XAUUSD Bearish Below ResistanceXAUUSD on the 1-hour chart is trading just beneath a strong resistance zone after an impulsive bullish rally. Price has entered a period of consolidation, suggesting that buyers are losing momentum as the market approaches a key supply area.
The highlighted resistance between 4,175–4,200 remains the major barrier for further upside. Multiple small-bodied candles near this level indicate hesitation, increasing the probability of either a rejection or an extended range before the next directional move.
If sellers gain control, a corrective decline toward the 4,050–4,065 demand zone becomes the most likely scenario. This area aligns with the previous breakout structure and could attract fresh buying interest. A successful hold of this demand zone would keep the overall bullish market structure intact and may provide a base for another move higher.
However, if buyers manage to break and close above the resistance zone with strong volume, the current consolidation would turn into a bullish continuation pattern, opening the door for new highs.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4,175 – 4,200
Demand Zone: 4,050 – 4,065
Bullish Trigger: Hourly close above 4,200
Bearish Target: Retest of the 4,050 demand zone
Outlook: Neutral-to-bearish in the short term while price remains below resistance, with a pullback toward the demand zone favored before the next major move. 
Short
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Long 
Gold Rally Continues | XAUUSD Bullish Structure Remains IntactXAUUSD continues to maintain a strong bullish market structure, with buyers firmly controlling the market after a powerful impulsive rally from the lower demand zone. The recent breakout above key resistance confirms sustained buying momentum, while the current consolidation just below resistance suggests that the market is preparing for its next directional move.
Price is currently trading around 4,185.890, holding above the immediate support region. As long as the market remains above the 4,175.897 – 4,158.531 support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact.
The first resistance is located at 4,200.000, followed by TP1 at 4,211.878. A confirmed breakout above this area would likely attract additional buying pressure, opening the path toward:
TP2: 4,265.367
TP3: 4,319.051
Final TP: 4,353.637
The support structure begins with the Break Entry (4,185.890), followed by the Early Buy Entry (4,178.997) and the Strong Buy Entry (4,158.531). These zones are expected to provide buying opportunities if the market retraces.
The bullish scenario becomes invalid if price closes below the Buy Stop Loss (4,152.213). A decisive breakdown below 4,138.161 would shift momentum in favor of the sellers. Further confirmation below 4,125.523 would activate the bearish setup with downside targets at:
Sell TP1: 4,092.452
Sell TP2: 4,038.942
Sell TP3: 3,965.771
Sell TP4: 3,952.519
📈 Trading Outlook
Market Bias: Bullish ✅
Preferred Strategy: Buy on pullbacks into the marked support zones.
Bullish Confirmation: Sustained trading above 4,185.890.
Primary Targets: 4,200.000 → 4,211.878 → 4,265.367 → 4,319.051 → 4,353.637
Risk Management: Bullish bias remains valid while price stays above 4,152.213.
📌 Conclusion
The overall trend remains strongly bullish, supported by higher highs and higher lows following the recent breakout. Current price action is forming a healthy consolidation near resistance, which often precedes another impulsive move higher. Unless key support levels fail, buyers continue to have the advantage, with the potential for an extension toward the higher profit targets shown on the chart. Long 
XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Market Overview (45-Minute Chart)
XAU/USD is maintaining a strong bullish structure on the 45-minute timeframe after staging an impressive recovery from the 3,960 support region. Price has established a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming that buyers remain firmly in control of the short-term trend.
The recent breakout above the 4,160 resistance area has shifted market sentiment further in favor of the bulls. Price is now consolidating near 4,180, suggesting that buyers are absorbing profit-taking before attempting another leg higher.
Trend Analysis
The trend-following indicator remains green, indicating sustained bullish momentum. Since the bullish signal appeared near the recent swing low, price has respected the dynamic support zone throughout the rally, with no significant breakdown below trend support.
This behavior reflects strong institutional buying interest, where every pullback continues to attract fresh demand rather than aggressive selling.
Momentum Assessment
The RSI (14) is trading around 66–71, positioning momentum close to the overbought threshold without showing clear bearish divergence.
Although momentum is elevated, strong trending markets often allow RSI to remain above 60 for extended periods. Therefore, current RSI readings suggest healthy bullish strength rather than an immediate reversal signal.
