**SMC (Smart Money Concept) Analysis: ETH/USDT Weekly Chart****SMC (Smart Money Concept) Analysis: ETH/USDT Weekly Chart**
**Timeframe:** Weekly (W1)
**Current Price (as of July 18, 2026):** ~$1,841.95
**Chart Outlook:** Macro Bullish with Strong Institutional Accumulation Structure
### Key SMC Elements Identified:
**1. Higher Timeframe Structure**
- ETH has been respecting a clear **Bullish Market Structure** since the 2020-2021 cycle.
- Multiple **Order Blocks (OB)** and **Breaker Blocks** are visible:
- Strong **Bullish Order Block** around $800–$1,000 zone (major demand area from previous cycle).
- Mitigation of previous highs with clean displacement upward.
- The chart shows classic **BOS (Break of Structure)** followed by **CHOCH (Change of Character)** confirmations in the bullish direction.
**2. Liquidity & Displacement**
- Recent price action swept liquidity below recent lows (~$1,800 area) before the strong upward displacement.
- The "best zone for BUUUUUUUUY" highlighted aligns perfectly with a **Premium/Discount array** — deep in the discount relative to the overall macro range.
**3. Key Levels (SMC Framework)**
**Demand Zones (Buy Areas):**
- **Primary Bullish Order Block:** $800 – $970 (Major institutional demand — very strong)
- **Secondary Demand:** $1,200 – $1,500 range (previous consolidation)
- **Current Entry Zone:** $1,700 – $1,950 (where price is currently consolidating)
**Supply Zones (Sell/Take Profit Areas):**
- **Intermediate Target:** $2,500 (noted on chart)
- **Major Liquidity Pool:** $4,700 – $6,100
- **Macro Target:** **$26,000** (aggressive parabolic projection by late 2028)
**4. Fair Value Gap & Imbalances**
- There are multiple unfilled FVGs above current price that price is likely to seek as it moves higher.
- The move from ~$800 to the current levels left significant inefficiency that Smart Money is now filling on the way up.
### Trading Strategy (SMC Style):
**Bias:** Strongly Bullish (Higher Highs + Higher Lows expected)
**Entry Setup:**
- Look for **inducement** below the current range followed by strong bullish confirmation (displacement + FVG fill).
- Optimal entries near the $1,800 – $1,950 zone with confluences (Order Block + Liquidity sweep).
**Risk Management:**
- Stop Loss: Below the most recent low / invalidation of the bullish structure (~$1,600 or lower depending on entry).
- Take Profit Levels:
1. $2,500 (first major liquidity)
2. $4,700 – $6,100
3. Extended Target: $26,000 (macro cycle top)
### Summary:
The chart displays textbook **Smart Money accumulation** behavior. Ethereum is currently in a deep discount zone after sweeping liquidity, positioning for the next major impulsive leg higher. The $800–$1,000 area remains one of the strongest demand zones on the chart.
**"Best zone for BUUUUUUUUY"** — exactly where Smart Money has been defending and loading.
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Long
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Education
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Long
Short 
KenKem MVP — BTCUSD US session scenario map (2026-07-18 12:00 UTBITSTAMP:BTCUSD — US session read from my KenKem Master Volume Profile (MVP) indicator & strategy.
CONTEXT
Read taken 30 minutes ahead of the US session open (12:30 UTC). Price is trading at 64,082, above VWAP and above every EMA on both M15 and M5, having just broken out of a roughly three-hour compression base on expanding volume. On M15 price sits almost exactly on the master Point of Control, so this is a decision point rather than a trend already in motion. The net-volume read is saturated on the sell side, which reads as exhausted downside pressure rather than pressure that is still building.
KEY ZONES
Resistance / supply: 64,347 (master value area high)
Support / demand: 63,975 (master Point of Control, the broken base top)
Lower demand: 63,900 (value area low)
SCENARIOS (to watch — NOT signals)
Bullish: hold above 63,975 → room toward 64,194 then 64,347 (broken value-area edge flipping to support, thin volume above).
Bearish: lose 63,975 → opens 63,935 then 63,900 (failed breakout back into the prior value area).
Range/unclear: stuck 63,975–64,082 → stand aside until a decisive close; the M5 moving averages are tightly braided, so there is no trend force to lean on yet.
Invalidation: a close below 63,900 voids this map.
WHAT THE MVP TOOL IS SHOWING
The Master Volume Profile plots rolling value areas (VAH/VAL), the Point of Control, and a net-volume pressure read to locate where volume is building or drying up. This idea is the qualitative output of that tool; the strategy's internal thresholds, gating and entry/exit logic are not disclosed.
Built with the KenKem Master Volume Profile indicator & strategy.
