XAU/USD 15M Short Setup | Supply Zone RejectionTrend: Price is making lower highs and lower lows after the recent peak.
Ascending channel: Price is rebounding within an upward-sloping channel, but the larger intraday structure still looks bearish.
Supply zone: Around 4,121–4,122 (marked "Supply") is a significant resistance area.
Current price: Around 4,108, sitting near the middle of the channel—not at an ideal entry.
Trade idea shown
Entry: Around 4,108.4
Stop-loss: Around 4,121.4 (above supply)
Target: Around 4,080
Risk-to-reward: Approximately 1:2, which is generally reasonable.
What would increase confidence?
I'd want to see one of these before entering:
Price reaches the 4,120–4,122 supply zone and prints bearish rejection (long upper wick, bearish engulfing, etc.).
Price breaks below the channel and then retests it from underneath before continuing lower.
Momentum indicators (if used) show weakening buying pressure as price approaches resistance.
Risks to the setup
If price closes decisively above 4,121–4,122, the bearish thesis weakens considerably.
The current entry is mid-channel, which isn't the highest-probability location. Waiting for either resistance or a confirmed breakdown may provide a better risk profile.
Overall assessment
Bias: Moderately bearish (about 6.5–7.5/10 confidence based only on this chart).
Setup quality: Good if price rejects the supply zone or confirms a channel breakdown.
Current price: Somewhat early for a short, since it hasn't yet reached the marked resistance or broken support.
If this is your own setup, I can also analyze:
the risk-to-reward mathematically,
the market structure (BOS/CHOCH),
liquidity and order blocks, or
combine this with the 1H and 4H charts for a higher-confidence bias. 
Long
Long
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD NEEDS A PULLBACK BEFORE THE NEXT BUY BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD NEEDS A PULLBACK BEFORE THE NEXT BUY
Gold is still recovering from the weekly low, but the current price is not in the best buy location anymore.
This week, most of the previous plans were built around one idea: do not chase gold in the middle. Wait for price to return into value, then trade the reaction. That approach remains valid now.
Gold has bounced strongly from the lower value area, but price is currently losing momentum below the POC Rejection Zone. This means the market may need to sell first before giving a cleaner buy opportunity.
Weekly recap
Earlier this week, gold reacted from the lower support area and started to rebuild above the VAL zone.
After that, price pushed into resistance but failed to break strongly above the upper value structure.
The latest chart now shows gold stuck between resistance above and buy value below.
The main message for the week is clear: buyers are active from lower value, but they still need better price location.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold rejected near the upper resistance and is now trading below the POC Rejection Zone around 4,140 - 4,145.
This area is important because sellers may defend it again if price tries to recover too early.
The key buy area I am watching is the VAL Buy Reaction zone around 4,070 - 4,075. This is the cleaner value zone where buyers previously showed strength.
If price sells down into this area and holds, gold can build another bullish reaction.
Important zones
VAH Sell Zone: 4,175 - 4,180
Upper resistance and major sell reaction area.
POC Rejection Zone: 4,140 - 4,145
Current resistance and failed recovery zone.
VAL Buy Reaction: 4,070 - 4,075
Main buy area after a pullback.
Current price area: 4,110 - 4,115
Middle zone, not the best place to chase.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from VAL Buy Reaction 4,070 - 4,075
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price sells down into 4,070 - 4,075 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the VAL Buy Reaction zone or below the local sweep low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,110
TP2: 4,140 - 4,145
TP3: 4,175 - 4,180
This setup is based on waiting for gold to return into a stronger Volume Profile support zone instead of buying directly under resistance.
Final view
Gold still has recovery potential, but I do not want to chase price here.
The better plan is simple: let gold sell first into 4,070 - 4,075, then watch if buyers defend the VAL zone again.
If that area holds, the next rebound can target 4,140 and possibly 4,175.
If 4,070 fails, the recovery structure becomes weak again.
Let price reach value. Then trade the reaction.
Short 
Long 
XAUUSD — 4,100 Started the Hunt XAUUSD — 4,100 Started the Hunt
Gold is starting to feel less like a clean recovery and more like a market that came back up only to reload sellers.
