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BITCOIN - A false breakout of resistance in a bear market BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is forming a retest of the key 64,500 resistance level as part of a countertrend correction, trapping late buyers while the market remains in a liquidity sweep phase
The broader trend remains bearish. Unstable ETF flows, the lack of meaningful fundamental support, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty continue to weigh on the market.
Within the broader bear market, the market maker has swept liquidity above 64,500 before pushing price back into the trading range. Bitcoin remains in a 62,000–65,000 consolidation zone, while the higher-timeframe trend continues to point lower. A short squeeze into the resistance area could trigger another sell-off toward the 60K–50K region
Resistance levels: 64,450, 64,700, 65,600
Support levels: 62,750, 61,300
A retest of the liquidity pool above 64,450 may attract renewed selling pressure. If bears successfully defend this key resistance zone, it would further confirm the prevailing bearish market structure and increase the probability of a decline toward 62,750 and 61,300
Best regards,
R. Linda Short 
Bitcoin weekly turns green: Market behavior explainedGood afternoon brother, how are you feeling in this wonderful day?
Hi ladies... I hope you are having a nice summer.
It has been shown over and over, sustained bullish action becomes possible when Bitcoin closes three consecutive weeks green. We have mainly two bullish periods since 2025. After the April 2025 low and recently, March 2026. In both instances, as Bitcoin closed three consecutive weeks green, a full bullish wave developed.
During the decline, downtrend, corrections and drops, never Bitcoin closed more than two weeks green. This is the third week and all that is required for this signal to be fulfilled, thus a very strong bullish confirmation for $85,000+, is a close on Sunday—BTCUSDT—above $63,800, that's all.
Perfectly fine and this is great, exactly where we are headed. Bitcoin is looking awesome on the weekly timeframe—slow growth can be sustained. A slow recovery leads to long-term bullish action. A prolonged bearish period is followed by a multiple years long bull market.
Are we looking at the same chart, brothers and sisters? You bet!
Are we on the same page? Probabilities are extremely high we are because the majority of the market is already on the LONG side of the Bitcoin trade.
Market behavior based on my 13+ years of experience
Everything can change in a flash. Most market participants are reactionary traders. Most traders are experienced players. Trades don't wait for months. They track the market, they know exactly what is happening and what to expect. They do not take action though unless the confirmation is in, when a certain price is reached. So, we see Bitcoin rising for weeks and yet, no major moves nor any strong action; here everything changes in a flash.
Once Bitcoin reaches a certain price, everybody jumps in at once and this produces the first major advance. Then many people return from vacation ready for work. The market turning green is appealing and they want to join the action; these are only a few of the factors that will work as fuel for the next bullish market phase.
Three weeks green now. Very good momentum can start to develop as soon as Bitcoin closes above $68,000. Below $70,000, Bitcoin is a great buy regardless of your strategy and plan. Bitcoin is set to grow beyond $200,000 in the coming years.
After $68,000 the market will respond but cautious. After $80,000, we will start to see the first signs of excitement and this leads to erratic behavior. Then the market will grow for months. After months of sustained growth, maximum hype and momentum, expect a new correction ending in a higher low.
We are green now... This is only the start. Expect green July, August, September & likely October 2026. This is the minimum. October and September can be doubted but not the previous two months.
Do you agree with this assessment?
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste. Long 
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Bitcoin Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationBitcoin has reacted strongly from the 61,500–62,000 demand zone, where buyers stepped in and pushed the market sharply higher. This bullish momentum indicates that market sentiment remains positive, supported by continued institutional interest, ETF inflows, and improving overall crypto confidence.
Price is now testing the 64,500–65,000 key resistance zone, an area where sellers have previously defended aggressively. This is a critical decision point for the market. If buyers manage to secure a strong breakout with increasing volume, Bitcoin could continue its rally toward the 66,000–67,000 liquidity and resistance zone, confirming the next leg of the bullish trend.
However, if price fails to break above this resistance, a short-term correction is likely as traders take profits near the highs. In that scenario, Bitcoin could retrace toward the 63,500–63,700 support, with a deeper pullback potentially reaching the 62,800–63,000 demand area. As long as price remains above the major support zone around 61,500–62,000, the overall market structure remains bullish and any pullback may simply provide a better opportunity for buyers.
