Long
Long
Long 
Long 
Long 
Short
Short 
Short 
BTC/USD 45M – 🔍 Market Structure
On the 45-minute timeframe, BTC/USD is currently transitioning from a bullish recovery phase into a potential distribution zone. After forming a clear higher low around the 75,000–76,000 region (green demand zones), price impulsively moved upward, creating a short-term bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows).
However, this bullish momentum is now stalling near a strong supply (order block) zone around 78,800–79,500, where previous selling pressure has already been established.
📉 Key Observations
Supply Zone (Bearish Order Block):
The red zone above current price represents a high-probability resistance area, where institutions previously entered sell positions. Price has tapped into this zone again and is showing signs of rejection.
Liquidity & Structure:
The recent push upward appears to have swept buy-side liquidity (equal highs), which often precedes a reversal or pullback.
Momentum Shift:
Internal structure is weakening, with minor lower highs forming inside the resistance zone, suggesting buyer exhaustion.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Preferred)
If price fails to break and hold above the supply zone, expect:
A rejection move downward
First target near 78,000 (intra-range support)
Further continuation toward 76,500 – 75,500 demand zones
The marked “Take Profit” area aligns with a logical liquidity draw and previous structure support.
🔄 Bullish Invalidation
A strong breakout and consolidation above 79,500 would invalidate the bearish bias.
This would signal continuation toward 80,000+ levels, confirming renewed bullish strength.
🧠 Conclusion
The chart presents a classic smart money concept setup: price rallies into a supply zone, sweeps liquidity, and begins to lose momentum. Unless buyers reclaim higher ground decisively, the probability favors a short-term bearish retracement.
Patience is key here—confirmation (rejection candles, structure break) will strengthen the setup before execution. Short 
Short 
Short 
Long 
BTC/USD Continues Its Uptrend with Caution✅ Market Structure
Overall, the market structure on the H4 timeframe exhibits a complex character — a mix of an uptrend that is starting to lose momentum and a distribution/consolidation phase.
Starting from a low of around $65,500–$66,000 in late March 2026, the price moved impulsively upward following a clearly defined ascending trendline on the chart.
This trendline acted as dynamic support, successfully holding the price down several times before the price action entered a more volatile phase in mid-April.
The Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) structure formed well, leading the price to peak around $79,500–$80,000 around April 17–18.
However, after that, the price failed to maintain its bullish momentum and began forming lower highs in the $79,000 area, which signaled an early weakening of the uptrend structure.
Currently, the price is around $78,243, which means it remains above several key support zones, but has not yet managed to make a convincing breakout above the main resistance.
--------------------------------------------------------
✅ Resistance Zone:
- The first most relevant resistance is located in the $79,000–$79,500 area, which is the previous HH area and has repeatedly served as a price reversal point.
- Above this, strong resistance is located at $80,000–$80,500, which coincides with the upper boundary of the ascending trendline and is psychologically a very significant round level.
✅ Support Zone:
- The first support is clearly visible in the $74,000–$74,500 zone, marked by the shaded gray zone on the chart — this area has been tested twice (around April 17 and April 27) and successfully bounced strongly, confirming it as a solid demand zone.
- The next support is at $71,000–$71,500 (a deeper shaded zone), and major support is at $70,000, which is an important psychological level.
--------------------------------------------------------
✅ Primary Wave Count (from the low of $65,500):
Wave 1 formed from the bottom around $65,500 (late March) and rose to around $73,000–$73,500 in early April — this was a fairly strong first impulse wave following the ascending trendline.
Wave 2 then corrected to around $70,500–$71,000, which is a 50–61.8% retracement of Wave 1, entering the shaded support zone shown on the chart.
Wave 3 was the longest and strongest wave, starting at $71,000 and moving impulsively to a high around $79,500–$80,000 in mid-April — this is consistent with the characteristics of Wave 3, which is the most powerful wave in a cycle.
Wave 4 then occurred as a correction from $80,000 down to the $74,000–$74,500 zone (the demand zone), forming a complex corrective pattern (possibly a zigzag or flat) — note that Wave 4 did not overlap the top of Wave 1, so this wave count remains valid.
--------------------------------------------------------
✅ Conclusion & Trading Plan
Overall Bias: BULLISH with High Caution (Conditional Bullish)
Overall, BTCUSD remains bullish on the H4 chart as long as the $74,000–$74,500 demand zone remains unbroken.
The current price position is likely part of the ongoing Wave 5, with potential targets at $81,000–$83,000.
However, the failure to maintain $76,000 and signs of weakening RSI require traders to avoid being blindly bullish and to always have a clear risk management plan. Long 
Long 
Short 
Short 
Short 
