TSLA: Deep unwind to 100–or is it?While textbook Elliott Wave theory suggests a full retracement to the diagonal's origin (near $100), I think it's important to combine Elliott Wave theory with the company's fundamental evolution to arrive at a more realistic expectation.
Valuation Floor
Tesla is a fundamentally stronger, more mature business today than it was in 2018. A "full" retrace to historical lows is less likely than a move to a new, higher support base.
Liquidity Traps
The 0.618 Fibonacci level (~$186) is a common support target for many retail traders. I suspect this will act as a liquidity sweep rather than a floor.
The 0.786 Defense
We've seen this ending diagonal pattern once before for Tesla between 2016-2018. During that time, the retracement was close to the 0.786 Fibonacci level. So for the upcoming decline, I am watching the same level (~$143) as the critical "line in the sand".
If this terminal pattern confirms, I am looking for a retracement into the $143–$186 range. I’ll be watching for how price interacts with the lower trendline in the coming sessions.
am i the only 1 thats been super bullish on PYPL?!February is when I started to pay attention to PYPL. There was a nice bullish engulfing at the beginning of April (Daily) and also is where moving averages started to shift. There was very nice volume in late February and earnings in May. The small lower arrow where I have it saying "reclaim 1st" Coincides with the 200 EMA on the daily time frame. On the daily timeframe one can argue that it is in a bottoming head and shoulder and also in a sort of large pennant. It's sort of a "janky" pennant. The weekly looks sort of weak with decreased volume on this up move but also decreased volume can lead to a pop. Usually when it's going opposite of each other, usually one is lying. PayPal has been beaten up and it looks like it's ready to test its upper support from $64 upwards of $125. First reclaiming the pink 10 SMA. 64 and 75 need to be reclaimed as well, with 75 being where the weekly 200 EMA is as of right now. So 64 and 75 get reclaimed on the monthly with three-candle confirmation and then looking into the daily with volume and maybe a pattern or a candle confirmation as well. I'd be very confident with this testing towards $125. Those white arrows point to areas of interest and where I see price being able to test. Paying attention to the Fibonacci levels will also be important. Where it really catches my eye is where the yellow and purple SMAs match up with the Fibonacci.
Call me crazy...
TSLA yearly drops.... Will SPCX follow the same pattern?Every year, since 2019, NASDAQ:TSLA dropped for an average of 50%.
I haven't checked before 2019, it seemed irrelevant.
Some see opportunities, other see just another company going bankrupt.
Just see for yourself what happened after each early drop.
Now the question is:
Will NASDAQ:SPCX will give the same great opportunities?
$BBIO * BRIDGEBIO PHARMA TC FIB EWP DAILY TF ANALYSISThe chart is suggesting that NASDAQ:BBIO is in the process of a Wave 4 correction, which should push the price lower in the short term. The correction appears to be reaching support levels near $18 or $17, which could be a good area for a reversal.
If the correction holds these levels, the next move could be a Wave 5 rally, targeting around $61 and above, based on previous wave structures and Fibonacci extensions.
The RSI is not yet in oversold territory, meaning there could still be some downside left in the current corrective wave before a reversal.
The technical analysis indicates a temporary pullback in NASDAQ:BBIO stock, but with strong bullish potential in the medium term, aiming for new highs if the correction finds support around the $17-$18 level. The projected Wave 5 could bring significant upside momentum, potentially reaching up to $73.50
MICROSOFT on a 2022 repeat, targeting $310 and the 1M MA100.Microsoft (MSFT) is consolidating around both its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1M MA50 (black trend-line), having previously broken below both following a strong rejection on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) exactly at the beginning of June.
That was the 1W MA50's first test as a Resistance since January 26 2026. Within Microsoft's dominant 6-year Channel Up, that rejection is perfectly aligned with the one on August 15 2022 of the previous Bear Cycle, which technically was the pattern's previous Bearish Leg.
Having already marginally broken below the long-term Support Zone of the 1W MA200 and the 1M MA50, as mentioned, which is where the 2022 Bear Cycle bottomed, the market now eyes the next key long-term Support level, which is the 1M MA100 (green trend-line), directly below the Channel Up.
If the current Bearish Leg (Channel Down) also lasts 343 days (49 weeks) like the one is 2022, then by October 05 2026, it may hit the bottom of the Channel Up at around $310. Note that the 1M MA100 has been untouched since January 2013.
Additionally, notice also that even the 1W RSI and MACD sequences among the two Bear Cycle fractals are almost identical and it appears that, in symmetrical terms, we might be at a similar spot as mid-September 2022.
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Is $RUN a Value Stock Here?SUNRUN’s Business Model
SUNRUN is the country’s largest residential solar company. The company has navigated the elimination of the federal solar tax rebate by focusing heavily on leasing models and, more specifically, by selling electricity to homeowners who agree to install solar panels on their roofs.
