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BTC | Bitcoin's Next Big Move Starts This WeekEarnings Season Takes the Spotlight
This week's focus isn't just on economic data, Second quarter earnings season also gets underway, with major US banks reporting on Tuesday before attention shifts to a wider group of large technology and financial companies later in the week
Expectations are high. Analysts are forecasting the strongest year over year profit growth since 2021, but with stock valuations already stretched, especially in AI and energy, simply beating earnings estimates may not be enough. Investors will be paying close attention to company outlooks, as strong guidance could matter just as much as the headline numbers in keeping the rally alive
SK Hynix offered an early reminder of that reality. After a strong run and an impressive Nasdaq debut last week, the stock dropped 12% in Seoul as investors questioned whether the excitement around AI memory chips had already been reflected in the price. The upcoming wave of earnings will show whether strong business performance is enough to support today's elevated expectations
Waiting for the Next Catalyst
The outlook for crypto remains positive, but the market is still searching for its next major driver. Institutional adoption continues to grow, spot ETFs are attracting steady inflows, and Bitcoin's limited supply remains a supportive factor. Even so, BTC has mostly traded sideways as investors wait for clearer signals on inflation and the Federal Reserve's next move
If this week's inflation data and corporate earnings reinforce the optimistic outlook, stronger risk appetite could extend to crypto as investors look beyond traditional equities. Until then, digital assets remain supported by solid long-term fundamentals, but the market still needs a clear catalyst to regain momentum
Key Events
Tuesday, 14 Jul: US CPI, Fed Chair Warsh Testifies
Wednesday, 15 Jul: US PPI, Fed Chair Warsh Testifies
Key Earnings
Monday, 13 Jul: Bitmine
Tuesday, 14 Jul: JPMorgan, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Citigroup
Wednesday, 15 Jul: Morgan Stanley, BlackRock
Thursday, 16 Jul: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC)
Do you think Bitcoin is ready to break out, or will it stay stuck in its current range?
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Trading Framework: Chart PatternsChart Patterns — Reading the Market's Handwriting
Price doesn't move in straight lines. It coils, breaks, retraces, and repeats — and the shapes it leaves behind are not random noise. They are the visible footprint of supply and demand fighting it out in real time. This article breaks down chart patterns the way a desk would actually use them: as a structured framework, not a grab-bag of shapes to memorize.
We'll cover the major pattern families, the most widely traded individual patterns, and — more importantly — how to wrap all of it into a repeatable process instead of pattern-spotting for its own sake. Recognizing a shape on a chart is the easy 10%. Knowing what it means in context, what invalidates it, and how to size risk around it is the other 90%, and that's where most traders leave money on the table.
1. Why Chart Patterns Still Work in 2026
Every chart pattern is really a story about positioning. A triangle is a story about compression — buyers and sellers narrowing their disagreement until someone is forced to act. A head and shoulders is a story about distribution — demand making one last, weaker push before supply takes control. Harmonic patterns are a story about exhaustion at mathematically defined extremes.
Patterns persist not because of magic, but because human (and increasingly, programmatic) behavior around liquidity, stop placement, and breakout chasing is structurally repetitive. Institutions still build and unwind positions around the same structural pivots — they just do it with more size and more patience. Understanding the pattern is really understanding the behavior underneath it.
2. The Anatomy of a Pattern — What You Should Actually Be Looking At
Before listing types, it's worth establishing the checklist every pattern should be run through. Treat this as your due-diligence template:
Context: What is the higher-timeframe trend or range doing? A pattern in isolation means far less than the same pattern aligned with higher-timeframe structure.
Formation quality: Are the touches/swings clean, or is the pattern "forced" — drawn with one eye closed to make the shape fit?
Volume behavior: Contraction during formation, expansion on the break. This is the single most underused confirmation tool in retail trading.
Time symmetry: Does the pattern take a reasonable amount of time to form relative to the move that preceded it?
Breakout confirmation: Close beyond the structure, not just a wick poke.
Invalidation level: The exact price that proves the read wrong — defined before entry, not after.
Measured target: A projected objective derived from the pattern's own geometry, used to frame risk:reward before you're in the trade.
If you can't fill in all seven of these, you don't have a tradable pattern — you have a shape.
3. The Major Families of Chart Patterns
Chart patterns aren't one monolithic category. They split into distinct families, each with its own logic, its own tools, and its own failure modes.
a) Classical Continuation Patterns
These form mid-trend and resolve in the direction of the prevailing move. They represent a pause, not a reversal of intent.
Flags
Pennants
Rectangles (trading ranges)
Ascending / Descending Triangles
Bull / Bear Wedges acting as continuation (less common, context-dependent)
b) Classical Reversal Patterns
These mark a change in control between buyers and sellers, typically after an extended move.
