BTC – Bearish MSB After Failed Breakout, Eyes on 61,600 & 58,610BTC attempted a breakout that failed hard, and sellers have now stamped a clean MSB below the 64,279 zone.
Why This Level Matters:
Price pushed above resistance, got rejected, and flipped structure to the downside. Buyers are losing the 64,118–64,400 zone that once held as support. That failure is the trigger for continuation lower.
Gameplan / Primary Scenario:
Sell any retest into the 64,279–64,400 supply zone while sellers keep pressure. Continuation lower targets the 61,600 demand first, with extended downside toward the 58,610 zone if momentum holds. As long as price stays capped below 64,400, the short remains active.
If this added value, boost it forward. What are your thoughts?
Swallow Academy 
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Bitcoin Pulls Back From Supply Zone, Eyes Buy Zone TargetThe 1H BTCUSD chart shows a clear bullish structure that has recently stalled at a key resistance area. Price advanced through multiple confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) levels, indicating sustained buying pressure throughout the move up from the 62,000 region.
However, upon reaching the Major Supply/Resistance Zone between 65,350 and 65,600, price met strong selling pressure and printed a CHoCH (Change of Character) — an early signal that bullish momentum was fading. This shift was quickly followed by a sharp pullback through a previously formed FVG (Fair Value Gap), suggesting the market is now rebalancing after the aggressive upside move.
Currently trading at 63,979.5, price is retracing lower, and the projected path outlines a corrective sequence through the key Fibonacci retracement levels — first the 0.618 level at 64,091, then the 0.5 level at 63,647, and potentially down to the 0.382 level near 63,203 before deeper downside continuation.
The ultimate target on this projection is the previously established Zone Buy area, spanning roughly 61,500 to 61,800. This zone aligns with an earlier demand area that supported price during the initial rally, making it a logical area for smart money to look for renewed buying interest.
From a risk perspective, the key invalidation for this bearish retracement scenario would be a strong reclaim back above the supply zone (above 65,600), which would suggest bulls have regained full control.
For now, structure favors a corrective move lower toward the buy zone, with traders watching for reaction signals as price approaches each Fibonacci level along the way.
Do you think Bitcoin will find support before reaching the Zone Buy target, or are we headed for a deeper pullback toward 61,800? Short 
Bitcoin : Liquidity Sweep Fails as Bears Break Further SupportLiquidity Sweep Rejected
Bitcoin swept liquidity above the recent highs before reversing sharply lower, trapping late buyers at resistance. This type of price action often signals distribution rather than genuine bullish continuation.
Support Lost
The break below $63,640 shifts the short-term advantage back to the bears. Bulls now need to reclaim this level quickly to reduce the risk of further downside.
Volume Offers a Small Positive
Selling volume has eased as price has declined, suggesting bearish momentum may be slowing. However, lower selling volume alone is not enough to invalidate the current bearish structure.
Key Support Ahead
Price is now testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement around $62,900. A loss of this level would shift attention back towards Monday's swing low at $61,824.
In Summary
Bitcoin's failed breakout above the recent highs increasingly resembles a liquidity sweep, with sellers quickly regaining control and forcing price back below support. Although selling volume has eased into the decline, the technical picture remains fragile. Bulls first need to reclaim $63,640 before sentiment can improve, while a break below $61,824 would strengthen the bearish case and increase the probability of another move lower. BTC Daily SetUp 2026-07-17BTC has rolled over from 65.7K on the 4H chart and is now selling off impulsively, currently trading at 62,890 after a -1% daily candle. The 1H trend is clearly bearish, with a series of lower highs since 65.0K and a deeply negative MACD (-360). On the 15M and 5M charts, the sell-off is accelerating, with the 5M MACD printing a fresh bearish crossover and showing no signs of bullish divergence. The broader weekly bear market continues to favor the short side. Even the strongest relief bounces are likely to run into supply around 63,400-63,600. Below 62,400, a relatively thin price zone opens the way toward the psychological 62,000 and 61,500 levels. Only a recovery and sustained hold above 63,600 would neutralize the short-term bearish outlook.
## Scenario 1 – Primary
**Short Reload on a Rebound Toward 62K**
**Probability:** 60%
Within the current bearish impulse, any rebound into the 63,300-63,600 supply zone is viewed as an opportunity to reload shorts. The downside targets remain the 62,000 magnet and, below that, 61,500. Confluence comes from the 1H downtrend, while the short-term oversold conditions on the 5M chart may provide a brief retracement for entry.
**① Entry**
Short at 63,300-63,600 (rebound into the supply zone) or on a retest of 62,700 after a confirmed breakdown.
**② Trigger**
A 15M candle close below 62,700, or a rejection/lower high below 63,600.
**Stop**
63,750 (above the supply zone).
**Targets**
* **T1:** 62,400
* **T2:** 62,000 ✦
* **T3:** 61,500
**Invalidation:**
A 1H candle close above 63,750, accompanied by a higher high, invalidates the short setup and shifts the outlook to Scenario 2 (reclaim long).