Educational technical analysis, NOT financial advice. Trade your own plan and manage your risk. Bitcoin Daily Momentum Update #1: Momentum Remains Below NeutralBitcoin Daily Momentum Update #1: Momentum Remains Below Neutral
Bitcoin Daily Time Series Momentum is currently reading approximately 0.97 , which remains below the neutral level of 1.0 .
This means Bitcoin’s short-term daily momentum is still weaker than its longer-term momentum baseline.
However, the indicator has recently recovered after approaching the lower reference zone near 0.8 . This suggests that downside momentum has started to ease.
At this stage, momentum is improving, but it has not yet confirmed a return to positive territory.
Key levels to watch
Above 1.0: Short-term momentum becomes stronger than the longer-term baseline.
Above 1.2: Momentum enters the upper reference zone, indicating unusually strong or extended positive momentum.
Below 0.8: Momentum enters the lower reference zone, indicating unusually weak daily momentum.
Current view
The recent recovery toward the neutral level is encouraging, but I would like to see a confirmed move above 1.0 before considering daily momentum to have shifted back in favour of the bulls.
Until then, Bitcoin remains in a momentum recovery phase rather than a confirmed positive momentum phase.
The 1.2 and 0.8 levels are reference zones and should not be treated as automatic buy or sell signals.
Momentum should be used together with price structure, support and resistance, and appropriate risk management.
I will update this idea if the momentum reading changes materially during the week.
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
HYPE Weakness: Is a Deeper Drop Next…!Yello Paradisers! Are you prepared for a potential sharp downside move on #HYPE, or are you still calling this “just a healthy pullback” while smart money quietly distributes above you? At first glance, the structure may look harmless. But when we remove emotions and read the chart objectively, the story changes completely. This is not a random retracement. This is a high-risk zone where discipline matters more than opinions.
💎#HYPE has clearly broken below its ascending support trend line and is now retesting it from underneath. This rejection increases the probability that the previous bullish structure has weakened and the sellers are beginning to take control.
💎#HYPE broader market structure has also shifted toward the bearish side, adding further weight to the downside scenario. As long as price remains rejected within the order block and fair value gap zone, the probability continues to favour another move lower.
💎The first important support level is located around $53. If selling pressure continues, this area could act as the next downside magnet. A decisive break below it would further strengthen the bearish structure and expose lower price targets.
💎From Volume Spread Analysis perspective, the sequence is even more revealing. We saw a buying climax followed by a climactic action bar. This combination typically shows distribution. In simple terms, institutions use these aggressive spikes to offload positions into retail enthusiasm. When the crowd feels confident, smart money distributes quietly.
💎#HYPE also swept the upper trigger line of the buying climax and collected buy-side liquidity through an upthrust test. However, price failed to remain above that area and was followed by a candle closing below the lower trigger line.
💎#HYPE also witnessed a two-bar reversal near the upper trigger line. This is an important probability that supply is dominating demand. If bearish momentum continues, the next major downside target is located around $40, and the move could develop faster than many traders expect.
💎If #HYPE manages to break above the key resistance at 80.20 with a strong momentum candle, this whole bearish probability would be invalidated, and we could instead see a bullish continuation. As always, we let price confirm our bias.
Discipline is key, Paradisers! The charts may look volatile, but this is where professionals thrive and amateurs panic. Don’t let emotions guide your trades. Wait for clear confirmation and manage risk like a pro. Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Short
AAPL: Consolidation Before the Next Leg?Apple has quietly reclaimed its bullish structure after a strong impulsive move, but the next decision point is now approaching. Instead of chasing price, I'm watching how the market reacts around the $335 resistance zone.
On the 1H chart, rAAPL is consolidating beneath resistance after breaking out of a short-term downtrend. This type of pause is often healthy following a strong rally, allowing momentum to reset before the next directional move.
From a technical perspective, the setup is straightforward.
A decisive close above $335 would confirm buyers remain in control and could open the path toward $338, with room for further upside if momentum accelerates. If price fails to reclaim resistance, a pullback into the $326-$323 demand zone would still fit within the current bullish structure. As long as that support holds, I view any retracement as a potential reset rather than a trend reversal.
The fundamental backdrop also deserves attention.
Apple continues expanding its AI strategy across iPhone , macOS , and enterprise services. While the market has focused heavily on GPU leaders, Apple is building an ecosystem where on-device AI, custom silicon, and software integration could become long term growth drivers. If AI adoption continues accelerating, Apple remains one of the highest-quality names to watch, especially as investors rotate between AI infrastructure and AI-enabled platforms.
I'm expressing this view through rAAPL on Bitget, where orders during US market hours are routed through the actual US equity market rather than relying on synthetic pricing. For technical traders, execution quality matters because reliable market structure makes support, resistance, and breakout levels more meaningful.
For now, the chart is sending a simple message:
Break above $335, and momentum favors another push toward $338. Hold support, and the broader uptrend remains intact. Lose the demand zone, and it's time to reassess rather than force the trade.