Overall Outlook: Bitcoin remains in a bullish market structure, but the current resistance zone will determine the next major move. A confirmed breakout favors further upside, while rejection could lead to a healthy correction before the longer-term uptrend resumes.
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. USDT.D - Mixed Signal One idea that is contrary to my most recent BTC post is what I am currently seeing with Tether dominance. To understand what I mean, it is important to go back to my past two USDT.D posts:
I was predicting a local high forming around the 9.25% level, followed by a rejection from overbought conditions that would flip trend momentum to the downside and signal cash re-deploying back into the crypto markets.
This is exactly what played out. The high came in on June 25th at 9.35%, with all subsequent daily candle bodies closing below my yellow ray. Trend momentum began shifting on June 26th right from overbought conditions, confirming the rejection I was predicting. Since then, Tether dominance has declined over 1% as cash has been redeployed into the market, driving crypto prices higher.
Dominance has now reached a very interesting level, the 8.25% level I have outlined with a blue ray and labeled "Key Level." Even before dominance reached this level following the breakout, I had already been outlining this as a key future level to watch. You can view that past idea here:
This is now the second time dominance is attempting to form a low at this exact level, which is why it stands contrary to my bullish outlook for Bitcoin outlined in this recent idea:
If USDT.D forms a low here and begins rising, that would signal a risk-off shift for the rest of the crypto market, causing prices to decline as participants exit crypto assets and convert back to cash, which would not support the continued move to the upside I have been outlining.
Yesterday, USDT.D formed a daily reversal doji that has started pushing dominance higher and crypto prices lower. This also coincides with a double bottom forming right around the 8.25% key level. Adding to this, a hidden bullish divergence is forming on the RSI, a higher low or double bottom on dominance paired with a lower low on the RSI.
Because of this, it is imperative that we see dominance fail to climb and instead close below the key level with a confirmed daily close, in order for Bitcoin to break higher and dominance to fall back toward the top of the parallel channel.
This could actually be aligning with a rejection from the level that was previously holding dominance to the upside. As long as daily candle bodies continue closing below this trendline, the entire contrary idea just laid out is invalidated, and BTC should continue to the upside while dominance continues to decline:
I am sticking to my primary thesis that crypto is still likely to climb, which would mean dominance should start rolling over again from here. But given the early developments I just outlined, I wanted to flag this contrary signal so we are prepared in case this does turn out to be a local low forming for Tether dominance.
Long
XAUT - 4H - 16.07.2026The major support psychological floor at $4,000 has snapped. Heavy selling volume is driving price action through a structural void, targeting the lower demand clusters near $3,910 and $3,850.Sitting out until the flush completes.
Macro Technical Analysis for XAUt
The Breakout Failure:
XAUt had been aggressively fighting to hold a floor above $4,000. The pink zone around $4,017 – $4,040 was acting as the line in the sand for buyers.
The Present Drop:
Slicing beneath $4,000 marks a heavy bearish shift. Price action is cascading downward through a structural imbalance zone with very little immediate history to hold it up.
The Gold Catchment Targets:
The first minor stabilisation floor rests near $3,910. The ultimate institutional accumulation block sits lower down between $3,845 and $3,860. 
Long
ETH/USD (4H) Technical Analysis Ethereum is forming a Cup & Handle pattern on the 4H timeframe and is currently consolidating below the $1,850 neckline.
A strong 4H close above $1,850 could confirm the breakout and open the way toward $1,989, with an extended target of $2,157.
Key Levels:
🟢 Breakout: $1,850
🎯 Targets: $1,989 & $2,157
🔴 Support: $1,707
⚠️ Wait for a confirmed breakout or a successful retest before considering a long position.
💬 If you found this analysis helpful, please support me by liking this post and sharing your thoughts in the comments below. Your support is truly appreciated! 🙌 Long 
Long
Bitcoin Holding Demand – Smart Money Targets 67,000# BTCUSD Bullish SMC Analysis (4H)
BTCUSD is currently retracing into a key 4-hour demand zone after rejecting a major sell-side liquidity area near 64,000–65,000. The overall market structure remains bullish, with price respecting institutional demand and maintaining higher lows. This pullback appears to be a potential accumulation phase before another move toward higher liquidity.
# Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Overview
🟢 Market Structure
* CHoCH (Change of Character): A bullish CHoCH near the recent swing low signaled the transition from bearish to bullish order flow.
