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Bitcoin monthly: 365 days of bearish action (12 months)Bitcoin's previous bear market lasted exactly one year, from November 2021 through November 2022. The current bear market is already one year long. From July 2025 through July 2026. 365 days or 12 months of bearish action.
Long-term support from 2024 has been confirmed. Challenged twice and both times it holds. First in February 2026 then again now, in June-July.
After a full red candle on the monthly timeframe and two months red, Bitcoin is turning green again mid-July. The first half of this month was red; the second half the market is turning green.
Bitcoin monthly is trading above the February 2026 ($60,000) wick low. Above this level, hyper-strong bullish potential is active.
The same support zone from 2026 was also active in 2024. Eight (8) months Bitcoin tested the current support zone and buyers always showed up. After six months at present levels, the lows from 2024 remain intact. That is, the bulls are winning.
With support confirmed, the action should move to resistance next based on candlestick reading, the chart structure, market cycle and technical analysis. This would mean Bitcoin heading for a price tag around $115,000 to $125,000. This would be the minimum price to be reached on the current move based on the bigger picture, the monthly timeframe.
Bitcoin is going up. This statement is supported based on the information coming from this chart.
Namaste. 
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Bullish continuation setup?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce towards the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1,827.82
1st Support: 1,761.21
1st Resistance: 1,936.99
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party. Long 
Bullish bounce at 61.8% Fibonacci support?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce towards the overlap resistance.
Pivot: 63,113.19
1st Support: 62,200.41
1st Resistance: 64,495.21
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party. Long 
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BITCOIN - A false breakout of resistance in a bear market BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is forming a retest of the key 64,500 resistance level as part of a countertrend correction, trapping late buyers while the market remains in a liquidity sweep phase
The broader trend remains bearish. Unstable ETF flows, the lack of meaningful fundamental support, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty continue to weigh on the market.
Within the broader bear market, the market maker has swept liquidity above 64,500 before pushing price back into the trading range. Bitcoin remains in a 62,000–65,000 consolidation zone, while the higher-timeframe trend continues to point lower. A short squeeze into the resistance area could trigger another sell-off toward the 60K–50K region
Resistance levels: 64,450, 64,700, 65,600
Support levels: 62,750, 61,300
A retest of the liquidity pool above 64,450 may attract renewed selling pressure. If bears successfully defend this key resistance zone, it would further confirm the prevailing bearish market structure and increase the probability of a decline toward 62,750 and 61,300
Best regards,
R. Linda Short 
Bitcoin weekly turns green: Market behavior explainedGood afternoon brother, how are you feeling in this wonderful day?
Hi ladies... I hope you are having a nice summer.
It has been shown over and over, sustained bullish action becomes possible when Bitcoin closes three consecutive weeks green. We have mainly two bullish periods since 2025. After the April 2025 low and recently, March 2026. In both instances, as Bitcoin closed three consecutive weeks green, a full bullish wave developed.
During the decline, downtrend, corrections and drops, never Bitcoin closed more than two weeks green. This is the third week and all that is required for this signal to be fulfilled, thus a very strong bullish confirmation for $85,000+, is a close on Sunday—BTCUSDT—above $63,800, that's all.
Perfectly fine and this is great, exactly where we are headed. Bitcoin is looking awesome on the weekly timeframe—slow growth can be sustained. A slow recovery leads to long-term bullish action. A prolonged bearish period is followed by a multiple years long bull market.
Are we looking at the same chart, brothers and sisters? You bet!
Are we on the same page? Probabilities are extremely high we are because the majority of the market is already on the LONG side of the Bitcoin trade.
Market behavior based on my 13+ years of experience
Everything can change in a flash. Most market participants are reactionary traders. Most traders are experienced players. Trades don't wait for months. They track the market, they know exactly what is happening and what to expect. They do not take action though unless the confirmation is in, when a certain price is reached. So, we see Bitcoin rising for weeks and yet, no major moves nor any strong action; here everything changes in a flash.
Once Bitcoin reaches a certain price, everybody jumps in at once and this produces the first major advance. Then many people return from vacation ready for work. The market turning green is appealing and they want to join the action; these are only a few of the factors that will work as fuel for the next bullish market phase.