Multi-Timeframe Outlook
The signal panel shows mixed higher-timeframe sentiment:
5-Minute: Bearish (short-term pullback)
15-Minute: Bearish (minor correction)
45-Minute: Bullish
4-Hour: Bullish
Daily: Bearish (longer-term resistance still exists)
This alignment indicates that the short-term weakness on lower timeframes is likely corrective within a broader bullish move supported by the 45-minute and 4-hour trends.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance
4,185–4,200: Immediate breakout zone
4,220: Next bullish objective
4,240: Extended upside target if buying momentum accelerates
Support
4,165–4,170: First demand zone
4,145–4,150: Dynamic trend support
4,120: Major structural support
Trading Scenario
As long as XAU/USD holds above the 4,165–4,170 support region, the bullish structure remains intact.
A successful breakout above 4,200 could trigger fresh buying pressure, opening the door toward 4,220 and potentially 4,240 in the coming sessions.
However, failure to hold above current support may result in a healthy corrective pullback toward the dynamic trend zone before buyers attempt another continuation rally.
Conclusion
The technical outlook remains constructively bullish despite mixed lower-timeframe signals. The combination of a strong upward market structure, supportive trend indicator, and resilient momentum favors further upside while price remains above key support levels. Traders should monitor the 4,200 resistance closely, as a decisive breakout would likely confirm the next phase of the bullish continuation. Long 
Long
Long
XAUUSD — Bullish Structure Holds Above EMA Value ZoneXAUUSD — Bullish Structure Holds Above EMA Value Zone
Fundamental Analysis
Gold is holding a stronger recovery structure as traders continue to watch USD momentum, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. macro data.
For now, the technical structure is improving. As long as price holds above the EMA value zone, the bullish continuation scenario remains favoured.
Technical Analysis
On the 1H chart, XAUUSD is trading around 4,179 after a strong recovery from the lower structure near 3,970 - 4,020. EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200 are starting to turn upward, showing that buyers are gaining better control of the short-term trend.
Price has already broken above the previous EMA resistance area and is now holding above the rising EMA structure. This suggests that the recent pullback may be a continuation setup rather than a bearish reversal.
The first buy zone is around 4,132 - 4,145. This area aligns with the nearest value zone and may act as the first support if price pulls back.
The second buy zone is around 4,088 - 4,113. This is a deeper value area and also aligns with the previous breakout structure. If gold sweeps lower before reacting, this zone may offer a stronger buy reaction.
The main upside target is the Fibonacci range around 4,281 - 4,283.
Important Key Levels
Current price area: 4,179
Buy zone 1: 4,132 - 4,145
Buy zone 2: 4,088 - 4,113
EMA support area: 4,079 - 4,145
Short-term resistance: 4,200 - 4,220
Main Fibonacci target: 4,281 - 4,283
Invalidation area: below 4,079
Trading Scenario
Main Buy Scenario
Entry: 4,132 - 4,145
Stop Loss: 4,120
Take Profit 1: 4,200
Take Profit 2: 4,240
Take Profit 3: 4,281 - 4,283
Buy Condition
The preferred setup is to wait for gold to pull back into the 4,132 - 4,145 buy zone. This area is important because it aligns with the rising EMA structure and the nearest value support.
A buy setup becomes more valid if price forms bullish rejection from this zone, such as a long lower wick, bullish engulfing candle, higher low formation, or a clean reclaim above 4,145.
If price holds above this zone and breaks above 4,200, the bullish continuation view becomes stronger. The next upside focus would be 4,240, followed by the Fibonacci range around 4,281 - 4,283.
Alternative Buy Scenario
Entry: 4,088 - 4,113
Stop Loss: 4,079
Take Profit 1: 4,145
Take Profit 2: 4,200
Take Profit 3: 4,281 - 4,283
Buy Condition
This deeper buy setup is valid only if gold pulls back below the first zone but still holds above 4,079. A rejection from 4,088 - 4,113 would show that buyers are still defending the larger bullish structure.
If price breaks below 4,079 and holds there, the bullish setup becomes weaker and should be reassessed.
Entry Conditions
Wait for price to retest one of the buy zones.
Look for bullish rejection before entering buy.
Do not chase price after a strong move.
A break above 4,200 confirms stronger bullish momentum.
If price breaks and holds below 4,079, the buy setup is invalid.
Overall, the main view remains bullish while XAUUSD holds above the rising EMA structure. The preferred plan is to wait for a pullback into 4,132 - 4,145 or 4,088 - 4,113, then look for buy confirmation toward 4,200, 4,240, and the Fibonacci target around 4,281 - 4,283.
