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Possible Path for Bitcoin till final bottomBITSTAMP:BTCUSD recently swept the June low and rallied to 61,500. The rally is expected to extend to 65,500 till next week before bears get reactivated. However I believe the low of 57,800 will not be revisited before the final capitulation.
200 DSMA will keep acting as resistance till late August before Bitcoin would crash and form a bottom around 51,000-52,000. Remember, the Realized Price for Bitcoin is hovering around 53,000 levels and Bitcoin never bottoms before sweeping the Realized Price.
By October, we can expect the bottoming to be completed, and that will also end the bear cycle of 1 year as it has happened in 2022, 2018, and bit more in 2014. Long 
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Rejection at Resistance Hints at Further DownsideBitcoin is showing signs of weakness after rejecting a key intraday resistance zone on the 1-hour timeframe. Price failed to sustain above the Ichimoku cloud and sellers quickly regained control, suggesting the recent recovery may only have been a corrective bounce within a broader bearish structure.
The highlighted 59,700–59,950 resistance area remains the first obstacle for bulls. As long as BTC stays below this zone, bearish momentum is likely to remain intact. A stronger supply zone is located around 60,500–60,900, where previous swing highs and heavy selling pressure make it a major resistance level.
The current price action indicates a possible continuation lower after the rejection. If sellers maintain control, Bitcoin could first decline toward Target 1 at 58,895, which aligns with recent support. A confirmed break below this level may accelerate the sell-off toward Target 2 at 58,325, where buyers could attempt another defense.
A bullish scenario would require price to reclaim and hold above the first resistance zone. Until then, rallies into resistance may continue to attract sellers.
Key Levels
Resistance: 59,700–59,950
Major Resistance: 60,500–60,900
Target 1: 58,895
Target 2: 58,325
Conclusion:
The overall short-term bias remains bearish while BTC trades below resistance. Traders should watch for bearish confirmation around the highlighted supply zones, with downside targets remaining in focus unless buyers reclaim the resistance levels. Short 
ETHUSDT Sellers Keep Control Below $1,600Ethereum is still struggling below the $1,590–1,600 resistance zone. Every recovery attempt is being absorbed, which shows that sellers remain active and buyers are not strong enough yet.
Unless ETH reclaims this resistance, the bearish continuation setup remains valid.
Trade Setup:
Sell Zone: $1,590 – $1,600
Stop Loss: $1,630
Take Profit 1: $1,550
Take Profit 2: $1,500 
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BTCUSD 4H AnalysisThe market has been rotating inside the same range for almost a week, and during this period it has developed a Pennant-type structure. In my view, the first breakout may not be the real move. Instead, I’m expecting an FMFR (First Move Fake Then Reverse) scenario before the actual trend begins.
To understand the structure, I copied the last major supply zone because it was the final supply area before the market entered a long sideways phase. After measuring the previous supply and demand movement, I identified a high-probability reversal zone where price has reacted in the past.
If the market gives a fake breakdown into the reversal zone, sweeps liquidity, and fails below the After Effect line, I will look for a strong Bullish Engulfing, Positive CCP, or any strong bullish confirmation candle. That would be my signal that the fake move has completed and the real bullish move may begin.
There are multiple reasons supporting this idea:
FMFR (First Move Fake Then Reverse) structure.
. The market is approaching a major bottom area, where fake-outs are common.
. Previous supply and demand measurements point to the same reversal zone.
. A liquidity sweep would help fill the remaining lows before the market reverses.
. Historical price action shows bullish reactions from similar zones.
For now, I’m waiting for confirmation inside the reversal zone rather than entering early. If the market confirms with a strong bullish candle after the fake breakdown, it can start a meaningful move to the upside.
Note: This analysis is based on the MMC Concept by Candle King. Long 
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Bitcoin chart analysis JUNE 29Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
My analysis is optimized for TradingView.
If you press the Replay button, you can check real-time movements.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Currently, a MACD Golden Cross is in progress on the 12-hour and daily charts.
(Although not visible on the screen,
I have entered a long position at $58,032.3 in the bottom left corner and am currently maintaining it.
Please check if it breaks the light blue support line.)
