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TSLA vs. SPCX: Which is the Better Buy Now?The Macro / Ecosystem Correlation: Because both companies share leadership, brand identity, and overlapping retail/institutional investor bases, they will most likely trade as a single high beta unit when macro tech sentiment turns risk off. Cyan Line: NASDAQ:SPCX experienced a parabolic run driven by initial public offering momentum and hype. Saw a high of $225 before cooling off. NASDAQ:TSLA has years of trading history, defined institutional support levels, and clearer historical valuation channels, saw more typical swing consolidation during this window. Yellow Line: Both tickers topped almost simultaneously July 1. Since then, the 4 hour structure for both shows a textbook lower high & lower low downtrend, trading beneath their respective moving averages with negative momentum indicators, dropping RSI and expanding red histogram bars. Profitability vs. Growth Capex: TSLA: Generates consistent free cash flow and positive earnings per share from automotive, energy storage, and services, offering a fundamental floor. SPCX: Highly capital intensive (Starship, Starlink buildout, xAI integration, and semiconductor joint ventures) with negative net margins. High capex burn makes it much more sensitive to broader market pullbacks or interest rate shifts. Acquisition / Merger Narrative: In Wall Street buyout chatter surrounding a potential SPCX / TSLA combination, analysts project a 20% to 30% takeover premium for TSLA shareholders. Control & Governance Consolidation: Elon Musk holds roughly 20% voting power. In a combined entity acquired by SPCX, Musk’s voting control is estimated to exceed 50%. Shareholders expect a "control premium" for surrendering public corporate governance. Dilution / Selloff in SPCX: As the acquirer issuing massive amounts of new stock, SPCX shares would likely experience downward pressure post announcement, potentially eroding some of the premium's dollar value before the deal closes. Regulatory Drag: M&A deals of this size face significant regulatory scrutiny meaning arbitrage spreads can remain wide for months. Conclusion: If you must own one, NASDAQ:TSLA looks like the cleaner core holding at the moment due to established earnings, tested technical support zones, and lower post IPO speculative volatility.
NASDAQ:SPCX
by ROW_Partners
Chart Whisperer | Intuitive Market AnalysisI don’t look at the markets the way everyone else does. I consider myself a bit of a chart whisperer—not because I have a secret algorithm, but because years of staring at the screens have given me a deeply personal, intuitive feel for price action. My trading style is anchored in reading the natural rhythm of the candles, and more often than not, the market moves exactly the way my intuition says it will. If you are looking for high-probability predictions and want to watch these setups play out in real-time, hit that follow button. Just to be completely transparent: I am absolutely not a professional financial advisor, and nothing I post is official trading advice. I’m simply a retail trader sharing my personal journey, ideas, and charts. Trade at your own risk, but feel free to follow along if you want to see how an intuitive approach tackles the market.
NYSE:UNHLong
by terencej
1
DEO: Long Setup at Key Support & Volume POC ($80.50)DEO (Diageo) has reached a strong support zone around $80.50, which aligns with a new high-volume Point of Control (POC). We recently saw a massive volume spike at the bottom, indicating strong institutional interest and potential accumulation. Entries: Scaling into long positions around the current support level ($80.50 region). Targets: Looking for a move back up into the fair value gaps (FVG) and previous resistance zones above. Key Levels: Support / POC: ~$80.50 Resistance / Upper Targets: Previous green zones (FVG)
NYSE:DEOLong
by Viktor_Krabovsky
Chart Whisperer | Intuitive Market AnalysisI don’t look at the markets the way everyone else does. I consider myself a bit of a chart whisperer—not because I have a secret algorithm, but because years of staring at the screens have given me a deeply personal, intuitive feel for price action. My trading style is anchored in reading the natural rhythm of the candles, and more often than not, the market moves exactly the way my intuition says it will. If you are looking for high-probability predictions and want to watch these setups play out in real-time, hit that follow button. Just to be completely transparent: I am absolutely not a professional financial advisor, and nothing I post is official trading advice. I’m simply a retail trader sharing my personal journey, ideas, and charts. Trade at your own risk, but feel free to follow along if you want to see how an intuitive approach tackles the market.