Do you share the same bullish view on gold, or are you waiting for a cleaner pullback into the EMA value zone first?
Long 
XAU/USD Buy Setup | Bullish Continuation Toward 4,302Chart ko dekh kar bullish trend nazar aa raha hai.
Buy Setup:
Entry: 4,168 – 4,172 (current pullback zone)
Stop Loss: 4,139 (support ke neeche)
Take Profit 1: 4,250
Take Profit 2: 4,285
Final Target: 4,302
Analysis:
Price higher highs aur higher lows bana rahi hai.
Strong bullish breakout ke baad retracement chal raha hai.
Agar 4,165–4,170 support hold karta hai to buyers ke wapas aane ke achhe chances hain.
Risk-to-reward ratio bhi buy setup ke liye favorable dikh raha hai.
Title: XAU/USD Buy Setup | Bullish Continuation Toward 4,302 Long 
Bearish Pullback Targets SSL Sweep Near 4,095 Bearish Pullback Targets SSL Sweep Near 4,095
Gold (XAUUSD) on the H1 timeframe continues to respect a clean bullish market structure, with price building higher highs and higher lows through a series of well-defined Break of Structure (BOS) events since accumulation began near the 3,942–4,028 range.
The move started with classic Smart Money Concepts price action: an accumulation phase followed by a Change of Character (ChoCH), confirming the shift from bearish to bullish intent. From there, price broke structure repeatedly, each leg supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) sitting around the 4,000–4,028 zone, which acted as the launchpad for the strongest impulsive rally into the 4,140–4,200 area.
After tapping a fresh high near 4,200, price has now rejected sharply, printing a strong bearish reaction and breaking below the most recent BOS level at 4,140.525. This is a meaningful signal — the aggressive rejection suggests short-term exhaustion of buyers after an extended impulsive leg, and liquidity resting be Short 
XAUUSD: ABC Wave Ends Near Sell ZoneGold is reacting near the upper resistance area after completing a short-term bullish Elliott structure inside the rising channel. From Kelly’s view, the current move looks like an ABC recovery that has already reached a sensitive completion zone, where buyers may start losing momentum.
The key idea is simple: gold has recovered well, but price is now testing the sell zone after the ABC structure appears complete.
⟡ Market structure
The chart shows gold moving inside a rising channel after a strong recovery from the lower base. Price created a clean bullish sequence, pushed into the upper resistance zone around 4,190–4,195, and then started to slow down.
This area is important because it aligns with the marked sell zone and the possible completion of the latest Elliott structure. Price has already touched the upper part of the channel, which means the risk of a corrective pullback is now higher.
The nearest support zones are 4,143 and 4,107. If gold starts rejecting from the current resistance, these areas may become the next reaction points.
➤ Key levels
◌ 4,190–4,195: sell zone and ABC completion area
◌ 4,179: current price reaction zone
◌ 4,143: buy scalping resistance / first pullback zone
◌ 4,107: lower support and wave C reaction zone
◌ Above 4,195: area where the sell reaction setup weakens
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to have completed a 5-wave recovery into the upper channel zone. After that, the current structure can be read as an ABC corrective phase forming near resistance.
Wave A shows the first pullback from the high.
Wave B may be the rebound back into the sell zone.
Wave C may develop lower if sellers defend the 4,190–4,195 area.
If this wave count is correct, gold may start a corrective move back towards 4,143 first, then 4,107 if selling pressure expands.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for price reaction around the 4,190–4,195 sell zone.
Sell reaction zone: 4,190–4,195 if bearish confirmation appears
Stop loss: above the confirmed rejection high
Take profit 1: 4,143
Take profit 2: 4,107
Take profit 3: 4,080 if wave C expands deeper
Alternative scenario: if gold breaks above 4,195 and holds with strong acceptance, the ABC sell setup loses quality. In that case, price may continue extending inside the rising channel before forming a new structure.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, this is not a clean place to chase buy anymore. The recovery has already reached the upper resistance area, and the ABC structure may be near completion.
The cleaner plan is to watch how gold reacts around 4,190–4,195. If rejection appears, a short-term corrective pullback can develop from this zone.
Gold has completed a strong recovery.
But near the sell zone, the next meaningful move may be a corrective wave lower.