Head and Shoulders / Inverse Head and Shoulders
Double Top / Double Bottom
Triple Top / Triple Bottom
Rounding Top / Rounding Bottom (Saucers)
Cup and Handle
Diamond Top / Diamond Bottom
c) Harmonic Patterns
Built on Fibonacci ratio relationships between swing legs (XA, AB, BC, CD), harmonics aim to define precise reversal zones rather than general areas. This is geometry layered on top of classical price action.
Gartley
Bat
Butterfly
Crab (and Deep Crab)
Shark
Cypher
ABCD Pattern
Three Drives
Harmonic patterns are unforgiving about precision — a Gartley with sloppy ratios isn't a "loose Gartley," it's noise. The discipline of the framework is the entire value proposition here.
d) Candlestick Patterns
Shorter-term, fewer-bar formations that describe the immediate tug-of-war at a level rather than a multi-week structure.
Engulfing (bullish/bearish)
Doji and Spinning Top
Hammer / Shooting Star
Morning Star / Evening Star
Dark Cloud Cover / Piercing Line
These work best as confirmation triggers at the edge of a larger pattern or level — not as standalone signals.
e) Wyckoff Structural Patterns
Wyckoff method patterns describe the full lifecycle of a campaign — accumulation, markup, distribution, markdown — and the specific events within each phase.
Accumulation Schematic (Spring, Test, Sign of Strength)
Distribution Schematic (Upthrust, Sign of Weakness)
Re-accumulation / Re-distribution ranges
f) Smart Money Concepts (SMC) / ICT-Style Patterns
A modern evolution of order-flow reading that reframes classical structure through liquidity and institutional footprint logic. These have become especially dominant in the retail-to-prop pipeline over the last few years.
Order Blocks / Breaker Blocks
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) / Imbalances
Liquidity Sweeps and Stop Runs
Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS)
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zones
Mitigation Blocks
SMC patterns share DNA with both classical and harmonic structure — many "order blocks" are simply the same institutional footprints that classical technicians described decades ago, relabeled around liquidity rather than geometry.
g) Elliott Wave Patterns
A more theory-heavy framework describing price as a fractal sequence of impulse and corrective waves.
Five-Wave Impulse Structures
Zigzag, Flat, and Triangle Corrections
Diagonal Triangles (Leading and Ending)
4. The Most Popular Chart Patterns Traders Actually Use
Out of everything above, a small handful of patterns account for the overwhelming majority of real-world trading activity because they're visually unambiguous, statistically well-documented, and easy to risk-manage.
Head and Shoulders (and Inverse): Arguably the most recognized reversal pattern in technical analysis. Three peaks (or troughs), with the middle one the most extreme, and a neckline that defines the breakout trigger.
Double Top / Double Bottom: Two failed attempts at the same level — a clean, easy-to-quantify rejection of a price extreme.
Ascending / Descending / Symmetrical Triangles: Compression patterns that telegraph an impending volatility expansion; direction is read from the prevailing trend and which boundary breaks first.
Bull Flag / Bear Flag: A short, controlled pullback against a sharp impulsive move — among the highest base-rate continuation setups when volume contracts properly during the flag.
Cup and Handle (and Inverted): A rounded base followed by a tight consolidation "handle" — a longtime favorite in equities for base-building before breakout.
Rising / Falling Wedge: Converging trendlines with a directional slope, typically resolving counter to the wedge's own slope.
Rectangle / Trading Range: Horizontal support and resistance bouncing — simple, but the foundation block of almost every other pattern.
Gartley and Bat (Harmonics): The two most commonly traded harmonic structures, prized for clearly defined Fibonacci-based reversal zones (the "Potential Reversal Zone").
5. Turning Pattern Recognition Into an Actual Framework
This is the part most educational content skips. A pattern is not a trade. A framework is what turns pattern recognition into something a desk could actually run risk on.
Step 1 — Top-Down Bias
Start on the higher timeframe and establish the dominant structure: trending, ranging, or transitioning. A bullish flag inside a broader downtrend is a very different bet than the same flag inside an established uptrend.
Step 2 — Pattern Identification With Strict Criteria
Don't force a shape onto the chart. If a "head and shoulders" requires you to ignore three candles to make it fit, it isn't one. Precision in definition is what separates a framework from confirmation bias.
Step 3 — Confluence
The best setups stack multiple independent signals: a classical pattern completing at a harmonic PRZ, lining up with a key Fibonacci retracement, or resolving at a Wyckoff spring inside a higher-timeframe demand zone. One signal is a guess. Three aligned signals is a thesis.
Step 4 — Confirmation Trigger
Define exactly what needs to happen for you to act — a closing breakout, a candlestick reversal signal, a volume spike, a break of structure. Vague "it looks like it's turning" entries are where discretionary trading quietly turns into gambling.