Price pushed into the upper FVG around the 4,130 - 4,140 area, but instead of breaking through with strength, it stalled, rejected, and started rolling back down. That is the part I am paying attention to. For newer traders, an FVG does not always act like a support zone. When price returns into it from below and fails to hold, that same area can become a supply zone where sellers quietly step back in.
That is why my main view is bearish now. The earlier bullish structure already lost momentum after price failed to reclaim the higher levels near 4,167.590. Now gold is pressing back toward 4,100.355, and if this level gives way cleanly, the market may start hunting the next sell-side liquidity around 4,081.101 first.
The story here is simple: buyers tried to breathe, but the upper FVG did not wake up in their favour. If sellers keep control below 4,130 - 4,140, I would expect price to keep drifting toward the lower FVG zone around 4,050 - 4,060. That area could create a reaction, but it is also the next logical magnet if 4,100 fails.
This bearish idea becomes weak only if gold reclaims the upper FVG and holds above 4,140. A stronger invalidation would be a clean push back above 4,167.590, because that would show buyers are no longer just reacting — they are taking structure back.
Key price zones to watch
Current reaction area: 4,100.355
Main supply / FVG sell zone: 4,130 - 4,140
Bearish confirmation zone: clean break below 4,100.355
First downside liquidity target: 4,081.101
Main downside FVG target: 4,050 - 4,060
Lower support if selling continues: 4,028.265
Major lower liquidity: 3,960.275
Invalidation: clean reclaim above 4,140, stronger invalidation above 4,167.590
Do you think sellers can fully break 4,100 here, or will gold fake the breakdown before reacting from the lower FVG?
Short 
Long 
Long 
Long 
XAUUSD (30Min.) CHARTFriends, if you trade gold regularly, you may have noticed that nowadays gold exhibits rapid movements from one liquidity zone to another, followed by slower price action; this pattern occurs across all timeframes—check the 5, 15, 30, and 60-minute charts, as well as the 4-hour chart.The best approach is to capture the trade at the swing high or swing low, as this allows for the trade to be effectively secured.
Trading at the tops and bottoms makes risk management easier. You might hit a stop-loss two or three times, but when a trade goes right, everything gets balanced out.Managing a trade midway is somewhat difficult; in fact, there is a 99% chance of incurring a loss.
Short 
XAUUSD – Gold Is Sideways, But The Channel Still Supports BuyersXAUUSD – Gold Is Sideways, But The Channel Still Supports Buyers
Gold is moving quietly, but the chart is still holding an important structure.
Price is currently trading around 4,113, moving sideways above the buy-test zone and inside a rising channel. This tells me the market is not rushing yet, but buyers are still trying to protect the recovery structure.
The key question now is simple: will gold keep holding the lower channel support and continue toward the Fibonacci targets above?
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Gold remains sensitive to USD movement, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. data. The market may stay cautious in the short term, especially while price is consolidating near resistance.
For now, the chart structure is clearer than the news. As long as gold holds above support, the recovery path remains open.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + FIBONACCI
From an SMC perspective, gold is forming a short-term accumulation after recovering from the lower zone. Price is still respecting the rising channel, which shows that buyers are defending higher lows.
The buy-test support around 4,080 – 4,100 is the key area to watch. If price pulls back into this zone and forms a bullish reaction, buyers may attempt another push higher.
The nearest resistance is around 4,138. A clean break above this level could confirm stronger continuation toward the Fibonacci reaction zone around 4,165 – 4,175.
Above that, the next target is the Fibonacci extension area around 4,235 – 4,245. This is where the larger upside reaction may slow down.
KEY PRICE ZONES TO WATCH
Current price: 4,113
Buy-test support: 4,080 – 4,100
Sideway area: 4,100 – 4,138
Nearest resistance: 4,138
Sell scalping Fibonacci: 4,165 – 4,175
Fibonacci target: 4,235 – 4,245
Channel support: 4,080 – 4,100
Invalidation for bullish view: Below 4,080
TRADING SCENARIOS
Buy Scenario
Buy Zone: 4,080 – 4,100
Entry: Bullish reaction, liquidity sweep, or lower-timeframe CHoCH
SL: Below 4,080
TP1: 4,138
TP2: 4,165 – 4,175
TP3: 4,235 – 4,245
Breakout Buy
Condition: Break and hold above 4,138
Target: 4,165 – 4,175 first, then 4,235 – 4,245
Sell Scenario
Sell Zone: 4,165 – 4,175 or 4,235 – 4,245
Entry: Bearish rejection or failed breakout
TP1: 4,138
TP2: 4,100
Invalidation: Above 4,245
MY VIEW ON GOLD
Gold is currently moving sideways, but the rising channel still supports buyers.
