IndusInd BankTechnical Levels
Immediate Support: ₹1,000–1,005
Strong Support: ₹980–990
Major Support: ₹950–960
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,030–1,040
Major Resistance: ₹1,070–1,100
Bullish Target (if ₹1,040 is crossed with volume): ₹1,100–1,150
Technical View
The stock has reclaimed the psychologically important ₹1,000 level with improving volumes, which is a positive sign.
As long as it holds above ₹1,000, the short-term trend remains bullish.
A decisive close above ₹1,040 could trigger another upward move toward ₹1,100–1,150.
A fall below ₹980 may weaken the momentum and could lead to a retest of the ₹950–960 zone.
Trading Strategy
For swing traders: Consider buying on dips near ₹1,000–990, with a stop-loss below ₹975.
For existing holders: Continue holding while the stock remains above ₹1,000. Consider partial profit booking near ₹1,090–1,120 if momentum slows. XAUUSD: Bearish Elliott Wave Indicates Fibonacci TargetsGold is moving under renewed downside pressure after failing to hold the recovery structure above the 4,100 area. From Kelly’s view, the current chart suggests that a bearish Elliott wave sequence is developing, and price may continue lower if the sell zone remains defended.
The key idea is simple: gold is still weak below resistance, and the next downside targets are now guided by the Fibonacci structure.
⟡ Market structure
The chart shows gold rejected from the upper recovery area and started forming lower highs again. Price is now trading near 4,055, directly under the sell wave 5 zone, which makes this area very important for the next reaction.
The nearest resistance sits around 4,055–4,060. If gold cannot reclaim this zone with strength, sellers may continue to control the short-term structure.
Below current price, the chart highlights the 4,015–4,025 area as the next wave 4 reaction zone. If that support fails, the larger Elliott Wave End area around 3,950–3,960 becomes the main downside target.
➤ Key levels
◌ 4,055–4,060: sell wave 5 zone and current resistance
◌ 4,015–4,025: buy zone wave 4 / first downside reaction area
◌ 3,950–3,960: Elliott Wave End and Fibonacci 2.618 target zone
◌ 4,090–4,105: upper resistance if price rebounds
◌ Above 4,105: area where the bearish wave count weakens
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be building a bearish 5-wave structure after completing the previous corrective rebound.
Wave 1 created the first downside move from the recent high.
Wave 2 corrected upward but failed to continue higher.
Wave 3 pushed price lower with stronger momentum.
Wave 4 may form around 4,015–4,025 as a temporary reaction.
If the sell wave 5 zone continues to hold, wave 5 may extend towards the Fibonacci 2.618 target near 3,950–3,960.
This is why Kelly would treat the current rebound carefully. As long as price remains below resistance, the structure still favours a continuation lower.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for price to reject from the 4,055–4,060 sell zone before expecting downside continuation.
Sell zone: 4,055–4,060 if bearish confirmation appears
Stop loss: above 4,105 or above the confirmed rejection high
Take profit 1: 4,015–4,025
Take profit 2: 3,980
Take profit 3: 3,950–3,960
Alternative scenario: if gold breaks above 4,105 and holds with strong acceptance, the bearish Elliott setup weakens. In that case, price may need to rebuild a new structure before the next direction becomes clearer.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, this is still a bearish Elliott structure. Gold has not shown enough strength to confirm a bullish reversal, and the market is now reacting under an important sell zone.
The cleanest plan is to follow the Fibonacci roadmap and wait for confirmation from resistance.
Gold remains under pressure.
If the sell zone holds, the next bearish wave may continue towards the Fibonacci targets below.
Share your view below. 
Short
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook: Hunting for the Next Order BlockYour trading setup outlines a classic breakout and breakdown technical strategy for Gold (XAU/USD). With the current spot price consolidating around the $4,115 – $4,150 zone, your parameters create clear operational triggers for both bullish and bearish market structures.
Here is a structured analysis of your layout, analyzing the mechanics, probabilities, and risks behind both scenarios.
Technical Setup Overview
Your strategy is designed to capture liquidity expansions outside of a defined consolidation corridor. Instead of guessing the market's direction, you are preparing to react only when the market commits to a path.
