Page 9 | Ideas and Forecasts on Stocks — USA — TradingView — India India

OSIS - Shattering Resistance on the weekly That $290 level acted as a ceiling for months. We just smashed through it on the weekly timeframe. When a stock bases this long and breaks out, the moves can be explosive. Eyes on the close this week. 🍿

by ParamjitMahapatro

Overview - US energy stock with Oil Price Uncertainty. Hey folks, Recently the breaking of S&P highs made me wonder that in such ongoing geopolitical events, US markets is breaking records. then I'd thought why not start exploring US stocks as well and start long term investing there as well. So today I am talking about a small cap energy stock. This is a quick read with small points for you. So if you like to point onto something. Lets discuss that in comment section. Sources and AI-tool : MorningStar, Zack Ranks, and ChatGPT. SM Energy Company is a company that drills into the U.S. grounds to find and extract oil and natural gas, and then sells those resources in the market. from Core assets: Permian Basin (main growth engine) Eagle Ford (steady production) It does not refine or sell fuel — revenue depends directly on oil & gas prices. Lets talk about how It Makes Money Produces oil, gas, and natural gas liquids Sells at market prices (no control over pricing) So simple formula: ==>> Higher oil prices = higher profits ⸻ 📊 Key Metrics (what matters most) 1. Production ~180 Mboe/d (stable with slight growth) Oil-heavy mix → better margins 2. Free Cash Flow (FCF) ~$150M–$230M per quarter Strong for company size This is the core investment driver ⸻ 3. Capital Discipline Capex stable (~$300M–$350M per quarter) Not over-drilling → positive signal ⸻ 4. Debt ~$2.6B total debt Gradually declining Manageable but still important risk factor for a small cap stock ⸻ 5. Asset Quality Strong exposure to Permian Basin Wells: - Competitive productivity - Break-even ~ $40–50 oil ⸻ What Moves the Stock Goes Up When: Oil prices rise Strong earnings / FCF Debt reduces Goes Down When: Oil prices fall Costs rise Production disappoints Bottom line is this will be essentially a leveraged bet on oil prices. ⸻ ⚠️ Key Risks Heavy dependence on oil price cycles Declining well output over time (requires constant reinvestment) Mid-level debt vs peers ⸻ So i'd like to end this with two side Conclusions Bull Case Oil stays $70–80+ Strong free cash flow continues Debt reduces further Shareholder returns increase Upside: Stock re-rating + cash returns Potential: high double-digit % gains ⸻ Bear Case Oil drops below $60 Margins compress sharply FCF weakens Debt becomes concern again Downside: Stock can fall quickly (high volatility) ⸻ End Note : Reward will be high only to oil upside. Risk is high to the commodity exposure( stock can fall fast) Happy Investing.

RSI divergence.RSI showing Divergence so i think it can go down from here. and its on monthly chart so it will have long-term effect.

CASH - Bull Flag Resolution and Continuation After a massive multi-month consolidation, we’ve seen a clean breakout above the ~$85 resistance level. The recent price action shows a successful retest of that level (now support) with a strong bounce. All moving averages are fanning out beautifully.

by ParamjitMahapatro

TNGX - Textbook Breakout from Consolidation The monthly chart on Tango Therapeutics is absolutely textbook. ✅ 3-year base breakout ✅ High volume surge ✅ Cleared the $18.50 hurdle with ease Up +21% this month and looking for more. Keeping this on the watchlist for any backtests of the breakout zone.

by ParamjitMahapatro

MRX - Epic Rounded Bottom Breakout The $48 level acted as a ceiling for 12 months. Now that it's broken on high volume, the path of least resistance is UP. Current Price: $52.03 Target: Blue Sky Territory 💎 Is this the strongest financial stock right now? Let me know your thoughts below! 👇

by ParamjitMahapatro

BKH - Massive Breakout and Hold Above Resistance The 6-Year Wait is Over 📈 Black Hills Corporation has finally cleared a massive horizontal resistance zone around $68.50 that has capped the price since 2019. This isn't just a breakout; it's a structural shift. Multi-year Cup & Handle / Base completion. Monthly candles closing strong above the prior ATH. The previous ceiling at $68.50 now becomes the floor.