As long as 4,080 – 4,100 holds, I still see room for gold to continue toward 4,138 and then 4,165 – 4,175. If buyers can break higher with strength, the next bigger target is around 4,235 – 4,245.
I would not chase the middle of the range. The cleaner plan is to watch support reaction or breakout confirmation.
For now, gold is calm — but the next breakout may decide the move.
Do you think gold will break above 4,138, or will sellers defend the Fibonacci zone again?
Long 
Short 
XAUUSD — Bullish Channel Holds Above Buy Zone
Fundamental Analysis
Gold is still reacting to USD momentum, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. macro data. For now, the short-term structure remains positive while price continues to hold inside the rising channel.
Technical Analysis
On the 2H chart, XAUUSD is trading around 4,142 and still respecting the bullish channel structure. The main buy order trendline zone is around 4,141 - 4,143. If price holds this area, buyers may continue to defend the trend and push gold toward the liquidity zone at 4,144, then the mid-channel resistance around 4,145 - 4,146. A stronger breakout above this area may open the way toward the main target around 4,152.
Important Key Levels
Current price: 4,142
Main buy zone: 4,141 - 4,143
Short-term support: 4,140
Liquidity resistance: 4,144
Mid-channel resistance: 4,145 - 4,146
Main target: 4,152
Invalidation: below 4,140
Trading Scenario
Main Buy Setup
Entry: 4,141 - 4,143
Stop Loss: 4,140
Take Profit 1: 4,144
Take Profit 2: 4,145 - 4,146
Take Profit 3: 4,152
Buy Condition
Wait for gold to retest the 4,141 - 4,143 buy zone and show bullish rejection. A clean hold above the trendline keeps the bullish setup valid. If price breaks above 4,144, upside momentum becomes stronger toward 4,145 - 4,146 and 4,152. If price breaks and holds below 4,140, the buy setup is invalid.
Overall View
XAUUSD remains bullish while price stays inside the rising channel and holds above the buy order trendline zone. The preferred plan is to wait for confirmation around 4,141 - 4,143, then look for continuation toward 4,144, 4,146, and 4,152.
Do you share the same bullish view on gold, or are you waiting for confirmation above the liquidity zone first?
Short 
BRIAN XAUUSD – Gold recovers, but buyers remain cautious.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD RECOVERS, BUT BUYERS STILL NEED A BETTER VALUE ZONE
Gold has recovered from the weekly low around 4,021, but the market is still trading with caution. Price is bouncing, yet it remains below the main Volume Profile resistance area, which means this recovery is not fully confirmed.
From a macro view, risk-off sentiment is supporting gold after renewed Middle East tension. Reports of IRGC attacks on US military facilities in Bahrain and Kuwait have brought safe-haven demand back into focus. However, the chart is still telling us to stay selective. Gold is recovering, but it is not in a clean breakout structure yet.
Technical structure
On the H1 chart, gold reacted strongly from the lower area and is now testing the POC Resistance zone around 4,110 - 4,117.
This is the first place where sellers may defend. If price fails to accept above this zone, gold can sell first before giving a better buy opportunity.
The area I am watching for the main buy reaction is the VAL Support around 4,040 - 4,045. This is the lower value zone where buyers previously stepped in after the weekly low.
As long as price holds above this VAL support, the recovery structure can remain alive. But if gold breaks below 4,040, the rebound becomes weak again.
Important zones
POC Resistance: 4,110 - 4,117
Current resistance and first sell reaction area.
VAH Resistance: 4,125 - 4,130
Upper value resistance if price pushes higher.
VAL Support: 4,040 - 4,045
Main buy-reaction area after a deeper pullback.