Scenario A: The Bullish Breakout (Above $4,158)
The $4,157 – $4,158 zone has recently acted as an upper consolidation ceiling.
The Mechanics: A clean daily or 4-hour candle close above $4,158 signals that buyers have overwhelmed the immediate overhead supply. This likely triggers a wave of short-covering (traders cutting short positions) and activates momentum buy-stop orders.
Path to $4,181: Once $4,158 clears, the market enters a minor vacuum zone. The next natural friction point sits near the $4,171 – $4,181 area, which historically aligns with previous swing highs and heavy moving averages (like the 15-min MA200).
Invalidation Risk: Beware of the "fakeout." If the price spikes above $4,158 but quickly pulls back inside the range, it becomes a liquidity sweep, leaving breakout buyers trapped.
Scenario B: The Bearish Breakdown (Below $4,089)
The $4,089 – $4,090 zone serves as a critical defense line for intermediate buyers.
The Mechanics: If the price slides below $4,089, it indicates a structural shift from consolidation to a descending breakdown. Sellers will gain aggressive momentum as the stops of longer-term buyers get triggered.
Path to $4,067: The move from $4,089 down to $4,067 is structurally tight (a drop of roughly 22 pips/dollars). The market is highly likely to reach your target quickly because $4,060 – $4,067 represents the ultimate lower boundary of the broader multi-week support block.
Invalidation Risk: Institutional buyers frequently hunt for liquidity just beneath major psychological support lines. A quick drop to $4,085 followed by an aggressive V-shaped recovery would invalidate this short setup.
Executing the Analysis Effectively
To turn these numbers into actionable, high-probability trades, consider implementing these key rules:
Wait for Confirmation: Avoid entering the exact microsecond a level is touched. Look for a strong candle close (15-minute or 1-hour chart depending on your trading style) beyond your trigger lines to filter out noise.
The Re-test Protocol: The safest entry often occurs not on the initial break, but when the price pulls back to test the broken level ($4,158 or $4,089) and rejects it, converting old resistance into new support (or vice-versa).
Symmetric Risk Management:
For the Long trade, a stop-loss could sit safely back inside the range (around $4,145).
For the Short trade, a stop-loss placed back above the breakdown candle (around $4,100) preserves a healthy risk-to-reward ratio.
Macro Note: Keep a close eye on incoming macroeconomic catalysts, particularly updates regarding US Federal Reserve policy and escalating geopolitical shifts. These factors are the primary fuel causing gold to violently smash through technical levels rather than respecting them. XAUUSD Weekly Outlook: Hunting for the Next Order BlockWith spot gold currently trading around $4,176, price action is sitting tightly right between your two major trigger zones. Friday's weak US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report sparked a fresh rally, pushing the market back above $4,170. This makes your specific breakout and breakdown targets highly relevant for next week's trading sessions.
Technical Layout
🔼 BULLISH TARGET: $4,242
▲ Major Resistance: $4,218
---------------------------------------------
★ CURRENT SPOT: $4,176 (As of July 3, 2026)
---------------------------------------------
▼ Major Support: $4,131
🔽 BEARISH TARGET: $4,101
Scenario 1: The Bullish Breakout (Buy Trigger)
Trigger Condition: Daily or 4-Hour candle close cleanly above $4,218.
Target: $4,242 (an extension toward mid-June resistance zones).
Market Context
The $4,218 level served as a stubborn ceiling throughout late June. Breaking above this level signals that the multi-week corrective phase has ended and buyers are reasserting control.
If liquidity flushes past this level, a quick vacuum up to $4,242 is highly likely as short positions scramble to cover.
Risk Management: If you take the breakout on a $4,218 breach, a tight stop-loss can be placed just back inside the previous consolidation range (around $4,195) to protect against a fakeout.
Scenario 2: The Bearish Breakdown (Sell Trigger)
Trigger Condition: Daily or 4-Hour candle close cleanly below $4,131.
Target: $4,101 (psychological support and early-June swing lows).
Market Context
The market found major structural support near $4,121–$4,131 during this week's dip before the NFP reversal. If the dollar regains traction and forces a break below $4,131, it invalidates Friday's bullish momentum completely.
A clean break here opens the trapdoor to the psychological $4,100 handle, which aligns perfectly with your $4,101 target.