Share your view below. Short 
Short 
XAUUSD: Buyers Took Control, But 4,200 Is the Real Test XAUUSD: Buyers Took Control, But 4,200 Is the Real Test
Market Context
Gold is showing a strong short-term recovery after reclaiming structure from the lower zone. Buyers have stepped back into the market, but price is now trading directly near the upper resistance area where sellers may react.
The main story is simple: gold is bullish in the short term, but not free yet. The next move depends on whether buyers can break the weak high zone or get trapped at resistance.
Technical Structure
Gold is trading around 4,177 after a strong push from the lower support area. The chart shows bullish structure in the short term, supported by recent BOS signals and a clear recovery from the Buyers First Defence zone.
The current resistance area is 4,170 - 4,200. This is the weak high sell zone and the nearest place where sellers may return. If gold fails here, a pullback can develop before the next bullish attempt.
The key pullback buy zone sits around 4,100 - 4,120. As long as price holds above this zone, the short-term bullish momentum remains valid.
The 4,142 area is also important. Holding above this level keeps buyers in control. Losing it would weaken the current recovery and increase the chance of a deeper pullback.
Key Levels
Current Price: 4,177
Weak High Sell Zone: 4,170 - 4,200
Short-Term Support: 4,142
Pullback Buy Zone: 4,100 - 4,120
Main Reclaim Zone: 4,030 - 4,060
Buyers First Defence: 3,960 - 3,980
Bullish Continuation: Above 4,200
Bearish Risk: Below 4,100
Trading Plan
Buy Scenario: Pullback Continuation
Entry: 4,100 - 4,120 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 4,060
TP1: 4,142
TP2: 4,170
TP3: 4,200
Conditions: Price pulls back into the buy zone, holds support, and forms a clear bullish rejection or CHOCH. Buyers must keep price above 4,100. This setup is stronger if the pullback is slow and controlled, not a sharp breakdown.
Buy Breakout Scenario
Entry: Above 4,200 after breakout and retest
Stop Loss: Below 4,170
TP1: 4,230
TP2: 4,260
TP3: 4,300
Conditions: Price must break above the weak high sell zone with strength, retest 4,170 - 4,200 successfully, and continue forming higher lows. Avoid buying the first candle into resistance without confirmation.
Sell Scenario: Rejection From Weak High
Entry: 4,170 - 4,200 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,220
TP1: 4,142
TP2: 4,120
TP3: 4,100
Conditions: Price fails to break the weak high zone, bearish rejection appears, and buyers lose momentum near resistance. This is a reaction sell only, not the main trend unless price later breaks below 4,100.
Breakdown Sell
Entry: Below 4,100 after confirmed breakdown and retest
Stop Loss: Above 4,142
TP1: 4,060
TP2: 4,030
TP3: 3,980
Conditions: Price loses the pullback buy zone, retest fails, and bearish momentum returns. This would confirm that the bullish recovery is weakening and sellers may push gold back toward the main reclaim zone.
Overall Bias
The short-term structure is bullish, but gold is now testing the most important resistance of the move.
If buyers hold above 4,100 and reclaim 4,200, the recovery can extend higher. If price rejects from 4,170 - 4,200, a pullback toward 4,142 and 4,100 is likely.
Best approach: wait for confirmation at the weak high zone. Do not chase the breakout before the market proves it.
Will buyers break 4,200, or will sellers turn this recovery into a bull trap?
Long 
GOLD bullish Elliott Wave forming in rising channelXAUUSD: Bullish Elliott Wave Is Building Inside the Rising Channel
Gold is now showing a stronger recovery structure after breaking away from the previous bearish channel. From Kelly’s view, the market is developing a bullish Elliott Wave sequence, with price moving inside a rising channel and preparing for a possible continuation phase.
The key idea is simple: gold is bullish in the short term, but price may still pull back once more to test the rising trendline before the next upside wave expands.
⟡ Market structure
The chart shows a clear shift from the earlier downtrend into a rising channel. After forming the lower base near the end of June, gold created higher highs and higher lows, showing that buyers are gradually taking control.
Price is now trading around 4,067, after reacting from the buy wave 5 area. The structure remains constructive while gold holds above the lower channel support.
The current move may still need one more retest towards the rising trendline or the buy wave 5 zone before the next push higher. If buyers defend this area, the market may continue towards the liquidity resistance zone around 4,100–4,120.