* Bullish BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple BOS confirmations validate the continuation of the uptrend and indicate institutional buying interest.
* Higher Lows: Price continues to establish higher lows, keeping the bullish structure intact.
🟢 Demand Zones
* Primary Demand Zone (58,000–58,500): Strong institutional accumulation area that initiated the current rally.
* Current Support (61,600–62,000): Price is retracing into a short-term support region, offering a potential bullish reaction zone.
🔴 Supply & Liquidity
* Sell-Side Liquidity / Psychological Resistance (64,000–65,000): Price has repeatedly reacted from this area, making it the nearest obstacle.
* Higher-Timeframe Supply Zone (65,500–67,000): Major liquidity pool where institutions may look to take profits after a breakout.
🟣 Fair Value Gap (FVG)
* The highlighted FVG has already contributed to the bullish continuation, suggesting previous market inefficiencies have largely been balanced.
# Bullish Outlook
As long as BTCUSD remains above the 61,600 support and the broader 58,000 demand zone, the bullish market structure remains valid. A successful defense of current support could provide the momentum needed to break above the 64,000–65,000 liquidity zone.
# Bullish Targets
🎯 Target 1: 64,000 – Retest of the current liquidity barrier.
🎯 Target 2: 65,500 – Breakout above the psychological resistance.
🎯 Target 3: 67,000 – Major buy-side liquidity and higher-timeframe objective.
# Overall Bias: Bullish 📈
Trading Plan: Watch for bullish confirmation (such as a lower-timeframe CHoCH or BOS) from the 61,600–62,000 support area. If buyers regain control, the path toward 64,000 → 65,500 → 67,000 becomes increasingly likely, with 67,000 remaining the primary liquidity target.
Long 
ETH Bulls Take Control | SMC Points to $2,050ETHUSD 4H Bullish SMC Analysis | Smart Money Eyes 2,050 Liquidity
ETHUSD has confirmed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) after sweeping liquidity beneath the recent lows and establishing a strong reversal from the 1,500–1,550 demand zone. The sharp impulsive rally and subsequent Break of Structure (BOS) indicate that buyers have regained control and market structure has shifted in favor of the bulls.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 1,630–1,650 has acted as an institutional rebalancing zone, supporting continued upside. As long as price remains above this area, the bullish momentum is likely to remain intact.
The first key resistance lies at the 1,850–1,875 supply zone, where previous equal highs (SSL) and resting liquidity may attract profit-taking. A decisive breakout above this region would likely trigger a liquidity run toward the higher-timeframe sell-side liquidity between 2,035 and 2,050.
#SMC Bullish Summary
✅ CHoCH confirms a bullish shift in market structure.
✅ BOS validates continuation of the uptrend.
✅ FVG is acting as a strong bullish support zone.
✅ Higher-timeframe demand at 1,500–1,550 remains the key institutional buying area.
🎯 Target 1: 1,850–1,875 (Supply / Sell-Side Liquidity)
🎯 Target 2: 2,050 (Major liquidity objective)
Long 
ONDO: Launching From Major SupportONDO: Launching From Major Support – Optimal Strategy to Target a High-RR Long Setup
ONDO has officially confirmed a powerful bullish breakout after clearing a pivotal dynamic barrier. Following a tight sideways consolidation phase that lasted over three weeks, a sudden surge in buying momentum successfully propelled the price action above the MA100 trend moving average line. This technical trigger materialized immediately after the price completed its third successful retest of the long-term ascending support trendline, signaling a highly promising new growth cycle.
Looking back at the historical data displayed on chart , the cyclical behavior of this asset is functioning exceptionally well. At the first trendline touch, the price rallied by 48%; at the second touch, the explosive expansion reached 103%. Currently, the third touch has officially initiated an upward push, aiming for a primary target back toward the previous major peak near the $1
.00 psychological round number.
To map out this setup, we can evaluate two entry approaches. Executing a direct buy (Long) at current market prices, with a secure stop-loss positioned below the ascending trendline, yields an attractive risk-to-reward (RR) ratio greater than 5. However, exercising patience to wait for a technical pullback to retest the dynamic MA100 line below will provide a much stronger edge, optimizing the setup with an outstanding RR ratio greater than 8.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, DYOR.
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