Bitcoin - Starting another big drop! 56k soon (42k then?)Bitcoin will soon enter a capitulation phase. Right now it's a good time to sell or short Bitcoin on futures. Why? The current price is at the top of the channel, which acts as a strong resistance. As soon as the price gets below the blue local channel, the downtrend is confirmed! Bitcoin has been in a bear market since October 2026, and I expect this trend to continue in August and September! In the short term my target is 56,500, as you can see on the chart. But my midterm target is around 42,000, and I expect this target to be hit in September/October. We should see some very bad news during this event, such as a hack of a major exchange or capitulation of major players/miners in the crypto space.
From a technical point of view of this chart, I think we can expect a bounce from the bottom of the descending channel. It does make sense also from a point of view of taking liquidity below the previous swing low.
NUMBER 1 RULE: You know that no market is free, all major markets are completely controlled/manipulated by banks and governments. You must trade with them, not against them. Make sure your strategy is optimized to this behavior. You want to buy where all people have their stop losses and sell where all people have their buy orders.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! I am very transparent with my trades. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades! 
Short
Why Bitcoin, Gold, and Stocks Don't Always Move TogetherThree markets walk into a bar…
Imagine Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , gold OANDA:XAUUSD and the S&P 500 SPCFD:SPX sitting at the same table.
Sometimes they're celebrating together. Other times they're arguing over the bill. And every so often, one storms out while the other two barely notice.
That's because these assets don't usually walk the same walk. They respond to different forces, appeal to different investors and rise and fall under different economic conditions.
While it's tempting to assume Bitcoin is "digital gold" or that stocks always move opposite precious metals, reality is much messier — and much more interesting.
Understanding why they diverge can make you a better trader than simply memorizing who usually follows whom.
💵 Interest Rates: The Invisible Hand
If there's one market force that deserves a starring role, it's interest rates $USINTR.
When central banks raise rates, borrowing becomes more expensive and cash starts paying a better return. That creates an opportunity cost — the potential gains investors give up by holding assets that don't generate interest.
Beep, beep, gold’s calling. Gold OANDA:XAUUSD is the classic example. It doesn't pay dividends or interest, so higher bond yields make it relatively less attractive.
Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD often feels the pressure too, as higher borrowing costs reduce the appetite for speculative assets.
Stocks, particularly fast-growing large-cap companies , can also struggle because higher rates reduce the present value of future earnings.
📈 Inflation Isn't the Whole Story
Many investors hear "inflation" and immediately think, Buy gold. Buy Bitcoin. After all, both assets are often described as hedges against paper currencies losing purchasing power.
That logic works best when inflation rises gradually. But when price pressures accelerate — as measured by the Consumer Price Index ECONOMICS:USCPI — markets begin asking a different question: How will central banks respond?
If inflation remains stubbornly high, policymakers may keep monetary policy tighter for longer, making investors rethink where they park their money.
Inflation, especially way above the Fed’s target of 2% , also creates uncertainty. It squeezes consumers, raises costs for businesses and clouds the outlook for economic growth. During those periods, investors often reduce exposure across multiple asset classes rather than rushing into one obvious winner.
That's why high inflation can sometimes coincide with weakness in both gold and Bitcoin, even though they're often viewed as inflation hedges.
💧 Liquidity Is the Market's Fuel
Think of liquidity as the amount of money flowing through the financial system.
When central banks cut interest rates or inject money into the economy, liquidity rises. More cash usually means investors are more willing to buy stocks, cryptocurrencies and other growth assets.
But then you might get inflation. And then you might get higher interest rates. And then liquidity might dry up. And then the cycle might repeat.
When liquidity dries up, however, enthusiasm tends to fade just as quickly. That's one reason Bitcoin and technology stocks have often moved together in recent years. They're both beneficiaries of abundant capital looking for higher returns.
⚔️ Wars Change the Equation
Geopolitical tensions introduce another variable.
Gold has long earned its reputation as a safe haven — an asset investors often buy during periods of uncertainty. But as we’ve seen with the US-Iran war, inflation expectations (thanks to higher oil prices) can stamp out demand for gold and Bitcoin .
Stocks, meanwhile, can struggle as businesses face higher costs, weaker confidence and economic disruption. But not if every few days you get a presidential post saying the war is over. Then it’s not over. Then it’s over again.
Bitcoin, for one, doesn't always pick a side. Some investors view it as digital gold, while others still treat it as a high-risk asset. Depending on the crisis, it can rally alongside gold or fall with equities. Markets rarely follow a script.