NYSE:LLYShort
by terencej
SpaceX: From 720° to a New CycleAfter reaching the projected 720° downside target at 121.55, SpaceX is beginning to react from this key Gann level. With the bearish roadmap now largely completed, I’ve started mapping a new bullish Square of 9 projection using the recent low at 120.10 as the anchor. The first upside objectives I’m watching are: • 125.64 (45°) • 131.31 (90°) • 137.10 (135°) • 143.02 (180°) • 149.06 (225°) • 155.23 (270°) • 161.52 (315°) • 167.94 (360°) I’ve also overlaid the original bearish roadmap with this new bullish projection to identify confluence zones, where both Gann cycles align. These areas will be my primary focus as price develops and may offer important clues about the strength of any recovery. This analysis assumes the recent low continues to hold. If price establishes a new major low, the roadmap will need to be recalculated.
NASDAQ:SPCXLong
by zachtivis
AppFolio: The Property-Tech Compounder; Digital LandlordABOUT: AppFolio provides cloud-based software for the real-estate industry. Its property-management platform supports accounting, leasing, maintenance, resident communications, payments, tenant screening, insurance, risk mitigation and portfolio reporting. The company serves single-family, multifamily, student, affordable and commercial housing, community associations and real-estate investment managers. The pitch is straightforward: AppFolio is becoming the operating system for modern property management. Its platform combines recurring software subscriptions with transaction-based services that expand as customers add properties, units, residents and workflows. In Q1 2026, revenue grew 20%, units under management reached 9.5 million, GAAP operating income increased 50%, and operating margin expanded to 19.4%. With AI automating labor-intensive property-management tasks, profitability rising faster than revenue and the supplied valuation sitting 23% below fair value, AppFolio offers an attractive combination of vertical-software growth, expanding margins and long-term platform potential. AppFolio offers a combination that is difficult to find: Vertical specialization: its software is built specifically around the complex workflows of property managers and real-estate operators. Multiple growth drivers: revenue can grow through new customers, additional units, premium product tiers, payments, screening, insurance and other services. Operating leverage: operating income is growing substantially faster than revenue as the platform scales. AI automation: AppFolio can reduce administrative work, accelerate leasing and maintenance processes, and improve customer productivity. Valuation support: the supplied Morningstar estimate places the stock 23% below fair value. STATS: GreenBlue: 751 / 2,500 GreenRed: 286 / 2,712 Morningstar: 5 stars; 23% below fair value Moat: Narrow Capital allocation: Not rated Fair-value uncertainty: High GuruFocus: 77 / 100 Risks: AppFolio has a narrower moat than RELX or SAP, operates primarily within the U.S. real-estate industry and competes against established private software providers. Its valuation also depends on continued high growth, expanding margins and greater adoption of value-added services. The counterargument is that AppFolio’s specialized platform, integrated workflows, growing managed-unit base and improving profitability strengthen customer retention and make the product increasingly difficult to replace. Competitors: Yardi, RealPage, Entrata, MRI Software, Buildium, PCOR, BL
NASDAQ:APPFLong
by RHTrading
RELX: The Essential Intelligence Layer for Law, Science, & RiskABOUT: RELX is a global provider of professional information, analytics and decision-making tools. Its products support scientific research, legal analysis, insurance underwriting, fraud detection, financial-crime compliance and other business-critical decisions. The company also operates major trade shows and professional events through its Exhibitions division. The pitch is straightforward: RELX is a wide-moat information compounder transitioning from selling content to selling better decisions. Its proprietary data and workflow tools are embedded in legal, scientific, insurance and risk-management processes where accuracy and trust matter. Revenue grew 7% organically in 2025, operating profit grew 9%, EPS grew 10%, and cash conversion reached 99%. With AI improving the value of its products, margins still expanding and the supplied valuation sitting 41% below fair value, RELX offers an unusually attractive balance of quality, defensiveness and growth. RELX offers a combination that is difficult to find: Wide moat: proprietary data, trusted brands, workflow integration and switching costs. Defensive growth: demand is connected to research, regulation, insurance, law and compliance rather than discretionary consumer