AVAX: Two Levels, One Road MapCRYPTOCAP:AVAX AVAX is approaching an important decision area.
Price has moved back into the red resistance zone on the 4H chart. From here, I don't think there is any reason to rush into a position.
There are two areas I want to watch.
The first is the current resistance zone.
If AVAX breaks above this area with a strong 4H candle and can hold the breakout, the structure becomes much more interesting. In that case, I would look for a breakout confirmation or a retest before considering the continuation setup.
The second area is the support zone around 7.1–7.3.
If the resistance rejects price and AVAX comes back down into this zone, this is where I would start looking for bullish price action again — not simply buying because price reached support, but waiting for a reaction, rejection, liquidity sweep or another confirmation that buyers are actually defending the area.
So for me, the chart is less about predicting the next candle and more about having a roadmap.
The setup
Scenario 1 — Breakout
AVAX breaks the red resistance zone → holds above it → confirms the breakout/retest.
In this case, the next major area on the chart is around 10.5.
Scenario 2 — Pullback
AVAX fails to break resistance → moves back toward the 7.1–7.3 support zone → bullish reaction appears.
That would give us another potential area to build a long setup from.
Invalidation: 6.7
A sustained move below 6.7 would significantly weaken this roadmap and tell us that the current bullish idea needs to be reassessed.
Why AVAX is interesting right now
There is also some useful fundamental context behind the chart.
Avalanche is continuing to develop its infrastructure around customizable L1s, interoperability and institutional applications. The network's upcoming Helicon upgrade is scheduled for September 22, 2026, bringing changes to C-Chain execution and gas pricing as well as validator staking rules.
There has also been recent attention around institutional and real-world-asset activity on Avalanche, including Janus Henderson becoming a validator and Aave's plans around tokenized RWA credit markets. These developments don't guarantee anything for AVAX price, but they are relevant when considering why the asset is receiving renewed attention.
Avalanche's current architecture is also increasingly focused on allowing applications and institutions to operate dedicated L1s while remaining connected through Avalanche's interoperability infrastructure.
That is the part of the fundamental story I find more useful here: AVAX is not only being traded as another altcoin; the network is trying to position itself as infrastructure for applications, financial products and customized blockchains.
But fundamentals don't replace confirmation on the chart.
For this setup, the important levels remain simple:
Resistance → breakout confirmation → continuation
or
Support → bullish reaction → setup
Until one of those happens, there is no need to force a trade
What matters most
This chart is a road map, not an instruction to buy now.
The resistance zone is already being tested, so chasing the current price gives us a worse-defined trade.
I would rather wait for the market to show its hand.
If resistance breaks and holds, we have a continuation scenario toward 10.5.
If resistance rejects and price returns to 7.1–7.3, we have another area where a new setup can potentially develop.
And if 6.7 breaks, the entire bullish roadmap needs to be reconsidered.
The level is important.
The reaction at the level is even more important.
Risk Warning: This is educational market analysis, not financial advice. AVAX and the wider crypto market can be highly volatile. Always define your invalidation, position size and maximum risk before entering a trade. 
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 18, 2026Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin encountered a powerful upward movement in last week's trading session, successfully retesting the Key Resistance level at $81,700.
Following this, the next target price is the completed Inner Coin Rally at $82,200, with an eye on the major advancement to the next Inner Coin Rally at $86,800.
On the downside, the current trading price indicates a likely reignition of the In-Force Retracement to the Mean Support at $78,000, from the Key Resistance level at $81,700, or from the completed Inner Coin Rally at $82,200, and/or from the next Inner Coin Rally at $86,800 once reached.
However, once the price cascade is in place, this could open the possibility of reaching the Key Support level at $75,600, with the potential to extend and retest the completed Inner Coin Dip level at $74,900. Short 
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Can BTC and ETH Truly Break Out of the Bottoming Range?
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(BTCUSDT)
BTC has broken above the 79,406.81 - 80,249.58 range, increasing expectations for further upside momentum.
Accordingly, we need to monitor whether the price can maintain support around the 79,406.81 - 80,249.58 zone and continue rising above 82,923.04.
The nearest target level is 82,923.04.
However, from the current price position, the key level that must be broken for a genuine bullish trend to begin is 89,294.25.
If BTC successfully moves above 89,294.25, it can be considered a true breakout from the bottoming range. At that point, the focus should shift toward identifying profit-taking opportunities.
The breakout above the 79,406.81 - 80,249.58 area is also encouraging because it indicates that the BSSC indicator has moved above the zero line.
However, the OBV indicator has not yet risen above its High Line. Therefore, it is important to confirm whether the 79,406.81 - 80,249.58 support zone can hold.
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(ETHUSDT)
ETH is showing a somewhat different picture compared to BTC.
Most notably, the OBV indicator is already positioned near its High Line.
Therefore, while BTC is testing support, it will be important to watch whether ETH can lead the market higher by breaking above 2,694.27.
Like BTC, ETH must rise above 2,887.66 before it can truly be considered out of its bottoming range.
Thus, the final buying opportunity would be when ETH successfully breaks above 2,887.66.