Risk Management: If shorting the breakdown below $4,131, consider keeping stops tight around $4,155 to ensure a strong risk-to-reward ratio.
Key Variables to Watch
Keep an eye on the US Dollar Index (DXY). The current rally is largely fueled by cooling rate-hike anxieties. If the dollar continues to soften on Sunday's market open, the momentum will favor an initial test of your $4,218 resistance line. GOLD WEAK BELOW VALUEBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD STAYS WEAK BELOW VALUE RESISTANCE
Gold starts the new week under pressure, trading back near the 4,100 area after continuing last week’s pullback. The market is reacting to renewed tension around Iran, stronger oil prices from Hormuz risk, and a firmer US dollar after the Fed’s inflation warning.
The daily setup still supports a defensive tone. Gold remains below the 21-day moving average, while RSI stays under 50. That means buyers have not regained full control yet.
Technical structure
On the 2H chart, gold is still trading below the main value resistance.
Price is currently trying to recover from the rising trendline area, but the bounce is not strong enough yet. The key zone above is the POC Rejection Zone around 4,090 - 4,095. If price tests this area and fails, sellers can defend again and push gold lower.
The main support I am watching is the VAL Buy Reaction zone around 4,020 - 4,030. This is the lower value area where buyers may attempt a reaction if gold sells down again.
As long as gold stays below the POC Rejection Zone and VAH Resistance, the structure remains weak.
Important zones
VAH Resistance: 4,150 - 4,155
Upper resistance and major sell reaction area.
POC Rejection Zone: 4,090 - 4,095
Main resistance and current value rejection area.
Rising trendline support:
Short-term structure support that buyers are trying to defend.
VAL Buy Reaction: 4,020 - 4,030
Main lower value support and possible buy reaction zone.
Trading scenario
Sell reaction from POC Rejection Zone 4,090 - 4,095
Entry:
Look for sell positions only if price rebounds into 4,090 - 4,095 and shows clear rejection.
Stop Loss:
Above the POC Rejection Zone or above the local rejection high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,060
TP2: 4,020 - 4,030
TP3: Trail only if sellers break the VAL zone with momentum
This setup follows the current weak structure and uses the Volume Profile resistance as the main sell area.
Final view
Gold is still under pressure despite the small rebound from the trendline area.
For now, the better plan is to watch how price reacts around 4,090 - 4,095. If sellers defend this POC zone, gold can rotate lower towards 4,020 - 4,030.
A stronger bullish recovery only becomes valid if price reclaims 4,095 and later breaks above 4,150 - 4,155.
Trade the retest. Respect the volume zone. Long 
XAUUSD: Massive Weekly Gap Down — Hunting Shorts to 4HR POI🔍 Why the Gap Down in XAUUSD?
Today's gap down is a classic case of "Counterintuitive Market Mechanics" driven by a major escalation over the weekend:
The Crude Oil & Dollar Index Surge: Over the weekend, US CENTCOM launched precision strikes against targets in Iran following drone/missile attacks. This forced crude oil prices to instantly skyrocket by 4%.
The Inflation / Rate Hike Trap: Usually, war drives gold up. But because oil spiked so aggressively, the market suddenly panicked that inflation is going to surge right back up.
Hawkish Central Banks: Higher inflation means the US Federal Reserve and other central banks will be forced to keep interest rates higher for longer or potentially look at more monetary tightening. Since Gold pays no yield, the fear of sustained high interest rates caused institutional desks to dump bullion.
DXY Strength: This massive capital flight went straight into the US Dollar, causing the Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY $) to surge over 101.20, crushing Gold at the weekly open.
Direction: Short / Bearish Bias 🔴
Market Overview:
XAUUSD opened the week with a massive structural gap down, catching many retail buyers off guard. Despite escalating geopolitical headlines over the weekend involving the US and Iran, the massive 4% surge in crude oil has drastically revived global inflation fears. The market is pricing in hawkish central bank extensions (higher for longer rates), causing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to skyrocket past 101.20 and forcing a heavy liquidation in safe-haven bullion.
Technical Structure & Bias:
The higher timeframe structure has officially shifted its short-term direction. We are observing pure bearish control right from the weekly open.