spending. Operating leverage: profit is growing faster than revenue. AI monetization: RELX can charge for better professional outcomes, not merely access to generic information. Valuation support: the supplied Morningstar estimate places the stock 41% below fair value. STATS: GreenBlue: 364 / 2,500 GreenRed: 439 / 2,712 Morningstar: 5 stars; 41% below fair value Moat: Wide Capital allocation: Exemplary Fair-value uncertainty: Medium GuruFocus: 79 / 100 Risks: AI lowers barriers to information retrieval or customers resist paying more for AI-enhanced products. The counterargument is that generic AI still requires RELX’s verified content, proprietary datasets, workflow integration, and professional-grade auditability. Competitors: TRI, WKL, VRSK, SPGI, FDS, CLVT
NYSE:RELXLong
by RHTrading
NTAP could be the play for getting some cloud exposureCloud computing and SaaS has been leading for a month. My only exposure has been in my long-term portfolio, and the relative strength of this theme was very mixed before it went into leading, which is why I was hesitant to look into it as much as I should have. SNOW, DDOG, and TWLO have been standouts. At this point, my book is light with open positions in BABA, NU, and GCT, all linked below. So I am going to open up a trade in NTAP. Importantly, the broader market is in ugly chop, which makes swing trades all the more difficult. Per usual, this is a small risk trade. I will try many of these in a year and take paper cuts along the way to some big movers. This is a simpler setup that I call the high volume breakout compression: The formation I am seeing is a big, high volume breakout on Friday, May 29 associated with the earnings release the day before. Then price compresses, or consolidates, after the breakout and pulls back to the 21ema (white line in chart). You can see this same formation in DDOG and SNOW, while TWLO was similar but pulled back to the 50-day. That's it. I am long here and will manage this if there's a close below the 21ema that doesn't recover the following day or two. A three point stop would probably do the trick but I may wait to put one on. This will be a smaller position still due to general market conditions being unfavorable.
NASDAQ:NTAPLong
by GatorResearch
BMNR: The Ethereum Treasury Flywheel Could Be Entering Its Next Digital asset treasury companies (DATs) have created a new way for investors to gain crypto exposure through public equities. The core question is simple: Can these companies grow the amount of crypto owned per share faster than simply holding the underlying asset? BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) is becoming one of the most interesting examples of this thesis. The Ethereum Accumulation Strategy BMNR's long-term goal is to accumulate approximately 5% of the total Ethereum supply, making it one of the largest institutional holders of ETH. The traditional view is that BMNR is simply a leveraged Ethereum bet. But the bigger opportunity lies in the capital allocation strategy. A treasury company can create shareholder value in two environments: When trading above NAV: Issue shares at a premium. Use proceeds to acquire more ETH. Increase ETH per share. When trading below NAV: Repurchase shares at a discount. Reduce share count. Increase NAV and ETH exposure per remaining share. BMNR is currently trading below its reported NAV. NAV per share: $19.11 Share price: ~$15.69 Discount to NAV: ~18% The recent share repurchase program signals that management believes buying back shares below intrinsic value is the best use of capital. Why This Matters A buyback below NAV is not just a confidence signal — it is mathematically accretive. If BMNR can consistently increase ETH per share through: strategic ETH accumulation, staking yield, and opportunistic share repurchases, then shareholders could outperform ETH itself. The Bull Case The upside scenario has three potential drivers: Ethereum appreciation If ETH enters a new adoption cycle, BMNR's treasury value rises alongside it. NAV discount reversal The market currently values BMNR below the value of its underlying assets. A return to NAV or a premium valuation could provide additional upside. ETH-per-share growth The real metric to watch is not total ETH held, but how much ETH each share represents over time. The Risk The thesis depends on disciplined capital allocation. If BMNR trades below NAV and continues issuing shares, value could be diluted. If the market stops assigning a premium to treasury companies, the accumulation flywheel slows. The key question is: Can BMNR become the Strategy (MSTR) of Ethereum — a company that compounds crypto exposure per share through intelligent capital allocation? For now, the combination of a growing ETH treasury, a discount to NAV, and shareholder-friendly buybacks creates an asymmetric setup worth watching.