by ParamjitMahapatro

APGE :Defying Gravity - Strong weekly Breakout The horizontal green lines show exactly where the "sellers" lived. Once $70.23 flipped from resistance to support, it was game over for the bears. Current status: Strong momentum, RSI likely hot, but the trend is your friend until it bends.

by ParamjitMahapatro

MPWR is UNSTOPPABLE! V-Shape to the Moon!The breakout above $1,243 was the "go" signal traders were waiting for. Now that we’ve cleared the year-long range, the stock is in a vertical discovery phase. As long as we hold the 1,243 level, the bulls have the ball. $1,500 is the next psychological magnet. 🧲

by ParamjitMahapatro

BNY Mellon: The Sleeping Giant Just Woke Up!Price has absolutely cleared the $119.03 resistance level on heavy volume. We are now officially in "Blue Sky" territory. Consolidation is over. Momentum is picking up.

by ParamjitMahapatro

BE - Parabolic breakout After grinding sideways for the first half of 2025, Bloom Energy has entered a parabolic phase. Resistance at $146 ➡️ Cleared. Resistance at $169 ➡️ Smashed. +28% in a single week. Vertical moves like this require caution on entries, but the trend is undeniably bullish. Don't fight the tape.

by ParamjitMahapatro

MSFT: Bulls Eye Rebound as AI Moat Deepens Microsoft (MSFT) is currently at a critical technical juncture. Despite recent volatility driven by high AI-related capital expenditures, the fundamental outlook remains robust. Azure’s 17% year-over-year revenue growth and a massive $625 billion commercial backlog underscore a dominant enterprise position. The aggressive infrastructure investment, including the recent $10 billion expansion in Japan, is a strategic long-term play to solidify its AI moat. Technically, the weekly chart shows MSFT carving out a significant bottom near the $360 support zone. A recent bullish reversal candle suggests that the "Supertrend" is attempting to pivot from a defensive stance. Target 1 ($520): A primary resistance level where previous selling pressure originated. A sustained close above $440 will likely accelerate the move toward this psychological barrier. Target 2 ($560): Aligns with previous all-time highs and consensus analyst targets. Investors should monitor the April 29 earnings release as a potential catalyst to validate this recovery trajectory.

by aditya_biswas

Long Trade Setup – Netflix (NFLX)Bias: Short-term bullish pullback within a larger downtrend Entry Zone : 90 – 92 (current demand + consolidation area) Confirmation: Strong bullish candle close above 93 Volume pickup on breakout Stop Loss : 88 (below demand zone) Targets : * T1: 96 * T2: 100 (near 200 MA resistance) * T3: 104 (if momentum continues) Setup Logic : * Price reclaimed short-term MAs after a sharp bounce from 75 * Consolidation forming above support → potential continuation * Risk-reward favorable if support holds Invalidation : Daily close below 88 → weakness resumes, avoid longs Note : Counter-trend trade, so book partial profits quickly and trail SL.

Coinbase (COIN): Riding the Institutional Wave Toward $350-375 Coinbase Global, Inc. is currently undergoing a pivotal structural shift from a retail-dependent exchange to a premier institutional infrastructure provider. Despite a volatile start to 2026, the fundamental outlook remains robust. The anticipated enactment of the **CLARITY Act** this July and Coinbase’s dominant role as the primary custodian for Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs serve as powerful catalysts for long-term revenue diversification. ### **Technical Outlook: The Path to Targets** The weekly chart reveals a significant consolidation phase near the **$183** mark. COIN is successfully holding a critical support zone established between **$150 and $175**, coinciding with historical accumulation levels. Support:Strong buyer interest is evident at the **$150** level (S1), which has historically acted as a floor during crypto drawdowns. Target 1 ($250):This psychological and technical resistance level aligns with the 2026 recovery high. A breakout here confirms a trend reversal. Target 2 ($375):Once $250 is cleared, the stock has a clear runway toward its institutional valuation peak near $375, supported by projected EBITDA growth and increased staking revenue. Fundamental Drivers While recent litigation in New York creates a temporary overhang, the expansion into **AI-enabled payments** and the **Base network’s** sequencer fees are building a recurring, non-trading revenue stream. With institutional volumes at record highs, Coinbase is well-positioned to capture the "Institutional Pivot" of 2026. ------------------------------------------------------ Summary Verdict: BULLISH The technical floor at $150 provides a high-conviction entry for a move toward the **$250 (Target 1) 250-275 and **$350-375 (Target 2)** levels as regulatory clarity improves.