However, as both assets attempt to escape their bottoming structures, significant volatility may occur. Traders should exercise caution and manage risk accordingly.
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Thank you for taking the time to read this analysis.
Wishing you successful trades and profitable investments.
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Bitcoin to $98,000? Daily Flag Breakout Puts BTC Back in Focus
Bitcoin is showing an interesting development on the daily chart.
After reclaiming the 200 EMA, BTC spent the following sessions consolidating inside a downward-sloping structure. Following the latest strong upward move, price now appears to be breaking above the upper boundary of that consolidation.
This raises an obvious question:
Could Bitcoin be preparing for a move toward $94,000–$98,000?
Possibly — but there are several important things to watch before getting too confident about that scenario.
📊 The 200 EMA Changed the Picture
Before focusing on the current breakout, the 200 EMA deserves attention.
Bitcoin previously moved above this long-term moving average and has remained above it while the recent consolidation developed.
On this chart, the 200 EMA is currently around the $73,000 area.
That doesn’t mean $73K must hold if Bitcoin returns there. Moving averages are not guaranteed support levels.
But if BTC experiences a deeper correction, the interaction with the 200 EMA would be an important part of the technical picture.
A successful hold could support the broader bullish structure.
A decisive move back below it would require us to reassess that structure.
🚩 A Potential Flag Breakout
Following the strong upward impulse from the August lows, Bitcoin began moving inside a relatively tight downward-sloping channel.
This created a flag-like consolidation.
Now price appears to have pushed above the upper boundary of that structure, following another strong bullish daily move.
That is constructive from a technical perspective.
But there is an important distinction:
A breakout is not the same as a guaranteed continuation.
Price can break a trendline and return immediately inside the previous structure. False breakouts happen regularly, particularly in volatile markets such as Bitcoin.
For that reason, the next reaction may be just as important as the breakout itself.
🔄 Don’t Ignore the Possibility of a Retest
After a breakout, many traders immediately focus on higher targets.
But the market doesn’t have to move directly upward.
Bitcoin could return toward the former upper boundary of the flag and test whether that area can hold.
That would give us additional information.
If former resistance begins acting as support and buyers respond, the bullish continuation scenario becomes more interesting.
If price falls back into the flag and remains there, the breakout would look considerably weaker.
And if the correction becomes much deeper, attention would eventually shift back toward the 200 EMA around $73K.
Again, none of these levels should be treated as automatic entry points.
The reaction matters more than the level itself.
🎯 $94K and $98K: Areas to Watch, Not Predictions
If Bitcoin successfully holds the breakout and momentum continues, the chart shows two particularly interesting higher areas:
$94,000
$98,000
These should not be interpreted as guaranteed targets.
They are simply potential areas of interest within the bullish scenario.
From the current structure, the bullish roadmap could therefore look approximately like this:
200 EMA reclaimed → Flag consolidation → Breakout → Possible retest → Potential continuation toward $94K–$98K
But every step depends on what price actually does next.
Technical analysis is not about drawing an arrow toward $98K and assuming Bitcoin will follow it.
The arrow represents a scenario, not a forecast.
⚠️ What Could Go Wrong?
This is where caution becomes especially important.
Bitcoin has already made a strong upward move. After sharp moves, volatility can increase and short-term pullbacks can become aggressive.
Several alternative scenarios remain possible.
BTC could retest the breakout before continuing.
It could move sideways and build another consolidation.
The current breakout could fail completely.
Or the market could experience a deeper correction toward the 200 EMA.
That’s why chasing a strong candle simply because a technical pattern appears to have broken can be dangerous.
The objective should be to observe how the market behaves after the breakout.
🧠 Analysis, Not Prediction
The purpose of this chart isn’t to claim:
“Bitcoin is going to $98,000.”
A more useful question is:
“What would need to happen for $94K–$98K to become increasingly relevant?”
Right now, the daily structure gives us a framework:
Bullish scenario: The breakout holds and BTC maintains strength above the previous flag structure. The $94K and $98K areas become increasingly relevant.
Retest scenario: BTC returns toward the breakout area. We observe whether buyers defend it.
Deeper correction: Attention shifts toward lower support areas and potentially the 200 EMA around $73K.
Failed breakout: Price moves decisively back into the previous structure, forcing us to reassess the bullish thesis.
We don’t have to predict which one happens.
We can prepare for all of them.
🎓 Building a Process Instead of Predicting Markets
This type of scenario-based chart analysis is also part of what we work through in our courses: combining market structure, trendlines, moving averages and key price levels to create a plan before the market moves.
The objective isn’t to give someone a prediction or tell them where Bitcoin will go next.
It’s to learn how to look at a chart independently, identify different possibilities, define what would support or invalidate an idea, and then reassess as new price action develops.
Because good analysis isn’t about being certain.
It’s about being prepared when you’re wrong.
📊 Bitcoin to $98K — or retest first?
The breakout makes the bullish scenario interesting, but the next reaction could tell us much more.
Do you think BTC continues toward $94K–$98K from here, or does the market retest the breakout first? 👇
Educational content only. This is technical analysis, not financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile and involve substantial risk. Long 