NYSE:BMNRLong
by shiranthas
ALL (Allstate) — Q1 Underwriting Surge Delivers Record Profits,**💡 ALL (Allstate) — Q1 Underwriting Surge Delivers Record Profits, Combined Ratio Hits 82%** **SECTION 1 — Executive Summary** 💼 Allstate is capitalizing on disciplined pricing, market share gains in auto and homeowners, and a sharp improvement in underwriting margins following years of catastrophe normalization, positioning it for sustained profitability in a hardening P&C insurance cycle. The stock offers attractive risk-reward for investors seeking defensive growth with a low valuation and growing shareholder returns via dividends and buybacks. Overall rating: Buy. 12-month price target: $255 (blended 8-9x forward P/E on normalized earnings plus peer comps). The single biggest reason to own this stock: Transformative underwriting turnaround with a best-in-class combined ratio and investment income tailwinds driving record ROE. The single biggest risk: Elevated catastrophe losses from weather events or inflation resurgence pressuring margins. **SECTION 2 — Business Overview** 🏢 Allstate is one of the largest personal lines property and casualty insurers in the United States, providing auto, homeowners, and other protection products to millions of customers while expanding into protection services such as extended warranties and roadside assistance. Revenue breakdown (approximate based on recent filings and segments; Q1 2026 and FY 2025 data): Property-Liability ~93 percent, Protection Services ~6 percent, with minor contributions from Allstate Health and Benefits. Business model generates revenue primarily through earned insurance premiums supplemented by net investment income from a high-quality fixed-income portfolio; repeat revenue is driven by policy renewals, cross-selling, and long-term customer relationships. Competitive moat derives from scale advantages, strong brand recognition, advanced data analytics for pricing and risk selection, and a diversified distribution network including agents, direct, and partnerships. **SECTION 3 — Financial Deep Dive** 📈 Key metrics (Q1 2026 from April 29 2026 earnings release; TTM as of March 31 2026 from Yahoo Finance and company data): Revenue: $16.94 billion (Q1 2026, +3 percent YoY); TTM $68.17 billion. Net income: $2.43 billion (Q1 applicable to common shareholders); TTM $12.03 billion. EPS (diluted, adjusted): $10.65 (Q1); TTM ~$45.20. Margins: Property-Liability combined ratio 82.0 percent (Q1, improved from 97.4 percent YoY). Free cash flow: Strong with levered FCF TTM $12.43 billion. YoY growth rates: Revenue +3 percent (Q1), TTM +4.4 percent; net income surged dramatically on underwriting gains. Balance sheet health: Total cash ~$5.4 billion (mrq), debt-to-equity 23.72 percent, solid liquidity. Cash flow quality: Operating cash flow supports high ROE of 45.22 percent TTM with no major discrepancies flagged. Capital allocation: $4 billion share repurchase authorization, quarterly dividend $1.08 per share (annual $4.32, ~2 percent yield), continued investment in growth initiatives. **SECTION 4 — Growth Analysis** 🚀 Total addressable market (TAM): U.S. Property & Casualty insurance market projected to grow from ~$0.77 trillion in 2024 to $1.1 trillion by 2032 (Verified Market Research estimates as of 2025). Current market share: Allstate holds meaningful share in personal auto and homeowners with recent gains in many states via "Transformative Growth" strategy. Key growth drivers next 3–5 years: Continued policy in force expansion (reached 212 million), higher average premiums, Protection Services scaling, and investment income growth from portfolio expansion. Management guidance reflects confidence in market share gains and margin sustainability; analyst consensus is aligned but slightly more conservative on near-term growth. Growth is largely organic through pricing discipline and customer retention rather than acquisition-dependent. **SECTION 5 — Valuation** 📊 DCF analysis: Base case assumes mid-single-digit revenue CAGR, normalized combined ratio ~88-90 percent, investment yield tailwinds, and 3 percent terminal growth with WACC ~9 percent . Implied value supports $255 target. Comparable company analysis (peers as of May 2026): Progressive (PGR) ~18x forward P/E, Travelers (TRV) ~12x, Chubb (CB) ~14x; Allstate trades at attractive discount on P/E ~4.8x TTM. Historical valuation range (5-year): P/E 8-15x forward. Bull target $290 (accelerated growth and ROE expansion); Base $255; Bear $200 (catastrophe spike). Current price ~$217 offers ~18 percent upside to base target. **SECTION 6 — Risk Analysis** ⚠️ 1. Catastrophe losses (high probability/impact): Triggered by severe weather; watch monthly updates; could add several points to combined ratio. 