The Higher Timeframe Objective: The immediate path of least resistance is downward. We are looking for a continuation toward the major 4-Hour Point of Interest (POI) demand zone lower down.
Intraday Strategy: The macro bias is strictly sell-on-rise. Any early-session bullish momentum or corrective bounces must be treated purely as temporary retracements to tap premium pricing.
Risk Warning: Do not mistake minor intraday green candles for a bullish trend shift. Do not try to catch the falling knife or aggressively buy the gap-fill without institutional confirmation. Stay alert, protect your capital, and look for clean bearish setups on the lower timeframes (15m/1h) executing in line with the major 4H flow.
⚠️ Technical Disclaimer:
The structural outlook and directional bias mentioned in this chart text reflect an independent technical perspective based on institutional order flow. This is not financial advice or a direct signal to execute. Every trader must conduct their own due diligence, manage their leverage responsibly, and wait for personal confirmation before entering any positions. XAU/USD (Gold) Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis —Market Overview
The 45-minute Gold (XAU/USD) chart shows a well-established bearish trend. Price is trading below the dynamic trend cloud, while all monitored timeframes (5M, 15M, 45M, 4H, and Daily) are aligned with bearish momentum. This multi-timeframe confirmation significantly increases the probability that sellers remain in control unless key resistance levels are reclaimed.
Trend Analysis
Primary Trend: Bearish
Short-Term Momentum: Weak
Medium-Term Structure: Lower highs and lower lows remain intact.
Long-Term Bias: Bearish until price closes above major resistance.
The indicator cloud has turned completely red, indicating sustained selling pressure and trend continuation.
Multi-Timeframe Signal
Timeframe Bias Interpretation
5 Minute 🔴 Bearish Strong intraday selling pressure
15 Minute 🔴 Bearish Sellers maintain momentum
45 Minute 🔴 Bearish Trend continuation confirmed
4 Hour 🔴 Bearish Swing trend remains negative
Daily 🔴 Bearish Overall market sentiment favors bears
Overall Market Bias: Strong Bearish
Price Structure
Current price is approximately 4057.66.
Recent price action shows:
Continuous rejection from the trend cloud.
Failure to establish higher highs.
Strong selling after each recovery attempt.
Price remains below dynamic resistance.
This indicates institutions continue selling rallies rather than buying dips.
Support Levels
4055 (Immediate Support)
4045
4030
4015
A break below 4055 could accelerate bearish momentum toward lower support zones.
Resistance Levels
4075
4088
4100
4125
Any recovery toward these levels may attract renewed selling unless accompanied by strong bullish volume.
Momentum Assessment
Although the broader trend remains bearish, the latest candles suggest selling momentum is slowing near support.
This creates the possibility of:
A short-term corrective bounce.
Retest of nearby resistance.
Continuation of the dominant downtrend if buyers fail to break above the trend cloud.
Potential Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 — Trend Continuation (Higher Probability)
Price retests 4075–4088.
Sellers defend resistance.
Bearish candles appear.
Downtrend resumes toward 4045 and 4030.
Probability: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (High)
Scenario 2 — Short-Term Bullish Correction
Buyers defend 4055.
Price rebounds toward 4085–4100.
Recovery remains corrective unless resistance is decisively broken.
Probability: ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ (Moderate)
Risk Factors
Watch for:
High-impact U.S. economic data.
Federal Reserve-related news.
U.S. Dollar strength.
Treasury yield movements.
These events can quickly invalidate short-term technical setups.
Professional Outlook
The market structure remains decisively bearish across all monitored timeframes, reinforcing the strength of the prevailing downtrend. However, price is approaching a support area where selling pressure appears to be easing, increasing the likelihood of a short-term corrective rebound before the broader bearish trend potentially resumes.
As long as XAU/USD remains below the 4088–4100 resistance zone, rallies are likely to be viewed as selling opportunities within the dominant downtrend. A confirmed break above this resistance, supported by strong bullish momentum, would be the first indication that market sentiment is shifting and that a more sustained recovery could develop.