As always, the market decides. My job is simply to follow the chart. AAVE Rejection: Is the Next Move Lower…!Yello Paradisers! Are you prepared for a potential sharp downside move on #AAVE, or are you still calling this “just a healthy pullback” while smart money quietly distributes above you? At first glance, the structure may look harmless. But when we remove emotions and read the chart objectively, the story changes completely. This is not a random retracement. This is a high-risk zone where discipline matters more than opinions.
💎#AAVE has clearly respected the descending resistance trend-line and failed to break above it. This rejection is a key probability of ongoing structural weakness. At the same time, Overall structure is bearish and price mitigate the order block zone of daily time frame during the retracement.
💎As long as price holds momentum within the supply zone the probability favours continuation lower. The immediate minor support sits around 78.25, which now acts as the first downside magnet if selling pressure persists.
💎From Volume Spread Analysis perspective, the sequence is even more revealing. We saw a buying climax followed by a climactic action bar. This combination typically shows distribution. In simple terms, institutions use these aggressive spikes to offload positions into retail enthusiasm. When the crowd feels confident, smart money distributes quietly.
💎#AAVE swept the upper trigger line of the buying climax but failed to sustain higher levels, followed by a candle breaking below the lower trigger line. This is a classic confirmation that supply is dominating. If bearish momentum continues, the next probability of major downside target sits around 70.25 and it could be reached sooner than most expect.
💎If #AAVE manages to break above the key resistance at 104.70 with a strong momentum candle, this whole bearish probability would be invalidated, and we could instead see a bullish continuation. As always, we let price confirm our bias.
Discipline is key, Paradisers! The charts may look volatile, but this is where professionals thrive and amateurs panic. Don’t let emotions guide your trades. Wait for clear confirmation and manage risk like a pro. Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Short
Short
BTC/USDT Tactical Setup: Intraday Scalps to Swing Trade Targets📊🚀 BITCOIN: THE CAPITAL FLOW BLUEPRINT PLAN 🚀📊
🔥 Dynamic Day & Swing Trading Architecture for BTC/USDT 🔥
Attention Ladies & Gentlemen, Degens & Elite Alpha Seekers—the chart has spoken. We are structuralizing a high-visibility, technical-vibe masterclass for the ultimate CRYPTOCAP:BTC setup. Lock in, track the volume, and let’s secure this bag with precision execution.
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📈 THE STRATEGIC MARKET SETUP 📈
🎯 Asset: BTC/USDT (Bitcoin vs. Tether)
🔄 Plan Type: Day / Swing Trade Interception
⚡ Technical Bias: Bullish Confirmation via Moving Average Breakout
🚀 ENTRY ZONE: Market Execution Order
Any price level you deem valid according to your dynamic risk metrics. The moving average flip is paving the way—enter the flow as momentum triggers.
💥 INTRADAY / SCALPER TARGETS:
🔹 Target 1: $66,000 (Local liquidity sweep & immediate resistance)
🔹 Target 2: $68,000 (Major psychological order-book cluster)
🚨 ULTIMATE TARGET ZONE (The Police Barricade):
🎯 Final Target: $70,000
⚠️ WARNING: The $70k zone represents the ultimate "Police Barricade." This area acts as heavy institutional resistance, an extreme overbought territory, and a potential liquidity trap for late bulls. Kindly escape with your profits before the reversal engine kicks in!
🛑 RISK MITIGATION (The Tactical Stop Loss):
🛡️ Strategic SL: $61,000
Break this floor, and the structural bullish thesis is entirely invalidated.
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⚠️ THE OG RISK DISCLAIMER ⚠️
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (The Thief OGs), I am absolutely NOT recommending or forcing you to use only my specific TP and SL levels. This blueprint is for educational and analytical entertainment. Trading crypto is your own choice, your own battle, and your own reward. Make money, take money, and manage your risk at your own absolute discretion. Stay sharp out there!
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🔄 HIGH-CORRELATION ASSETS TO WATCH 🔄
Keep these correlated symbols pinned to your monitor to read the broader market pulse:
💲 BINANCE:ETHUSDT – The Altcoin King. Tracking its momentum confirms if capital is flooding the broader crypto risk-curve or solely centralizing in Bitcoin.
💲 BINANCE:SOLUSDT – High-beta retail sentiment driver. Sudden spikes here indicate intense speculative risk-on behavior across the board.
💲 TVC:DXY – The US Dollar Index. Strong negative correlation. If TVC:DXY plunges on macro news, it provides a massive tailwind for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to blast straight through target zones.
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🌐 THE LIVE MACRO FEED & ECONOMICS 🌐
(Current Live Feed Status – July 2026 Focus)
📊 Factual Market Reality:
Bitcoin is holding its local support floor as broader economic indicators shift. The latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) print surprised to the downside with a larger-than-expected decline of -0.4%, followed by a cooler Producer Price Index (PPI) dropping by 0.3%. This cooling inflation spark has significantly lowered expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes, providing an immediate boost to global risk assets.
