BITCOIN H4 | Potential Bearish DropThe price is rising towards our sell entry level at 78,349.58, which is a pullback resistance.
Our stop loss is set at 82,319.07, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 75,00.32, which is a suport level near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Crypto market
Robinhood Chain Fuels Record Volume on UNISWAPCRYPTOCAP:UNI Uniswap has become the primary decentralized exchange on the newly launched Robinhood Chain, an Ethereum Layer 2. On August 31, the chain processed $1.49 billion in DEX volume, with Uniswap capturing 81% of that activity. A key memecoin launchpad on the chain, Pons, generated millions in fees, a portion of which flows back to the Arbitrum ecosystem and, by extension, benefits Uniswap's deep integration and usage. This is bullish for UNI because it demonstrates the protocol's ability to capture dominant market share on new, high-volume networks, directly increasing its fee revenue and utility. The surge in activity validates Uniswap's multi-chain strategy. UNI's price surged 32% over the past week, outperforming other major altcoins. The rally is attributed to a combination of rising retail participation, record-breaking volume in real-world asset (RWA) trading pairs on Uniswap, and the ongoing impact of the activated "fee switch." This mechanism directs a portion of protocol fees to UNI holders, creating a direct value accrual model. This is bullish for UNI as it signals a market shift from viewing the token as a pure governance asset to one with sustainable yield. The convergence of strong on-chain metrics, deflationary tokenomics, and broadening utility in RWAs provides fundamental support for the price momentum. Uniswap's current trajectory is powered by successful expansion onto high-activity chains like Robinhood Chain and a fundamental shift towards sustainable revenue sharing with UNI holders. Can the protocol maintain its volume dominance and fee growth to support these new valuation levels?
$BCH — Buyers Are Trying To Break The Downtrend !!SET:BCH has bounced from the demand zone twice, showing that buyers are still defending this area. But even after the recovery, price is still trading below the descending trendline, which remains the main barrier for the bullish move.
Now BCH is trying to push higher again. The key confirmation is a strong green candle breaking the descending trendline and the nearby resistance together. If buyers can close above that area and hold it, the current recovery can develop into a stronger upside move.
For now, the demand zone remains important. Hold there + strong breakout above the trendline = bullish continuation setup. A rejection from the trendline/resistance would keep the structure under pressure.
XPL - My Bottom Cope CountI have been tracking XPL for awhile now, and the wave-count's I've had for it has been ever-changing and so painful. Anyone who's been holding XPL I'm sure knows, but the only thing I hold spot is Zcash everything else I just try to get a cheeky leverage trade on here and there. And this one has burned me in the past, badly.
Selling pressure has been unrelenting, no thanks to their token unlocks that have happened at massive intervals. However, when things have swept to the 0.07 range buyers have always patiently stepped in. I suspect a violent repricing is close to occurring. Fully expect some form of failed bearish reclaim to happen that will sweep a lot of high leveraged longs before that happens though so either go in with a wide stop loss and a little or wait for the sweep. Trust me if you've watched this thing, there's almost always a sweep before a big move up.
ZCASH on an Adam and Eve pattern to 50k!Zcash (ZECUSD) broke this month above its January 2018 High. It has done so on a standard Adam and Eve (A&E) pattern, while using its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support for the past year (since September 2025).
The technical Target on such patterns is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which sits at $50000. That would make a new historic High above the All Time High of $30k made on ZEC's first ever trading week.
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POL 6H – Consolidating Above Rising Trendline After CorrectionPolygon is trading around 0.09833 on the 6H timeframe, grinding sideways just above the ascending trendline that has held every pullback since mid August and now supports this entire consolidation range.
The move began with a sharp rally off the trendline near 0.0740, spiking hard through mid August all the way to a high near 0.1280 before sellers took control and dragged price back down through nearly the entire advance. That correction found footing right around 0.0970, and price has spent the last two weeks building a tight range between roughly 0.0930 and 0.0990 directly on top of the rising trendline. The trendline has now caught up to this range and is intersecting it directly, making this the critical zone where the broader trend either reasserts itself or breaks down.
Price is currently sitting at the upper edge of this range near 0.09833 after a recent dip tagged the trendline and reversed sharply, showing buyers are still defending this level closely.