Current Bias: 🔴 Bearish
Confidence Level: High
Preferred Strategy: Sell rallies into resistance while monitoring support for signs of a temporary corrective bounce. Long 
Long 
Long 
Short 
XAUUSD: Sellers Still Own the Week XAUUSD: Sellers Still Own the Week
Market Context
Gold starts the new week under renewed pressure after losing the recovery zone around 4,100. Sellers remain in control as the US Dollar finds support from stronger oil prices and fresh inflation concerns.
Rising oil prices can bring inflation pressure back into focus, and that keeps the market cautious about Fed policy. Even if gold tries to rebound, buyers still need to reclaim structure before the market can shift back to a stronger bullish view.
The main story is simple: gold is weak below 4,100, and every rebound into resistance can still become a sell setup.
Technical Structure
Gold is trading around 4,060 after failing to hold the previous recovery structure. The chart shows that price lost momentum near the 4,100 area and is now moving lower toward the nearest buy zone.
The first key support is around 4,040. If this area holds, gold may create a short technical rebound toward the sell-side liquidity zone near 4,085 - 4,095.
However, the bounce remains corrective unless buyers reclaim 4,100 with strength. If price fails around 4,085 - 4,100, sellers may return and push gold lower again.
The deep demand zone sits around 3,960 - 3,980. If the 4,040 buy zone breaks, this lower zone becomes the next major area to watch.
Key Levels
Current Price: 4,060
Buy Zone: 4,040
Sell-side Liquidity: 4,085 - 4,095
Recovery Reclaim Level: 4,100
First Sell Reaction Zone: 4,145 - 4,175
Premium Sell Zone: 4,175 - 4,200
Deep Demand Zone: 3,960 - 3,980
Bearish Continuation: Below 4,040
Trading Plan
Sell Scenario: Rejection From Liquidity
Entry: 4,085 - 4,100 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,120
TP1: 4,060
TP2: 4,040
TP3: 4,000
Conditions: Price rebounds into the sell-side liquidity zone but fails to reclaim 4,100. Bearish rejection appears, buyers lose momentum, and price starts forming lower highs again. This remains the priority setup while gold stays below 4,100.
Sell Continuation Scenario
Entry: Below 4,040 after confirmed breakdown and retest
Stop Loss: Above 4,065
TP1: 4,015
TP2: 3,980
TP3: 3,960
Conditions: Price breaks below the 4,040 buy zone, retest fails, and bearish momentum continues. This would confirm that the short-term rebound has failed and sellers are ready to drive price toward the deep demand zone.
Buy Scenario: Reaction From Buy Zone
Entry: 4,040 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 4,015
TP1: 4,060
TP2: 4,085
TP3: 4,100
Conditions: Price must hold the 4,040 buy zone and show a clear bullish reaction. This is only a short-term bounce setup, not a full reversal. Buyers still need to reclaim 4,100 before the structure can improve.
Alternative Sell Scenario: Sell From Higher Resistance
Entry: 4,145 - 4,175 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,200
TP1: 4,100
TP2: 4,040
TP3: 3,980
Conditions: Price recovers deeper into the first sell reaction zone but fails to continue higher. Strong rejection from this area would confirm that sellers are still defending the broader bearish structure.
Overall Bias
Gold remains under downside pressure. The recovery zone near 4,100 has been lost, and buyers have not shown enough strength to reclaim control.
For now, 4,040 is the first support to watch. If it holds, a small rebound toward 4,085 - 4,100 can happen. If it breaks, the bearish path toward 3,980 and 3,960 becomes much cleaner.
Best approach: wait for a reaction at 4,040 or a rejection near 4,085 - 4,100. Do not chase buys while gold remains below the recovery level.
Will buyers defend 4,040, or will sellers break it and send gold back to deep demand?
Long 
XAUUSD 4057 FVG sweep — 4134 nextXAUUSD 4057 FVG sweep — 4134 next
That dump under 4,100 looks nasty. But this is exactly where I don’t want to chase late shorts.
Gold lost the 4,100 handle early, yeah. Macro is heavy too. US-Iran tension, stronger USD, oil/inflation fear, Fed warning noise. All of that keeps pressure on gold.
But chart-wise? Price is already sitting right above the FVG around 4,057 - 4,065. That’s the discount pocket.
This is where a trap can form.