➤ Key levels
◌ 4,025–4,040: buy wave 5 and trendline reaction zone
◌ 4,067: current price reaction area
◌ 4,100–4,120: liquidity resistance zone
◌ 4,175–4,210: higher resistance and wave 5 completion area
◌ Below 4,025: area where the bullish channel structure weakens
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be forming a bullish 5-wave structure after completing the previous bearish phase.
Wave 1 created the first upside push.
Wave 2 corrected back into the lower channel support.
Wave 3 expanded strongly into the liquidity zone.
Wave 4 is now developing as a short pullback.
If the trendline holds, wave 5 may begin from the buy zone and push price towards the upper channel area.
There is also a possible ABC path after wave 5 completes near resistance. For now, the bullish wave structure remains valid as long as price continues to respect the rising channel.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for price to retest the rising trendline or the 4,025–4,040 buy zone and show bullish confirmation.
Entry zone: 4,025–4,040 if bullish confirmation appears
Stop loss: below the confirmed trendline reaction low
Take profit 1: 4,100–4,120
Take profit 2: 4,175
Take profit 3: 4,210 if wave 5 expands strongly
Alternative scenario: if gold breaks below 4,025 and fails to reclaim the rising channel, the bullish Elliott setup weakens and the chart may need a new short-term reading.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, this is a buy-the-pullback structure inside a rising channel. The market has already shifted away from the old bearish rhythm, but the cleaner setup may come after one more controlled retest of the trendline.
Gold is building a bullish Elliott structure.
If the rising channel holds, the next upside wave may continue towards the upper liquidity zone.
Share your view below. Long 
Long 
GOLD requires POC retest before movement.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD NEEDS A POC RETEST BEFORE THE NEXT PUSH
Gold is moving inside a cleaner bullish channel, but this is not the place to chase.
Price already pushed strongly from the Balance Support Zone and is now holding near the upper part of the short-term range. The move is bullish, but the better trade location is lower — around the POC Buy Zone.
This is where the next real reaction matters.
Technical structure
On the short-term chart, gold has built a clear upward structure after reclaiming value above 4,070.
The market is now trading above the POC Buy Zone around 4,120 - 4,130. This zone is important because it sits inside the current value area and can act as the next support base if price pulls back.
The VAH Sell Zone around 4,210 - 4,220 remains the upper resistance. If gold pushes directly into this area without a pullback, buyers may face stronger profit-taking.
The cleanest bullish continuation would be a pullback into the POC Buy Zone, followed by a strong reaction back into the upper channel.
Important zones
POC Buy Zone: 4,120 - 4,130
Main value support and preferred buy reaction area.
VAH Sell Zone: 4,210 - 4,220
Upper resistance and possible reaction area.
Balance Support Zone: 4,065 - 4,075
Deeper support if price breaks below the POC.
Rising channel:
The bullish structure remains valid while price respects the lower channel support.
Trading scenario
Buy reaction from POC Buy Zone 4,120 - 4,130
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if price pulls back into 4,120 - 4,130 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the POC Buy Zone or below the local swing low.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,165
TP2: 4,190
TP3: 4,210 - 4,220
This setup is based on the idea that gold may need to retest value before building the next upside wave.
Final view
Gold is bullish in structure, but price is already trading away from the best buy location.
For me, the real opportunity is not chasing the current candle. It is waiting for gold to return to the POC Buy Zone and watching whether buyers defend it.
If 4,120 - 4,130 holds, the next push towards 4,210 remains possible.
If this zone fails, the market may rotate back to the Balance Support Zone.
Would you buy the POC retest, or wait for price to break the VAH Sell Zone first? Short 
Long 
Long 
Long 
XAUUSD — Bullish Trend Holds, Buy From Major Liquidity ZoneXAUUSD — Bullish Trend Holds, Buy From Major Liquidity Zone
Gold is trading around $4,165 after a strong recovery from the lower structure. The bullish trend is still holding, and price continues to form higher reactions after several CHoCH signals. Buyers are still controlling the short-term structure as long as gold stays above the main liquidity and FVG support area.
From an SMC perspective, gold has already swept the lower sell-side liquidity, reacted from demand, and pushed back into the upper OB zone. The current pullback is not yet a bearish reversal. It can still be viewed as a correction inside a bullish recovery structure, especially if price respects the $4,123–$4,130 liquidity zone.