In addition, SUNRUN has partnered with NASDAQ:TSLA on residential battery storage, helping more homes reduce their dependence on traditional utilities.
Additional Revenue Opportunities
SUNRUN has also created a network of residential battery storage systems that can be aggregated and sold back to utility companies. Homeowners who participate share that revenue, creating another potential incentive for adoption.
The company is now testing an even broader opportunity: turning millions of homes into a distributed AI data center network. The plan is to place “compute nodes” in customers’ homes, with participating customers sharing in the revenue if the program proves successful. SUNRUN clearly believes this model has meaningful potential.
Taken together, these business initiatives create a compelling fundamental investment story.
Technical Setup
From a technical standpoint, SUNRUN appears to be forming a base and may have found a price floor in the mid- to upper-$11 range. From today’s price of $12.41, the stock appears to have a clear path toward the $13 range, which would represent roughly an 8% move.
• Near-term target: approximately $13.
• Key resistance zone: $17 to $18.
• Potential upside: a move from $12.41 to $17 would represent a gain of more than 36%.
Trade Plan
I will be watching this one closely. If the price can move above today’s high of $12.72 next week, I will consider taking a position because the risk/reward appears clearly defined.
If you like this idea, please make it your own by following your trading/investing plan. After all, it is your money.
$ORCL : Short Term Pain, Long Term Gains!In this video I explain why I think NYSE:ORCL could see more downside before becoming a great long term buying opportunity. The first level I'm watching is $118.65, which is the low of a blue doji candle that I believe is likely to get revisited. I also go over prior examples on NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:QQQ , and NASDAQ:GOOGL , where price revisited the low of a blue doji before pushing to new highs, and I'm expecting no different here.
Personally, I won't be buying any shares unless NYSE:ORCL drops to $118.65. My ultimate buy level is $99.87, which is the major support level just beneath that doji low. If we see a break below the strong $135.57 support, I think selling pressure could accelerate again and send price down toward those lower buy levels.
This is strictly a long term investment idea purchasing shares only, no day trades or options. My long term price target is $346.06, the all-time high. From the ideal buy level of $99.87 back to $346.06 would be just under a 250% return on the share price, and potentially 500%+ on the leveraged ticker NASDAQ:ORCX , which is what I plan on purchasing.
POST SHARE CONSOLIDATION DIAMOND BOTTOMVIP first got this on 12/18/2025 @ $0.50 that saw $4.91 , now $2 volume spike continuation volume this wants 14+ 👋 ✌️ 😘 🐺 👂🏼 ✅
ELong
BWFG Bankwell Finl Group IncAlthough not a typical trade for me. I will try about 20% to the next Fibonacci level. Very good so far the price is consistent and has a reaction to all Fibonacci levels.
BWFG is a high quality company that is currently trading at a huge discount to its mathematical value. Although the ROE is below 15%, the revenue growth rate (67%) and the massive buyout by insiders make it extremely attractive to the Quality Growth investor.
AMAT Rose 300%+ to a Record, Then Fell. What Its Chart Says NowIt's no secret that semiconductor-related stocks like Applied Materials NASDAQ:AMAT have had a pretty rough week or so, with AMAT falling some 20% after hitting an all-time high just on June 30. Let’s see what Applied Materials' chart and fundamental analysis say could happen next with the semiconductor-equipment maker’s stock.
Applied Materials’ Fundamental Analysis
Semiconductor stocks have mostly been on a tear in 2026, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index NASDAQ:SOX hitting an all-time high on June 22 after rising 106.9% year to date.
But the sector pulled back in recent days and weeks, with the SOX giving back some 11% since June 22.
The Dow Jones US Semiconductor Index DJ:DJUSSC has likewise shed roughly 7% since setting a record high on June 3.
Semiconductor-equipment providers like Applied Materials have taken a hit as well. AMAT rose more than 300% over 12 months to peak on June 30, but has given back about 20% since then.
On the other hand, Morgan Stanley analyst Shane Brett recently boosted the stock's price target to $647 from a previous $502 while reiterating Applied Materials' hold-equivalent rating.
He also named AMAT as a "top pick" for the sector. (Separately, Brett raised his price targets for Lam Research NASDAQ:LRCX to $404 from $331 and KLA Corp. NASDAQ:KLAC to $274 from $190 while reiterating their current ratings.)
Brett is rated at five stars out of a possible five by TipRanks and has an 81% success rate over that past two years, with an 80% average return.
You’d think that AMAT might take off on an endorsement like that. But looking at its chart, I’m not so sure.
Applied Materials’ Technical Analysis
Here’s AMAT's chart going back some seven months and running through Monday afternoon (July 6):
Readers will first see that AMAT had a very nice run that saw it more than double in price since 2026 began.