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## Scenario 2 – Alternative
**Reclaim Above 63,600 – Relief Bounce**
**Probability:** 40%
The oversold conditions on the 5M and 15M charts could fuel a relief rally if 62,700 holds and 63,600 is reclaimed. This remains a countertrend trade against the higher-timeframe trend, making tight risk management and modest profit targets essential.
**① Entry**
Long at 62,700-62,900 after confirmation of the reclaim.
**② Trigger**
A 15M candle close above 63,600 with rising volume.
**Stop**
62,550 (below the reclaim base).
**Targets**
* **T1:** 63,600
* **T2:** 64,000
* **T3:** 64,400
**Invalidation:**
A loss of 62,550 or a new low below 62,700 invalidates the long setup and reactivates Scenario 1 (continuation of the short trend).
Probabilities are subjective technical assessments and not guarantees. Triggers outweigh opinions—only trade after confirmation. This is not financial advice. Always apply your own risk management. 
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ETH/USDT: THE 1,975 WEDGE LAUNCHPAD! 🚀
Slamming down toward the 1,780 support floor. Are you panic-selling this temporary dip, or lining up your bags for the ultimate trendline squeeze? 🤔
The broader crypto market is experiencing a quick flush, but Ethereum is quietly preparing an explosive structural counter-attack! On this 1-hour Binance chart, ETH is coiling beautifully inside a massive ascending Wedge pattern. 📈💥
The recent drop from the 1,940 local high has successfully washed out over-leveraged longs. The price is now sliding directly into the primary macro Support line around the 1,780 region, where major institutional buy-limit blocks are waiting to trap greedy short-sellers. 🪤
The purple trajectory maps out an immaculate bullish continuation sequence. The algorithm is poised to test the key Support line, absorb the remaining retail panic, and then launch a powerful, multi-wave rally straight toward the top of the wedge near 1,975. 🌋
Patience remains your ultimate superpower in this setup. Instead of chasing the market when it is already green, professional traders wait for the price to hit high-confluence support zones before scaling in. Let the weak hands sell the bottom! 🧘♂️⚡
Trade Parameters:
🛒 Long Zone: 1,780 - 1,810 🛍️
🛑 Stop-Loss: Hourly close below 1,750 ❌
💰 Take-Profit: 1,975 🎯
The bears are getting excited over this short-term drop, but they are walking straight into a giant trendline trap. Stay highly disciplined, block out the noise, and let the algorithm do the heavy lifting for you. See you at the 1,975 target! 🚀💎 Long 
BTCUSDT: OB Retest Path Updated Before POC Push at 66,891Gate one, BOS confirmed bullish structure had already shifted near 64,500 before the current pullback into the OB began.
Gate two, the OB sits between 61,900 and 62,800, already tapped once with the 0.236 to 0.295 band reclaimed on the first visit. The updated projection calls for a more complex retest than the prior version, a double zigzag correcting down toward the OB's upper edge, bouncing off 0.382, retesting down near 0.295 a second time, before the larger move develops.
Gate three remains unconfirmed. This is still a mapped setup, not a completed CHoCH. If price completes the projected double zigzag and holds the OB on that second test, then that confirms gate three and opens the path toward POC at 66,891.70. If instead price breaks below the OB and takes out 2021 M Support at 61,338, then the entire bullish read invalidates and the setup is void, not just delayed.
That if-this-then-that structure is the whole discipline here under Continuation Acceleration Protocol: gate one is set, gate two is defined but not yet fully proven, and gate three is conditional on the market actually delivering the retest rather than assumed in advance. The projection is a forecast of what confirmation would look like, not a substitute for it.
What invalidates this: a close below 61,338, breaking both the OB and the deeper 2021 support beneath it. What confirms it: the projected double retest holding at the OB, followed by a CHoCH back through 0.295 and continuation toward POC.
Marcus Aurelius wrote that the impediment to action advances action. The pullback into the OB looks like hesitation right now. Whether it turns into gate three depends entirely on what the retest actually does, not on what the arrow says it should do. Long 
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ETHUSDT: Weekly Resistance Rejection Short, Both TPs FilledGate one, BOS confirmed bullish structure had shifted at 1,905 heading into the push toward Weekly Resistance, the setup here is a fade of that move rather than a continuation of the immediate short-term trend.
Gate two, price ran directly into Weekly Resistance at 1,938.72, tagging the 0.236 to 0.295 fib band just under the level and failing to clear it. The rejection wick sat right at the resistance itself, no meaningful push through it.
Gate three, CHoCH confirmed once price broke back below the 0.295 to 0.382 band, the control bar rejecting the level and reversing the short-term structure that had just formed on the approach.
SL sat above Weekly Resistance itself, giving the setup room in case of a brief wick through the level without inviting an early stop from noise right at the line.
TP1 hit at 1,845, the first structural pocket below entry. TP2 completed at 1,830, landing almost exactly on VAH, the same value area high that's shown up as a meaningful reference on this symbol before.