Weekly low area: 4,021
Major downside reference if VAL fails.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from VAL Support 4,040 - 4,045
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price sells down into 4,040 - 4,045 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the VAL Support zone or below the local sweep low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,080
TP2: 4,110 - 4,117
TP3: 4,125 - 4,130
This setup is based on waiting for gold to return into a better Volume Profile support zone instead of buying directly into resistance.
Final view
Gold is recovering from the weekly low, but the current price is already close to resistance.
For now, I do not want to chase the bounce. I prefer letting price sell first into the VAL Support around 4,040 - 4,045, then watching for buy confirmation.
If this zone holds, gold can rebuild the recovery. If this zone fails, the market can rotate back towards the weekly low.
Let price reach value. Then trade the reaction. Long 
Before You Enter Any Trade, Ask These 7 QuestionsEvery trader has experienced it—spotting a setup, feeling excited, and entering a trade within seconds. Sometimes it works, but many times those impulsive decisions lead to unnecessary losses. The difference between consistent traders and emotional traders often comes down to one simple habit: asking the right questions before clicking the buy or sell button.
A pre-trade checklist helps remove emotion from the decision-making process. Instead of reacting to the market, it encourages you to slow down, think objectively, and only take trades that truly match your strategy.
1. Does This Trade Match My Plan?
Every trade should have a clear reason behind it. If your setup doesn't meet the rules of your trading strategy, it's probably not worth taking.
Following a plan consistently is what creates long-term consistency, not acting on instinct.
2. Where Is My Risk?
Before thinking about potential profits, identify where your stop-loss belongs and how much you're willing to lose if the trade fails.
Remember: A trader who protects capital always has another opportunity tomorrow.
3. Is the Risk-to-Reward Worth It?
Not every trade offers a favorable reward compared to the risk involved. A setup with poor risk-to-reward may not be worth taking, even if it has a high chance of winning.
Good traders look for quality opportunities, not just frequent ones.
4. Am I Trading Because of Emotion?
Take a moment to check your mindset. Are you entering because of FOMO, boredom, revenge after a loss, or excitement after a win?
If emotions are driving the decision, stepping away is often the better choice.
5. What Is the Market Actually Telling Me?
Avoid forcing your own opinion onto the chart. Instead, observe the trend, market structure, and overall context before making a decision.
Trade what you see, not what you hope will happen.
6. Can I Accept This Loss?
Every trade has the potential to fail. Before entering, ask yourself: "If my stop-loss gets hit, will I still be comfortable with this decision?"
If the answer is no, your position size may be too large.
7. Would I Take This Trade Again Tomorrow?
Imagine reviewing this setup with a clear mind tomorrow. Would you still consider it a high-quality trade, or would you realize it was impulsive?
This simple question helps separate disciplined decisions from emotional ones.
Conclusion
Great trading isn't just about finding the right entry—it's about making the right decision before entering. Taking just a few extra seconds to ask these seven questions can help you avoid unnecessary trades, manage risk more effectively, and stay consistent over the long run.
Remember: The best traders don't have the fastest entries—they have the best discipline. Education 
XAUUSD — Buy Trend Holding Above 4,100 Liquidity
Gold is trading around $4,118 after recovering from the lower structure near $4,022. The current price is holding above the $4,100–$4,107 buy zone liquidity, while the market has already created a short-term CHOCH and BOS after the previous downside move.
From an SMC perspective, gold has shifted from the lower liquidity area into a recovery structure. The market is now correcting under the descending trendline, but the structure is not bearish as long as price holds above the main buy zone. The $4,100–$4,107 area is important because it is where liquidity may be tested before buyers attempt another bullish continuation.
The main plan is to wait for gold to respect the buy zone liquidity and build confirmation. If buyers defend $4,100–$4,107, gold may push back toward $4,137 first. A clean break above this level and the descending trendline would confirm stronger bullish continuation toward the upper OB area and the buy-side liquidity around $4,221.
Buy setup 1
Condition:
Gold pulls back into the $4,100–$4,107 buy zone liquidity and forms bullish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $4,100–$4,107
SL: below $4,080
TP1: $4,137
TP2: $4,160
TP3: $4,190–$4,200
TP4: $4,221
Buy setup 2
Condition:
If gold breaks above the descending trendline and retests it as support, bullish continuation remains valid without waiting for a deeper pullback.
