Long
BITCOIN Clarity Act FAILED. Another Shock-another Top? Fed aheadBitcoin (BTCUSD) saw the Clarity Act failing again and now the market focus shifts towards today's Fed Rate Decision and more importantly Chair Warsh's tone during the Press Conference.
In the very probable event that the Fed hikes, if Warsh sets the narrative for more upcoming hikes, those news can act as a catalyst to confirm the technical bias. Which following the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection, are bearish.
In fact, every BTC market Top (and subsequent Lower Highs of the Bear Cycle) since last October, had a similar catalyst (set of macro events/ news) that confirmed the Top and kick-started the bearish reversal and sell-off (technical Bearish Leg) that followed. Notice also that even their 1D RSI patterns have been similar, all starting on overbought (RSI > 70.00) territory.
October 2025 was due to the U.S. - China tariff escalation. January 2026 evolved around tariffs leading to massive ETF outflows. May 2026 formed on hot CPI, PPI readings on rising yields. The last two Lower Highs in particular formed a Resistance Zone (red). Similarly the last Lows (June 2026) have formed a Support Zone.
This is critical as the first line of defense on this Support Zone is the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), sitting exactly on its top. As a result, if the Fed confirms today the 1W MA50 rejection, the fair technical Target of a potential new Bearish Leg would be the 1W MA200 at around $66000. A -30.38% total drop, same as May-June, would price that closer to $57200.
Do you think the Fed can trigger such drop today or BTC will break and close above its 1W MA50 and confirm the new Bull Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
---
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 
Short
Long
The A-Grade I Didn't Actually Trade Like OneTwice now I've called a setup A-grade — trend-following, strong confluence, every box checked — then sized it at half risk anyway.
Both times, looking back, the grade was right. My own rule says A means full risk. I didn't give it full risk either time.
The first time I shrugged it off. The second time, weeks later, on a different pair, it was clearly a pattern, not a one-off. Some part of me doesn't fully trust my own "A" once it's time to actually size the trade.
That's not a bad rule — it's a gap between what I say I believe and what I actually do. If I only ever trade these at half risk, that's the truth about me, not the setup.
The fix isn't forcing full risk next time to prove a point. It's noticing the moment I quietly shrink the size, and asking why — before it just becomes a rounding error in the log.
Third post in this series on trading psychology. Anyone else had their sizing disagree with their own analysis? Education 
Short
Long
Long
Long
$BTC/USDT Descending ChannelBitcoin / Tether USDT Futures (BTC/USDT) on the 1D timeframe is showing a descending channel following the sharp upward move visible on the chart. Price is currently consolidating inside the channel with lower highs and lower lows.
The current price is around 75,783 USDT, with key horizontal support near 75,128 USDT. The major resistance is marked near 82,374 USDT, with the chart high around 82,812 USDT.
A daily breakout above the descending channel’s upper boundary, currently around the 78,000 USDT zone, could provide confirmation of a move toward the 82,374 USDT resistance. From the current price, that target represents approximately +8.7%.
On the downside, a confirmed daily breakdown below 75,128 USDT could invalidate the channel-breakout setup and indicate further weakness. Watch for a clear candle close and confirmation rather than relying on an intraday move. 
Long
Short
Bitcoin: news flow leaning bearish — the net read
Bitcoin did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded:
−− Bond yields are spiking, oil is up — but investors aren’t giving up on stocks
−− Why markets have left the Fed little choice but to hike rates
− Treasury yields hitting 5% may not break markets now — but the clock is ticking
58 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed.
Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale.
What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation.
Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print.
I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way.
(Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.) Short 
Short
Short 
Short
ETHUSD Bullish Recovery | Support Reclaim Setup (1H)
ETHUSD has reacted from the major support zone around 2,360–2,400 after the recent sharp decline. Price is currently stabilizing near the support area, while 2,500 is the first major resistance and 2,640 marks the higher resistance zone.
🟦 Key Support: 2,360–2,400
🟢 1st Resistance Objective: 2,500
🔵 2nd Resistance Objective: 2,640
📈 Bias: Recovery attempt from major support; confirmation required.
A sustained hold above 2,400 could allow ETH to build a recovery toward 2,500. If price breaks and holds above that resistance, the next important level comes around 2,640. A decisive move back below the 2,360–2,400 support zone would weaken the recovery structure. Long 
Short
Bitcoin Breaks September Support — Bears Take Controlb]September Support Gives Way
Bitcoin has broken below the key September lows around $76,264, weakening the recent medium-term recovery. That former support now becomes an important area of potential resistance.
Lower Highs Continue
The breakdown follows Bitcoin's third rejection from the $79,600–$80,000 area in little over a week. This continues the recent sequence of lower highs from the $82,300 peak.
Moving Averages Turn Bearish
Price is now below the 100/50-period EMAs, with both averages sloping lower and contracting. This adds further weight to the deterioration in the 4-hour trend.
Selling Volume Picks Up
The break through support was accompanied by two sizeable spikes in selling volume. This gives the breakdown more significance than a low-volume move beneath support would have.
Momentum Is Stretched
RSI remains below 50 but is not yet oversold, suggesting there could still be room for further weakness. StochRSI, however, is already oversold, so a short-term bounce would not be surprising.
Next Area Below
Tuesday's low at $74,967 is the immediate level to watch. If that fails, the daily FVG between roughly $73,027 and $70,000 becomes the next broader area of interest.
In Summary
Bitcoin has lost an important September support after repeatedly failing around $80,000, with increased selling volume adding weight to the breakdown. Price is also below the declining 100/50-period EMAs, while RSI remains bearish below 50. A short-term bounce is possible with StochRSI oversold, but $76,264 may now act as resistance. Unless bulls reclaim that level, attention shifts towards $74,967 and potentially the daily FVG below.