However, the shares then tried but failed in June to break above the upper trendline of the stock's Raff Regression model (marked in orange and pink shading).
Instead, the stock ended up testing its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line above at $590.50). Applied Materials also probably tested the swing crowd at that line as well.
The stock recently fell below the 21-day EMA, but has not yet definitively dropped under that line. (Shares were trading Friday afternoon at $603.18, back above the 21-day EMA's $590.50.)
Meanwhile, Applied Materials has recently begun to form what might fully develop into a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern, marked with red lines at the chart's right.
However, that pattern's right shoulder has yet to fully form, hence the question mark I added to the chart's right.
But should AMAT manage to regain and hold its 21-day EMA, the stock could experience an algorithmic surge that might complete that missing right shoulder. This would be a tradeable event -- although again, a head-and-shoulders pattern is one of bearish reversal.
That would create the potential for a more important test of Applied Materials' 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," denoted with a blue line at $494.10 above). That's where professional managers would likely have to make decisions concerning whether to maintain exposure to the stock. Of course, that's still about a $100 haircut from where AMAT has been trading at.
As for the other technical indicators in the chart above, those appear a bit shaky as well.
For example, Applied Materials' Relative Strength Index (the gray line marked "RSI" at the chart's top) has come down from overextended levels and stands just above the neutral line.
Similarly, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," denoted by blue bars, a black line and a gold line at the chart's bottom) is sending less-than-bullish signals as well.
First, the histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars) has moved into negative territory, which is a short-term bearish sign.
And while the 12-day EMA (the black line) and the 26-day EMA (the gold line) are both well into positive territory (a bullish signal), the 12-day line has crossed below the 26-day one. That's bearish.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle had no position in AMAT at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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Position #6: $NOW (ServiceNow) - 3-day chartPosition #6: NYSE:NOW (ServiceNow) - 3-day chart
Fundamentally, the story continues to improve. ServiceNow is evolving beyond traditional IT Service Management and is increasingly positioning itself as a leader in enterprise AI. Recent AI partnerships across the public sector and defense-related initiatives, together with the continued expansion of its agentic AI ecosystem, strengthen the company's long-term growth thesis.
From a technical perspective, the 3-day chart remains interesting. The main obstacle is still the resistance zone marked by the yellow box. A breakout above $111 should make the path higher much easier, while the most important support remains the Point of Control (PoC) around $102.
There is something resembling an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, although it is far from textbook quality. The neckline is clearly sloping, making the formation less reliable. More importantly, the overall market structure remains bullish.
OBV continues to show a Hidden Bullish Divergence, suggesting that despite the recent pullback, buyers are still in control and the broader uptrend could continue.
A bearish Elliott Wave count suggests a potential wave (c) next, with an initial target around $147.35 and a more ambitious target near $183. Interestingly, both projected wave targets broadly align with the latest price targets published by various Wall Street analysts.
This is not financial advice - just my blog.
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Big Tech Rotation TradeFor most of the last three months, the market narrative has been simple: buy the companies building AI infrastructure.
But the chart below hints that the next trade may not be about *whether* AI spending continues — it may be about where that capital flows.
While the hyperscalers ( NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:AMZN , NASDAQ:GOOG , NASDAQ:META , NYSE:ORCL ) have gained a respectable 6% since March, semiconductors have absolutely exploded, with the NASDAQ:SOX basket up nearly 60%.
That move wasn't driven by one company alone. The biggest beneficiaries have been the names supplying the picks and shovels of the AI boom:
• Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) — still the center of AI compute.
• AMD ( NASDAQ:AMD ) — increasingly competitive in AI accelerators and data center CPUs.
• Micron ( NASDAQ:MU ) — riding insatiable demand for HBM and memory.
• Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) — powering networking and custom silicon.
• Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) — a more speculative bet on manufacturing and foundry capacity.
The question now is whether semis have simply outrun the customers writing the checks.
Hyperscalers are the ones deploying hundreds of billions into data centers, chips, networking, and power infrastructure. Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, and Oracle ultimately monetize AI through cloud services, advertising, enterprise software, and compute rentals.
If AI capex remains elevated, semiconductors can continue to outperform.
But if investors begin asking when all of this spending translates into durable profits, we could see capital rotate back toward the hyperscalers that own the customer relationships and recurring revenue streams.
The AI trade isn't disappearing.
It may just be changing hands.
What do you think: are semis taking a breather, or is the next leg higher still ahead? 📈
NVIDIA (NVDA) | Trading Prediction | Friday, July 10, 2026NVIDIA remains one of the market's strongest AI-driven growth stocks, with price action heavily influenced by AI infrastructure spending, semiconductor demand, institutional fund flows, and overall Nasdaq sentiment. While the long-term trend remains constructive, short-term volatility is expected around key technical levels.
Key Themes
🤖 Continued AI investment and enterprise adoption.