Entry: above $4,137 after breakout retest
SL: below $4,100
TP1: $4,160
TP2: $4,190–$4,200
TP3: $4,221
Buy setup 3
Condition:
If gold drops deeper but still holds the lower buy zone around $4,065–$4,075, this can create a secondary liquidity-buy setup.
Entry: $4,065–$4,075 after bullish rejection
SL: below $4,022
TP1: $4,100–$4,107
TP2: $4,137
TP3: $4,190–$4,200
Sell setup
Condition:
Selling is not the main priority. A sell setup is only valid if gold fails to hold above $4,100–$4,107 and breaks the lower structure clearly.
Entry: below $4,080 after breakdown retest
SL: above $4,107
TP1: $4,065–$4,075
TP2: $4,022
TP3: $3,960
Key levels
Current price area: $4,118
Main buy zone liquidity: $4,100–$4,107
Secondary buy zone: $4,065–$4,075
Major low support: $4,022
Short-term breakout level: $4,137
Trendline resistance: around $4,137–$4,150
Upper OB reaction zone: $4,190–$4,200
Buy-side liquidity: $4,221
Bullish continuation confirmation: clean break above $4,137
Stronger bullish confirmation: clean break above $4,160
Bullish invalidation: clean 2H close below $4,022
My current view is that gold still has a buy-side structure as long as price holds above the $4,100–$4,107 liquidity zone. The Prime Gold plan is to avoid chasing price in the middle, wait for confirmation around the buy zone or after a breakout above the descending trendline, then follow the move toward $4,137, $4,160 and potentially $4,221.
No confirmation, no trade.
Long 
XAUUSD 4140 FVG rejected — 4083 next XAUUSD 4140 FVG rejected — 4083 next
That rejection from 4,140 is the read.
Gold pushed into the FVG, tapped premium, then started stalling right where it should not stall if buyers were really strong. That’s not clean continuation. That’s supply sitting there.
Yeah, price did bounce after the ChoCH. Fine. But look where it bounced into. Straight into 4,125 - 4,140. That FVG is the problem zone now.
Buyers had their chance.
They needed to break above 4,140 and hold. They didn’t. Now price is sitting around 4,115, right on the EMA cluster. Messy spot. But if this cluster breaks, the move can get ugly fast.
Main bias is bearish while gold stays below 4,140.
I’m watching 4,108 - 4,099. That is the small floor. If sellers crack that area, the next liquidity draw is 4,083. After that, 4,057 is very possible. And if pressure really expands, 4,028 becomes the deeper target.
This feels like a premium rejection after the recovery leg. Not a place where I want to chase buys.
Trading scenario:
Sell idea only if price rejects 4,125 - 4,140 again or breaks below 4,108 with strong candles.
Entry zone: 4,125 - 4,140 after rejection
Alternative entry: below 4,108 after breakdown confirmation
Stop loss: above 4,150
TP1: 4,099
TP2: 4,083
TP3: 4,057
Final target: 4,028
No clean rejection, no sell. No breakdown, no chase.
If gold closes back above 4,150, this bearish idea gets invalidated. Then buyers can try to drag price back toward 4,170. But until that happens, I’m reading this as FVG rejection first, downside liquidity next.
You selling this 4,140 reaction or waiting for 4,108 to snap?
Short 
SOMETHING DOESN'T LOOK RIGHT IN GOLD... HERE'S WHY!Overall, Gold is simply moving sideways and killing time because today is the last trading day of the week. At the same time, the market has already created a lot of confusion among retail traders. Many people are wondering whether Gold is actually bullish or bearish.
If you want to stay away from that confusion, make sure you read this psychological market analysis carefully. It will help you understand today's (Friday's) trading plan as well as the overall outlook for the coming sessions, allowing you to trade with much more confidence.
Over the last two days, we witnessed exactly the bullish move that we were expecting. The strong support zones that I mentioned also worked perfectly. First of all, I hope this week's analysis has been helpful for all of you.
On Wednesday, when the market dropped sharply, many random sellers got trapped. However, traders who respect proper price action were patiently waiting for a retracement before entering short positions. Yesterday (Thursday), the market repeatedly tried to invite those sellers into the trade, but once again many of them got trapped.