🤖 Growth, AI and Corporate Earnings
Stocks also have something gold and Bitcoin don't: businesses behind them.
During the earnings season (almost in the heat of it) companies usually report stronger profits or launch things such as artificial intelligence.
That’s why stock prices can climb regardless of what gold and Bitcoin are doing. That's why AI optimism has propelled companies like Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA and helped lift major indexes to records even while other asset classes moved differently.
Will Google parent Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL update its capex on Wednesday ? Or will Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA drop some big news on robotaxis ? Such announcements tend to move market valuations.
Gold doesn't do earnings. Bitcoin doesn't do quarterly conference calls. Their stories are driven far more by macroeconomic trends and supply and demand waves.
🎢 Risk-On, Risk-Off
Investors often switch between risk-on mode — buying assets with higher growth potential — and risk-off mode, where preserving capital becomes the priority.
Stocks and Bitcoin frequently benefit when optimism returns, while gold often shines when caution takes over.
Yet correlations aren't permanent. In 2020, nearly everything sold off together before rebounding. In 2022, stocks and Bitcoin tumbled as rates surged. Other periods have seen gold rise while equities struggled.
If anything’s certain it’s that uncertainty makes for an adventurous price discovery journey. Markets are constantly in a repricing mode, trying to figure out the tag of just about everything in the context of just about… everything.
Off to you : How do you trade the big three, S&P 500, Bitcoin, and gold? Share your approach in the comments! Education 
BTC – Bearish Rejection at 64,794, Eyes on 61,600 SweepBTC is printing repeated liquidity grabs into 64,794, and sellers are showing clear control heading into a correction.
Why This Level Matters:
Price keeps sweeping highs and failing to hold above the 64,400–64,794 supply zone. Each grab has ended in rejection, and momentum is now leaning firmly to the downside.
Gameplan / Primary Scenario:
Sell the rejection out of this supply zone once we get a clean reversal signal. The move points straight toward the 61,600 demand zone as the main target, with room to extend lower toward the 58,400 base if selling pressure continues. Wait for confirmation at current levels, then enter short on the breakdown.
If this added value, boost it forward. What are your thoughts?
Swallow Academy Short 
BITCOIN Three Indicators. One Cycle Bottom around $45000.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) gets closer every day to the final Selling Sequence that should technically price the Bear Cycle bottom, which according to the 4-year Cycle Model, is expected to be in by the week of October 05 2026.
Three key macro indicators point towards the same expected bottom. BTC has already entered its Mayer Multiple Bands (MMBs) Bottom Zone (green zone) and historically it hasn't bottomed before it touched its bottom. That bottom is currently on the Sub-Band (red trend-line) of the Realized Price Bands (RPBs), which has also been touched when previous Cycles bottomed. Yet BTC hasn't even hit the Realized Price (black trend-line).
As a result, we still have some way to go before breaking below it and bottom, which may very well be at $45000, which is where the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Cycle bottom stands. This is where the last Bear Cycle bottomed.
Technically, $45k sits right in the middle of the wider $50000 - $40000 potential Bottom Zone that the 3 above indicators point towards, making it a fair buy value by October within the optimal long-term Buy Zone.
So do you expect $45000 to get hit before this Cycle bottoms? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSDT Long: Climbs Toward $67K Resistance – Bulls in Control?Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (4H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously traded inside a broad descending channel before breaking below support, confirming a bearish shift. After consolidating inside a range, buyers regained control from the 62,900 Demand Zone and pushed price into an ascending channel. The recovery has now reached the 67,000 Supply Zone.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 62,900 Demand Zone while approaching the 67,000 Supply Zone. Price continues to respect the ascending channel, although the nearby supply area may trigger selling pressure.
As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 62,900 Demand Zone and holds within the ascending channel, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 67,000 Supply Zone (TP1). Manage your risk! Long 
BTCUSDT: Buyers Target $66.1K After Successful Support RetestHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously traded inside a large symmetrical triangle before breaking below support, confirming a bearish move. After finding support, price consolidated inside a range and later broke higher into an ascending channel, signaling that buyers have regained short-term control.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 63,700 Support Zone while remaining below the 66,100 Resistance Zone. Price continues to respect the ascending channel, and the recent pullback has successfully retested the former breakout area, where buyers are attempting to resume the uptrend.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 63,700 Support Zone and continues respecting the ascending channel, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 66,100 Resistance Zone (TP1).