The main buy area to watch is $4,123–$4,130. This is the closest major liquidity zone where buyers may look to defend the structure. If gold pulls back into this area and confirms bullish MSS / CHOCH on lower timeframe, the next upside target remains the OB reaction zone around $4,180–$4,195, followed by buy-side liquidity near $4,221.
Buy setup 1
Condition:
Gold pulls back into the major buy liquidity zone around $4,123–$4,130 and forms bullish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $4,123–$4,130
SL: below $4,057
TP1: $4,165
TP2: $4,180–$4,195
TP3: $4,221
Buy setup 2
Condition:
If gold breaks above the OB reaction zone around $4,180–$4,195 and retests it as support, bullish continuation remains valid.
Entry: above $4,195 after breakout retest
SL: below $4,150
TP1: $4,221
TP2: $4,240
TP3: $4,260
Sell setup
Condition:
Selling is not the priority. A sell setup is only valid if gold rejects strongly from the $4,180–$4,195 OB zone and loses the $4,123–$4,130 liquidity zone.
Entry: below $4,123 after breakdown retest
SL: above $4,165
TP1: $4,057
TP2: $4,030
TP3: $4,000
Key levels
Current price area: $4,165
Major buy liquidity zone: $4,123–$4,130
FVG support area: $4,070–$4,110
Sell-side liquidity: $4,057
OB reaction zone: $4,180–$4,195
Buy-side liquidity: $4,221
Bullish continuation confirmation: clean break above $4,195
Bullish invalidation: clean 2H close below $4,057
My current view is that gold remains in a bullish recovery structure. The trend is still holding as long as price respects the major liquidity zone around $4,123–$4,130. The Prime Gold plan is to avoid chasing the upper range and wait for price to pull back into liquidity, confirm bullish reaction, then follow the move toward the upper OB and buy-side liquidity.
No confirmation, no trade.
Long 
WHY I'M STILL BULLISH ON GOLD ABOVE $4080So, in this week's analysis, I clearly mentioned one important point. For the past several weeks, Gold has been forming bearish weekly candles, and most of the major liquidity has already been swept. Because of that, I believed Gold was due for a short-term reversal, and that's exactly what we witnessed this week.
No doubt, the market initially spent some time below $4080 just to confuse traders and create the impression that sellers were still in control. However, over the last two days, we finally saw the strong upside move that I had been expecting.
Most importantly, the key level that I've been talking about for the past several days, $4080, has finally been reclaimed with a bullish close. This clearly tells us that the bulls have taken control of the market. As long as Gold remains above this level, I believe we can safely focus on the bullish side.
Now, since today is the last trading day of the week, let's discuss my market observations and plan of action for Friday.
During the Asian session, Gold delivered a strong upside move and is currently consolidating near the higher levels. In my opinion, this consolidation is mainly happening because of the left-side price action. If you notice, when Gold traded in this same area around June 22-23, the market created confusion before eventually breaking below $4200 and producing a strong sell-off.
However, I don't believe history will repeat itself this time.
The reason is simple. Most of the sellers who entered the market out of panic are now trapped, and many of them are still looking for re-entry opportunities to short Gold. According to them, selling below $4200 feels safe because last time the market collapsed from this exact area. Keeping that previous move in mind, many traders have become aggressive sellers around this zone.
But in my opinion, they are ignoring the current price action.
The structure that Gold has built over the last few sessions clearly suggests that the bulls are now in control, which is why I prefer staying on the buying side.
If you compare the current situation with June 22-23, you'll notice an important difference. Back then, Gold also opened below $4200, but it immediately continued falling because sellers were extremely strong and the selling volume on June 23 was very aggressive. Buyers simply couldn't trap them at that time.
This time, I believe the opposite can happen.
Even today, Gold tested a high around $4195 before showing some rejection. However, if you carefully observe the price action, the selling pressure is relatively weak and coming with much smaller volume. On top of that, today is a U.S. bank holiday, which means the market is likely focusing on liquidity creation around this zone rather than making a major directional move.
After that process is complete, I expect buying momentum to continue, and I still believe a breakout above $4200 is possible.
For now, I'm simply waiting and watching because entering at the current price would likely make me part of the liquidity. Instead, I'm waiting for a sudden spike or a liquidity sweep before entering the market.
My preferred buying zone remains around $4151-$4162.
If you're an aggressive trader, you can also consider buying above the current price around $4174. In that case, the first target would be $4200, and if momentum remains strong, you can trail the trade toward $4209-$4220.