The reason behind this was pure market psychology, which I clearly explained in my previous analysis. Sometimes the market doesn't respect traditional price action because it enters a manipulation phase. During those periods, understanding market psychology becomes far more important than simply following textbook price action.
My plan for Friday is very simple.
As long as Gold does not close above $4,128, buying aggressively becomes a little difficult. Yes, I am still bullish overall, and there is absolutely no doubt about that. However, considering the current price behaviour, entering fresh buy positions too early could be risky because the market may first trap buyers.
I believe Gold could continue moving in a zigzag pattern and revisit the $4,100 area before making its next move. This is because $4,100 is an extremely important psychological level.
Just like last week when Gold was trading around $4,000, the market repeatedly trapped both buyers and sellers around that major round number. I expect very similar price behaviour around $4,100 this week as well.
That is why I would suggest trading carefully on Friday.
Overall, as long as Gold remains above $4,086-$4,092, I remain strongly bullish. Keep this level in mind. I have already marked two green demand zones on the chart where we can look for buying opportunities with proper confirmation.
The moment Gold manages to close above $4,128, I believe we could see a strong bullish continuation that has the potential to push price directly toward $4,166.
So, to keep it simple, I am still bullish on Gold. I have repeatedly pointed out that $4,086 is a very important institutional key level. As long as the market continues trading above it, my overall bias remains Buy on Dips.
The only reason we are experiencing some uncertainty right now is because Gold is trading very close to the important $4,100 psychological level. Keep that in mind and try to understand how Smart Money operates before planning your trades.
I hope all of you enjoyed this analysis.
Good luck for the last trading day of the week! I hope my analysis helped you throughout the week and that everyone finishes the week with profitable trades.
What is your trading plan for Gold today?
Let me know in the comments!
XAUUSD: Sellers Still Own 4,085 XAUUSD: Sellers Still Own 4,085
Market Context
Gold is trading around 4,062 after losing short-term momentum again. The market is still leaning bearish, and the latest reaction shows that buyers are not strong enough to reclaim structure yet.
The softer gold price in INR also reflects short-term pressure in the broader gold market. When gold weakens across local pricing and XAUUSD remains below resistance, it tells us one thing clearly: buyers are still reacting, but sellers are still controlling the story.
Technical Structure
Gold remains in a short-term downward trend after repeated BOS and CHOCH signals. Price is currently sitting below the 4,085 sell zone, which is the nearest level sellers are likely to defend.
The key downside trigger is 4,041. If price loses this near-liquidity area, the next move may open toward 4,014, which is the main intraday target.
The deeper support is around 3,972. This is the stronger support area if selling pressure continues and price extends below the main target.
Above the current price, 4,085 is the decision zone. As long as gold stays below this level, the bearish view remains stronger. A clean reclaim above 4,085 would be the first warning that buyers are trying to shift the structure.
Key Levels
Current Price: 4,062
Nearest Sell Zone: 4,085
Near Liquidity: 4,041
Main Target: 4,014
Deep Support: 3,972
Pullback Sell Zone: 4,120 - 4,135
Major Supply: 4,170 - 4,200
Bullish Confirmation: Above 4,085
Bearish Continuation: Below 4,041
Trading Plan
Sell Scenario: Rejection From 4,085
Entry: 4,080 - 4,085 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,105
TP1: 4,041
TP2: 4,014
TP3: 3,972
Conditions: Price must rebound into the 4,080 - 4,085 sell zone and fail to break higher. Bearish rejection should appear near resistance. Buyers must lose momentum, and price should remain below 4,085. This remains the priority setup while the short-term structure stays weak.
Sell Continuation Scenario
Entry: Below 4,041 after confirmed breakdown and retest
Stop Loss: Above 4,065
TP1: 4,014
TP2: 3,990
TP3: 3,972
Conditions: Price breaks below the near-liquidity level at 4,041, retest fails, and bearish momentum continues. This would confirm that sellers are extending the move toward the main target.
Buy Scenario: Reclaim Above 4,085
Entry: Above 4,085 after breakout and retest
Stop Loss: Below 4,041
TP1: 4,120
TP2: 4,135
TP3: 4,170
Conditions: Price must reclaim 4,085 with strength, hold the retest, and form a clear bullish CHOCH. Without this confirmation, buying remains risky because price is still trading under seller control.