by aditya_biswas

TSM | Bullish Scenario After Liquidity Reaction NYSE:TSM Bias: Bullish Price is currently reacting from a liquidity-driven area. If price retraces toward the 340 zone and holds structure, I will look for bullish continuation aligned with higher-timeframe context. Invalidation: Acceptance below 318 would negate the bullish scenario. Upside objective: Fibonacci level around 389. This is a scenario-based probability framework, not a trade signal. Execution depends on confirmation and risk management.

by abhishekm894

Price Smart Inc(PSMT) analysis I am going to buy this stock ,because of following reason 1. Got good move up. 2. Breaking high of 12 years 2. giving good correction of 9 weeks. 4. has outperformed the market. 5. High financials, Mid valuation, good momentum score 7.Stock has high Debt 8. revenue and profit has increased last 3 quarters and Yoy also its up. I am managing my risk with Stop loss of 6.18% with a minimum target of 1:2 R. This is just for learning purpose and not a Tip or recommendation.

PKBK analysis I am going to buy this stock because it has 1. Got good move up. 2. Breaking high of 4 years 2. giving good correction of 9 weeks. 4. has outperformed the market. 5. Low financials, affordable valuation, good momentum score 6.promoters and MF share holding has increased. 7.Stock has high Debt 8. revenue and profit has increased last 3 quarters. I am managing my risk by stop loss of 5.6%. This is just for learning purpose and not a recommendation or tip.

Deluxe corp(DLX) Analysis I am going to buy this stock because of following reason 1. Got good move up. 2. Breaking high of 4 years 2. giving good correction of 9 weeks. 4. has outperformed the market. 5. Mid financials, affordable valuation, good momentum score 6.promoters share holding has increased. 7.Stock has high Debt. i am managing my risk with stop loss of 5.9%. This is for learning purpose and not a tip or recommendation.

Kirby Corporation- Successful multi year breakout.Successful multi year breakout at fresh all time high, strong uptrend. Tgt-1 169

by ParamjitMahapatro

ACLS weekly bullish breakout bullish rectangle breakout, positive earning expected MACD bullish cross

by vikasjariwalasnipervj

RRBI Analysis I am going to buy this stock because of following reason: 1. After stage-1 made good move up 2. stage2 is not extended 2. giving good correction of 8 weeks. 3. was holding well when SPX was falling. 4. has outperformed the market. 5. low financials, mid valuation, good momentum . 6.institution holding is unchanged. I am managing my risk with stop loss of 7%. i am targeting 25-30% from here. P.S. this is for learning purpose and not a tip or recommendation.

KEYS [LONG] - Strong Intraday Uptrend - 69.2% Win Rate NYSE:KEYS triggered recently a strong intraday uptrend on the 1H chart. Screen conditions: Close is above VWAP EMA(9) is above EMA(20) Volume is more than the 20-period average I backtested the above strategy, on the Long side, with 2% SL and 2% Take Profit, and found: Win Rate: 69.2% EV 1.86% per trade Max Drawdown 3.7%

AAOI: Elliott Wave & Market Outlook The stock has entered a "parabolic" phase, likely the Wave 3 of 3 extension, driven by record-breaking orders for 800G and 1.6T transceivers. Current Momentum: AAOI has surged nearly 200% year-to-date, breaking out of a consolidation zone near $105 with heavy institutional buying. Upside Target (Short-term): $140.00 (Current "Street High" analyst target and psychological resistance). Extended Target (2026 Cycle): $160+ if management achieves the guided $1 billion revenue milestone for the year. Support/Invalidation: $105.00. A break below this level would signal the start of a deeper Wave 4 correction.