So, based on market psychology and the current price action, this is my trading plan for today.
I hope you found this analysis useful and that my plan makes sense.
Good luck to everyone for the last trading day of the week!
What is your Gold trading plan for today? Let me know in the comments.
Thanks!
Order Block Retest on Gold H1 – Buy the Dip? Order Block Retest on Gold H1 – Buy the Dip?
Price is showing a textbook SMC structure on the H1 timeframe. Early in the sequence, we saw two consecutive CHoCH (Change of Character) signals confirming a bearish shift, followed by a BOS (Break of Structure) that swept liquidity below the accumulation range near the 4,000 zone. This accumulation box acted as the launchpad for the next leg up.
From there, price rallied into a clean 5-wave Elliott structure: Wave (1) topped near 4,090, Wave (2) retraced into the 3,970 liquidity pool, Wave (3) extended sharply to 4,140 tagging the Order Block, Wave (4) pulled back to the 0.786 fib zone, and Wave (5) is now pushing into the 0–0.236 fib extension around 4,180–4,200.
The horizontal Order Block (4,120–4,150) is the key supply/demand pivot here — price has repeatedly reacted around this zone, and it's currently acting as a decision point for the next directional move. A confirmed close above 4,150 with a bullish retest would signal continuation toward the 0 fib extension (~4,200+). Rejection from this zone, however, could trigger a corrective pullback toward the 0.382–0.5 fib levels (4,120–4,100).
Key levels to watch:
🔸 Resistance: 4,180 – 4,200 (Order Block / 0.236 fib)
🔸 Support: 4,120 – 4,100 (0.5 fib retracement)
🔸 Invalidation: Below 4,060 (Wave 4 low)
This setup blends SMC concepts (CHoCH, BOS, Order Blocks, liquidity sweeps) with Elliott Wave theory for confluence — always a stronger combo than using either alone. Short 
MASON XAUUSD – Gold Extends Bullish Momentum After NFP
XAUUSD is trading around 4,178 after a strong bullish continuation following the NFP reaction. Price has broken above the previous resistance zone and continues to hold above the Ichimoku structure, keeping the short-term bias bullish.
The priority view remains buy on pullback, but traders should be careful today because bank holiday conditions may reduce liquidity and create irregular price movement.
Technical View
Gold is showing clear bullish momentum after breaking above the previous resistance area around 4,090–4,100. This zone was resistance before, but after the breakout, it can now act as an important support area if price pulls back.
The market is also moving inside a rising trendline channel. This shows that buyers are still controlling the short-term structure, with price creating higher highs and higher lows.
Ichimoku also supports the bullish view. Price is trading above the Ichimoku structure, and the cloud below price may now act as dynamic support. As long as gold stays above the Ichimoku support zone, the bullish recovery remains valid.
The 4,136–4,140 area is the key buy order test zone on the chart. If price pulls back into this area and holds, it may confirm another higher low before continuation.
The next major upside target is around 4,270–4,280. This area matches the Fibonacci 2.618 extension and also sits near a psychological resistance zone, so buyers may take profit or price may react strongly there.
Because today is a bank holiday, liquidity can be thinner than usual. This means price may move fast, but confirmation is still important. Chasing after a strong candle is risky; waiting for a pullback gives a cleaner structure.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,178
Buy order test zone: 4,136–4,140
Previous resistance turned support: 4,090–4,100
Ichimoku support area: 4,028–4,048
Main upside target: 4,270–4,280
Fibonacci extension: 2.618
Invalidation: below 4,090
Trading Plan
Buy Priority: 4,136–4,140
Condition: wait for bullish rejection, higher low formation, or price holding above the rising trendline and Ichimoku structure.
SL: below 4,090
TP1: 4,200
TP2: 4,240
TP3: 4,270–4,280
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks above 4,200 directly, wait for a retest of this level as support before looking for continuation toward 4,240 and 4,270.
Sell View
Sell is not the priority while price stays above the rising trendline and Ichimoku structure. A sell setup only becomes safer if gold loses 4,136 and breaks back below 4,090 with strong bearish confirmation.
Final View
Overall, gold remains strongly bullish after the NFP reaction. The cleaner plan is to wait for a pullback into the 4,136–4,140 buy zone instead of chasing high prices. If this zone holds, the next upside target remains 4,270–4,280.
Will gold retest the buy zone first, or continue directly toward the Fibonacci psychological resistance?
Long 
