Exxon at 183 into earnings: energy at highs, hold or fade?Exxon (XOM) closed Friday at 183.21, within 0.3% of its 52-week high (183.75), and Chevron (CVX, 233.21) is in the same spot, within 0.3% of its own high (233.74). Both report on Friday 30 October. XOM is up about 13% in a month and about 2.4% on the week, and it sits roughly 7% above its 20-day average (170.85). Crude is doing the same thing: our USOIL Idea has it at 103.45, near the top of its range, so energy stocks are being paid for oil that is already high. The question going into the prin
INTC After the 29% Drop $80 Retest Short Plan
Intel (INTC) beat Q3 estimates, but the stock still collapsed on its guidance. It closed Oct 30 at $65.12, down 29.27%, the largest single-session move among 380 tracked names. The setup below is a conditional 1H/4H short on a retest, with a reward-to-risk ratio of about 1:2.7.
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: BEARISH BIAS
As of Oct 13, INTC was up about 175% year to date, trading near 60x forward earnings with a beta above 2. It had already slid about 20% from its Sept 24 close of $127.39.
Q3 rev
Security software breakout: Qualys at 216.7 after a 20% weekQualys (QLYS) closed Friday at 216.70, up 19.7% on the week, and Tenable (TENB) did almost the same thing, up 19.9% to 44.59. Both sit within about 1% of their 52-week highs (QLYS 219.03, TENB 44.72) after breaking out of a month of chop. That is a big move for a week, so the question is whether this is a breakout to hold or a stretch that needs to cool. QLYS is about 12% above its 20-day average (193.49), and TENB is about 15% above its own (38.91).
Key levels (QLYS)
- 219.03: the high, set on
Microsoft into earnings: 524.5 on a key line, hold or break?Microsoft (MSFT) closed Friday at 524.51 and reports on Wednesday 28 October. It is a big part of the Nasdaq 100, so the print matters for the index too. Price is sitting right on the 38.2% pullback line (526.26) and just under its 20-day average (526.70), after a drop from the 553.72 high. The daily trend is still up (200-day average at 436.51, 50-day at 508.43), so the question is whether this is a shallow pullback that holds into the numbers or the start of a deeper one.
Earnings week dates:
IREN | WeeklyNASDAQ:IREN — HIEQ Model
How Designed HP Rays Define the Closing — TS Map
IREN closed the week precisely at the Support E-line of T ransition Trend Ray ⓸ , with no refinement.
The TS HIEQ-Structure Δ continues to provide coherent support for the corrective structure ⓸, as the turn into the Primary uptrend ⓹ extension📈 is now projected.
The HPQ Target ➤ $144 🎯 remains unchanged, with the same projected timeline of mid-February.
🔖 HIEQ Model ⇒ H ighly I ntegrated & E ntangling Q
SPCX | Q3 2026 - Day ChartSpace Exploration Technologies Corp (SpaceX)||
MARKET-BEATING SCORE = 1/10
Dividend yield TTM
0.13%
"designs, manufactures, and launches advanced rockets and spacecraft, including the fully reusable Starship and Super Heavy rocket system, targeting missions to Earth orbit, the Moon, Mars, and beyond."
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EPS growth -26830.0% — declining.
Revenue growing 33.2% YoY — strong.
Gross margin 48.8% — decent.
FCF margin 0.0% — cash burn.
D/E 0.00 — conservative leverage
SWK | July Q3 2026 | Day ChartStanley Black & Decker, Inc. -
MARKET-BEATING SCORE 3/10
Dividend yield (indicated)
3.61%
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SWK EPS growth 13.62% — solid, in line with market leaders.
SWK revenue declining 0.06% YoY — top-line contraction is a headwind. ($105.35 Weekly Inv.FS Resistance Level; see Candle Science explained below)
SWK gross margin 30.62% — decent margin, competitive business model.
SWK FCF $725.60M positive — real cash generation, the #1 long-run predictor of market outperforma
RACE | July Q3 2026 | Week ChartFerrari N.V. ||
MARKET-BEATING SCORE 4/10
Dividend yield (indicated)
1.11%
The only Ferrari I can afford... for now...
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RACE EPS growth 8.20% — modest growth, tracks rather than beats the market.
RACE revenue growing 4.65% YoY — steady but below high-growth threshold (15%+).
RACE gross margin 51.61% — strong moat, characteristic of long-run market beaters.
RACE FCF $1,621.00M positive — real cash generation, the #1 long-run predictor of market outperformance.
VWAGY | Volkswagen | Q3 2026 | Week ChartVolkswagen AG-
MARKET-BEATING SCORE 0/10
Dividend yield (indicated)
5.13%
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Positive EPS ($1.42)
EPS growth 7.82% — supports path to +25% rebalance target.
Conservative D/E (0.67) — balance sheet resilience.
Positive FCF — real cash generation. Best long-run predictor of value creation.
Volkswagen owns so many other automobile companies like Audi, Bugatti, Bently, Ducati, Lamborghini, Porsche, and some others.