Key Levels To Watch:
→ 0.1090 Prior swing high, resistance above the range
→ 0.0990 Range high, recent resistance
→ 0.0930 Range low, trendline confluence support
→ 0.0910 Trendline support, current intersection with range
→ 0.0759 Prior consolidation, deeper support
→ 0.0740 Trendline origin, mid August low
A break and hold above 0.0990 opens the door back toward 0.1090 and a retest of the highs from late August, confirming the trendline has successfully absorbed the correction and the broader uptrend is resuming.
Losing the trendline near 0.0910 would be the first real break of structure since this rally began, exposing 0.0759 as the next area of support and putting the entire recovery from the August low into question.
Hold the trendline and POL continues consolidating for another leg higher. Lose it and this turns into a deeper breakdown.
Bias stays neutral to cautiously bullish given the trendline is still holding, but a clean break in either direction here will define the next major move.
SEC Innovation Exemption Enables 24/7 Onchain Trading of $STRCThe SEC’s recent innovation exemption permits 24/7 onchain trading of tokenized NASDAQ:STRC and NASDAQ:MSTR for U.S. investors. This significant regulatory change, highlighted by commentator Michael Saylor, could reshape the landscape for digital credit and American capital markets. As a result, traders should consider the implications for liquidity and market access in the evolving digital asset space.
Inside the Move
In a noteworthy development for the cryptocurrency sector, the SEC’s innovation exemption allows for continuous trading of tokenized assets such as $STRC. This change aims to enhance trading accessibility for U.S. investors through qualifying trading venues. The announcement has stirred interest among traders as it offers new pathways for liquidity and engagement in emerging digital credit markets. However, the broader crypto market continues to display mixed signals, suggesting a cautious approach among investors.
The Essentials
The SEC’s innovation exemption allows round-the-clock trading of tokenized $STRC.
This change applies to U.S. investors through qualifying venues.
Michael Saylor’s comments highlight its significance for digital credit.
The move represents a breakthrough for American capital markets.
Traders are closely monitoring the effects on liquidity and market dynamics.
Market Snapshot
Currently, NASDAQ:STRC is trading at $0 with no recorded trading volume over the past 24 hours. This stagnant volume suggests a cautious market environment, where traders are awaiting further developments in regulatory actions and market conditions. The SEC’s new policy may not only impact NASDAQ:STRC but could also influence trading behaviors across other tokenized assets, reshaping investment strategies.
NASDAQ:STRC is a token designed for digital credit applications, aiming to modernize financial transactions. The SEC, as a regulator, oversees securities markets in the U.S., ensuring compliance and protecting investors, making it the appropriate authority for such innovations.
What to Watch
Traders should keep an eye on liquidity trends and potential market reactions to the SEC’s regulatory changes. Observing how NASDAQ:STRC integrates into broader trading platforms will be crucial, as will any shifts in investor sentiment in response to these developments. The implications for digital credit markets could lead to significant follow-through as adoption increases.
$ONE Could This Be the Beginning of a Potential 20X Rally?GETTEX:ONE Just Pumped 178% | Could This Be the Beginning of a Potential 20X Rally?
Harmony has delivered an explosive 178% rally in just two weeks, signaling a potential shift in its long-term market structure.
But after such an aggressive expansion, chasing the pump is not my strategy.
MY GAME PLAN:
I’m waiting for a potential 40–70% correction from the recent rally high to identify a more favorable long-term accumulation zone.
The chart shows a multi-year structure breakdown, followed by a potential accumulation phase. The key question now is whether buyers can defend the marked support zone.
LONG-TERM UPSIDE SCENARIO:
If GETTEX:ONE holds the accumulation zone and confirms a sustained higher-timeframe reversal, the chart presents potential upside toward:
Targets: $0.0042/$0.016/$0.0637
A sustained bullish cycle could potentially create a 5x–20x upside scenario from the accumulation area. However, this remains speculative and depends on market structure, liquidity, and broader crypto market conditions.
INVALIDATION: HTF close below the marked accumulation zone.
I’m watching the correction, not chasing the candle.
NFA. Always DYOR.
TRUMP - Still Appears to be aliveNow, when looking in-depth on how my wave one -wave two ended, I determined an expanded flat had to be somewhere in the mix, as such I decided to count the 4 hour close candles to be the range of wave 1. Price just bottomed out above that level - which for me indicates it hasn't entered the price territory of wave 1. For other, more stricter, ellioticians - it's a violation of price entering into wave 1 territory.
Now there is a lot of overhead resistance on this thing, forget about the intense VPR concentration alone, you have 2 significant aVwap's - bottom and high, conjoined at the same range as VPR meaning when price hits this range it will no doubt react sharply.