2. Inflation and claims severity (medium-high): Rising repair/auto costs; monitor loss trends. 3. Regulatory/Rate approval delays (medium): In key states; track filings. 4. Investment portfolio volatility (medium): Interest rate shifts; portfolio is high-quality fixed income. 5. Competitive pricing pressure (low-medium): From peers like Progressive; monitor market share. Short interest low, insider activity typical. No major accounting quality flags. **SECTION 7 — Catalyst Calendar** 📅 Next earnings date: July 29 2026 (Q2 results). Upcoming events: Continued policy growth updates and potential catastrophe reports. Macro events: Interest rate environment impacting investment income and consumer demand. 12-month timeline: Q3 earnings November 2026, ongoing "Transformative Growth" execution, potential capital return announcements. **SECTION 8 — Technical Analysis** 📈 Primary Chart: Daily timeframe, 1-year view shows price consolidating in the $210–$225 range after climbing from 2025 lows, recently testing resistance near $224. Price action hovers above both 50-day and 200-day moving averages with bullish bias. RSI (14) neutral around 55, MACD showing mild positive momentum, and volume supportive on up days. Major support zone $200–$210, resistance $225–$230. Visible setup: Higher lows since early 2026 suggesting accumulation. Technical implication: Constructive into Q2 earnings with potential breakout on continued positive underwriting news. **SECTION 9 — The Verdict** 🏆 Bull case ($290 target, 30 percent probability): Sustained low combined ratios and market share gains drive re-rating higher. Base case ($255 target, 50 percent probability): Steady execution on growth and margins with normalized catastrophes. Bear case ($200 target, 20 percent probability): Spike in losses or macro slowdown compresses profitability. Expected value calculation: Probability-weighted price target = $257. Final recommendation: Buy with High conviction. The 30-second elevator pitch: Allstate has engineered a remarkable underwriting turnaround with record Q1 profitability, trades at an undemanding valuation, and offers defensive growth plus shareholder-friendly capital returns in a resilient P&C market. **Sources** Allstate Investor Relations (allstateinvestors.com) Q1 2026 Earnings Release and Supplement April 29 2026; Yahoo Finance key statistics as of May 22 2026; Macrotrends revenue data; Verified Market Research U.S. P&C TAM estimates 2025; company 10-Q filings April 2026; analyst consensus via TipRanks/Benzinga May 2026. What are your thoughts on ALL? Drop them below 👇 #ALL #Allstate #InsuranceStocks #PCEarnings #UnderwritingProfit #CombinedRatio #DividendGrowth #MarketShareGains #P&CInsurance #StockAnalysis
NYSE:ALLLong
by DCAlpha
CRDO – SWING/POSITION IDEANASDAQ:CRDO – SWING/POSITION IDEA (SHORT & CONCISE)** **Entry:** $218 | SL: $178 | **TP:** $310 | R/R: 1:2.3 ⚡ Why Buy the Dip? Fundamentals on Fire: FY26 revenue tripled to $1.3B. Q4 +157% YoY, EPS beat by 12.6%. Non-GAAP GM 68.3%, Operating Margin 47.8%, Net Margin 51.9%. AI infrastructure powerhouse (AECs, optics). Strong Balance Sheet: $1.4B in cash. Operating cash flow hit a record $182M in Q4. Technical Context: Stock suffered a 6-day, -24% sell-off (oversold) despite no bad news. Trading near the 200-SMA support ($167). The 50-SMA sits at $232 (initial resistance). Connors RSI2 Signal: Our proprietary algorithm detected an active Connors RSI2 buy signal — the 2-period RSI has dropped into oversold territory (<10), a classic mean-reversion setup with historically high win rates . This signals an imminent short-term bounce. Analysts: Strong Buy consensus (21 analysts). Avg PT **$282** (+41% upside). Stifel sees $350. 📋 Execution Plan Entry: Break & hold above Friday's high ($218.00). Management: Move SL to breakeven once price hits $235-$240 (near the 50-SMA). Trail stops as momentum builds toward $310. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Generated by proprietary algorithmic software. High volatility (Beta 3.2). Past performance ≠ future results. Trade at your own risk. Always DYOR.