However, if BTCUSDT breaks below the 63,700 Support Zone and loses the lower boundary of the channel, bullish momentum would weaken, increasing the risk of a deeper pullback.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk. Long 
Bitcoin Battles $65K Resistance — Is Another Correction Next?Over the past few hours, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has experienced highly volatile price action, with strong momentum in both bullish and bearish moves. One of the main reasons could be the reopening of the financial markets, along with the latest news surrounding geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and recent statements from political leaders.
Bitcoin is once again trading near the 50_EMA (Daily), the upper trendline of the Descending Channel, the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($66,100-$65,440), and has re-entered the heavy resistance zone ($76,600-$64,850).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin is still completing its main wave 4, which suggests that another corrective move could still be ahead.
Since Bitcoin has shown a strong correlation with the S&P 500 index ( CAPITALCOM:SPX500 ), and there is a possibility that the index may move lower in the coming hours, this could have a direct impact on Bitcoin and lead to further downside.
I expect Bitcoin to resume its bearish move and decline at least toward the support zone($64,000-$63,640) and the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($63,750-$63,170). If bearish momentum increases, we could even see a move toward the key trading level of $62,523.
First Target: $64,123
Second Target: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($63,750-$63,170)
Third Target: $62,523
Stop Loss(SL): $66,300
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $68,650-$67,500
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $61,800-$60,560
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $58,300-$57,700
Note: Since global markets are currently sensitive to the Middle East tensions, it's important to monitor geopolitical developments and be even more disciplined with risk management.
What’s your view on Bitcoin? Do you think Bitcoin can finally reclaim $65,000, or should we prepare for another correction?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends. Short 
BTC/USD | Bitcoin Keeps Returning To Higher Prices,Is $69K Next?By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that price continues to show strong retention at higher levels. Over the past few days, Bitcoin was pushed lower several times, but buyers stepped in quickly each time and drove price back up. BTC is currently trading around $64,300, confirming that demand remains active and sellers are still struggling to keep price down.
In my view, if this buying pressure continues and Bitcoin holds above the key $62,000 – $63,000 area, we could soon see another bullish move toward higher levels. The first major upside target is $69,000. After that, the next targets to monitor are $72,000 and $74,000 if bullish momentum continues.
For now, Bitcoin is still showing strong price retention, and the broader short-term and medium-term outlook remains bullish.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban Long 
BTCUSD About To Break The Cross Resistance: Expecting 70k SoonBTCUSD continues to trade within a bullish market structure after reclaiming higher prices from the major demand zone. The chart shows sustained buying pressure, with price now testing a key psychological resistance area around $65,500. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, buyers remain in control, and a decisive breakout above the current resistance could trigger a strong bullish expansion toward the next liquidity pools.
🟢 Market Structure
* The previous bearish trend was invalidated after a Change of Character (CHoCH) formed near the swing low.
* Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirm that the market has transitioned into a bullish trend.
* Price continues to print higher highs and higher lows, indicating continued institutional accumulation.
🟢 Demand Zones
* Major Demand Zone: $58,000–$58,500
* This is the primary institutional buying area where smart money previously accumulated positions.
* Updated Support: $61,600–$61,700
* This support has been respected several times and now acts as the first defensive level for buyers.
* Holding above this region keeps the bullish structure intact.
🔴 Key Resistance & Liquidity
* Psychological Resistance: $65,500
* Price is currently testing this important level where sellers may attempt to defend.
* Major Supply / Sell Liquidity Zone: 66,000–$67,200
* This zone contains previous swing highs and likely resting sell orders.
* A clean breakout above this area would signal that buy-side liquidity has been captured and could accelerate bullish momentum.
💧 Liquidity Perspective
* Buy-side liquidity remains positioned above the previous swing high.
* A move through the supply zone could trigger stop orders from short sellers and attract breakout buyers, creating additional upside momentum.
# Bullish Outlook
The overall structure remains constructive. Buyers have consistently defended higher lows, and momentum is building beneath a major resistance level. If BTCUSD closes decisively above the $65,500–$67,200 resistance region with strong volume, it would strengthen the bullish continuation scenario.
# Bullish Targets
🎯 Target 1: $66,500 – Initial breakout objective.
🎯 Target 2: $67,200 – Major supply zone and liquidity target.
🎯 Target 3: $70,000 – Higher-timeframe psychological resistance and primary bullish objective.