Personally a move to $2.37+ is bound to happen before going any lower, volume is dying and sellers are not pressing in this range.
Its what happens after that which seems unclear.
$SOL weekly — bullish trade ideaPrice defended the Wholesale Area and is reclaiming $100. That’s the dip, not the breakdown.
Thesis
2022–23 base is the Secondary Wholesale Area.
This year’s pullback into $65–$100 is the higher-timeframe discount.
The red Retail Zone ($175–$260) is where the last cycle dumped inventory. If wholesale holds, that’s the magnet.
Structure: higher-low off demand, bounce through $100, room into old supply.
Trade
Bias: Long
Entry: $96–$102 on holds / shallow retests of the wholesale top
Aggressive add: break-and-hold above $105–$110
Invalidation: weekly close back through the wholesale floor, ~$64–$68
Hard stop: below $64
Targets
$130–$145 (range mid / first supply)
$175 (bottom of Retail Zone)
$220–$250 (heart of Retail Zone)
From $100 with a stop under $64:
T1 ≈ 1R–1.3R
T2 ≈ 2R+
T3 ≈ 3R–4R
That’s the asymmetry.
What confirms
Weekly closes holding above $96–$100
Higher low if it retests $85–$92 and buyers show up
Acceptance above $110 opens the run into retail
What kills it
Lose $64 on a weekly close. Then you’re not buying wholesale anymore — you’re catching a falling knife into the secondary box.
Size it for crypto. SOL can do 4% days.
The idea is good; the path will not be clean.
Not financial advice.
PUNDIXUSDT Forming Bearish PatternPUNDIXUSDT is forming a clear bearish pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates a drop. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 20% to 30% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
This bearish pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching PUNDIXUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal.
Investors’ growing interest in PUNDIXUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
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NEARUSDT Forming Bullish MomentumNEARUSDT is forming a clear bullish momentum pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 50% to 60% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
This bullish momentum pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching NEARUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal.
Investors’ growing interest in NEARUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
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ZENUSDT Forming Bullish MomentumZENUSDT is forming a clear bullish momentum pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 40% to 50% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
This bullish momentum pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching ZENUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal.
Investors’ growing interest in ZENUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
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AVAUSDT Forming Falling WedgeAVAUSDT is forming a clear falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 40% to 50% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
This falling wedge pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching AVAUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal.
Investors’ growing interest in AVAUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
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Is Gold Breaking Out of Its Downtrend?After falling from around 4,680, gold formed a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The descending trendline has been respected several times.
Now price is around 4,362 and is attempting to break above this trendline.
What I’m watching:
🔹 Bullish scenario:
A strong 1H close above the trendline, followed by a successful retest, could confirm that the short-term bearish structure is weakening.
🔹 Bearish scenario:
If price gets rejected around 4,360–4,400 and moves back below the trendline, the breakout could turn into a false break.
🔹 Key resistance:
4,400 → 4,450 → 4,500
🔹 Key support:
4,300 → 4,250
For me, the important question isn't simply “Did gold break the trendline?”
It's:
Can buyers hold above it after the breakout?
A breakout + retest + higher low would provide much stronger evidence of a potential trend change.
Not financial advice. Just technical analysis.
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldTrading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #PriceAction #SmartMoney #TradingView
W: Deep Decline Yet Big Opportunity#W has experienced a major decline over the past two years despite being a leader in the ZK sector and maintaining consistently high volumes.
If the recent bottom is confirmed by passing $0.0111, significant upside potential could follow, with $0.0079 being the stop-loss.
BTCUSD : ResistancePrice is hitting resistance now on the way UP.
As we can see clearly, the last time price went to the resistance line, the market pushed it DOWN violently.
Watch DVOL. See the direction price goes when it gets active again.
There's a strong probability that price will go up.
This is quite interesting.
Good luck.
fed hike, oil, yen, yields, ETF, clarity act.Bitcoin: Resilience or Pressure Building Beneath the Surface?
Bitcoin has already taken a substantial hit this year.
From its 2026 peak near $97,867, BTC fell to roughly $57,776. It then began rebuilding, climbing back toward the mid-$70,000s, while $82,000 remains a major resistance area.
That recovery is now facing a very different test.
The big question is whether the risks responsible for that repricing have already been absorbed or whether a larger macro pressure system is forming underneath the recovery.
The 2026 decline occurred against a backdrop of tighter financial conditions, changing rate expectations, elevated yields and repeated risk-off episodes.