Three weeks green now. Very good momentum can start to develop as soon as Bitcoin closes above $68,000. Below $70,000, Bitcoin is a great buy regardless of your strategy and plan. Bitcoin is set to grow beyond $200,000 in the coming years.
After $68,000 the market will respond but cautious. After $80,000, we will start to see the first signs of excitement and this leads to erratic behavior. Then the market will grow for months. After months of sustained growth, maximum hype and momentum, expect a new correction ending in a higher low.
We are green now... This is only the start. Expect green July, August, September & likely October 2026. This is the minimum. October and September can be doubted but not the previous two months.
Do you agree with this assessment?
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste. Long 
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Bitcoin Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationBitcoin has reacted strongly from the 61,500–62,000 demand zone, where buyers stepped in and pushed the market sharply higher. This bullish momentum indicates that market sentiment remains positive, supported by continued institutional interest, ETF inflows, and improving overall crypto confidence.
Price is now testing the 64,500–65,000 key resistance zone, an area where sellers have previously defended aggressively. This is a critical decision point for the market. If buyers manage to secure a strong breakout with increasing volume, Bitcoin could continue its rally toward the 66,000–67,000 liquidity and resistance zone, confirming the next leg of the bullish trend.
However, if price fails to break above this resistance, a short-term correction is likely as traders take profits near the highs. In that scenario, Bitcoin could retrace toward the 63,500–63,700 support, with a deeper pullback potentially reaching the 62,800–63,000 demand area. As long as price remains above the major support zone around 61,500–62,000, the overall market structure remains bullish and any pullback may simply provide a better opportunity for buyers.
Overall Outlook: Bitcoin remains in a bullish market structure, but the current resistance zone will determine the next major move. A confirmed breakout favors further upside, while rejection could lead to a healthy correction before the longer-term uptrend resumes.
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. USDT.D - Mixed Signal One idea that is contrary to my most recent BTC post is what I am currently seeing with Tether dominance. To understand what I mean, it is important to go back to my past two USDT.D posts:
I was predicting a local high forming around the 9.25% level, followed by a rejection from overbought conditions that would flip trend momentum to the downside and signal cash re-deploying back into the crypto markets.
This is exactly what played out. The high came in on June 25th at 9.35%, with all subsequent daily candle bodies closing below my yellow ray. Trend momentum began shifting on June 26th right from overbought conditions, confirming the rejection I was predicting. Since then, Tether dominance has declined over 1% as cash has been redeployed into the market, driving crypto prices higher.
Dominance has now reached a very interesting level, the 8.25% level I have outlined with a blue ray and labeled "Key Level." Even before dominance reached this level following the breakout, I had already been outlining this as a key future level to watch. You can view that past idea here:
This is now the second time dominance is attempting to form a low at this exact level, which is why it stands contrary to my bullish outlook for Bitcoin outlined in this recent idea:
If USDT.D forms a low here and begins rising, that would signal a risk-off shift for the rest of the crypto market, causing prices to decline as participants exit crypto assets and convert back to cash, which would not support the continued move to the upside I have been outlining.
Yesterday, USDT.D formed a daily reversal doji that has started pushing dominance higher and crypto prices lower. This also coincides with a double bottom forming right around the 8.25% key level. Adding to this, a hidden bullish divergence is forming on the RSI, a higher low or double bottom on dominance paired with a lower low on the RSI.
Because of this, it is imperative that we see dominance fail to climb and instead close below the key level with a confirmed daily close, in order for Bitcoin to break higher and dominance to fall back toward the top of the parallel channel.
This could actually be aligning with a rejection from the level that was previously holding dominance to the upside. As long as daily candle bodies continue closing below this trendline, the entire contrary idea just laid out is invalidated, and BTC should continue to the upside while dominance continues to decline:
I am sticking to my primary thesis that crypto is still likely to climb, which would mean dominance should start rolling over again from here. But given the early developments I just outlined, I wanted to flag this contrary signal so we are prepared in case this does turn out to be a local low forming for Tether dominance.
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