Trading Perspective:
Rather than chasing price into resistance, traders may look for either:
A confirmed breakout and retest above the $65,500–$67,200 resistance zone, or
A pullback into the $61,600–$61,700 support area followed by bullish confirmation.
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BTC/USDT: THE $63,200 CHANNEL FLUSH!🚀 🛑
Slamming straight into the $67,000 resistance ceiling. Are you blindly chasing this late-stage rally, or preparing to short the high-confluence rejection? 🤔
Bitcoin is putting on a powerful show, trading near 65,921, but overhead structural resistance is looming large. On this 4-hour Binance chart, BTC is coiling right near the upper limit of its dominant ascending channel. 📈💥
Look closely at the top boundary marked as the Resistance line. The purple blueprint trajectory shows the algorithm attempting one final liquidity push into the 66,500 - 67,000 zone to sweep late-stage FOMO buyers. Once those retail buy orders are absorbed into market maker short books, a high-velocity multi-wave correction is primed to drive prices straight down toward the lower Support line near 63,200. 📉🪤
Technical discipline is your ultimate edge in this current environment. Buying directly into an established macro resistance ceiling without confirmation is one of the quickest ways to get trapped offside. Professional traders let the retail crowd get overextended at the top, waiting for the structural rejection to align their capital with the smart money flow. 🧘♂️⚡
🛠 Trade Parameters:
🛒 Short Zone: 66,500 - 67,000 🧱
🛑 Stop-Loss: 4h close above 67,500 ❌
💰 Take-Profit: 63,200 🩸
The retail crowd is currently euphoric near the channel highs, completely ignoring the massive supply wall waiting right above. Stay patient, protect your capital with tight risk management, and let the algorithm do the heavy lifting for you. See you at the bottom support floor! 🚀💎 Short 
BTCUSD Trading Plan: Selling Near the Ceiling (Short Setup)1. The Big Picture (What is happening?)
As shown in Bitcoin has been climbing inside a large sloping channel (the gray shaded area).
Recently, the price rallied up but is now hitting a heavy, proven ceiling (the gray box) at $64,861.The plan is to open a sell position near this expensive ceiling, expecting the price to lose momentum and slide back down toward the primary bottom floor at $61,621.
2. The Plan at a Glance
Sell Zone (Entry): $64,861.05
What it means: This is the expensive ceiling. We want to open our sell position as close to this level as possible.
Current Price: $64,725.33
What it means: The market is resting just below our sell zone, getting ready for the next move.
Safety Exit (Stop Loss): $65,150.00
What it means: If the price climbs above this line, the trade is no longer safe. We exit automatically to protect our money.
First Profit Target: $63,500.00
What it means: This is a midway green cushion (support gap) where we will take some profits and eliminate our risk.
Final Profit Target: $61,621.33
What it means: This is the solid bottom floor of the entire structure. We will close the trade and collect our full profit here.
3. Why This Trade Makes Sense
High Reward, Tiny Risk: Because we are selling right next to the ceiling, our safety exit is very close. If we are wrong, we lose a tiny amount. If we are right, we catch a massive slide down.
The Ceiling is Holding: The market has already tried to push through this $64,861.05 area and got rejected. This shows us that strong sellers are actively defending this price.
An Empty Path Down: Once the price breaks below the local consolidation, there is a lot of open space for it to fall straight down through the green boxes to our targets.
4. Simple Steps to Manage the Trade
Step 1: Get In
Enter your sell position at or near $64,861.05 with your safety exit set at $65,150.00.
Step 2: Remove the Risk
Once the price starts dropping and hits $63,500.00, close half of your trade to lock in some wins, and move your safety exit down to your entry price ($64,861.05). Now, you cannot lose any money on the rest of the trade.
Step 3: Collect the Win
Close the remainder of the trade when the price hits $61,621.33 to secure your final profits. Short 
BITCOIN Short-term 'break or make' moment. $67250 or $63500?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just hit the top of its 2-week Channel Up, closing the latest 4H candle exactly on its Top (Higher Highs trend-line). This opens up an technical break-out or rejection scenario for BTC.
If it closes a 4H candle above the Channel Up, we will have a bullish break-out, potentially targeting Resistance 2 at $67250. If on the other hand it gets rejected, the Channel Up can technically initiate a new Bearish Leg, aiming for yet another -4.41% correction, potentially targeting $63500 at least. Notice also that the 4H RSI hit its own Resistance Zone.
So, which scenario do you think will prevail? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Long 
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