This is the Continuation Acceleration Protocol's three-gate sequence running as a fade at a major level rather than a continuation setup: BOS sets the immediate bias, Weekly Resistance and the fib band define gate two as the zone, and CHoCH confirms the rejection is real rather than a level simply being tested and holding.
Structure first, level second, confirmation last. Same three gates, this time the level was too strong to clear rather than one that gave way.
Epictetus said circumstances don't make the person, they reveal them. Weekly Resistance revealed the same thing it has before, this remains the level that has to be respected until it isn't. Short 
Ethena (ENA) Eyes a Rally After Ethena's $50M Morpho Investment* The ENA price is currently breaking out of a descending wedge pattern amid defense of the 4-hours’ 100 period moving average.
* Ethena staked $50 million worth of assets within the Morpho yield vault, raising its value to $106 million.
* Active addresses fell from 1,000 to 700, while daily transactions dropped from 3,400 to 2,200.
The ENA price is starting to show signs of life after months of trading under pressure. Buyers are trying to push the token out of a long-term falling wedge, and Ethena has added fresh momentum by committing $50 million to a Morpho yield vault.
That investment lifted the vault's total value locked from about $41 million to more than $106 million, making it one of the largest vaults on Morpho and strengthening Ethena's presence in decentralized lending.
We had a look at the ENA charts, and the short-term picture is improving. The ENA price was trading above the 4-hour 100-period SMA at $0.0776, and the RSI has climbed to 64.11, showing buyers have regained some control. The daily trend is still weaker, though, with the ENA price remaining below the 100-day SMA at $0.0959.
On-chain activity paints a different picture. Daily active addresses have fallen from about 1,000 to 700, and daily transactions have dropped from roughly 3,400 to 2,200, showing that network activity has yet to recover alongside the price.
If buyers can break above the $0.0900 resistance and reclaim the 100-day moving average, the next upside targets come into focus. If they can't, support around $0.078 and the lower boundary of the falling wedge will remain the key levels to watch. 
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BTCUSD 30M – Watching This Premium Zone for a Possible ReversalThe market has pushed into a higher price area after breaking recent structure. Instead of chasing the move, I'm watching how price reacts inside this premium zone.
My narrative
Price has reclaimed short-term bullish structure and is now trading into an area where sellers have previously shown interest.
This is not an instant sell signal.
I'm waiting for price to slow down, show rejection, and confirm weakness before considering any bearish continuation.
Key level to watch
🔑 62,855
This is my most important level.
As long as price remains below the major resistance after confirming rejection, I'll continue looking for downside opportunities.
If buyers reclaim and hold above the premium zone, the bearish idea becomes invalid.
Resistance area
63,907 - First reaction area
64,081 - Major resistance
I want to see liquidity taken above these highs followed by a rejection back below resistance.
My downside roadmap
If sellers step in, these are the areas I'm watching:
🎯 Target 1: 63,282
🎯 Target 2: 62,855 (Key level)
🎯 Target 3: 62,253
🎯 Target 4: 61,675 (Order Block)
These are reaction zones, not guaranteed destinations.
What I'm waiting for
✅ Liquidity sweep into resistance
✅ Bearish confirmation
✅ Market structure shift (CHoCH/BOS)
✅ Controlled risk before entry
No confirmation = No trade.
Educational note
This analysis is shared to explain how I build a trade narrative using market structure, liquidity, premium pricing, and key reaction levels. The chart is a roadmap, not a prediction. Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk.
If you find these breakdowns useful, feel free to follow for more clean, educational BTC market structure analysis. Short 
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BTC/USD: Bearish Breakdown from Order BlockBTC/USD has rejected a major Order Block after tapping into the higher-timeframe supply zone, signaling that sellers remain firmly in control. The recent rally successfully filled the highlighted Fair Value Gap (FVG) before losing momentum, leading to a strong bearish reaction. This rejection suggests the bullish retracement has likely completed, with the dominant bearish trend now attempting to resume.
Price has also broken below the ascending trendline that previously supported the recovery, confirming a shift in short-term market structure. The inability of buyers to maintain higher highs inside the order block further strengthens the probability of continued downside movement. As long as price remains below this supply area, every pullback into the FVG or Order Block may present fresh selling opportunities.
The first downside objective is the Strong Support Zone around 61,500–61,000. A decisive break below this level would expose a larger liquidity pool and could accelerate selling pressure toward the Strong Fair Value Gap near 58,500–59,000, where institutional demand may begin to re-enter the market.
For the bearish outlook to weaken, buyers would need to reclaim the Order Block and establish acceptance above the recent swing highs. Until that happens, market structure continues to favor sellers, with rallies likely serving as retracement opportunities rather than trend reversals.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 64,700–65,500 (Order Block + Supply Zone)
Bearish Confirmation: Rejection from the Order Block and continuation below the broken trendline
Target 1: 61,500–61,000 (Strong Support Zone)
Target 2: 58,500–59,000 (Strong Fair Value Gap)
Invalidation: Sustained close above the highlighted Order Block and supply zone. Short 
