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Can Strong Network Growth Help the SOL Price Reclaim $125?* The SOL price remains below key moving averages, with resistance at $79.84 and $85.
* Solana continues recording 4–6.4 million daily active addresses and up to 56 million daily transfers.
* SBI Holdings plans a 3% yield yen-backed stablecoin platform on Solana, boosting the network's institutional adoption.
Solana is approaching a level that could determine its next major move. After dropping more than 72% from its late-2025 peak, the SOL price has settled around the $76 mark, where buyers are trying to stop the downtrend from extending further.
One analyst believes this area could become an important turning point. Gum points out that the SOL price moved from roughly $75 to $140 with very little resistance during the previous bull market.
The correction erased those gains just as quickly, leaving behind what traders call an imbalance. If buyers can eventually reclaim $125, he believes there is relatively little resistance before the yearly open near $143.
We had a look at the SOL charts, and there are a few encouraging signs. The SOL price is trading just 2.1% below the 4-hour 100-period moving average at $77.94, and the 4-hour RSI has climbed to 53.75.
On the daily chart, RSI has recovered to 50.16 and continues making higher lows even though the SOL price printed lower lows during the correction. That type of divergence often appears when bearish momentum starts losing strength.
Beyond the charts, Solana's network remains extremely active. Daily active addresses continue ranging between 4 million and 6.4 million, with the blockchain processing as many as 56 million transfers per day.
For now, buyers need to reclaim the resistance levels at $77.94 and $79.84 before attention can turn to $85. Beyond that, the bigger test remains the $110 to $125 region. If support fails instead, the next levels to watch are $75.64, $70, and then $60. Meanwhile, CoinCodex's one-month forecast places the SOL price at $102.49, pointing to further upside if buyers can reclaim those key resistance levels. 
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BTC/USDT 15M — Bullish Structure Expands Into a Strong HighMarket Thesis
BTC remains decisively bullish on the 15-minute chart. The recovery from the 63,050–63,300 demand block produced strong displacement, multiple bullish BOS confirmations, and a clean sequence of higher highs and higher lows.
Price is now testing the visible Strong High near 66,260–66,320, placing the market in premium territory. Momentum favors continuation, but chasing directly beneath resistance offers poor risk-to-reward. The higher-quality edge is either a confirmed breakout above the strong high or a controlled retracement into visible bullish order blocks.
Visible SMC Confluences
Trend bias: Bullish. Structure has continued to expand upward since the rejection from approximately 63,100.
Liquidity grab: The sharp downside wick into the 63,050–63,300 zone swept lower prices and immediately reclaimed the range with displacement.
Bullish CHoCH: The reversal phase developed after price reclaimed the 63,850–64,000 structure area.
Bullish BOS sequence: Visible breaks occurred through approximately 64,400, 65,000, 65,550, and 65,800.
Displacement: Strong bullish momentum candles drove price from the lower demand zones into the current high with limited overlap.
Nearest bullish order block: 65,480–65,560.
Secondary bullish order block: 65,130–65,280.
Deeper reaction zone: 64,300–64,520.
Major intraday demand: 63,900–64,100.
Primary swing demand: 63,050–63,300.
Immediate resistance: 66,260–66,320, aligned with the LuxAlgo Strong High.
Premium positioning: Price is trading near the top of the visible 63,100–66,300 dealing range; pullback entries are preferable unless resistance is broken with confirmation.
Trade Scenarios
🟢 Scenario 1 — Breakout Continuation Buy
Bias: Buy
Entry area: 66,280–66,330
Trigger: A 15-minute momentum candle closes above 66,320, followed by a retest that holds above 66,260
Stop loss: 66,080
Take profit 1: 66,600
Take profit 2: 66,900
Take profit 3: 67,200
A wick above the high without a closing breakout is not sufficient. The level must be reclaimed and defended.
🟢 Scenario 2 — Order Block Pullback Buy
Bias: Buy
Entry area: 65,480–65,560
Trigger: Rejection wick from the zone followed by a bullish engulfing candle or lower-timeframe bullish CHoCH
Stop loss: 65,340
Take profit 1: 65,800
Take profit 2: 66,100
Take profit 3: 66,280
This is the nearest high-probability continuation zone and the first area where buyers may defend the current impulse.
🔴 Scenario 3 — Strong High Rejection Sell
Bias: Sell, countertrend
Entry area: 66,260–66,320
Trigger: Liquidity sweep above the Strong High, rejection back below 66,260, and a bearish engulfing close
Stop loss: 66,430
Take profit 1: 66,000
Take profit 2: 65,600
Take profit 3: 65,500
This setup is valid only after confirmed rejection. Selling solely because price has reached resistance is not enough.
Current edge: Bullish structure remains dominant, but the best execution is a confirmed break above 66,320 or a retracement into 65,480–65,560 rather than chasing price in premium. 
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BTC 13% Bounce: Managing Long Profits and Preparing for Both SceSummary:
BTC has bounced approximately 13% from the July low.
Near the July 1 low, I discussed the possibility of a meaningful rebound and shifted my short-term focus toward longs.
My broader view has remained consistent:
The mid-term and long-term structure still favors the sell side.
However, price had moved into an area where a counter-trend rebound was reasonable.
I currently hold a swing long from around 59.8K and a short-term long from approximately 62.6K, entered near the blue support zone shared on July 17.
The current question is no longer whether a rebound can happen.
The rebound has already happened.
The question is how to manage long exposure while preparing for the next possible reversal.
Scenario 1 — Running flat completion:
The light-blue scenario represents a possible running-flat structure.
If this structure is completing now, the rebound may face meaningful resistance around 66K.
In that case, the current move can mark the end of the counter-trend advance before the broader downside structure resumes.
For existing longs, this scenario supports partial profit-taking and tighter risk management.
It can also justify a light hedge short or a small short attempt with close invalidation.
Scenario 2 — Upside continuation:
The green running-triangle scenario and the orange running-flat scenario suggest that the current C wave may still be developing.
If BTC breaks above 67K, the probability of continued upside increases.
In that case, the next task is not to keep shorting blindly, but to identify the next resistance area where the extended C wave may complete.
Position management:
This is not a full-conviction short zone.
It is also not a zone where existing longs should be held without any profit management.
My current approach is:
Hold selected long exposure.
Take partial profits as price enters resistance.
Consider a light hedge short near 66K.
Keep short invalidation tight.
Reassess the upside path if 67K breaks.
Risk management:
I was able to position near previous turning points—not because I had complete certainty, but because I prepared for the opposite scenario and kept position size within an acceptable risk range.
A correct directional view does not guarantee a profitable trade.
A wrong view does not automatically produce a loss.
Execution, position size, invalidation, and profit management matter more than certainty.
Conclusion:
BTC has completed a strong 13% rebound from the July low.
That does not mean the market must continue rising without interruption.
The current area is better viewed as a risk-management zone:
manage existing longs, consider light short exposure near resistance, and remain prepared for continued upside above 67K.
This is a market structure analysis and personal trading journal, not financial advice. Short 
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