🐻 The Bearish Pressures:
Despite the inflation relief, institutional spot crypto ETF flows remain highly volatile and inconsistent. Broader market sentiment is anchored by geopolitical friction and rising oil/gasoline energy prices, keeping the Fear & Greed Index lingering in cautious territory. Analysts warn that if energy inflation spikes again, monetary policy uncertainty could quickly return.
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🔥 THIEF TRADER MOTIVATION QUOTE 🔥
"The market doesn't reward those who wait for permission; it rewards those who map the grid, strike with surgical precision, and vanish into the green before the trap shuts down. Plan the steal, execute the trade, protect the capital. Let's eat!"
👉 Hit that LIKE button if you see the vision, drop your perspective in the COMMENTS, and FOLLOW for more institutional-grade breakdowns! Let's conquer the charts! 📈💹📊 BTC/USD | 45-Minute Timeframe🟢 Overall Bias
Neutral Bullish (Short-Term) | Mixed Multi-Timeframe
The market has printed a strong bullish reversal after the sharp selloff around July 17. Buyers defended the lows aggressively, creating a higher low followed by an impulsive recovery.
However, price is now approaching an important resistance zone where sellers previously entered.
📈 Multi-Timeframe Signal
Timeframe Trend Strength
5M 🔴 Bearish Weak
15M 🔴 Bearish Weak
45M 🟢 Bullish Moderate
4H 🔴 Bearish Strong
Daily 🟢 Bullish Strong
Interpretation
Lower timeframes are experiencing a pullback.
45-minute trend has turned bullish.
4H remains inside a corrective bearish phase.
Daily trend is still positive.
Overall: Mixed market with bullish intraday potential.
Market Structure
Current Structure
✅ Higher Low formed
✅ Bullish impulse
✅ Consolidation under resistance
Price is currently compressing, which often precedes a breakout or rejection.
📊 Dynamic Trend Cloud
Cloud Status
Current price is trading:
✅ Above the green cloud
Cloud is beginning to slope upward, suggesting:
Buyers gaining control
Trend improving
Dynamic support building
This is constructive for bulls.
🔴 Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance
64,150 – 64,250
First breakout confirmation.
Major Resistance
64,500 – 64,800
Previous rejection area.
Heavy selling expected here.
Extreme Resistance
65,200
Previous swing high.
A break above would strengthen the bullish case.
🟢 Support Levels
Immediate Support
63,760
(Current cloud support)
Strong Support
63,500
Loss of this level weakens bullish momentum.
Major Support
62,800
Recent demand zone where buyers stepped in.
📉 Volume Perspective
Although volume isn't visible, price action suggests:
Strong buying after the selloff
Sellers becoming less aggressive
Healthy consolidation instead of panic selling
This favors continuation if buyers remain active.
📌 Price Action
Current candles show:
Small-bodied candles
Reduced volatility
Sideways movement
This often indicates accumulation before the next move.
🚀 Bullish Scenario
A confirmed close above:
64,200
could trigger a move toward:
🎯 64,500
then
🎯 64,800
followed by
🎯 65,200
Probability: 65–70% if support holds.
🔻 Bearish Scenario
If price loses:
63,760
expect:
63,500
↓
63,200
↓
62,800
A break below 62,800 would invalidate the short-term bullish recovery.
Probability: 30–35%
📈 Trade Setup (Educational Example)
🟢 Long Setup
Entry: Above 64,200 (after breakout confirmation)
Stop Loss: Below 63,700
Target 1: 64,500
Target 2: 64,800
Target 3: 65,200
🔴 Short Setup
Entry: If price is rejected near 64,200–64,500 with bearish confirmation.
Stop Loss: Above the rejection high.
Target 1: 63,760
Target 2: 63,500
Target 3: 62,800
🏷️ Professional Trading Tags
#BTCUSD
#Bitcoin
#CryptoTrading
#TechnicalAnalysis
#PriceAction
#MarketStructure
#SupportAndResistance
#TrendFollowing
#SwingTrading
#DayTrading
#BreakoutTrading
#RiskManagement
#BullishSetup
#BearishSetup
#TradingView
⭐ Final Verdict
Bias: 🟢 Cautiously Bullish
The chart shows a short-term bullish recovery with price holding above rising dynamic support. However, resistance around 64,200–64,500 is a critical decision zone. A confirmed breakout above this area would favor continuation toward 64,800–65,200, while failure to hold 63,760 would increase the likelihood of a pullback toward 63,500 and 62,800. Waiting for confirmation at these key levels offers a more favorable risk-to-reward profile than entering during the current consolidation. Long 
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