound is provisionally organized as A–B–C through 105.50, 91.67 and 144.92, followed by the developing September pullback. Its overlapping swings do not yet establish a new bullish impulse.
This is not an exhaustive validation of every internal wave. The 2021–2022 complex structure, smaller subdivisions of the first advance and the 2024 fifth-wave internals remain open. Key prices were checked in the data window; some secondary drawing anchors are visual estimates. The labels are a working interpretation rather than proof that the correction has ended.
The decision framework
A daily close above 144.92, followed by a successful hold or retest, would strengthen the recovery case. A brief breakout followed by rejection would weaken it. The next important obstacle is the May high at 197.00; higher recovery zones require reclaiming that area.
R1: 190–200 USD surrounds that historical resistance.
R2: 255–261 USD surrounds the 38.2% recovery of the decline from 543.00 to 81.81: 81.81 + 0.382 × (543.00 − 81.81) = 257.98.
R3: 310–316 USD surrounds the 50% recovery of the same decline, calculated at 312.41.
These are arithmetic retracements despite the logarithmic chart display. They are not extensions of a confirmed new impulse. The dotted paths and horizontal zone lengths are schematic, not timing forecasts.
The alternative
Below 91.67, the rebound weakens. Below 81.81, the June-bottom hypothesis fails. The alternative 73–75 zone contains the 88.6% retracement of the 13.26–543.00 advance, calculated at 73.65. Below 13.26, the selected developing Cycle III interpretation fails.
Those distant structural levels are not automatic trade stops. Any eventual trade needs a setup-specific invalidation and enough room to the next resistance to justify its risk.
The value of this count is the sequence of tests it creates: reclaim 144.92, then negotiate 197. Price must provide those confirmations. A plausible wave label or Fibonacci relationship alone does not establish a trading edge or a probability.
Educational technical interpretation, not a personalized investment recommendation.
