Long
BITCOIN UP MOVEBitcoin is currently experiencing a period of intense volatility, largely driven by shifting geopolitical tensions and a "tug-of-war" between institutional accumulation and macro-economic uncertainty.
As of March 25, 2026, here is the breakdown of the recent move:
1. Price Action: The Fight for $70,000
After a sharp weekend drop toward the $67,000–$67,500 support zone, Bitcoin staged a "risk-on snapback" earlier this week, briefly reclaiming the $71,000 level. However, this recovery has been fragile.
Current Status: BTC is currently oscillating around the $70,000 psychological mark.
Volatility: Realized volatility has spiked recently (3-month measures are hitting 107%), reflecting a market that is reacting aggressively to headlines rather than steady trend-following.
2. Key Drivers: Geopolitics & Oil
The primary catalyst for the recent "whipsaw" movement is the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
The "Trump Effect": A temporary pause in military strikes against Iran, announced by the U.S., triggered a massive $60 billion surge in the total crypto market cap within 14 hours.
The Oil Inverse: Bitcoin has recently shown a strong inverse correlation with crude oil. When Brent crude oil spiked back toward $100/barrel due to renewed tensions, Bitcoin faced immediate downward pressure as investors feared the inflationary impact of higher energy costs.
3. Institutional "Digital Credit"
Despite the price fluctuations, institutional accumulation remains aggressive.
Corporate Accumulation: Companies like Strategy Inc. (MSTR) continue to use perpetual preferred stock offerings—totaling over $22 billion—to fund massive Bitcoin acquisitions.
The "Safe Haven" Shift: Interestingly, some analysts have noted that during the most recent geopolitical escalations, Bitcoin ETFs saw inflows of nearly $2 billion, while traditional gold ETFs experienced significant outflows, suggesting a potential shift in how "safe-haven" assets are perceived in 2026.
4. Technical Levels to Watch
Technical analysts are focusing on several "battle lines" for the remainder of the week:
Resistance: $72,000–$74,000. A daily close above this range is considered necessary to confirm a return to the broader uptrend.
Support: $66,000–$68,000. This zone has acted as a "floor" during recent liquidations; losing this could open the doors to the $60,000 level (October 2024 lows). Long 
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BTC Relief rally | Bullish Indication BTC Read from the last two weeks, and the bottoming pattern suggests a short-term relief Rally. What initially looked like a Bearish Pattern, Pattern has shifted completely. Let's view in detail
BTC was in Decending channel initially but broke out currently. Resting for the 2nd Elliot Wave
Daily Bullish Divergence formed after almost a year with 5 Pivot Points. That itself is huge, but even after forming a Bullish Divergence, it does not directly shoot up, and goes for a liquidity swap on local levels
Senario
1. The 3rd Wave is almost completed, and 1 hour double bullish divergence, Probability - 70%
2. Fails to Reclaim LocalLevel, which is around 76k, and Falls back, Probability - 20%
3. Ranges 70k - 69k and Falls down to 53k, Probablity -10% Long 
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BTCUSD Bearish Rejection from Rising Channel ResistancePrice respected the ascending channel multiple times → bullish structure.
Strong rejection near 70,500 – 70,800 resistance zone.
A lower high formation is starting to appear → early sign of weakness.
Bearish momentum increasing after rejection.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Primary Setup)
Entry Zone: ~70,300 – 70,500
Stop Loss: 70,850 – 71,000 (above resistance)
Target 1: 69,200
Target 2: 68,800
Final Target: 68,700 – 68,500
👉 The big blue arrow indicates a potential breakdown move toward the lower channel / liquidity zone.
📈 Bullish Invalidation
If price breaks and closes above 70,900, bearish setup fails.
Then BTC could push toward:
71,500
72,000+ Short 
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$XRP 1Hr Chart OutlookCRYPTOCAP:XRP 1Hr Chart Outlook
Price is currently forming a short-term double bottom structure after the sharp downside move, with price now stabilizing around $1.44–$1.45.
Price has already printed Bottom 1 and Bottom 2, showing early signs of demand stepping in. Right now, XRP is consolidating just below the $1.46–$1.47 resistance zone, which is acting as the neckline of this structure.
This is a decision area — not a trend yet.
If bulls manage to push and hold above $1.47, it opens a quick move toward $1.50–$1.52, where previous supply kicked in. A clean breakout here can trigger momentum continuation.
On the flip side, if price gets rejected again from this zone, expect another rotation back toward $1.42–$1.40, as liquidity below the equal lows is still attractive.
Key levels
Resistance: $1.47
Breakout targets: $1.50 → $1.52
Support: $1.42–$1.40
This range is ideal for scalping between support and resistance, but avoid chasing — wait for either a clean breakout or rejection confirmation.
➖➖➖➖➖
Follow Crypto Sat 🟨 
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Long 
BTC Again Pullback Into Demand ZoneBitcoin has again reacted from the 71,000 – 71,300 demand zone, validating the previous structure after the drop driven by macro pressure from the Federal Reserve and stronger USD. This zone continues to act as a key liquidity base, where buyers are stepping in after the impulsive rally and CHOCH formation.
Technically, this still looks like a healthy pullback within a bullish structure, not a full reversal. The market swept liquidity below support and tapped into demand, which often signals accumulation before continuation. If this zone holds again, BTC can build momentum toward 72,800 → 73,500, and potentially retest higher resistance near 74k.
However, if price fails to hold 71,000, it would indicate weakness and lack of buying strength. In that case, the market could seek deeper liquidity at the next major demand zone (69,200 – 69,600), which aligns with the previous consolidation base and stronger institutional interest area.
Fundamentally, BTC remains sensitive to risk sentiment and liquidity conditions. While geopolitical tensions support crypto in the bigger picture, short-term moves are still heavily influenced by interest rates and USD strength.
Key Zones:
Support / Demand: 71,000 – 71,300
Major Demand: 69,200 – 69,600
Resistance: 72,800 – 73,500
Scenarios:
Hold above 71k: Bullish continuation → 73k+
Break below 71k: Drop toward 69.5k liquidity zone Long 
(FOMC) Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis MARCH 18
Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
The FOMC US interest rate announcement is scheduled for 3 AM shortly.
In the top left, marked by the purple finger, I have connected the strategy exactly to the entry point of the short position I entered yesterday, $74,279.
*The red finger indicates the long position strategy: chasing the price.
1. Chase buy at $72,800 / Stop loss if broken by the sky-blue support line.
2. $75,164 Long position 1st target -> Top zone 2nd target.
If the strategy is successful, $74.4K on the right is the re-entry point for the long position.
If the price drops to zone 1 at the bottom, it indicates a sideways market.
Since there is not a significant price difference, I intentionally set the stop loss generously at the sky-blue support line. However, to prevent the upward pattern from breaking, the price must not touch zone 1.
From the break below the light blue support line,
the bottom is open to Bottom -> Gap 8 -> up to Zone 2.
(The NASDAQ has completed the upper Gap retracement.)
Please exercise caution as significant movement is expected in the early morning.
Please use my analysis merely as a reference and for practical purposes.
I hope you operate safely by adhering to trading principles and strictly using stop-loss orders.
Thank you. Long 