💻 Strong semiconductor demand and data center growth.
📊 Institutional positioning and earnings expectations.
🌍 Broader market sentiment, Treasury yields, and macroeconomic news.
🟢 Bullish: A confirmed breakout above resistance could trigger fresh momentum buying and continuation toward new highs.
🔴 Bearish: Failure to hold key support may lead to short-term profit booking and a healthy correction toward the next demand zone.
Trade the reaction, not the prediction. Confirmation is the edge that separates professionals from amateurs.
Educational analysis only. Not financial or investment advice.
Accenture Is Trying to Build a Bottom After a Hard BreakdownNYSE:ACN Accenture PLC has spent years trading inside a long-term rising channel, but that structure has finally broken. On the monthly logarithmic chart, the channel stretches back to roughly 2009, making the recent breakdown a meaningful shift in character.
The move lower has been sharp. Accenture fell significantly from its all-time high area near $384 and eventually traded down toward the $115 to $120 zone. That area now matters because price has tested it multiple times, creating the early shape of a potential triple bottom.
That does not mean the bottom is guaranteed. It does mean Accenture has reached a level where buyers have repeatedly stepped in. The June monthly close above that support zone adds some confidence, but a stronger signal would come from continued monthly confirmation.
If the support holds, there may be a long setup worth watching. The first upside level is around $190, where former support could now act as resistance. That is a natural place for price to test if buyers continue to regain control.
Above that, the next major area sits near $240. This zone has acted as both support and resistance in the past, so it could become a larger decision point if Accenture breaks through the first resistance level.
The final major upside area is back near the prior all-time-high region, where the stock previously formed a double top. A move that far would require a much stronger bullish recovery, but it remains part of the broader roadmap if the reversal gains momentum.
On the weekly chart, the early rebound is already beginning to show. The stock has started to move higher for a couple of weeks, though confirmation is still developing. For now, the key question is whether the $115 to $120 triple-bottom zone can continue to hold.
Accenture is also worth reviewing beyond the chart. The company remains profitable, but technology services businesses have been pressured by concerns around AI disruption. Anyone interested in the setup should pair the technical picture with a deeper look at the financials and long-term business risks.
This is not financial advice. It is a watchlist idea built around support, resistance, and confirmation.
NVIDIA (NVDA): news flow leaning bullish — the net read
The wire has been busy on NVIDIA (NVDA). Weighing the stories from the last 24h against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded:
+++ HBM prices could double by 2027 on surging AI demand, DigiTimes reports - Investing.com
+++ Nvidia chips, soybean orders signal thaw before Xi-Trump summit - Asia Times
+++ Nvidia Stock: What Investors Need to Know After Its Most Recent AI Deal - The Motley Fool
+++ Meta Platforms Adds its First Canadian Data Center to Active Proj... - Industrial Info Resources
−−− Wells Fargo Issues Stark Warning on Nvidia's China Chip Opportunity
Net read: +++ leaning bullish — top of our scale.
What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. Strong reads fade as the market digests them, and a fresh headline can flip the whole picture. That's exactly what we track.
The rule of this account: every read gets a public update once the market has had time to speak — the ones that landed and the ones that didn't. No deleted calls. Watch for the update on this idea.
(Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)
Block, Inc. (XYZ) — Building an Integrated Fintech EcosystemBlock, Inc. NYSE:XYZ is a leading fintech company built around its core platforms Square, Cash App, and Afterpay, providing digital payments, banking, commerce, lending, and financial services for both consumers and businesses.
Key Catalysts:
Cash App ecosystem expansion:
Cash App continues evolving beyond peer-to-peer payments into a broader financial platform offering banking, savings, investing, Bitcoin services, and tax filing, driving higher customer engagement and recurring revenue opportunities.
Square's business platform growth:
Square remains a key growth engine by helping small and medium-sized businesses manage payments, software, payroll, invoicing, and business lending through an integrated commerce ecosystem.
Afterpay strengthens the ecosystem:
The integration of Afterpay enhances Block's buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) offering, creating additional cross-selling opportunities while expanding customer acquisition and merchant relationships.
Diversified fintech platform:
With consumer finance, merchant solutions, lending, and digital payments under one ecosystem, Block benefits from multiple recurring revenue streams and long-term network effects.
Long-term digital finance tailwinds:
Continued adoption of digital payments, embedded finance, mobile banking, and financial technology supports Block's long-term growth strategy.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish above: $65.00–$66.00
Upside target: $110.00–$115.00
Supported by Cash App expansion, Square's growing merchant ecosystem, and Afterpay integration, Block remains well positioned to benefit from the ongoing transformation of digital financial services.
📢 XYZ — Connecting consumers and businesses through a powerful ecosystem of payments, banking, and financial technology.






