Yet from the June/July low, the market recovered sharply, carrying BTC back above several major moving averages.
That recovery matters because it's recovery under pressure.
The latest environment has become considerably less friendly.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield approached the psychologically important 5% level as oil prices surged above $100 and markets reassessed inflation and interest-rate risks.
Then came the Federal Reserve.
On September 16, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points and its projections indicated that most policymakers expected at least one additional quarter-point increase before the end of 2026. The dollar strengthened while Treasury yields remained elevated.
TICKMILL:BRENT has traded above $100 amid the continuing Middle East conflict, creating another potential inflation channel: higher energy costs can keep inflation elevated, which can keep central banks restrictive for longer.
And the regulatory backdrop has also deteriorated.
On September 15, the U.S. Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act , with the procedural vote falling short of the 60 votes required. Bitcoin dropped sharply during the session, but subsequently stabilized.
Then there is Japan.
The Fed's hike pushed the yen weaker initially, while expectations for further Bank of Japan tightening remain an important variable for global funding conditions. A genuine carry-trade unwind would become more significant if yen appreciation coincided with broad risk-asset deleveraging but current price action alone does not establish that such an unwind is underway.
So the pressure stack now looks something like this:
Higher oil → inflation pressure → higher rates
Higher Treasury yields → higher opportunity cost for risk assets
Stronger dollar → tighter global financial conditions
Fed tightening → reduced liquidity
Regulatory disappointment → crypto-specific uncertainty
Japan/yen risk → potential global deleveraging
Existing overhead supply → more difficult recovery
None of these guarantees another Bitcoin selloff.
Together, however, they create a meaningful test and yet Bitcoin has not broken down
Markets can remain stable while underlying demand weakens.
Recent Bitcoin ETF flows provide one reason for caution: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced significant outflows around the CLARITY Act and Fed events.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin remains below the year's peak and below the major $82,000 resistance
Price is resilient, Macro conditions are not.
That divergence is the story.
Has the bad news already been priced in?
There are two competing interpretations.
Interpretation 1: The market has absorbed the pressure
The subsequent recovery suggests buyers have been willing to step in even while yields, oil and monetary-policy risks remain elevated.
If BTC continues holding its recovery structure despite further negative headlines, that would provide increasingly strong evidence that the market is becoming less sensitive to those shocks.
Interpretation 2: The pressure is accumulating
The alternative is more dangerous. Bitcoin may simply be consolidating after a large recovery while several macro forces are becoming increasingly hostile.
If yields remain near 5%, oil remains elevated, the Fed stays restrictive, the dollar strengthens, ETF demand weakens and risk appetite deteriorates simultaneously, the market could eventually lose the liquidity required to absorb another wave of selling.
In that scenario, today's tight price action would not represent strength.
It would represent compression before another expansion in volatility.
That distinction cannot be settled by headlines, Price has to answer it.
The real Bitcoin test
Bitcoin does not need a perfect macro environment to rise. It needs sufficient demand to absorb available supply.
Whether that is resilience or delayed weakness is the next question the market has to answer.
put together by : Pako Phutietsile as @currencynerd
Solana Reacts at Support — Primary Uptrend Still IntactPrimary Trend Remains Bullish
Solana remains in a confirmed primary uptrend, with price continuing to show a clear series of higher highs and higher lows. This is backed by the bullishly crossed 100/50-day EMAs.
Buyers React at $97
Price has pulled back into the previous resistance and breakout area around $97, where buyers are beginning to step back in. This is the first important support bulls need to defend.
Pullback Volume Decreasing
Volume has gradually decreased as SOL has pulled back from the $110.60 high. That suggests selling pressure has not increased significantly during the correction.
Momentum Could Be Resetting
RSI has cooled back towards the 50 level while StochRSI remains oversold. After the strong move higher, momentum has now had an opportunity to reset without damaging the primary trend.
Short-Term Bulls Need $104.82
A break above the recent $104.82 high would give Solana a short-term bullish change of character. That would shift attention back towards the recent key high at $110.60.
In Summary
Solana's primary uptrend remains firmly intact, with higher highs and higher lows supported by the bullishly crossed 100/50-day EMAs. Price is now reacting from the important $97 breakout area, while decreasing volume on the pullback and an oversold StochRSI offer some encouragement. A break above $104.82 would improve the short-term structure and bring the recent $110.60 high firmly back into focus.






