Sellers already pushed price below the EMA cluster around 4,094 - 4,106. So the short-term structure looks weak. No argument there. But if price sweeps this FVG and fails to continue lower, that’s where buyers can step in for a reaction move.
Main bias for this setup is bullish recovery from the FVG.
Not a full trend reversal. Don’t overthink it. Just a liquidity bounce into higher supply.
The first level price needs to reclaim is 4,100 - 4,106. That EMA cluster is the gate. If gold gets back above it and holds, next draw is 4,134. That’s the SSL area marked on the chart. Above that, the Order Block around 4,155 - 4,170 becomes the real target.
Trading scenario:
Buy idea only if price holds the 4,057 - 4,065 FVG and reclaims back above 4,100 - 4,106.
Entry zone: 4,057 - 4,075 after confirmation
Stop loss: below 4,045
TP1: 4,100
TP2: 4,134
TP3: 4,155 - 4,170
No reclaim, no buy. Simple.
If gold closes hard below 4,045, this bounce idea is dead. Then sellers can drag price back toward 4,028 and maybe lower.
For now, I’m watching the FVG sweep first, then the 4,106 reclaim.
You think gold traps sellers here or breaks clean below 4,057?
Long 
XAUUSD 4135 reclaim — 4210 is the next trap XAUUSD 4135 reclaim — 4210 is the next trap
That weekly shift is getting interesting now.
Whole week was basically one big liquidity game.
First, gold swept into 4,098 and reacted from the OB. Then it flushed deeper into 4,021, grabbed the low, and bounced again. After that, price pushed into 4,125 - 4,140 FVG and rejected. Sellers had control there for a bit.
But now? Different read.
Gold is no longer just bleeding lower. That reaction from the 3,959 - 4,023 area gave a clear ChoCH, then price started building higher again. Slow. Messy. Not pretty. But still a recovery structure.
Main bias now is bullish continuation while price holds above 4,080 - 4,023.
I’m watching the reclaim around 4,135. If buyers keep price above the EMA cluster and don’t let it sink back under 4,107, then 4,210 becomes the next magnet. That is the first Order Block. Also a clean premium zone. So yeah, I expect reaction there. Maybe pullback. Maybe trap.
But if 4,210 breaks and holds, then the bigger draw is 4,365 - 4,379. That upper OB is sitting there like unfinished business.
Trading scenario:
Buy idea only if price holds above 4,107 - 4,080 and keeps building higher.
Entry zone: 4,107 - 4,135 after confirmation
Stop loss: below 4,023
TP1: 4,210
TP2: 4,230
TP3: 4,365 - 4,379
No confirmation, no chase into the middle.
If gold closes hard below 4,023, this bullish recovery is cooked. Then the whole move turns back into sell-side pressure, and 3,959 can be tested again.
For now, I’m reading this as weekly sweep first, recovery second, 4,210 next trap zone.
You think gold tags 4,210 first or shakes out one more low?
Long 
MASON XAUUSD – Trendline Break May Target FibonacciXAUUSD is trading around 4,071 after losing short-term recovery momentum near the Ichimoku structure. Price is now testing the rising trendline support, and the early-week focus is on whether gold can hold this structure or break lower.
The priority view is bearish if gold breaks below the trendline and strong support area. A clean breakdown may open the way toward the Fibonacci extension targets.
Technical View
Gold is currently moving inside a tightening structure between the descending resistance line and the rising trendline support. This shows that price is being compressed before a stronger move.
The short-term recovery has failed to break clearly above the Ichimoku resistance. Price remains under pressure near the cloud, which means buyers have not fully regained control. As long as gold stays below the Ichimoku resistance and below the FVG sell order zone, the upside remains limited.
The 4,100–4,106 area is the main FVG sell order zone on the chart. This zone is important because it aligns with the short-term resistance structure, Ichimoku pressure, and the descending trendline area. If gold retests this zone and rejects, it may confirm another lower high before the next bearish leg.
The 4,055–4,065 area is the strong support zone and also connects with the rising trendline. If price breaks below this area, the bullish correction structure may fail. That would confirm a trendline break and shift the short-term market back into stronger bearish continuation.