NASDAQ:CRDOLong
by shortermtrader
Apple: Mayor Top Coming Closer and CloserWhat’s changed? In recent sessions, Apple stock broke above the now-removed resistance at $317.40 to hit a new all-time high. This allowed us to assign the ongoing rally since late June to another subordinate impulsive count. Primarily, we believe the final fifth wave could still extend further upward, so we expect a major top to form at even higher levels. Alternatively, the current high may have already marked that top. Primary Scenario We primarily see AAPL in its final upward phase. Gains achieved so far, along with those still to come, should allow the ongoing uptrend to conclude at new all-time highs. Alternative Scenario ADJUSTMENTS: In our short-term alternative scenario, AAPL may have already marked a major cycle top with the current high. We have therefore shifted the alternative top from the previously assumed $317.40 in our last update to the current level. From here, the stock would fall below support at $245.09, entering a new bearish phase (probability: 33%). Long-Term Outlook The daily chart confirms that we primarily still see further upside potential in the ongoing major uptrend before a sustained move lower would push price below support at $169.21. However, there’s also a chance the downward move could be much shorter, with Apple reversing higher again above support at $212.94 (probability: 36%).
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by HKCM_Global
TTWO — Entering a Transformational Growth CycleTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc. NASDAQ:TTWO is a leading video game developer and publisher behind blockbuster franchises including Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, NBA 2K, Borderlands, and BioShock, with additional growth driven by its Rockstar Games, 2K, and Zynga businesses. Key Catalysts: GTA VI launch: The highly anticipated Grand Theft Auto VI, scheduled for November 19, 2026, is expected to become one of the biggest entertainment releases ever, driving substantial game sales, player engagement, and recurring in-game spending. Strong financial outlook: Management expects fiscal 2027 net bookings of $8.0–$8.2 billion, a significant increase from $6.72 billion in fiscal 2026, reflecting confidence in the company's upcoming product cycle. Recurring digital revenue: Ongoing monetization through downloadable content, live services, virtual currency, and in-game purchases continues to generate high-margin recurring revenue across major franchises. Diversified portfolio of premium IP: Beyond GTA, Take-Two benefits from globally recognized franchises including NBA 2K, Red Dead Redemption, Borderlands, and BioShock, reducing reliance on a single title while supporting long-term growth. Multi-platform expansion: Continued growth across Rockstar Games, 2K, and Zynga strengthens Take-Two's presence in console, PC, mobile, and live-service gaming markets. Investment Outlook: Bullish above: $208.00–$210.00 Upside target: $340.00–$350.00 Supported by the GTA VI launch, accelerating net bookings, recurring digital revenue, and a portfolio of world-class gaming franchises, Take-Two is well positioned for its next phase of long-term growth. 📢 TTWO — Positioned to benefit from one of the most anticipated game launches in history while expanding recurring digital revenue across its franchise portfolio.
NASDAQ:TTWOLong
by Richtv_official
JOBY - Testing Legacy TrendlineRight now Joby Aviation is at a critical point in its current trend. Today I will be diving into the weekly chart and laying out the current market structure. The first thing to note is the legacy trendline I have outlined. It started during the February 2021 top and acted as a level for sellers to offload until price closed the first weekly candle above the trendline in June 2025, triggering a breakout that led to a move of over 100%. Now price has retraced all the way back to the trendline once again. However, there are a few other signals triggering that point toward this being a compelling level to accumulate at. The first signal is the weekly bullish divergence forming on the RSI. Price created a lower low while the RSI simultaneously printed a higher low. At the same time, volume is increasing rapidly. In its entire history on the NYSE, last week saw the largest volume spike ever recorded for JOBY, with 385.4 million shares traded. This surge in volume has been driven primarily by the newly announced strategic manufacturing joint venture between Joby and Toyota, aimed at industrializing and scaling commercial production of Joby's eVTOL air taxis ahead of certification and anticipated demand. Toyota holds a 51% stake in the venture, building on its prior $500 million investment into Joby back in late 2024 to fund aircraft certification and early production. Adding further context to the record volume, a Form 144 filing also surfaced recently signaling planned share sales by an insider or affiliate. While this appears to be primarily tax related rather than a fundamentally bearish signal, it likely contributed some additional near term supply pressure and trading activity alongside the bullish Toyota headline. Beyond the Toyota partnership, Joby is also pursuing defense applications for its eVTOL platform alongside its commercial air taxi ambitions, opening up a second potential revenue stream tied to national security demand rather than just urban mobility. Q2 earnings are expected on August 5th which should be the most important short-term catalyst. Analysts are currently estimating a loss per share of $0.23 and quarterly revenue of approximately $29 million so keep that in mind. Even with how good the current weekly market structure looks, it is worth balancing this optimism with the reality that Joby remains a speculative, pre-revenue story trading at a steep valuation relative to current sales. These kind of companies do seem to be what the market likes to speculate on but you should view this as a name being priced on future milestones, not current earnings.
