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The secret of Strong Resistance that you can't find in a bookStrong Resistance — A Bearish Warning Sign
In my view, strong resistance is not simply a level where price has previously been rejected.
The key is this:
Price approaches a resistance level but never actually reaches it.
Price comes very close, attempts to push higher, but fails before touching the resistance.
Instead of making a new high, price is rejected and turns downward again.
This shows that selling pressure may be appearing before price even reaches the major resistance.
If this behaviour continues, it can create a lower-high structure, increasing the possibility of a deeper decline and eventually a lower low.
On this ADBE chart, 253.74 is the strong resistance level I am watching. Price repeatedly moved toward this area but failed to reach or break it, then reversed lower.
This is the secret nobody ever taught you.
You are lucky because I am sharing this with you.
My personal view: if ADBE continues failing below this resistance, the probability of another downward move and a potential lower low becomes an important scenario to watch.
This is my personal technical analysis, not financial advice. 
Short
AAPL Is Near Its Highs Again — But I’m Watching for a Rejection
Apple is back near its recent highs, but I’m not convinced this is a level to chase.
AAPL closed around $336.13, just below the $340.56 area marked on my daily chart. Above that sits another important level around $351.47. Instead of assuming the stock will keep pushing higher, I want to see how sellers react around this zone.
The setup I’m watching is a short only if price shows a clear rejection from the $340–$351 resistance area. If that happens and momentum starts turning lower, the first thing I’ll watch is whether AAPL can lose the recent support structure. My chart has $273.31 as the larger downside target, but I would not expect price to move there in one straight line.
There is plenty happening around Apple right now. The iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max went on sale today, while the stock finished slightly lower despite the launch. At the same time, today’s quarterly options expiration and the BOJ rate decision are adding another layer of volatility to the broader market.
That is why I’m more interested in the reaction than the headline. If buyers can push AAPL cleanly above $351.47 and hold there, I would drop the short idea and reassess. I don’t want to fight a confirmed breakout.
For the trade itself, my invalidation is therefore simple: a sustained move above $351.47. If price rejects the resistance zone and starts breaking lower, the bearish setup becomes more interesting. The $273.31 area is the larger target shown on my chart, while the path toward it would need to develop through smaller support levels along the way.
This is also where I find Bitget useful for a setup like this. AAPL is available through supported stock perps, giving me the ability to trade the setup 24/7 rather than being limited to regular U.S. market hours. That matters if the rejection or confirmation happens after the cash market closes. Bitget also supports both long and short positions on its stock perps, so I can change direction when the chart changes instead of being locked into one bias.
After the U.S. session, the levels I’d keep watching are $340.56, $351.47 and the nearby support structure. A rejection keeps the short idea alive; a clean breakout above $351.47 changes the picture.
For now, I’m not shorting AAPL just because it is near resistance. I want the rejection first. 
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NTSK: Can Momentum Carry Price to New All-Time Highs?NASDAQ:NTSK appears to have completed a bullish Cup & Handle formation on the daily chart.
The cup developed over several months as price recovered from its early year lows and climbed back toward prior resistance. Rather than rejecting at resistance, the stock entered a controlled consolidation phase, forming the handle portion of the pattern. That handle took the shape of a tightening triangle, highlighting a period of accumulation before the breakout.
This chart matters because Cup & Handle patterns often signal trend continuation and can mark the beginning of a larger expansion phase. The rounded cup reflects a gradual shift from seller control to buyer control, while the handle represents the final shakeout before a potential move higher.
The recent breakout above the handle suggests buyers have regained momentum and may be positioning for a test of higher levels. Volume increased during the breakout, adding confidence to the bullish thesis. Price is also holding above the former resistance area near 16.5-17.0, which now becomes the primary support zone.
From a technical perspective, the next major level on the chart is the all-time high near 28. A breakout above that level would place NTSK in price discovery, where overhead resistance becomes limited. Based on the measured move of the Cup & Handle pattern, the longer-term target projects toward the 36 area.
Not financial advice. Trade your plan and manage risk.
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Hormuz Risk + $100 Oil + Temporary Block-Sale PressureFANG has recently pulled back toward the $193–194 area, but I see the weakness as potentially offering an attractive setup rather than signaling deterioration in Diamondback’s underlying business.
There are three main parts to the thesis: elevated crude prices, continuing Strait of Hormuz disruption, and company-specific selling pressure that appears largely unrelated to operating fundamentals.
1. Strait of Hormuz risk remains significant
Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains heavily disrupted. Recent vessel traffic has been substantially below normal levels, while Middle East shipping and infrastructure continue to face elevated geopolitical risk.
Saudi Arabia is attempting to redirect some exports through alternative routes and ship-to-ship transfers, which has helped reduce the extreme oil-risk premium. However, Saudi pipeline infrastructure has also suffered damage, and full normalization remains uncertain.
The result is an environment where crude does not necessarily need to spike toward extreme levels for U.S. producers to benefit.
WTI has recently remained around the $100/barrel region, which is an extremely favorable pricing environment for a low-cost Permian producer such as Diamondback.
My thesis does not require a complete Hormuz closure.
A prolonged environment of restricted supply, expensive shipping and crude remaining materially above historical averages would already be highly supportive for FANG's cash generation.
2. The recent FANG selloff had a major company-specific technical cause
One reason the chart currently looks weak is a very large secondary share sale.
Diamondback's largest shareholder sold approximately 9.1 million shares, worth roughly $1.9 billion.
That created a substantial amount of supply in the market and contributed to one of FANG's largest single-day declines in more than a year.
