DOT 4H – Symmetrical Triangle Tightening Toward ApexDOT on the 4H timeframe is currently trading around 0.945 after oscillating inside a symmetrical triangle for nearly four weeks, with the descending upper trendline and rising lower trendline continuing to converge as price grinds toward the apex with diminishing range on each swing.
The chart shows a symmetrical triangle formed by a descending upper trendline originating from the June 22 high near 0.960, connecting through the July 5 high near 0.900 and the July 10 high near 0.890, while the rising lower trendline connects the June 29 low near 0.796 through the July 8 low near 0.818 and the July 12 low near 0.826, now climbing into the 0.832–0.836 area. Each swing inside the triangle has been visibly shorter than the prior one, with the July 10 recovery reaching only 0.880–0.890 before rolling over compared to the early July push toward 0.900. Two horizontal reference levels define the internal structure — one near 0.855–0.860 and a second near 0.840–0.845 — both of which have been crossed repeatedly without holding, confirming the compression is tightening around both. The descending upper trendline is now declining into 0.865–0.870 while the lower trendline rises toward 0.832–0.836, leaving a narrow band of roughly 35 points before the structure forces a resolution.
Price is currently sitting in the middle of that narrowing band near 0.845–0.850, with both trendlines closing in and neither horizontal level providing any meaningful directional bias.
Key Levels To Watch
→ 0.950–0.960 – June high, major resistance above
→ 0.920–0.930 – Prior recovery high, resistance
→ 0.865–0.870 – Descending upper trendline, current overhead resistance (dynamic)
→ 0.855–0.860 – Horizontal pivot, upper internal reference
→ 0.840–0.845 – Horizontal support, lower internal reference
→ 0.832–0.836 – Rising lower trendline, dynamic support (climbing)
→ Below 0.796 – Triangle breakdown, extended downside
A confirmed break above the descending upper trendline near 0.865–0.870 and a close above 0.920–0.930 would signal a bullish resolution, opening a move toward 0.950–0.960 and potentially above the June high on continuation.
A confirmed break below the rising lower trendline near 0.832–0.836 and a loss of 0.796 would signal a bearish resolution, removing the upward structure built since the June 29 low and opening downside below the triangle with no clear support visible beneath.
Triangle tightening with each swing shorter than the last, resolution imminent. Break above 0.865–0.870 → bullish resolution, eyes on 0.950–0.960. Break below 0.832–0.836 → bearish resolution, downside toward 0.796 and below. Bias neutral inside compression. Direction confirmed only on a decisive close outside either trendline. 
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ETH/USD: EMA55 Reclaim Attempt With Swing High at 1946 in SightETH's sitting at 1819.26 after a 2.4% drag lower, and the chart's telling a specific story right now. Price is hugging the EMA55 at 1823 with EMA21 above at 1856 — trend bias reads Neutral, but the band position is lower_half, meaning we're pressing the softer side of the volatility envelope without breaking it. The last confirmed bullish BoS came 18 bars ago at 1846, and the swing high at 1946.52 is still open on the chart from 12 bars back. Swing low at 1750.2 also holds.
Why it matters: on the 4H, the structure hasn't cracked. The pullback into EMA55 is a textbook retest of the trend backbone after that bullish BoS printed. If bulls defend here and reclaim EMA21, the path to the swing high opens up again. Lose EMA55 with an ATR-buffered close and the neutral tone flips outright.
The trigger to watch is a 4H close back above 1856 (EMA21) — that's the setup activation, ideally with price pushing toward the upper band at 1899. Invalidation is a clean 4H close below 1813 (the band lower edge), which puts the swing low at 1750 back in play. Targets sit at 1899 (band upper), 1946 (open swing high), and if that gives, 1970 as the next round-number magnet. Watching the reaction at EMA55 carefully.
Setup: 4H close back above EMA21 at 1856 reactivates the push toward the open swing high at 1946.
Invalidation: A 4H close below the band lower at 1813 kills the setup and shifts focus to 1750.
Targets: 1899 — band upper edge, first resistance · 1946 — open swing high from 12 bars ago · 1970 — round-number extension if swing gives 
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BTC: When Will We Finally Regain Strength?Bitcoin faced modest downward pressure overnight and is trading below the $63,000 level this morning.
Primary Scenario
Our primary outlook calls for further near-term sell-offs that could push Bitcoin down into our green Target Zone ($37,400–$25,975). We expect the low of the corrective move that began in early 2025 to form there, setting the stage for a long-term trend reversal to the upside.
Alternative Scenario
In the alternative scenario, Bitcoin would see an imminent interim low before rebounding to establish a new corrective high between resistance levels at $82,822 and $99,662. However, this would also be followed by sell-offs toward our green Target Zone ($37,400–$25,975) (probability: 25%).
Long-Term Outlook
The daily chart highlights the green Target Zone ($37,400–$25,975), confirming that further sell-offs into this range remain likely. Once the ongoing correction concludes there, Bitcoin should resume a sustainable uptrend and target new all-time highs. As shown on our weekly chart, we expect gains up to our red Target Zone ($200,797–$238,972) as part of the long-term upward movement. The subsequent correction, based on current conditions, should then bring Bitcoin back into the green Target Zone ($157,291–$108,288). Short
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