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Multiple Time-F
PYPL | July Q3 | Day ChartPayPal Holdings, Inc.
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PYPL EPS growth 29.80% — above-market growth rate, typically outperforms the broad index.
PYPL revenue growing 17.90% YoY — strong top-line supports market-beating returns.
PYPL gross margin 40.93% — decent margin, competitive business model.
PYPL FCF $5,500.00M positive — real cash generation, the #1 long-run predictor of market outperformance.
PYPL D/E ratio 0.58 — conservative leverage, balance sheet resilience favors outperformance.
NVDA | Q3 2026 | Day ChartNVIDIA Corporation. ||
MARKET-BEATING SCORE = 10/10
Dividend yield TTM
0.13%
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PEGY 0.48 — undervalued vs growth. Strong market beater.
EPS growth 66.7% — above-market.
Revenue growing 70.7% YoY — strong.
Gross margin 74.2% — strong moat.
FCF margin 38.1% — real cash generation.
D/E 0.06 — conservative leverage.
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KEY RISK ASSESSMENT
"Could a policy change or major competitor disrupt growth in the next 2 years?"
NVIDIA faces s
INTC | July Q3 26' | Day chartIntel Corporation
Pelosi disclosed buying 200 Intel call options with a strike price of $50 that are set to expire on March 19, 2027.
Government Stake: In a rare move for a non-insolvent company, the U.S. government under the Trump administration purchased a 9.99% stake in Intel (433.3 million primary shares) at a cost of $20.47 per share
Policy Strategy: This stake aims to support U.S. chip infrastructure and enhance Intel's foundry expansion, effectively turning the government into one of I
$NKE tradeable bottom forming?NKE looks like it's put in a short term bottom here and can start a bullish bounce.
I think the most likely target is the $64-65 range as we've come a long way down and I think we'll see a fairly large reversal here before either retesting this bottom, or going lower.
I've marked off key resistance levels on the path up, let's see where we stop.
PCT bullish bounce to $7+?PCT looks like it's putting in a bottom here. We have earnings on Tuesday, I think if there's a positive earnings, this thing can really gain momentum higher.
First target would be $7.58, next would be $10. I've marked off key resistances in between that we could stop at on the way up.
Let's see if it plays out.
Chart Pattern Analysis Of NVDA
From K1 to K3, a monthly Evening Star reversal has formed,
signaling the year-long consolidation has resolved lower
— the range is broken and the market is shifting into a downtrend or larger consolidation.
K3 also marks the third peak of a triple-top, closing below the 215 stop loss line.
Notably, this K3 reversal closely mirrors the earlier K0 reversal on the left;
if the analogy holds, the coming decline could follow a very similar rhythm and pace.
Leveraged positions are at elevated
NVDA Closed At 204.64 After Touching 200.92.Last read: NVDA closed under 206.50 at 204.64, so the downside path fired; 204.81 and 201.92 both traded before the close (low 200.92), so they count from Monday, and the gap down from 213.66 - about three hourly ATRs - was never retested.
NVDA Closed At 204.64 After Touching 200.92.
NVDA closed at 204.64, down 9.02 on the day, after opening 4.72 below Thursday's close and never getting back to it. It traded down to 200.92 in the afternoon and bounced into the close, finishing just under the J
Cava Group: bull trade in 3 stepshi all, I would like to discuss a potential long position with 3 major resistance levels. Prerequisite is a positive earnings call which indicates further organic growth:
Current situation
long-term upwards trend line holds the recent bearish movement
since September 2026 the bullish trendline was tested at least 6 times and was able to hold
recent strong price movement indicates upwards trend to the following 3 levels
in addition rising indicators such as MACD and RSI
positive
NVIDIA (NVDA) Technical & Fundamental AnalysisThe daily (1D) chart outlines a completed macro five-wave impulse cycle—peaking at Wave (5) near the $240–$250 region—with projected A-B-C corrective markers mapped into the future alongside three key horizontal white support levels:
Support Level- $115.85
Near-Term Buffer: Before any of the macro white levels come into play, immediate tactical support sits at today's low of $200.92 (and the $200.00 psychological mark), followed by the prior consolidation swing lows around the $150.00–$160.00 z
McDonalds - What a wonderful swingtrade!🍔McDonalds ( NYSE:MCD ) is already playing out:
🔎Analysis summary:
The entire stock market is just selling off but McDonalds is up +10% just in October. And with the underlying trend being bullish and McDonalds rejecting major support, this rally is not over. In fact, McDonalds is just starting another +40% bullrun to new all time highs.
📝Levels to watch:
$230 and $330
Keep your #LONGTERMVISION🙏
— Phil (@TheTraderPhil)
NVIDIA Wave Analysis – 30 October 2026– NVIDIA broke key support level 208.50
– Likely to fall to support level 200.00
NVIDIA recently broke the support zone between the key support level 208.50 (which stopped wave ii at the end of August and wave iv in the middle of September), the daily support trendline from March and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from the end of July.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active C-wave of the ABC correction (B) from the start of October.
Given the bearish se