NYSE:JOBY
by VIAQUANT
BLK: Earnings Cleared, Pullback to Cloud SupportBlackRock is pulling back after a strong earnings reaction, and the chart has set up one of the cleaner risk-defined long structures in large-cap financials right now. Here's the full picture with levels you can act on. The structure: BLK spent June building a base between 990 and 1,040 after the spring selloff. In mid-July, price broke out of that base: the fast EMA crossed above the slow with the longer-term trend filter turning up, and price reclaimed the Ichimoku cloud. Earnings hit the same week — record AUM and a beat — the stock popped to ~1,120, and has now given back the entire move. Price is sitting at 1,062, right on the pivot shelf (P ≈ 1,056) with the cloud top around 1,035–1,045 directly below. That's the key context: this is a retest of a fresh breakout, not a breakdown — unless the levels below fail. The levels: 1,034 — the line that decides everything. Cloud top + the old R1 shelf. Above it, the breakout structure is intact and dips are buyable. A daily close below it invalidates the whole setup — not an intraday wick, a close. 1,056 — the pivot price is fighting at right now. Holding above it keeps the short-term momentum with buyers. 1,089 / 1,124 (R1/R2) — the levels a recovery has to reclaim. The earnings-pop high sits at ~1,120; acceptance above it reopens the highs. 1,172 (R3) and ~1,211 — the upside measured zone. The base depth projected from the breakout points here. The math from current price: From 1,062, risk to the 1,034 invalidation is ~28 points. The measured move above R3 offers ~110–150 points. That's roughly 4:1 to 5:1 — you rarely get that ratio on a mega-cap after the earnings binary is already resolved. That's the actual edge here: most breakout retests make you hold through an event to get paid. This one doesn't — the next scheduled report is months out. How it fails: a daily close under 1,034 means the breakout was a false move and the June base becomes resistance — next supports don't come in until 1,008 and 976. If you're trading this, that close is the exit, decided before entry, not during the drawdown. How it works: hold 1,034–1,056, reclaim 1,089, and the path to 1,172+ is open with no event risk in the way.
NYSE:BLKLong
by yieldzilla888
ROP Long — The Contract Was Written Before the TradeMost losing trades I've ever taken had one thing in common: I decided the exit after I was in. This position went the other way — every number below was locked before entry, and I'm posting it so the exits are public record. The setup (daily): Trend system fired long at the start of July — fast EMA over slow with the daily trend filter confirming, after price broke out of that June base at 330. Since then: price reclaimed the Ichimoku cloud, the cloud has flipped supportive underneath (~347), and pullbacks keep holding above the old R2 shelf at 361 → 356 pivot zone. Trend up, RSI ~60 — extended enough to need a plan, healthy enough to hold. The contract: Entry zone: ~358 Stop: 346.59 (−3.3%) — under the R1 349.40 pivot and the cloud roof. If it closes there, I'm out next open. No renegotiation. Target: 397.30 (+10.8%) — profit zone sits between R4 (391) and R5 (406) Risk/reward: 3.3 : 1 The part most posts leave out: Earnings are Thursday, July 23. I'm holding through it, and I'm telling you that before the print, not after. The stop is sized so the earnings risk is a defined number, not a hope. If the report gaps me through the stop, that loss was priced into the plan from day one. That's the whole edge I'm claiming here — not that I know what Roper reports Thursday (I don't), but that both outcomes already have instructions. Win → the trade pays 3x what it risks. Lose → it costs exactly what I agreed to. Either way the plan executes. Follow along — I post the exits with the same numbers I post the entries.
NASDAQ:ROPLong
by yieldzilla888