The first downside target is the Fibonacci 1.618 extension around 4,015–4,020. If selling pressure continues after breaking support, the next deeper target may be the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3,950–3,960.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,071
FVG sell order zone: 4,100–4,106
Ichimoku resistance area: 4,085–4,111
Strong support: 4,055–4,065
Trendline breakdown zone: below 4,055
Fibonacci 1.618 target: 4,015–4,020
Fibonacci 2.618 target: 3,950–3,960
Invalidation: above 4,116
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,100–4,106
Condition: wait for bearish rejection from the FVG sell order zone, failed recovery above Ichimoku, or a clean break below the rising trendline support.
SL: above 4,116
TP1: 4,055–4,065
TP2: 4,015–4,020
TP3: 3,950–3,960
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks below 4,055 directly at the start of the week, wait for a retest of the broken trendline or support zone as resistance before looking for sell continuation toward the Fibonacci 1.618 target.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority while price stays below the FVG sell order zone and Ichimoku resistance. A short-term buy reaction may appear around 4,015–4,020, but it needs clear bullish confirmation first.
Final View
Overall, gold is still under short-term bearish pressure. The key point for the start of the week is the rising trendline support. If gold breaks below 4,055–4,065, the correction structure may fail and the downside path toward 4,015 and 3,950 becomes more realistic.
Will gold break the trendline early next week, or retest the FVG sell order zone before moving lower?
Short 
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | July 13✅ 4-Hour Trend Analysis
From the 4-hour timeframe, gold is currently trading above MA5 (4108.21), MA10 (4114.65), and the Bollinger Band midline / MA20 (4102.45), indicating that the short-term rebound structure remains relatively strong and that buyers still hold a certain advantage.
The 4154–4157 area above is where the Bollinger Band upper line overlaps with previous resistance. Until price breaks through this zone effectively, a new one-way bullish trend cannot yet be confirmed.
✅ 1-Hour Trend Analysis
From the 1-hour chart, the current price is approaching the 1-hour Bollinger Band upper line at 4126.34. At the same time, the descending trendline and the previous high around 4133–4137 are also creating resistance.
Therefore, the 1-hour trend remains bullish overall, but price has already entered a short-term resistance zone. Chasing the market higher should be approached with caution. If gold fails to break through 4126–4137, another pullback after a short-term rally may occur.
🔴 Key Resistance Levels
● 4126–4137: Descending trendline resistance zone
● 4154–4157: 4-hour Bollinger Band upper resistance
● 4189–4203: Previous high resistance zone
● Around 4240: Medium-term structural resistance
🟢 Key Support Levels
● 4108–4102: Bollinger Band midline support
● 4090–4073: 1-hour Bollinger Band lower support
● 4050–4040: 4-hour Bollinger Band lower support
● Around 4022: Important structural support
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Short Position Strategy: Watch for pullback opportunities after price is rejected at higher resistance levels.
👉 Sell Zone 1: 4126–4137
👉 Sell Zone 2: 4154–4157
🎯 Targets: 4110 → 4102 → 4090 → 4073
⚠️ If price breaks through strongly and holds above 4157, the short strategy should be treated with caution, as gold may continue higher toward 4189–4203.
🔰 Long Position Strategy: Wait for price to pull back to key support and stabilize before considering an entry.
👉 Buy Zone 1: 4108–4102
👉 Buy Zone 2: 4090–4073
🎯 Targets: 4126 → 4137 → 4157 → 4189
⚠️ If price falls below 4073 and continues trading under this level, the short-term rebound structure will weaken significantly, and long positions should be managed carefully.
🔔 If you find my analysis helpful, please like, share, and stay tuned for future updates. Your support is my motivation to continue sharing professional insights. Wishing everyone smooth trading and steady profits! GOLD IS ABOUT TO TRAP EVERYONE AGAIN... HERE'S WHYLast week, sellers tried their best to push Gold lower, but at the same time, buyers also showed impressive strength. Most importantly, Gold managed to deliver a weekly close above our key support level of $4080.
Overall, if I look at last week's price action, it is clear that the bulls showed strong participation. Even after such heavy selling pressure, the market managed to recover and close with bullish momentum. That tells me buyers are still in control. So, let's discuss whether Gold is more likely to buy or sell next week and perform a complete psychological breakdown to understand how we can catch the best trading opportunities.