Importantly, this was not Diamondback issuing a profit warning or announcing deterioration in its Permian assets.
That distinction matters.
If the market absorbs this large block of stock while crude remains around $95–100+, I think the current weakness has the potential to turn into an attractive mean-reversion/recovery setup.
3. Fundamentals remain strong
Current TradingView fundamentals:
TTM revenue: approximately $17.1B
Revenue growth: approximately +21% YoY
EBITDA: approximately $11.2B
EBITDA growth: approximately +18%
Free cash flow: approximately $6.5B
FCF growth: approximately +56% YoY
Debt/equity: approximately 0.33
Consensus next-year EPS is approximately $20.76.
At around $194, that implies roughly:
9.3× next-year earnings
if estimates are achieved.
For a major Permian producer in a $100 oil environment, I find that valuation interesting.
Technical picture
The technical setup is not yet bullish on the shorter timeframes, which is why I see this as a potential entry zone rather than confirmation that the reversal has already begun.
Daily
Price: ~$193.7
RSI: 42
ADX: 14
EMA10: $200.4
EMA20: $201.1
EMA50: $199.0
EMA100: $194.5
EMA200: $185.1
FANG is currently trading below its short- and medium-term moving averages and almost directly around the 100-day EMA.
Daily momentum remains weak and MACD is still bearish.
However, the stock is approaching an important higher-timeframe support area rather than trading into resistance.
4H
RSI: ~38
EMA10: $199.3
EMA20: $201.0
EMA50: $201.1
EMA100: $199.1
EMA200: $194.4
VWMA: ~$197.4
The 4H chart is oversold relative to the recent range and is currently testing approximately the 4H EMA200 around $194.
This makes $191–194 an important decision zone.
Levels I'm watching
Support
$191–194 — current support / 4H EMA200 region
$185–187 — major support / daily EMA200 region
$178–182 — deeper correction area
Resistance
$197–200 — first recovery zone
$201–203 — major moving-average cluster
$210–213 — previous structure / stronger resistance
Bullish scenario
The setup becomes much more convincing if FANG can absorb the recent block-sale pressure and reclaim:
$198–200
A move back above the $201–203 moving-average cluster would be stronger confirmation that the correction is ending.
From there I would watch:
$210–213
followed by a potential continuation toward the previous highs if crude remains elevated.
Bearish / invalidation scenario
The biggest risk is a rapid normalization in the Middle East.
If Hormuz shipping returns toward normal, damaged infrastructure is restored and crude falls materially below the current $100 region, part of the geopolitical premium supporting energy equities could disappear quickly.
Technically, a decisive loss of:
$185
would also weaken this setup substantially because that would put FANG below its daily 200 EMA.
Below that, $178–182 becomes the next major area I'd watch.
Thesis
I view the current weakness in FANG as a combination of:
large shareholder selling + short-term crude volatility
rather than evidence that Diamondback's underlying business has deteriorated.
With crude still around $100, Hormuz disruption unresolved, strong free cash flow and FANG trading close to important higher-timeframe support, I think the current $190s area is worth watching for a medium-term bullish reversal.
I would prefer either:
$191–194 holding and forming a reversal
or
a confirmed reclaim of $198–200
rather than chasing before buyers show that the recent supply has been absorbed.
Bias: Bullish medium term
Key support: $191–194 / $185–187
Confirmation: $198–200 then $201–203
Upside area: $210–213+
Main risk: Middle East de-escalation and a substantial decline in crude prices. 
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NVDA Post-FOMC Setup
NASDAQ:NVDA Post-FOMC Setup
I’m short-term leaning long here, but only as a light trial after confirmation.
I’m watching for a 1H pullback toward 219.80 instead of chasing the move higher.
My levels:
Entry: 219.80
Invalidation: 218.92
T1: 222.47
The setup gives around 3:1 R, but I’m not calling it fully confirmed yet. Lower timeframes are still mixed, so I want price to prove the setup first.
Why NVDA?
After FOMC, I checked Stocks, CFDs, and Crypto, and NVDA is giving me one of the cleaner structures to work with.
On the 15M, price is still choppy around the 219.35–220.23 volume and average cluster. RSI is at 44.35 and MACD is slightly bearish, so I’m not rushing the entry.
The 1H is a little more interesting. Price is repairing above the rising 60 and 120-period averages, although the 20-period is turning down.
The 4H bottom structure remains confirmed above 216.99, while the daily is still more in a turning phase than a clean trend.
Confirmation I want:
→ Hold the 219.80 area
→ Reclaim 222.47 with momentum
→ Keep the 1H structure intact
If price breaks below 218.92, the long idea is invalid.
A break below 219.30 would also weaken the 1H structure, but I wouldn’t automatically flip short. I’d rather wait for a fresh bearish setup.
The bigger risk here is the post-FOMC volatility. Higher yields can pressure high-duration tech, and expiration-related flows can create false breakouts and sharp reversals.
Positioning is mixed too. 24H open interest dropped 6.98%, while 7D OI increased 12.98%. Funding is 0.0288 versus a 7D average of 0.012607, so I’m definitely not treating the current move as a guaranteed continuation.
For me, the trade needs to come from price action, not the headline.
I’ll be adding any trade taken from this setup to my KCGI TradingView journal.
I like watching NASDAQ:NVDA on Bitget because I can keep Stocks, CFDs, and Crypto on one platform, with 24/7 TradFi Perps for the trade management.
No chase. If the level confirms, I trade it. If not, I wait. 
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