Step 5 — Risk Definition Before Entry
Invalidation level, position size, and target should all be calculated before you click buy or sell — not adjusted emotionally afterward.
Step 6 — Post-Trade Review
Track whether the pattern played out as the textbook geometry suggested. Over time, this builds your own personal statistical edge per pattern, per instrument, per timeframe — which is far more valuable than any generic "win rate" you'll find quoted online.
6. Where Pattern Trading Goes Wrong
Forcing the pattern: Seeing what you want to see rather than what's actually printed.
Ignoring volume: A breakout without participation is a trap waiting to happen.
Trading patterns against higher-timeframe trend with no added confluence.
No defined invalidation: Moving stops to "give it room" instead of accepting the pattern failed.
Pattern overload: Trying to apply every family above simultaneously instead of mastering two or three that fit your style and timeframe.
Closing Thought
Chart patterns are a language, not a lottery ticket. Classical shapes, harmonic geometry, Wyckoff phases, and Smart Money structure are all dialects describing the same underlying phenomenon: the ongoing negotiation between buyers and sellers for control of price. The edge isn't in knowing more pattern names — it's in building a disciplined, repeatable framework around the handful that consistently show up in the markets you actually trade, and respecting the invalidation level every single time it's hit.
Master the framework, not just the shapes.
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62.5k–65k: Don’t Let This Range Fool YouGood morning, traders ☀️🌴
On Friday, when Bitcoin was trading around 62,500, I said that “I don’t expect the correction to continue toward 60,800 and 60,000,” and also noted that “if Bitcoin manages to hold the current levels during the U.S. session, I expect another attempt to break 65k in the very near term.”
🎯 That is exactly what we saw on the chart: a move to 64,918 on Saturday, followed by a push to 65,050 during today’s Asian session.
✅ Those targets have now been reached, so let’s focus on the next ones.
🦬🚀 If Bitcoin breaks above 65k and secures a convincing close above the level, I expect the rally to accelerate toward 67,600.
I’ve mentioned this level many times before, but repetition is the key to success😵💫💰
“67,600 is the next major horizontal resistance, originally formed in February–March 2026 and confirmed once again in June.”
🐻🧨 The bearish scenario, however, remains unchanged.
If the correction regains momentum and Bitcoin starts trading below the 4H EMA 200 (currently around 63,850), the key support levels remain:
• 62,500 – Major support where Bitcoin has been consolidating since early June.
• 60,800 – Local horizontal support.
• 60,000 – Strong horizontal support.
One more thing I’d like to add.
Don’t let this beautiful 62,500–64,890 range, with its almost perfect reactions at both boundaries, lull you into a false sense of confidence. Despite the clean rejections from the upper boundary, price can easily bounce from the 4H EMA 200 and quickly continue toward 67,600.
For that reason, I strongly discourage blindly shorting the top of the range or longing the bottom. ❗️Consolidation ranges like this are often observation zones before a larger move unfolds—not trading zones❗️
Peace, everyone 🌄
⚠️ Disclaimer:
All information shared on this channel is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment advice. The author is not responsible for your trading decisions. Always manage your risks and make decisions independently. 
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BTCUSD: Liquidity Sweep Into Strong Bullish Reversal?Bitcoin is currently testing a critical decision zone after sweeping liquidity below a well-defined intraday support area. The recent sharp sell-off appears to be a classic liquidity grab into the Strong Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG), where price has reacted multiple times in the past. This zone is acting as a key demand area, making it an important level to watch for bullish confirmation. The rejection from this region suggests that smart money may be absorbing sell-side liquidity before attempting another expansion higher.
The chart also highlights a previous Buy-Side Liquidity level near 64.9K, where price was rejected after failing to sustain above resistance. That rejection triggered a fast bearish move, sweeping weak long positions and driving price directly into the IFVG. Such aggressive moves often occur before a potential reversal if buyers successfully defend the underlying demand zone.
Another important factor is the confluence created by the ascending trendline support, which intersects with the inversion fair value gap. This combination strengthens the probability of a bullish reaction, provided Bitcoin holds above the current support. If buyers regain control, the first objective would be a recovery toward the recent liquidity sweep highs around 65.0K, followed by a continuation into the Strong Resistance Zone near 65.5K–65.6K. A successful break above this resistance could open the door for further upside momentum.
However, traders should remain cautious. A confirmed breakdown and sustained close below the inversion fair value gap would invalidate the bullish setup and increase the probability of a continuation toward the lower support area around 63.4K. Until that happens, the current price action favors monitoring for bullish confirmation rather than chasing the sell-off.
Overall, this setup represents a high-probability reaction zone where liquidity sweep, Strong IFVG, trendline confluence, and market structure align. A strong bullish confirmation from current levels could provide an attractive opportunity for buyers targeting the recent highs and the major resistance overhead, while proper risk management remains essential in case the support fails. Long 
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