The biggest trap of last week was actually created on Monday. If you noticed, Gold performed an almost perfect liquidity sweep around $4200 before showing a strong rejection and selling move. Looking at the entire week, the market formed a clear lower high structure. Because of that, there's no doubt that many traders are still holding sell positions from around $4200, with stop losses placed above that level, expecting a much bigger downside move.
At the same time, every trader following traditional price action and trendline analysis likely entered fresh sell positions on every pullback. As I have shown on the chart, many traders are expecting the market to react from that trendline and are probably hoping for a gap-down opening on Monday.
However, I believe they are missing one very important detail.
During Friday's closing session, buying volume increased significantly. The 4-hour candle closed as a strong bullish hammer, clearly showing that buyers stepped in aggressively near the weekly close. More importantly, the downside liquidity has already been taken.
The sharp decline we witnessed last week was mainly designed to trap random buyers who entered too early. Those stop losses have already been hunted. Now, the majority of fresh stop losses are sitting above the market because so many traders are currently holding sell positions. In my opinion, trapping those sellers has become the next logical objective for smart money.
My plan for next week is very simple.
As long as Gold remains above the $4078 to $4116 support zone, I remain strongly bullish. Personally, I expect Monday's opening to be bullish, and I wouldn't even be surprised to see a gap-up opening specifically to trap sellers who are still holding positions based on the lower high structure.
I expect an aggressive bullish move after the market opens, which could quickly push Gold toward the $4163 to $4183 resistance zone. Around that area, we may see some short-term consolidation or attract a few fresh sellers, but I believe that would simply be part of the process before the next continuation move higher.
Most importantly, I am expecting a breakout above $4200 this week.
Remember, during the week of June 22, Gold produced a strong rejection from that area. Because of that previous rejection, many traders have already entered fresh sell positions after seeing another rejection from $4200 last week. That tells me a significant amount of liquidity is now resting above $4200, and I believe smart money will eventually target that liquidity.
Even if the market breaks the lower high structure and then pauses, consolidates, or even creates a small fake bearish move, I would simply view that as liquidity creation before another bullish continuation.
Overall, my outlook remains bullish, and I expect Gold to break above $4200, move beyond $4220, and potentially extend toward $4274 during the upcoming week.
I hope you enjoyed this short and simple psychological trading plan for the upcoming week. Hopefully, it helps you prepare for the trading sessions ahead.
I sincerely wish everyone a profitable trading week. Trade patiently, always respect your risk management and money management rules, and don't let emotions control your decisions.
By the way, what's your view on Gold for next week?
Let me know your opinion in the comments.
Short 
Short 
XAUUSD : Buying the Dip from Demand Zone to 4138📊 Market Context & Technical Analysis
Looking at the XAUUSD 30-minute chart, we can see a clear structural shift from bearish to bullish, providing a high-probability long setup.
Market Structure Shift: After a period of downside movement marked by a Break of Structure (BOS) and a Market Structure Shift (MSS), price found a solid bottom around the 4,020 area.
Change of Character (CHOCH): A powerful impulsive move to the upside broke previous minor swing highs, confirming a CHOCH and transitioning the local trend back to bullish.
Trendline Support: The market has established a clear ascending support line, which price has respected multiple times.
Demand Zone Confluence: Price is currently retracing and compressing right into a freshly formed Demand Zone (approx. 4,100 - 4,106). This zone perfectly aligns with the dynamic ascending trendline support, offering strong confluence for a long entry.
🏹 The Trade Execution Plan
We are looking for a bullish reaction within the identified demand zone to ride the next impulse wave upward.
Direction: Long 🟢
Entry Zone: 4,100 - 4,106 (Within the highlighted blue Demand Zone)
Invalidation / Stop Loss (SSL): Below the recent swing low structure around 4,073 (Sell-Side Liquidity level).
Take Profit / Target (BSL): 4,138 (Targeting the Buy-Side Liquidity sitting at the recent swing high).
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
Always wait for lower timeframe confirmation (e.g., a 1m to 5m CHOCH or bullish engulfing candle) inside the demand zone before executing to minimize risk. Manage your risk properly and never risk more than your plan allows. Long 