Alternative Sell Scenario: Sell From Higher Supply
Entry: 4,120 - 4,135 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,160
TP1: 4,085
TP2: 4,041
TP3: 4,014
Conditions: Price recovers into the pullback sell zone but fails to hold above it. Strong rejection from this area would confirm that sellers are still defending the broader bearish structure.
Overall Bias
Gold is still weak below 4,085. The current bounce does not confirm a bullish reversal yet.
If price rejects from 4,080 - 4,085, the downside path toward 4,041 and 4,014 remains open. If 4,041 breaks, sellers may push deeper toward 3,972.
Best approach: wait for reaction at 4,085 or confirmation below 4,041. Do not chase buys while price is still under the sell zone.
Will gold reclaim 4,085, or will sellers push price straight toward 4,014?
Short 
MASON XAUUSD – Bullish Pullback Before Mid-Term Rally
XAUUSD is trading around 4,123 after recovering from the short-term correction zone. Price is still holding above the main uptrend trendline, while the current pullback is moving around the Fibonacci reaction area.
The priority view remains bullish in the medium term, as long as gold continues to hold above the buy order zone and the rising trendline support.
Technical View
Gold is still moving inside a bullish recovery structure. The higher low formation from the previous support area shows that buyers are still defending the market, even though price is currently correcting below the short-term descending trendline.
The most important point on this chart is the uptrend trendline. Price has respected this trendline several times, which means the broader bullish structure remains valid while gold stays above it.
The 4,101–4,106 area is the main buy order zone. This zone is important because it aligns with the Fibonacci correction area, the rising trendline support, and the previous reaction zone. If gold pulls back into this area and holds, it may confirm another higher low before the next bullish leg.
Short term, price may still face resistance around 4,138 and 4,159. The 4,159 area is marked as a sell order zone, so some rejection or consolidation may appear there first. However, if gold breaks and holds above 4,159, the bullish structure may open a stronger move toward the 4,203 resistance.
Ichimoku also supports the idea that the market is trying to recover. Price has moved back near the Ichimoku structure, and if buyers can keep price above the cloud support, the next medium-term bullish continuation will become more convincing.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,123
Buy order zone: 4,101–4,106
Trendline support: 4,095–4,106
Short-term resistance: 4,138
Sell order reaction zone: 4,159
Major resistance: 4,203
Ichimoku support area: 4,067–4,101
Invalidation: below 4,067
Trading Plan
Buy Priority: 4,101–4,106
Condition: wait for bullish rejection, higher low formation, or price holding above the uptrend trendline and Fibonacci support area.
SL: below 4,067
TP1: 4,138
TP2: 4,159
TP3: 4,203
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks above 4,159 directly, wait for a retest of this zone as support before looking for buy continuation toward 4,203. A clean hold above 4,159 would confirm stronger bullish momentum for the medium-term move.
Sell View
Sell is not the priority while price stays above the uptrend trendline and the 4,101–4,106 buy order zone. A short-term sell reaction may appear around 4,159, but it should only be treated as a correction unless gold breaks below 4,067.
Final View
Overall, gold remains in a bullish structure. The current movement looks more like a Fibonacci correction before continuation rather than a full bearish reversal. The cleaner plan is to wait for price to hold the 4,101–4,106 buy zone, then follow the next bullish leg toward 4,138, 4,159, and potentially 4,203.
Will gold respect the Fibonacci buy zone and start the next bullish leg, or retest the trendline support first?
Long 
XAUUSD: Rebound to 4,193 May Be Just a Short-Term Bull TrapXAUUSD is holding above the short-term uptrend line near 4,130, leaving room for a potential rebound before sellers truly step back in. However, a strong supply zone lies overhead at 4,193–4,210, coinciding with a resistance area that has previously triggered price reversals.
With US yields remaining high and expectations of continued Fed tightening weighing on gold, the current rally lacks the basis to confirm a sustainable uptrend. The most likely scenario is a bounce from 4,130 to test the 4,193 zone, followed by profit-taking pressure.
Suggested Strategy:
Entry: Sell on rejection near 4,190–4,200
TP: 4,130
SL: Above 4,220 Short 