*Long Position Strategy (Following the red finger movement path)
1) $59,559 Long Position Entry Zone / Stop Loss if Green Support Line is broken
2) $61,113.5 Long Position 1st Target -> $60,717.8 Long Position Re-entry Zone
3) Top Zone Final Target Price
From the point where the green support line is broken,
the Bottom zone is open up to Zone 1 at the bottom.
If the light blue support line is broken today,
the $58,032.3 long position entry zone entered on the 25th will be
processed as a stop loss.
Please use my analysis post only for reference and practical application.
I hope you operate safely by strictly adhering to trading principles and stop loss rules.
thank you. Long 
Long
Bearish Rejection Could Trigger a Drop Toward Demand ZoneBTCUSDT is currently trading below a significant resistance zone around 60,600–60,900, where sellers have repeatedly defended price. The market structure remains cautious as price struggles to establish a higher high after the recent recovery.
The highlighted resistance area aligns with previous supply, making it a key level to watch for bearish confirmation.
Bearish Scenario
If Bitcoin fails to break and close above the resistance zone, a rejection could lead to a fresh bearish move. A lower high formation followed by bearish momentum may push price toward the highlighted demand zone around 58,900–59,200.
This demand area represents the next major support where buyers could attempt to regain control.
Key Levels
Resistance: 60,600 – 60,900
Current Price: ~60,140
Target (Demand Zone): 58,900 – 59,200
Trading Plan
Wait for bearish confirmation (rejection candle or lower high) inside the resistance zone.
Conservative traders may wait for a break below the recent swing low before entering.
The demand zone can be monitored for potential profit-taking or a possible bullish reaction.
Conclusion
BTC remains trapped below a strong resistance area. Unless buyers reclaim the highlighted supply zone with a convincing breakout, the probability favors a move lower toward the demand zone. Risk management is essential, as a breakout above resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook. Short 
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Multi Time Frame Analysis BTCBTCUSD — multi-timeframe:
BTC is trading near $59,200, about 52% below the October 2025 cycle high of $124,500. Price has been inside a descending channel since the top, and is currently testing the lower rail of that channel right where it lines up with the 1.0 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 2025 rally (~$57,000) and a horizontal demand shelf at 58,855. This confluence of channel support, fib level, and prior structure makes the current zone the key area to watch across all timeframes below.
4 Hour scenario:
Price is consolidating inside a descending channel (yellow trendlines). BTC is sitting near $59,200, just above the lower channel support. The 65,694 horizontal level is acting as resistance above. Price action is compressing toward the lower rail, indicating a potential breakdown or reaction bounce soon.
1 Day scenario:
BTC is struggling at the lower boundary of the daily descending channel that has been intact since the October top. The bearish structure remains unless BTC closes above $65,694. Momentum is slowing into support; the 58,855 horizontal is the immediate floor for bulls.
1 Month scenario:
Holding above $57,000 (the 1.0 Fibonacci retracement of the 2025 cycle, also the channel floor) keeps bullish reversal potential alive. If it breaks below $57,000, expect a deeper move toward the $50,000–$45,000 zone.
Disclaimer: The analysis and price levels above are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or legal advice. They are general market commentary based on the chart structure shown and should not be treated as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency or financial instrument. Short 
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Bitcoin chart analysis JUNE 26Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
My analysis is optimized for TradingView.
If you press the Replay button, you can check real-time movements.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
In the bottom left, marked with a purple finger, I have connected the strategy exactly at the entry point of the long position I entered on June 25th, which is $58,032.3.
I have provided the key plot points and prices.
*For those currently holding a long position:
1) Please pay attention to the purple parallel lines and the green parallel line support lines.
2) A vertical rise is expected if the rebound is successful after touching the marked zone 1.
A strong rise is expected if the rebound is successful after touching zone 2.
3) Since the price is open to the final bottom zone of $56,859.1 from the point of breaking the light blue support line, please check the parallel line support lines.
4) Currently, a MACD dead cross is in progress on the daily chart.
Even if it only consolidates without breaking the light blue support line,
it could rise again after tomorrow.
If the signal is ignored, it needs to touch the Top zone very strongly and rise above a "Great" level during the weekend.
5) I have left a rough movement path with the pink finger,
so I suggest you manage your position by utilizing the prices on the right.
Please use my analysis post merely as a reference and for practical use.
I hope you operate safely by adhering to trading principles and mandatory stop-losses.
Thank you for your hard work this week.
Thank you. Long 
